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Will Bitcoin (BTC) Price Rally to $64,500 or Drop to $49,500?

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The Bitcoin (BTC) market is currently giving off mixed signals. On-chain data indicates stability and caution, making it unclear whether the coin is charting its way toward the $64,500 high or eyeing the $49,500 low.

This piece explores these on-chain metrics, what they mean, and what investors should look for. 

Bitcoin Holders at Crossroads

The first key metric to examine is Bitcoin’s Net Unrealized Profit and Loss (NUPL)m, which gauges overall investor sentiment and profitability. Currently, the NUPL stands at 0.45, indicating that if investors sold their coins at current market prices, they would, on average, realize a 44% profit compared to the price at which they last acquired their coins.

This level reflects a moderately positive sentiment in the market.

Bitcoin’s Net Unrealized Profit and Loss
Bitcoin’s Net Unrealized Profit and Loss. Source: CryptoQuant

However, CryptoQuant reports that BTC’s current NUPL value suggests holders are hesitant to sell. This anxiety stems from uncertainty around the upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) release, potential 50 basis point interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, and the forthcoming US presidential elections.

Despite this, many BTC long-term holders are displaying strong HODLing behavior. This is reflected in the coin’s Binary Coin Days Destroyed (BCD) metric, which indicates that long-term holders are not moving their coins.

Read more: Where To Trade Bitcoin Futures: A Comprehensive Guide

Bitcoin Binary Coin Days Destroyed
Bitcoin Binary Coin Days Destroyed. Source: CryptoQuant

At 0.28 at the time of writing, this metric reflects confidence in Bitcoin’s performance and market stability, as holders feel no need to move or sell their coins.

A combination of BTC’s NUPL and BCD points to a clear sentiment: investors are anxious about potential price drops, yet the fear of missing out on future gains keeps them from selling. 

BTC Price Prediction: A Rally Above $60,000 or a Decline Toward $49,000?

In a note to clients, Markus Thielen, founder of 10X Research, warned that the uncertainty around the US presidential election, CPI, and the FOMC meeting will majorly determine Bitcoin price targets

“A lower CPI reading could also provide a temporary boost to positive momentum. However, with the FOMC meeting expected to introduce further uncertainty next week and the US election outcome still uncertain after a possible surge of optimism for Trump (Tuesday debate), Bitcoin may continue searching for a more robust support level to mount a more significant rally toward year-end,” Thielen wrote.

Mati Greenspan, the founder & CEO of Quantum Economics, takes a more negative stance. The expert believes that it is too early to think about new highs.

“Bitcoin’s price action has been in a sideways chop for more than half a year now, and there’s no telling when it might break out. Ultimately, this sideways movement is good for Bitcoin adoption as price stability can be a key driver for growth and reliability,” Greenspan told BeInCrypto.

If macro trends are favorable, an uptick in BTC’s demand will push its coin toward the $64,520 resistance level. If it crosses above this level, the leading coin may target $68,599.

Read more: 5 Best Platforms To Buy Bitcoin Mining Stocks After 2024 Halving

Bitcoin Daily Analysis
Bitcoin Daily Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, if bearish macro trends prevail, Bitcoin’s price could fall toward the August 5 low of $49,516.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Binance Managed 94% of All Crypto Airdrops and Staking Rewards

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A new report shows that Binance almost has a monopoly in the CEX market in terms of crypto airdrop distribution and staking rewards. In 2024, the exchange received $2.6 billion of a total of $2.7 billion in rewards, amounting to 94% of the entire market segment.

In an exclusive press release shared with BeInCrypto, Binance also revealed that it’s making substantial changes to its airdrop services to improve user experience and make participation easier.

Binance Leads the Market in Crypto Airdrops

Binance, the world’s largest crypto exchange, has become the go-to platform for airdrops and staking rewards. It launched the HODLer airdrop program less than a year ago, providing many new projects with a comprehensive platform to reward early adopters.

In the past year, the exchange has become synonymous with the latest airdrops, as most users are accessing their rewards through the platform.

Exchanges with Most Launchpool Rewards and Airdrops in 2024
Exchanges with Most Launchpool Rewards and Airdrops in 2024. Source: CoinMarketCap

Based on this impressive performance in the airdrop sector, Binance has substantially upgraded a few of its services. The platform has revamped its Launchpool and BNB Earn pages, making it easier for users to both track and participate in airdrops.

“With these upgrades, we’re making it easier than ever for users to unlock the full potential of BNB and participate in high-quality token launches. The redesigned Binance Launchpool and BNB pages reflect our commitment to user education, simplicity, and maximizing rewards,” said Jeff Li, VP of Product at Binance.

The updated BNB page will give Binance users key benefits, such as real-time information on airdrops across its platforms, including Launchpool, Megadrop, and HODLer Airdrops.

