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Will Xrp’s 6-Month-Long Struggle Come to an End in Q4 2024?

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XRP’s price has been battling to break above the 78.6% Fibonacci Retracement line since early March, facing significant resistance. Despite repeated attempts, the altcoin has failed to maintain a breakout, keeping it in a bearish zone.

However, recent shifts in market sentiment have provided a glimmer of hope. This growing optimism among long-term holders could lead to a potential price rise, boosting profits for key investors and possibly ending XRP’s prolonged struggle.

XRP Is Noting Mixed Signals

The MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) Long/Short Difference indicator for XRP currently stands at 3.1%, signaling that long-term holders (LTHs) are in profit. This is a bullish indicator, as LTHs generally hold onto their tokens longer, waiting for larger profits before selling. The absence of short-term holders dominating the market suggests that there is less risk of immediate selling pressure, providing XRP a better chance to rally.

On the other hand, negative values for short-term holders typically signal bearishness, as they tend to take quick profits, leading to price drops. With long-term holders in the profit zone, the possibility of them holding onto their XRP tokens increases. This shift could provide the necessary stability for XRP’s price to attempt another breakout.

Read more: XRP ETF Explained: What It Is and How It Works

XRP MVRV Long/Short Difference.
XRP MVRV Long/Short Difference. Source: Santiment

XRP’s macro momentum shows mixed signals. While the Realized Profit indicator has recently spiked, suggesting that investors are selling to secure gains, this could put downward pressure on XRP’s price. A surge in profit-taking often counters the bullish sentiment, especially if long-term holders decide to hold off on further selling.

Despite the spike in realized profits, the support from long-term holders could still help balance the market. However, the short-term bearish signals from profit-taking investors may limit the cryptocurrency’s upside potential, leading to traders’ cautious approach as XRP navigates this delicate situation.

XRP Realized Profits
XRP Realized Profits. Source: Santiment

XRP Price Prediction: Finding Strength

XRP is currently priced at $0.62, holding steady above the critical 61.8% Fibonacci retracement line at $0.59. The altcoin is attempting to breach the $0.65 barrier, which aligns with the 78.6% Fib line. This resistance level has kept XRP subdued for six months, and breaking through it is essential for further upward momentum.

The 61.8% Fib line is considered a key support level in bull markets, giving XRP a strong foundation to hold above it. However, the mixed signals from profit-taking and long-term holders may hinder the token’s ability to break through the $0.65 barrier.

Read more: Ripple (XRP) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

XRP Price Analysis.
XRP Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

If broader market cues remain positive, XRP could break past the 78.6% barrier in Q4 2024. Failure to do so could lead to consolidation below $0.65, potentially invalidating the bullish outlook for the altcoin in the near term.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Ethereum Price Recovery Stalls—Bears Keep Price Below $2K

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Ethereum price attempted a recovery wave above the $1,880 level but failed. ETH is now trimming all gains and remains below the $1,880 resistance zone.

  • Ethereum failed to stay above the $1,850 and $1,880 levels.
  • The price is trading below $1,850 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.
  • There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at $1,865 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken).
  • The pair must clear the $1,865 and $1,890 resistance levels to start a decent increase.

Ethereum Price Fails Again

Ethereum price managed to stay above the $1,800 support zone and started a recovery wave, like Bitcoin. ETH was able to climb above the $1,850 and $1,880 resistance levels.

The bulls even pushed the price above the $1,920 resistance zone. However, the bears are active near the $1,950 zone. A high was formed at $1,955 and the price trimmed most gains. There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at $1,865 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD.

A low was formed at $1,781 and the price is now consolidating near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $1,955 swing high to the $1,781 low.

Ethereum price is now trading below $1,850 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. On the upside, the price seems to be facing hurdles near the $1,850 level. The next key resistance is near the $1,865 level and the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $1,955 swing high to the $1,781 low.

Ethereum Price
Source: ETHUSD on TradingView.com

The first major resistance is near the $1,920 level. A clear move above the $1,920 resistance might send the price toward the $1,950 resistance. An upside break above the $1,950 resistance might call for more gains in the coming sessions. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $2,000 resistance zone or even $2,050 in the near term.

Another Decline In ETH?

If Ethereum fails to clear the $1,865 resistance, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $1,800 level. The first major support sits near the $1,780 zone.

