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Will Cardano Chang Hard Fork Delay Drive ADA Holders to Sell?

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Cardano’s (ADA) price reclaimed $0.38 for the first time since August 2, which resulted from an 18% increase in the last seven days.

Interestingly, this price increase coincides with a disclosure that could drive ADA holders to sell off some of their holdings.

Cardano Holders Set to “Sell the News”

On Friday, August 23, Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson announced on X that the much-anticipated Chang hard fork had been postponed. According to Hoskinson, the development was necessary because some tier-1 centralized exchanges, including Binance, are not ready to upgrade.

“It looks like Binance and a few others need more time to get their houses in order, so the rocket is going to wait on the pad, another epoch for the weather to get better. Next Chang Hard Fork window, September 1,” Hoskinson added.

Following the announcement, IntoTheBlock data shows that ADA holders look prepared to sell off. BeInCrypto found out after examining the order books on the top 20 exchanges.

As shown below, market participants are ready to bid (buy) about 172 million coins. Meanwhile, on the other side of the divide, some participants are looking to sell over 200 million. At the token’s current price, this will amount to nearly $80 million. If the sale goes through, ADA’s price could briefly decline.

Read more: Who Is Charles Hoskinson, the Founder of Cardano?

Cardano Exchange On-chain Market Depth.
Cardano Exchange On-chain Market Depth. Source: IntoTheBlock

The recent price surge has also impacted Cardano’s Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio, a metric that provides insights into holders’ profitability, buying behavior, and the potential for market tops or bottoms. On August 20, ADA’s 30-day MVRV ratio stood at 0.32%, signaling that the average holder was at a loss.

However, as of now, the ratio has climbed to 10.36%, meaning that if all holders sell at the current price, they would turn a profit. While this rise reflects a healthier market, it also puts ADA’s price at risk.

Historically, when the MVRV ratio reaches levels between 12.20% and 18.35%, holders tend to realize profits, leading to a price pullback. If ADA’s value approaches $0.40, a retracement could occur, potentially erasing some of the recent gains.

Cardano 30-Day Market Value to Realized Value Ratio.
Cardano 30-Day Market Value to Realized Value Ratio. Source: Santiment

However, a pseudonymous analyst, XForceGlobal, opined that ADA could be close to its bottom.

“Cardano did an 18,000% run in its last bull run, but it also did one of the strongest pullbacks during the bear market. Structure looks very similar to when $SOL was creating a bottom as well for a 1-2 sequence. Wave 3 targets would be around $3,” he said.

ADA Price Prediction: Rise to $0.42 Still Possible

On the daily chart, ADA has broken above the critical support at $0.31 and the descending trendline, indicating strong bullish momentum. Furthermore, the price, which is $0.39 as press time, trades above the 20 (blue) and 50 (yellow) Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs).

EMAs track the price trends of cryptocurrencies over time and help forecast potential movements. Typically, when the price is above the EMA, it signals a bullish trend, whereas a price below the EMA suggests a bearish outlook.

Given these conditions, ADA appears to be in a bullish phase. If this trend continues, the cryptocurrency could break the $0.40 psychological resistance and target $0.42. However, market participants should be cautious of the lingering death cross.

Read more: Cardano (ADA) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

Cardano Daily Analysis.
Cardano Daily Analysis. Source: TradingView

A death cross occurs when the longer EMA crosses above the shorter one, signaling a bearish trend. Conversely, a golden cross forms when the shorter EMA crosses above the longer EMA.

As seen, Cardano has not yet exited the death cross, suggesting that bearish pressure could still impact the token. If buying momentum fades and bears regain control, ADA’s price could retrace to $0.37.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Top 3 Made in USA Coins to Watch In April

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Made in USA coins continue to try a rebound, with Solana (SOL), RENDER, and Jupiter (JUP) standing out as key names to watch in April. Despite recent price corrections, each of these tokens plays a major role in high-growth areas like DeFi, AI, and blockchain infrastructure.