Users will also see features like trading fee discounts, VIP perks, and a historical rewards section. These improvements are designed to help the firm maintain its significant dominance while continuing to focus on integrity.

Hopefully, these improvements will allow the firm to maintain its significant dominance while maintaining its usual integrity. Last month, Binance Research identified some systemic problems with airdrops in general, and the exchange seems particularly concerned with its reputation.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Pi Network Price Falls To Record New Low Amid Weak Inflows

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Pi Network (PI) has experienced a significant downtrend recently, with price declines that have left many holders facing losses. 

The altcoin has failed to break free from this negative momentum, and the market conditions continue to worsen. As a result, investors are losing confidence, and the price may continue to drop further.

Pi Network Continues To Suffer

The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) continues to show bearish signs, remaining well below the zero line. This indicates that the network is suffering from outflows, meaning that investors are moving their funds out of Pi Network. Despite a bullish start, Pi failed to sustain interest, leading many holders to sell off their positions.

The outflow trend is concerning for investors, as the lack of positive momentum suggests a prolonged downtrend. The market sentiment remains bearish, with sellers outweighing buyers. As the CMF stays in the negative zone, it signals that Pi Network’s price could struggle to find stability in the short term.

PI Network CMF
PI Network CMF. Source: TradingView

The Ichimoku Cloud, a widely used technical indicator, is hovering well above the candlesticks, signaling that the bearish trend is gaining strength. This indicates that there is little upward momentum in the market, and Pi Network is likely to face more downward pressure. 

Additionally, broader market conditions are still negative, which suggests that Pi Network may fail to recover in the immediate future. With bearish technical indicators and a lack of support from investors, the outlook for Pi Network remains grim for now.

PI Network Ichimoku Cloud
PI Network Ichimoku Cloud. Source: TradingView

PI Price Hits A New Low

Pi Network is currently priced at $0.61, having formed a new all-time low of $0.60 after dropping by nearly 14% over the last 24 hours. The altcoin continues to struggle under the weight of negative sentiment and is not showing signs of reversal in the near term.

Based on the ongoing outflows and bearish technical indicators, Pi Network will likely continue its decline. It could fall further to $0.50, potentially forming new all-time lows. The current market conditions suggest that recovery is unlikely without a significant shift in sentiment.

PI Network Price Analysis.
PI Network Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, if Pi Network can bounce off the $0.60 level, it might regain some support and climb back to $0.87. This would help recover some of the recent losses and potentially give the altcoin another chance at a bullish move. But, without a strong catalyst, it may struggle to break through the resistance levels.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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TRUMP Token Hits Record Low Due To Liberation Day Tariffs

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TRUMP token has faced a significant downturn, failing to recover after a recent decline. The altcoin’s price has been further pressured by the announcement of US President Donald Trump’s Liberation Day Tariffs. 

As a result, bearish sentiment has grown, leading traders to capitalize on the negative market conditions.

Trump’s Announcement Took A Toll

The funding rate for TRUMP turned negative over the last 24 hours, signaling increased bearish activity. Traders are shifting to short contracts, betting that the price will decline further. This shift in sentiment follows the announcement of the tariffs, which, despite being a policy move, had a negative impact on TRUMP’s price.

This negative market reaction highlights traders’ skepticism about the future prospects of TRUMP. While the tariff announcement was meant to stimulate market reactions, it instead spurred fear, driving a wave of sell-offs. 

TRUMP Funding Rate.
TRUMP Funding Rate. Source: Coinglass

Looking at the broader momentum, technical indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) reveal that TRUMP is far from recovering its recent losses. The RSI remains firmly in the bearish zone, well below the neutral 50.0 mark. With no signs of reversal or bullish momentum, the token is likely to continue facing declines in the short term.

The oversold conditions are not yet reached either, indicating there is still room for further declines. With the RSI not showing any substantial recovery signals, the current downtrend could persist until market sentiment shifts or a new catalyst sparks renewed interest in the token.

TRUMP RSI
TRUMP RSI. Source: TradingView

TRUMP Price Suffers 

TRUMP’s price hit a new all-time low of $8.97 before recovering slightly to $9.29. Over the last 24 hours, the token has seen a 10% decline. This drop has added to its month-long 45% slide, as the token lost crucial support levels, including $12.57 and $10.29.

The ongoing bearish trend suggests that TRUMP could continue to slide, with the next key support around $8.00. If the broader market conditions remain weak and the bearish sentiment continues to dominate, the price could dip further, reaching new lows before any potential recovery.

TRUMP Price Analysis.
TRUMP Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, if TRUMP manages to reclaim $10.29 as support, it could mark the beginning of a recovery attempt. Successfully breaching $12.57 could invalidate the current bearish outlook and signal a potential rally, but this would require a significant shift in investor sentiment and market conditions.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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