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Why XRP Price May Crash 21% in October

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As the crypto market gears up for its traditional “Uptober” surge, XRP’s participation remains uncertain. The threat of an SEC appeal against the July 2023 ruling in favor of Ripple could result in a double-digit decline in XRP’s price.

This analysis delves into what may happen.

Ripple May Not Rally in October

In a post on X, FOX Business journalist Eleanor Terrett noted that a former SEC lawyer informed her that the regulator plans to appeal Judge Analisa Torres’ July 2023 ruling on Ripple’s programmatic sales of XRP. 

In July 2023, Judge Torres ruled that Ripple’s programmatic sales of XRP did not amount to unregistered securities offerings. The SEC filed a Motion for Interlocutory Appeal in August of the same year, seeking the court’s approval to challenge the ruling. 

However, Judge Torres denied the motion in October 2023, asking the regulator to wait until the final judgment before filing an appeal. The final judgment was issued on August 7, 2024, with the judge levying a $125 million penalty against Ripple Labs for selling its XRP token without proper registration.

According to Terret, the regulator believes the ruling is incorrect “and should be appealed.”

All Rests With the SEC

The SEC has until October 7 to file an appeal, a decision which may result in XRP shedding its recent gains. In fact, the token’s technical setup suggests that the talks of this SEC appeal may have already prompted some investors to start selling their XRP holdings.

The asset’s negative Balance of Power (BoP) supports this outlook. This indicator, which measures the strength of buyers versus sellers in a given market over a specific period, is below zero at press time, at -0.03. Sellers have more control over the market when an asset’s BoP is negative.

Read more: Everything You Need To Know About Ripple vs SEC

xrp balance of power
XRP Balance of Power. Source: TradingView

Further, the readings from XRP’s Parabolic Stop and Reverse (SAR) indicator do not inspire much confidence. At press time, the dots of this indicator rest above the token’s price, signaling a downward momentum in the market.

It suggests that XRP’s price may soon initiate a downtrend, and traders view it as a signal to sell their holdings or avoid taking long positions.

xrp parabolic sar
XRP Parabolic Stop and Reverse. Source: TradingView

XRP Price Prediction: A 21% Drop Is Possible

XRP may buck the anticipated October uptrend if the SEC decides to file an appeal. The price decline may already be underway, with market sentiment already turning bearish.

If selling pressure wanes further, XRP’s price may drop by 21% to trade at $0.46.

Read more: 10 Best Altcoin Exchanges In 2024

xrp price prediction
XRP Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, this bearish projection will be invalidated if the bulls re-emerge and buying activity gains momentum. It may send XRP’s price up toward $0.74.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Bitcoin Price Drops Below $80,000 Amid Heavy Weekend Selloff

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Bitcoin fell below the $80,000 mark on Sunday as investor sentiment weakened across global markets. The move came alongside a spike in daily liquidations, which totaled $590 million. 

Heightened anxiety over former President Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs and escalating geopolitical tensions weighed heavily on risk assets.

More Traders are Shorting Bitcoin After the Worst Q1 In a Decade

The long-short ratio for Bitcoin dropped to 0.89, with short positions now accounting for nearly 53% of activity. The shift reflects growing skepticism about Bitcoin’s short-term direction.

Traditional markets also suffered sharp losses. The Nasdaq 100, S&P 500, and Dow Jones all entered correction territory last week, posting their worst weekly performance since 2020.

Bitcoin Long-Short Ratio on Sunday
Bitcoin Long-Short Ratio on Sunday, April 6. Source: Coinglass

Bitcoin closed the first quarter with a loss of 11.7%, making it the weakest Q1 since 2014. 

The broader crypto market lost 2.45% on Sunday, reducing total market capitalization to $2.59 trillion. Bitcoin remains the dominant asset, holding 62% of the market share. Ethereum follows with 8%.

Sunday’s selloff triggered $252.79 million in crypto derivatives liquidations. Long positions made up the bulk of that figure at $207 million. Ethereum traders accounted for about $72 million in long liquidations alone.

Bitcoin’s price remains closely tied to shifts in global liquidity, often reflecting broader macro trends. With U.S. markets set to open Monday, this weekend’s activity signals continued volatility ahead.

bitcoin price chart
Bitcoin Weekly Price Chart. Source: TradingView

Investors may face more pressure after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned that Trump’s tariff plans could push inflation higher while slowing economic growth.