Solana has seen its price dip, but ecosystem activity remains strong; RENDER is riding the wave of AI demand despite market turbulence; and Jupiter is showing solid usage metrics even as its token struggles. Here’s a closer look at the technical and fundamental setups for each of these standout U.S.-based projects.

Solana (SOL)

Solana has faced a notable price correction over the past week, with its value dropping nearly 13%. If this bearish momentum continues, the token could be on track to retest the critical support level at $120.

A breakdown below that could see SOL sliding further toward the $112 mark.

SOL Price Analysis.
SOL Price Analysis. Source: TradingView.

Despite the recent downturn, Solana remains one of the most relevant Made in USA coins and continues to show impressive usage metrics. PumpFun, for example, generated nearly $9 million in revenue over the past 24 hours, second only to Tether.

After a short period when BNB led the DEX volume race, Solana seems to be regaining traction—its decentralized exchange volume has surged by 128% in just seven days, reaching $18 billion and surpassing both Ethereum and BNB.

If this recovery in momentum persists, SOL could target a move toward the $131 resistance level. A successful breakout there could open the door to further gains toward $136 and potentially $147.

RENDER

RENDER, one of the most prominent U.S.-based cryptocurrencies with a focus on artificial intelligence, has seen its price decline nearly 11% over the past seven days.

This drop reflects the broader correction that has impacted many AI-related tokens in recent months.

However, new developments in the AI infrastructure space may provide a catalyst for a potential rebound, especially as the limitations of centralized systems become clear.

RENDER Price Analysis.
RENDER Price Analysis. Source: TradingView.

If bullish momentum returns to the AI sector, RENDER could look to challenge the resistance at $3.47, and a successful breakout might open the door for a rally toward $4.21.

However, if the current correction deepens, the token could fall to test the $3.14 support level. A breakdown there may trigger further losses, potentially dragging RENDER down to $2.83 or even $2.52—its lowest level in recent weeks.

Jupiter (JUP)

Despite Solana’s recent struggles, Jupiter—its leading DEX aggregator—is demonstrating impressive strength in terms of activity.

In the last 24 hours, Jupiter ranked as the fourth-highest protocol in crypto by fee generation, collecting nearly $2.5 million.

Only Tether, PumpFun, and Circle managed to outperform it, highlighting the platform’s growing relevance within the Solana ecosystem even during periods of broader market weakness.

JUP Price Analysis.
JUP Price Analysis. Source: TradingView.

However, JUP, Jupiter’s native token, hasn’t mirrored this positive momentum. Its price has dropped over 21% in the past week, being one of the worst performers among the biggest Made in USA coins. It has remained below the $0.65 mark for three consecutive weeks.

With JUP now hovering dangerously close to a key support at $0.44, a breakdown could see the token dip below $0.40 for the first time ever.

Still, if market sentiment shifts and momentum returns, JUP could begin climbing again—first testing resistance at $0.54, then potentially moving toward $0.598 and even $0.63 if bullish pressure intensifies.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Cardano (ADA) Whales Hit 2-Year Low as Key Support Retested

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Cardano (ADA) is facing mounting pressure as its price corrects by 10% over the past seven days, continuing a broader downtrend that has kept it trading below the $1 mark for nearly a month. With technical indicators flashing warning signs and large holders exiting their positions, concerns around ADA’s short-term stability are growing.

The recent rejection at higher resistance levels and a strong directional trend signal suggest that bearish momentum is far from over. As the $0.64 support level is tested once again, ADA’s next move could determine whether a rebound is possible—or if further downside is ahead.

Cardano ADX Shows The Downtrend Is Very Strong

Cardano’s Average Directional Index (ADX) is currently at 40.19, rising sharply from 15.83 just four days ago. This steep increase suggests a rapid strengthening in the trend’s momentum.

Given that ADA is currently in a downtrend, the rising ADX indicates that bearish momentum is intensifying and the current downward move is gaining traction.

ADA ADX.
ADA ADX. Source: TradingView.

The ADX is a trend strength indicator that measures how strong a trend is, regardless of its direction. It ranges from 0 to 100, with readings below 20 typically indicating a weak or non-existent trend, while values above 25 suggest a strong trend is in place.

