Market

US Election Day Boosts Bitcoin to $70,000: Further Rally Ahead?

Published

5 months ago

November 5, 2024

Coin2049 Newsletter

Bitcoin’s (BTC) price climbed to $70,000 today ahead of the US presidential election, indicating the connection between major political events and cryptocurrency movements. Historically, political uncertainty and significant elections have influenced crypto market sentiment and volatility.

As the election begins, on-chain analysis provides insights into potential future price movements. Analysts are also weighing in on the implications of the election outcome for Bitcoin, with opinions varying on whether the cryptocurrency could continue its upward trend or face downward pressure. Here are all the details.

Demand Spike for Bitcoin Echoes 2016 and 2020 Trends

According to Glassnode, the Bitcoin price increase comes amid a drop in the sell-side risk ratio. This metric shows whether investors are confident about a bullish performance or if conviction is low.

High values in this metric indicate periods when significant amounts of value are being realized, often correlating with increased market volatility. Such periods are commonly seen during the late stages of bull markets.

Conversely, low values suggest periods with minimal value realization and reduced market volatility. This can also signal macro market bottoms, accumulation phases, and environments with lower sell-side pressure and risk, potentially indicating the onset of future bullish trends.

Bitcoin selling pressure reduces — Bitcoin Sell-Side Risk Ratio. Source: Glassnode

Therefore, the rise in Bitcoin’s price indicates that selling pressure is low, and the US elections could be bullish for the cryptocurrency.

Regarding this development, Juan Pellicer, Senior Researcher at IntoTheBlock, opined that a Donald Trump win would be good for BTC and the crypto market at large.

“The market appears primed for further upward movement, with the US election serving as a potential catalyst. Sentiment suggests that Trump’s more favorable stance on cryptocurrencies could provide the momentum needed for a decisive breakthrough to a new all-time high.” Pellicer told BeInCrypto

Meanwhile, CryptoQuant’s weekly report says that BTC is at a favorable price level ahead of the elections. It noted that the cryptocurrency is currently not overvalued. Hence, if demand increases, Bitcoin’s price might rally post-election.

For instance, BTC prices rallied by 22% between election day and December 2012. In 2016, it climbed by 37%, while the cryptocurrency saw a 98% increase in 2020.

Therefore, if past performance influences future trends, the BTC might reach a new all-time high before the end of the year.

Data from the on-chain data provider also showed that demand for Bitcoin has increased. This is similar to the trends of 2016 and 2020. Hence, if sustained, the Bitcoin price might climb well above $70,000 soon.

Bitcoin demand rises — Bitcoin Apparent Demand. Source: CryptoQuant

BTC Price Prediction: $73,000 Possible

On the 1-hour chart, Bitcoin has attempted to break out on four different occasions. However, each time that happened since October 31, the coin faced rejection. However, today, the trend has changed as bulls pushed the cryptocurrency above $68,336.

This breakout has ensured that Bitcoin’s price has risen to $70,288. Furthermore, the Bull Bear Power (BBP) shows that bulls are in control. If sustained, Bitcoin’s price might rally much higher in the coming days.

Bitcoin US election day price analysis — Bitcoin 1-Hour Analysis. Source: TradingView

If bullish momentum persists, Bitcoin could potentially climb to $73,623 ahead of the announcement of the US election results. However, should BTC face rejection at resistance levels, this forecast might be invalidated, with the cryptocurrency possibly declining to $67,405.

The post US Election Day Boosts Bitcoin to $70,000: Further Rally Ahead? appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Market

Wormhole (W) Jumps 10%—But Is a Pullback Coming?

Published

59 minutes ago

April 3, 2025

Coin2049 Newsletter

Wormhole (W) surged nearly 12% on Thursday after the project unveiled its official product roadmap. The project’s one-year anniversary has sparked speculative interviews.

However, technical data shows buyers and sellers locked in a fierce battle, as momentum indicators suggest a weakening trend. The DMI, Ichimoku Cloud, and EMA structures all reflect market indecision, with no clear direction confirmed just yet.

Wormhole DMI Chart Shows Market Indecision

Wormhole’s DMI chart shows its ADX (Average Directional Index) has dropped to 21.69 from 27.59 just a day earlier, signaling that the recent trend may be losing strength.