A clear move below the $1,780 support might push the price toward the $1,720 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $1,680 support level in the near term. The next key support sits at $1,620.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACDThe MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bearish zone.

Hourly RSIThe RSI for ETH/USD is now below the 50 zone.

Major Support Level – $1,780

Major Resistance Level – $1,865



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Cardano (ADA) Downtrend Deepens—Is a Rebound Possible?

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Cardano price started a recovery wave above the $0.680 zone but failed. ADA is consolidating near $0.650 and remains at risk of more losses.

  • ADA price failed to recover above the $0.70 resistance zone.
  • The price is trading below $0.680 and the 100-hourly simple moving average.
  • There was a break below a connecting bullish trend line with support at $0.6720 on the hourly chart of the ADA/USD pair (data source from Kraken).
  • The pair could start another increase if it clears the $0.70 resistance zone.

Cardano Price Dips Again

In the past few days, Cardano saw a recovery wave from the $0.6350 zone, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. ADA was able to climb above the $0.680 and $0.6880 resistance levels.

However, the bears were active above the $0.70 zone. A high was formed at $0.7090 and the price corrected most gains. There was a move below the $0.650 level. Besides, there was a break below a connecting bullish trend line with support at $0.6720 on the hourly chart of the ADA/USD pair.

A low was formed at $0.6356 and the price is now consolidating losses near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $0.7090 swing high to the $0.6356 low. Cardano price is now trading below $0.680 and the 100-hourly simple moving average.

On the upside, the price might face resistance near the $0.6720 zone or the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $0.7090 swing high to the $0.6356 low. The first resistance is near $0.6950. The next key resistance might be $0.700.

Cardano Price

If there is a close above the $0.70 resistance, the price could start a strong rally. In the stated case, the price could rise toward the $0.7420 region. Any more gains might call for a move toward $0.7650 in the near term.

Another Drop in ADA?

If Cardano’s price fails to climb above the $0.6720 resistance level, it could start another decline. Immediate support on the downside is near the $0.6420 level.

The next major support is near the $0.6350 level. A downside break below the $0.6350 level could open the doors for a test of $0.620. The next major support is near the $0.60 level where the bulls might emerge.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACD – The MACD for ADA/USD is losing momentum in the bearish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for ADA/USD is now below the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $0.6420 and $0.6350.

Major Resistance Levels – $0.6720 and $0.7000.



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XRP Price Under Pressure—New Lows Signal More Trouble Ahead

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Aayush Jindal, a luminary in the world of financial markets, whose expertise spans over 15 illustrious years in the realms of Forex and cryptocurrency trading. Renowned for his unparalleled proficiency in providing technical analysis, Aayush is a trusted advisor and senior market expert to investors worldwide, guiding them through the intricate landscapes of modern finance with his keen insights and astute chart analysis.

From a young age, Aayush exhibited a natural aptitude for deciphering complex systems and unraveling patterns. Fueled by an insatiable curiosity for understanding market dynamics, he embarked on a journey that would lead him to become one of the foremost authorities in the fields of Forex and crypto trading. With a meticulous eye for detail and an unwavering commitment to excellence, Aayush honed his craft over the years, mastering the art of technical analysis and chart interpretation.
As a software engineer, Aayush harnesses the power of technology to optimize trading strategies and develop innovative solutions for navigating the volatile waters of financial markets. His background in software engineering has equipped him with a unique skill set, enabling him to leverage cutting-edge tools and algorithms to gain a competitive edge in an ever-evolving landscape.

In addition to his roles in finance and technology, Aayush serves as the director of a prestigious IT company, where he spearheads initiatives aimed at driving digital innovation and transformation. Under his visionary leadership, the company has flourished, cementing its position as a leader in the tech industry and paving the way for groundbreaking advancements in software development and IT solutions.

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At his core, Aayush is driven by a profound passion for analyzing markets and uncovering profitable opportunities amidst volatility. Whether he’s poring over price charts, identifying key support and resistance levels, or providing insightful analysis to his clients and followers, Aayush’s unwavering dedication to his craft sets him apart as a true industry leader and a beacon of inspiration to aspiring traders around the globe.

In a world where uncertainty reigns supreme, Aayush Jindal stands as a guiding light, illuminating the path to financial success with his unparalleled expertise, unwavering integrity, and boundless enthusiasm for the markets.



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