Cardano’s ADX climbing above 40 confirms that the current downtrend is active and becoming stronger. If this trend continues, it may point to further downside pressure unless a shift in momentum begins to build from the bulls.

ADA Whales Dropped To Their Lowest Level Since February 2023

The number of Cardano whales—wallets holding between 1 million and 10 million ADA—has dropped to 2,406, down from 2,421 just four days ago.

This decline brings the whale count to its lowest level since February 2023, marking a potentially meaningful shift in large-holder behavior. These movements are worth paying attention to, as changes in whale holdings often precede broader market trends.

Tracking whales is important because these large holders can significantly influence price action through their buying or selling decisions. A decline in whale numbers can signal reduced confidence or capital rotation into other assets.

Addresses Holding Between 1 Million and 10 Million ADA.
Addresses Holding Between 1 Million and 10 Million ADA. Source: Santiment.

In Cardano’s case, the drop suggests that some major players may be exiting or reducing exposure, which could add downward pressure to ADA’s price.

If this trend continues, it could weaken investor sentiment and make it harder for ADA to recover in the short term.

Can Cardano Sustain The $0.64 Support Again?

Cardano price recently tested the support level at $0.64 and managed to hold, showing that buyers are still defending that zone. This support has become a key line in the sand for ADA’s short-term outlook.

If the current downtrend is reversed and bullish momentum picks up, the next upside target would be the resistance at $0.69. A breakout above that level could open the door for a push toward $0.77.

ADA Price Analysis.
ADA Price Analysis. Source: TradingView.

Should the rally continue with strength, ADA could aim for $1.02—marking a return above the $1 level for the first time since early March.

However, the $0.64 support remains a critical level to watch. If Cardano tests it again and fails to hold, it could indicate weakening buyer conviction.

A breakdown below $0.64 would likely send ADA toward the next support at $0.58. This would confirm a continuation of the downtrend and possibly trigger further selling pressure.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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This is Why PumpSwap Brings Pump.fun To the Next Level

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Since launching PumpSwap, token launchpad Pump.fun has resumed its position as a top-level protocol by fees and revenue. It saw over $2.62 billion in volume in less than two weeks, signifying high market interest.

Nonetheless, the meme coin sector as a whole has been more volatile than usual lately. PumpSwap is an attractive new option, but it still needs to stand the test of time.

Pump.fun Surges with PumpSwap

Pump.fun, a prominent meme coin creation platform, recently suffered some difficulties in the market. Facing lawsuits and criticism from the industry, the platform’s revenue had been declining in 2025. However, since launching PumpSwap, Pump.fun’s income has rebounded, making it one of the largest protocols by fees and revenue.

Pump.fun Ranking by Fees and Revenue
Pump.fun Ranking by Fees and Revenue. Source: DefiLlama.

PumpSwap is a decentralized exchange on Solana’s blockchain, and it has grown very quickly since its launch less than two weeks ago. It has already managed over $2.62 billion in trade volume, although its daily volume fell over the weekend. Pump.fun’s cofounder spoke highly about PumpSwap, calling it a “crucial step that will help grow the ecosystem.”

PumpSwap Trade Volume
PumpSwap Trade Volume. Source: Dune.

Pump.fun’s overall revenues were declining before it launched PumpSwap, and they have since jumped back up. However, it’s important to not overstate the new exchange’s success. The exchange’s total fees collected have skyrocketed compared to Pump.fun, but the actual revenue growth has been comparatively small.

Pump Fees and Revenues
Pump Fees and Revenues. Source: DefiLlama.

Still, these low fees also have significant advantages. Demand seems to be drying up in the meme coin sector, but Pump.fun faces stiff competition in the form of firms like Raydium, using low fees as a competitive edge. It has also promised things like revenue sharing with token creators to promote ecosystem growth.

Ultimately, the meme coin market as a whole is full of uncertainty. PumpSwap has been able to keep Pump.fun competitive as a top-level platform in this space, giving it a welcome reprieve. The real challenge will come in determining long-term viability.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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