The ADX is a key indicator used to measure the strength—not the direction—of a trend. Generally, values below 20 suggest a weak or non-existent trend, while values above 25 indicate a strong trend.

With ADX now hovering near the threshold, it suggests that the bullish momentum seen in recent days could be fading.

Looking deeper, the +DI (Positive Directional Indicator) has fallen to 19.96 after peaking near 24 earlier, though it had surged from 9.68 the previous day.

Meanwhile, the -DI (Negative Directional Indicator) climbed to 18.27 after dropping to 15.21 earlier, following a sharp decline from 30.18 yesterday. This narrowing gap between +DI and -DI—combined with a weakening ADX—suggests uncertainty and potential indecision in price action.

With a $137.64 million token unlock on the horizon, this shift could hint at a cooling bullish impulse and the risk of renewed selling pressure if supply outweighs demand.

Ichimoku Cloud Shows Mixed Signals

Wormhole’s Ichimoku Cloud chart shows a mixed outlook. Price action is attempting to break through resistance but still faces notable headwinds.

The Tenkan-sen (blue line) has recently flattened and is closely aligned with the Kijun-sen (red line), signaling indecision or a potential pause in momentum.

Typically, when these lines are flat and close together, it indicates consolidation rather than a clear trend continuation or reversal.

Meanwhile, the Kumo (cloud) remains thick and red ahead, reflecting strong overhead resistance and a bearish long-term bias.

The price is hovering near the lower edge of the cloud but has yet to make a decisive move above it—suggesting that bullish momentum is tentative at best.

For a confirmed trend reversal, a clean break above the cloud with bullish crossovers would be needed. Until then, the chart points to a market still trying to find direction, especially ahead of a major token unlock event that could further impact sentiment and price action.

Will Wormhole Reclaim $0.10 In April?

Wormhole, which builds solutions around interoperable bridges, continues to see its EMA setup reflect a bearish structure. Short-term moving averages are still positioned below the longer-term ones, an indication that downward pressure remains dominant.

However, one of the short-term EMAs has started to curve upward, hinting at a possible shift in momentum as buyers begin to step in. This early uptick could signal the beginning of a trend reversal, though confirmation is still pending.

If bullish momentum gains traction, Wormhole may attempt to break the nearby resistance at $0.089. A successful breakout could open the door for a move toward higher resistance levels at $0.108 and even $0.136.

Conversely, failure to clear $0.089 could reinforce bearish control, pushing the price back to test support at $0.079.

A break below that level could expose W to further downside toward $0.076, $0.073, and potentially below $0.07—marking uncharted territory for the token.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Ripple Shifts $1B in XRP Amid Growing Bearish Pressure

Published

2 hours ago

April 3, 2025

Coin2049 Newsletter

XRP is under pressure, down nearly 6% in the past 24 hours and teetering just above the $2 mark as bearish momentum builds. A $1.02 billion unlock from Ripple’s escrow has sparked fresh concerns about oversupply, with tokens moved to operational wallets possibly poised for distribution.

At the same time, network activity has collapsed 87% since mid-March and technical indicators like DMI and EMA lines suggest growing downside risk. With weakening trend strength and fading demand, XRP may struggle to hold key support levels unless a catalyst revives bullish sentiment.

Ripple Wallet Activity Sparks Fears

Onchain data shows that Ripple has unlocked 500 million XRP—worth around $1.02 billion—from its escrow account.

The tokens were moved from the “Ripple (27)” escrow address to two operational wallets, “Ripple (12)” and “Ripple (13),” potentially positioning them for distribution or sale.

While the escrow account still holds another 500 million XRP, the movement of such a large amount into accessible wallets often raises concerns about increased market supply. If Ripple sells a portion of these tokens, it could create short-term selling pressure on XRP’s price.

From a technical standpoint, XRP’s DMI chart is flashing bearish signals. The ADX, which measures trend strength, has sharply declined to 26.68 from 42.45 just two days ago, suggesting the recent trend is weakening.

Meanwhile, the +DI has dropped to 12.91, down from 22 yesterday—indicating a decline in bullish momentum. At the same time, the -DI has surged to 27.43 from 15.64, pointing to rising bearish pressure.

This shift in directional strength, combined with the large token unlock, suggests XRP may face further downside unless demand quickly absorbs the incoming supply.

