Market

Key Levels and Strategic Insights

Published

10 months ago

June 5, 2024

Coin2049 Newsletter

In this analysis, we will identify support and resistance levels within the Chainlink (LINK) market, drawing insights from recent price movements, Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), and volume profile analysis.

By deeply examining these key indicators, we aim to provide actionable insights and strategic recommendations for traders looking to enhance their trading approach and capitalize on the dynamics of the LINK market.

Chainlink 4H Price Analysis

During the four-hour timeframe, the price of LINK has reverted below the 50 EMA (in Violet), a previously crucial resistance line. Unlike other cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, LINK has shown no bullish indicators.

Since reaching its June high of nearly $19, LINK’s price has been undergoing a correction.

Chainlink Price Action (4H). Source: TradingView

The price is currently positioned between the 50 EMA and the 100 EMA (in Blue), with the latter potentially serving as a significant support level in the mid-term. Furthermore, the price remains well above the 200 EMA (Green Area) in this timeframe, indicating a continued bullish outlook for the long term.

The volume profile indicates that the $16.7 support line could be a significant support level if LINK breaches the 100 EMA at $17.4.

Chainlink Price Action (1H). Source: TradingView

Chainlink 1H Price Analysis

In the one-hour timeframe, Chainlink has faced notable challenges in its attempt to ascend beyond the 200 EMA area. Despite multiple attempts to breach this critical threshold, the price has consistently retraced, indicating strong selling pressure in this region.

Presently, the price finds itself positioned below all three EMAs—the 50, 100, and 200. This configuration not only underscores the current bearish sentiment but also suggests formidable hurdles for any potential upward movement.

Looking ahead, these EMAs will likely serve as significant resistance levels in the mid-term, exerting further downward pressure on the price of Chainlink. Moreover, the volume profile resistance range, specifically at $18.2, adds another layer of resistance, reinforcing the importance of this price level in limiting upward momentum.

Chainlink’s Active Addresses Are on the Rise

Looking at the fundamentals, the increase in active addresses shows strong network activity.

LINK: Number of Active Addresses. Source: IntoTheBlock

Heightened engagement, such as an uptick in the utilization of active addresses or transactions within a network like Chainlink, may be construed as a bullish indication for several reasons:

Network Expansion: Elevated activity typically hints at a burgeoning user community or heightened acceptance of the platform’s offerings. This implies a broader user base, potentially driving up demand for the associated cryptocurrency (specifically, LINK).

Service Demand: Chainlink primarily provides decentralized Oracle services, facilitating the integration of real-world data into smart contracts across diverse blockchain platforms. Heightened activity might signify an increased need for these services, bolstering the utility and attractiveness of the Chainlink network.

Market Sentiment: Escalating engagement has the potential to sway market sentiment, indicating faith in the project and its prospects for future development. Investors and traders might interpret the surge in activity as a positive signal regarding the network’s viability and growth potential, prompting heightened investment and upward price movements.

This suggests that the recent dip from $19 to where it is now is mainly due to market dynamics.

So, it’s likely LINK will drop below $18 before picking up steam again. If Bitcoin keeps breaking records, LINK could even climb to $20 or $22.

Strategic Recommendations

Utilize Support and Resistance Analysis: Incorporate support and resistance levels identified from technical analysis into trading strategies. Utilize support levels, such as the 100 EMA (4H) and the support line at $16.7 (4H), as reference points for establishing stop-loss orders and identifying potential entry opportunities during price retracements.

Similarly, recognize resistance levels, such as the 50/ 100/ 200 EMAs (4H) and the volume profile resistance range at $18.2 (1H), to gauge potential areas of bullish price reversal and adjust trading positions accordingly.

Dynamic Position Management: Implement dynamic position management techniques based on support and resistance levels to optimize risk-reward ratios. Consider scaling into positions near support levels to capitalize on potential price rebounds while scaling out of positions near resistance levels to secure profits and minimize exposure to downside risk.

Continuously monitor price action around these key levels to adapt trading strategies in response to changing market conditions.

Risk Mitigation Strategies: Utilize support and resistance analysis to enhance risk mitigation strategies and protect trading capital. Set stop-loss orders below significant support levels to limit potential losses in the event of a breakdown, while trailing stop orders can be employed to lock in profits as prices approach resistance levels.

By incorporating these risk management techniques, traders can effectively manage downside risk and preserve capital in volatile market environments.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Wormhole (W) Jumps 10%—But Is a Pullback Coming?

Published

39 minutes ago

April 3, 2025

Coin2049 Newsletter

Wormhole (W) surged nearly 12% on Thursday after the project unveiled its official product roadmap. The project’s one-year anniversary has sparked speculative interviews.

However, technical data shows buyers and sellers locked in a fierce battle, as momentum indicators suggest a weakening trend. The DMI, Ichimoku Cloud, and EMA structures all reflect market indecision, with no clear direction confirmed just yet.

Wormhole DMI Chart Shows Market Indecision

Wormhole’s DMI chart shows its ADX (Average Directional Index) has dropped to 21.69 from 27.59 just a day earlier, signaling that the recent trend may be losing strength.

The ADX is a key indicator used to measure the strength—not the direction—of a trend. Generally, values below 20 suggest a weak or non-existent trend, while values above 25 indicate a strong trend.

With ADX now hovering near the threshold, it suggests that the bullish momentum seen in recent days could be fading.

Looking deeper, the +DI (Positive Directional Indicator) has fallen to 19.96 after peaking near 24 earlier, though it had surged from 9.68 the previous day.

Meanwhile, the -DI (Negative Directional Indicator) climbed to 18.27 after dropping to 15.21 earlier, following a sharp decline from 30.18 yesterday. This narrowing gap between +DI and -DI—combined with a weakening ADX—suggests uncertainty and potential indecision in price action.

