Solana has faced significant price corrections recently, erasing gains made in mid-March. The altcoin is currently trading at $116, reflecting a 19% loss over the past ten days. 

As the price continues to struggle, many investors are losing patience, pushing them to sell their holdings and exit the market.

Solana Losses Mount

The Realized Profit/Loss (RPL) indicator shows that Solana has been underperforming for most of February and March. While there were brief moments of profit for short-term holders (STHs), the overall trend has been bearish.

These losses have contributed to mounting frustration among investors, leading many to consider selling their positions. The selling pressure is keeping the market from recovering as more and more investors choose to cut their losses.

As a result, investor sentiment has weakened, with many unwilling to hold onto their positions in the face of continued price declines. The Realized Profit/Loss data indicates that, in addition to the selling pressure from STHs, the broader market is also showing signs of caution. 

The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator also shows a concerning trend for Solana. Currently, at a monthly low, the CMF reflects that outflows are exceeding inflows, indicating that investors are pulling their money out of Solana. This lack of buying pressure is detrimental to the altcoin’s recovery prospects, as the outflows signal reduced confidence in the asset.

With the CMF in negative territory, Solana’s ability to rally appears limited, as the overall market sentiment remains subdued. The lack of investor conviction is further exacerbating the downward momentum.

SOL Price Could Witness Further Decline

At the time of writing, Solana’s price is at $116, and it is struggling to recover from the recent losses. Despite the slight uptick observed in the past 24 hours, the altcoin’s recovery remains uncertain. With investor confidence at a low, the price may continue to struggle in the short term.

The aforementioned factors suggest that Solana could dip further to $109, extending investors’ losses. If the bearish trend continues, SOL could test this support level before any potential signs of recovery emerge. This price action would keep investors on edge and delay any sustained rally.

However, if Solana can reclaim $118 as a support floor, it could spark a reversal. A breach of this level would push the altcoin toward $123, and flipping it into support would significantly bolster the bullish thesis. In this scenario, Solana could break through resistance levels and rise toward $135.

As Bitcoin (BTC) continues to dominate with increasing market share, many analysts believe Q2 of 2025 will be the ideal time to accumulate altcoins.

The altcoin market capitalization has dropped 40% from its all-time high (ATH), falling below $1 trillion. Many altcoin investors are facing losses. However, analysts believe this could be the setup phase for an upcoming altcoin season.

Will Q2 See an Altcoin Season?

Joao Wedson, an analyst from Alphractal, pointed out that many altcoins have performed poorly in the current market cycle (2022–2025).

In a post on X, Wedson emphasized that several altcoins have returned to their launch prices. Some of these were once hyped as “rockets to the moon.” This indicates a period of accumulation, making it a good time to place buy orders at low prices.

“Since December 2024, we’ve been in a bear market (actually, the sentiment was already bearish since October). But I still believe that between April and May, the market will heat up for cryptos—even if BTC drops further, as we still have lower targets.” — Joao Wedson, founder of Alphractal, predicted.

Wedson advises investors to focus on altcoin projects with strong fundamentals and growth potential. He suggests avoiding coins that will be surging in 2024, such as ETH, SOL, and TRX. His strategy is patiently waiting and buying at low prices—a cautious yet promising approach.

Meanwhile, another well-known analyst, Ash Crypto, predicts that once Bitcoin’s dominance reaches 70%, it will signal Bitcoin’s peak. Historically, this level has marked the start of an altcoin season within the following months.

Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) represents Bitcoin’s market capitalization relative to the total crypto market cap. When BTC.D declines, it signals that capital flows into altcoins instead of Bitcoin.

Currently, BTC.D remains above 60% with no signs of weakening. Ash Crypto’s forecast strengthens the belief that Q2 and Q3 of 2025 could begin a significant altcoin rally.

Additionally, experienced trader Merlijn agrees with this outlook. In a recent post on X, he predicted that an altcoin season similar to 2021 is approaching. He highlighted that the next three to six months will be crucial for investors to shape their portfolios.

“Altcoin season is setting up—just like in 2021… The next 3–6 months could define your portfolio.” — Merlijn The Trader predicted.

However, a recent analysis from BeInCrypto reported that the Crypto Fear & Greed Index has dropped to 25 points, indicating “Extreme Fear.” Concerns over escalating trade wars are intensifying investor anxiety.

Some analysts, such as Coin Bureau founder Nic Puckrin, believe that Bitcoin is far from a bear market, but the future of several altcoins is questionable.

The PEPE price has taken a sudden bearish turn after breaking out of an Ascending Triangle pattern. In light of this breakout, a crypto analyst has predicted that PEPE could face a massive 20% price crash if it fails to hold above a critical resistance level. 

Bears Threaten 20% Crash In PEPE Price

PEPE’s price action has swiftly reversed from bullish to bearish, marked by a negative Change of Character (CHoCH) following its breakout from an Ascending Triangle pattern. Notably, PEPE’s CHoCH is highlighted where the price broke below previous support, indicating a significant structural shift to the bearish zone as buyers lose momentum. 

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According to pseudonymous TradingView analyst ‘MyCryptoParadise’, bears could seize control of PEPE’s price as it approaches a crucial resistance zone at $0.000008. The analyst has suggested that if the meme coin fails to break above the resistance, it could result in a 20% crash to lower support levels. 

The first minor support level at $0.0000065 is highlighted in the green line on the analyst’s price chart. Should bearish momentum persist, PEPE could drop further, trapping late buyers and extending its correction phase. The analyst has pinpointed a much deeper support zone at $0.0000055, serving as a crucial defense against a stronger price breakdown. 

A major factor supporting PEPE’s projected price crash is the alignment of its key resistance level with several bearish elements. The TradingView analyst’s price chart shows that PEPE’s $0.000008 resistance coincides with a 200 Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which acts as a dynamic resistance. The 200 EMA is often a reliable indicator of long-term trend shifts, and its overlap with the resistance adds strength to the bearish outlook. 

The resistance also coincides with a Fair Value Gap (FVG), a region where liquidity has been left untested, suggesting that price could be drawn back to fill this gap. Lastly, PEPE’s critical resistance level intersects with a Fibonacci Golden Zone, a key retracement level where price reversals often occur, further signaling the potential for a downturn. 

Potential Breakout Scenario

While ‘MyCryptoParadise’ projects a 20% correction for the PEPE price, which is currently trading at $0.00000698, he also shared a possible bullish scenario in which the meme coin surprises traders with an upward breakout. The TradingView analyst has projected that if PEPE manages to close a candle above the $0.000008 resistance, his bearish thesis could be completely invalidated.

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In this case, the market should anticipate a continuation of the uptrend, with the next price target potentially reaching $0.0000085 and beyond. However, for bulls to break through this resistance level, strong volume and momentum are required. Given that Pepe’s price is still in the red, this bullish scenario seems like a less likely scenario for now.

Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com