XRP Network Activity Collapses 87%

XRP’s network activity surged to record highs in March, with 7-day active addresses reaching an all-time peak of 1.22 million on March 18.

However, that momentum quickly faded, with the number now plummeting to just 158,000—an 87% drop in less than three weeks.

This dramatic reversal suggests that the recent spike in engagement may have been short-lived or event-driven rather than indicative of sustained adoption or growing user demand.

7-Day XRP Active Addresses. Source: Santiment.

Tracking 7-day active addresses is a key on-chain metric, offering insight into how frequently a token’s network is being used. High activity can signal strong user interest and utility, often aligning with price support or rallies.

On the other hand, sharp declines in active addresses—like what XRP is now experiencing—can signal waning demand, decreasing network usage, and potential selling pressure.

With such a steep drop in activity, XRP’s price may struggle to find an upside unless new catalysts reignite user engagement.

XRP Faces Strong Downtrend, But Eyes Rebound If Key Levels Break

XRP’s EMA structure clearly reflects a strong ongoing downtrend, with short-term moving averages positioned well below the long-term ones and a wide gap between them—signaling persistent bearish momentum.

Unless bulls step in soon, XRP price may be on track to test support around $1.90, a key level that has held in the past.

XRP Price Analysis. Source: TradingView.

A break below it could expose the asset to further downside toward $1.77.

However, if XRP manages to reverse the current trend and regain upward momentum, it could climb to challenge resistance at $2.06.

A successful breakout above that level might pave the way for a continued rally toward $2.22.

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XRP Battle Between Bulls And Bears Hinges On $1.97 – What To Expect

Published

3 hours ago

April 3, 2025

Coin2049 Newsletter

The crypto market watches with bated breath as XRP teeters at $1.97, a battleground where bullish conviction clashes with bearish determination. After a retreat from recent highs, the digital asset now faces a critical test.

The current standoff mirrors the broader tug-of-war in crypto markets, where sentiment shifts rapidly and key price levels dictate the next major move. For XRP, $1.97 isn’t just another number; it’s a line in the sand. A decisive hold here could reignite upward momentum, while a breakdown may embolden the bears.

Market Sentiment: Fear, Greed, Or Indecision?

According to Grumlin Mystery, a well-known crypto analyst, XRP is likely to experience a further downside in the near future, potentially dropping to $1.96. In his March 30th post on X, he highlighted that a decrease in liquidity within the crypto market is playing a crucial role in weakening XRP’s price stability, driven by the impact of US tariffs and the implementation of Trump’s policy changes.

Grumlin pointed out that restrictive trade policies and economic uncertainty have led to a slowdown in capital flow into riskier assets like cryptocurrencies. With reduced liquidity, market participants have less buying power, making it easier for bears to push prices lower. He warned that if these economic conditions persist, XRP could struggle to find strong support, and a drop below $1.96 could trigger further declines.

This drying up of liquidity has allowed sellers to gain the upper hand, exerting downward pressure on prices. As a result, XRP’s ability to hold support at $1.96 remains uncertain, and unless market conditions improve, a deeper correction could be on the horizon.

XRP

Grumlin Mystery further elaborated that a sharp change in Trump’s rhetoric regarding tariffs remains highly unpredictable, making it difficult to gauge its full impact on the financial markets, including cryptocurrencies. While many initially believed that Trump’s stance would be a major positive catalyst for the crypto market, the reality appears to be more complex.

The analyst emphasized that market uncertainty is increasing as traders struggle to anticipate the next move in U.S. economic policy. If Trump maintains or intensifies his tariff approach, it could further tighten liquidity conditions, making it even harder for XRP to sustain bullish momentum.

Possible Scenarios For XRP

If buyers successfully defend the $1.96 level, XRP could see renewed upside momentum. A bounce from this support zone might trigger a rally toward $2.64, where the next resistance lies. A breakout above this level raises the potential to $2.92 or even $3.4, confirming a bullish recovery. Increased trading volume and improving market sentiment would be key indicators of this scenario playing out.

Sellers’ failure to maintain control and XRP’s failure to hold above $1.96 may cause a sharper decline. In this case, the next critical support levels to watch would be $1.70 and $1.34. Breaking below these levels could expose the asset to more losses to $0.93 or lower.

XRP

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