That combination raises the risk of stagflation, a situation where policy tools become less effective. Efforts to stimulate the economy can worsen inflation, while measures to control prices can limit growth.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Avalanche Price Holds Under $20, Low Selling Can’t Lift Price

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Avalanche (AVAX) price has been unable to reclaim the $20.00 support level after falling through it in the recent correction. The altcoin is now trading well below that key mark despite a noticeable decline in selling pressure. 

However, bullish momentum has not been strong enough to counter prevailing bearish cues.

Avalanche Investors Are Not Selling

Analyzing the active address profitability reveals that less than 3% of current participants are in profit. This data highlights a crucial detail: most AVAX holders are unwilling to sell at a loss. Instead, they appear to be HODLing in anticipation of a recovery. This lack of selling is a bullish indicator.

The patience shown by investors during this downturn could help Avalanche establish a stronger base once broader market conditions stabilize. As fewer holders are actively selling, downward pressure on AVAX’s price is reduced. Given the right market catalysts, this opens a window for the altcoin to bounce back.

Avalanche Supply Distribution
Avalanche Addresses by Profitability. Source: IntoTheBlock

Despite low selling activity, the technical indicators continue to signal weakness. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped back into the bearish zone after a brief recovery attempt. This suggests a lack of buying pressure and continued uncertainty among investors.

Market support has been lacking for AVAX in recent sessions, preventing a meaningful rebound. The altcoin is facing consistent resistance and has failed to generate strong upward momentum.

The RSI trend reinforces that the macro environment is still leaning bearish, keeping Avalanche subdued.

Avalanche RSI
Avalanche RSI. Source: TradingView

AVAX Price Is Vulnerable

Avalanche is currently priced at $17.19, marking a 25% decline over the past two weeks. The sharp drop came after AVAX failed to break through the $22.87 resistance level. This rejection led to the current consolidation below $20.00, with bulls unable to reverse the trend.

Given the existing market cues, Avalanche may struggle to reclaim $18.27 as a support level. If the altcoin fails to secure this level, it risks dropping further to $16.25. This would deepen investor losses and delay any chances of recovery.

Avalanche Price Analysis.
Avalanche Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

On the upside, a key shift would occur if AVAX can flip $19.86 into support. This would suggest strengthening bullish sentiment and open the door for a rally toward $22.87. Reclaiming this level could allow Avalanche to recover some recent losses and restore investor confidence.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Justin Sun Claims First Digital Trust Fraud Exceeds Impact of FTX

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TRON founder Justin Sun is intensifying his accusations against First Digital Trust (FDT), the issuer of the FDUSD stablecoin, who he claims embezzled $500 million of its clients’ funds.

In an April 5 post on X, Sun compared FDT to the now-defunct FTX exchange, claiming the FDT case is “ten times worse.” FTX filed for bankruptcy in November 2022 after a bank run revealed an $8 billion shortfall in its assets.

Justin Sun Compares First Digital Trust to FTX

Sun argued that while FTX misused user funds, the exchange at least maintained an internal system that portrayed the activity as pledged loans.

He explained that FTX used assets like FTT, SRM, and MAPS tokens as collateral in transactions that, on the surface, had some structure. In contrast, Sun claims First Digital Trust outright stole funds without user consent or any internal pledge mechanism.

“FDT simply siphoned off $456m from TUSD’s custodial funds without client authorization or knowledge, and booked as loans to a dubious third party Dubai company without any collaterals,” Sun claimed.

The Tron founder further asserted that the now-convicted FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried (SBF) indeed misused funds. However, Sun noted much of that capital went into investments in reputable firms such as Robinhood and AI company Anthropic.

On the other hand, Sun alleged that FDT diverted user assets into private entities for personal gain without any meaningful investment.

Sun also took aim at FDT CEO Vincent Chok Zhuo, criticizing his apparent indifference following the exposure of the alleged misconduct.

According to him, Chok has shown no intention of taking responsibility. This contrasts with SBF, who took steps to recover user assets and cooperated with authorities.

“Vincent Chok has acted deceptively and maliciously, pretending nothing happened when exposed,” Sun stated.

Considering this development, the TRON founder urged Hong Kong authorities to take swift action. He called for a response similar to that of US regulators during the FTX collapse.

Sun emphasized that Hong Kong’s reputation as a global financial hub is at risk and called for immediate enforcement to prevent further damage.

“Hong Kong must act like its US counterparts—swiftly, decisively, and effectively. We cannot allow the fraudsters continue its pyramid scheme against the public,” the crypto entrepreneur concluded.

To support investigations, Sun has launched a $50 million bounty program aimed at exposing the alleged misconduct. He also met with Hong Kong lawmaker Johnny Wu to discuss potential regulatory action.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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