With a $137.64 million token unlock on the horizon, this shift could hint at a cooling bullish impulse and the risk of renewed selling pressure if supply outweighs demand.

Ichimoku Cloud Shows Mixed Signals

Wormhole’s Ichimoku Cloud chart shows a mixed outlook. Price action is attempting to break through resistance but still faces notable headwinds.

The Tenkan-sen (blue line) has recently flattened and is closely aligned with the Kijun-sen (red line), signaling indecision or a potential pause in momentum.

Typically, when these lines are flat and close together, it indicates consolidation rather than a clear trend continuation or reversal.

Meanwhile, the Kumo (cloud) remains thick and red ahead, reflecting strong overhead resistance and a bearish long-term bias.

The price is hovering near the lower edge of the cloud but has yet to make a decisive move above it—suggesting that bullish momentum is tentative at best.

For a confirmed trend reversal, a clean break above the cloud with bullish crossovers would be needed. Until then, the chart points to a market still trying to find direction, especially ahead of a major token unlock event that could further impact sentiment and price action.

Will Wormhole Reclaim $0.10 In April?

Wormhole, which builds solutions around interoperable bridges, continues to see its EMA setup reflect a bearish structure. Short-term moving averages are still positioned below the longer-term ones, an indication that downward pressure remains dominant.

However, one of the short-term EMAs has started to curve upward, hinting at a possible shift in momentum as buyers begin to step in. This early uptick could signal the beginning of a trend reversal, though confirmation is still pending.

If bullish momentum gains traction, Wormhole may attempt to break the nearby resistance at $0.089. A successful breakout could open the door for a move toward higher resistance levels at $0.108 and even $0.136.

Conversely, failure to clear $0.089 could reinforce bearish control, pushing the price back to test support at $0.079.

A break below that level could expose W to further downside toward $0.076, $0.073, and potentially below $0.07—marking uncharted territory for the token.

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Market

Ripple Shifts $1B in XRP Amid Growing Bearish Pressure

Published

2 hours ago

April 3, 2025

Coin2049 Newsletter

XRP is under pressure, down nearly 6% in the past 24 hours and teetering just above the $2 mark as bearish momentum builds. A $1.02 billion unlock from Ripple’s escrow has sparked fresh concerns about oversupply, with tokens moved to operational wallets possibly poised for distribution.

At the same time, network activity has collapsed 87% since mid-March and technical indicators like DMI and EMA lines suggest growing downside risk. With weakening trend strength and fading demand, XRP may struggle to hold key support levels unless a catalyst revives bullish sentiment.

Ripple Wallet Activity Sparks Fears

Onchain data shows that Ripple has unlocked 500 million XRP—worth around $1.02 billion—from its escrow account.

The tokens were moved from the “Ripple (27)” escrow address to two operational wallets, “Ripple (12)” and “Ripple (13),” potentially positioning them for distribution or sale.

While the escrow account still holds another 500 million XRP, the movement of such a large amount into accessible wallets often raises concerns about increased market supply. If Ripple sells a portion of these tokens, it could create short-term selling pressure on XRP’s price.

From a technical standpoint, XRP’s DMI chart is flashing bearish signals. The ADX, which measures trend strength, has sharply declined to 26.68 from 42.45 just two days ago, suggesting the recent trend is weakening.

Meanwhile, the +DI has dropped to 12.91, down from 22 yesterday—indicating a decline in bullish momentum. At the same time, the -DI has surged to 27.43 from 15.64, pointing to rising bearish pressure.

This shift in directional strength, combined with the large token unlock, suggests XRP may face further downside unless demand quickly absorbs the incoming supply.

XRP Network Activity Collapses 87%

XRP’s network activity surged to record highs in March, with 7-day active addresses reaching an all-time peak of 1.22 million on March 18.

However, that momentum quickly faded, with the number now plummeting to just 158,000—an 87% drop in less than three weeks.

This dramatic reversal suggests that the recent spike in engagement may have been short-lived or event-driven rather than indicative of sustained adoption or growing user demand.

7-Day XRP Active Addresses. Source: Santiment.

Tracking 7-day active addresses is a key on-chain metric, offering insight into how frequently a token’s network is being used. High activity can signal strong user interest and utility, often aligning with price support or rallies.

On the other hand, sharp declines in active addresses—like what XRP is now experiencing—can signal waning demand, decreasing network usage, and potential selling pressure.

With such a steep drop in activity, XRP’s price may struggle to find an upside unless new catalysts reignite user engagement.

XRP Faces Strong Downtrend, But Eyes Rebound If Key Levels Break

XRP’s EMA structure clearly reflects a strong ongoing downtrend, with short-term moving averages positioned well below the long-term ones and a wide gap between them—signaling persistent bearish momentum.

Unless bulls step in soon, XRP price may be on track to test support around $1.90, a key level that has held in the past.

XRP Price Analysis. Source: TradingView.

A break below it could expose the asset to further downside toward $1.77.

However, if XRP manages to reverse the current trend and regain upward momentum, it could climb to challenge resistance at $2.06.

A successful breakout above that level might pave the way for a continued rally toward $2.22.

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Market

XRP Battle Between Bulls And Bears Hinges On $1.97 – What To Expect

Published

3 hours ago

April 3, 2025

Coin2049 Newsletter

The crypto market watches with bated breath as XRP teeters at $1.97, a battleground where bullish conviction clashes with bearish determination. After a retreat from recent highs, the digital asset now faces a critical test.

The current standoff mirrors the broader tug-of-war in crypto markets, where sentiment shifts rapidly and key price levels dictate the next major move. For XRP, $1.97 isn’t just another number; it’s a line in the sand. A decisive hold here could reignite upward momentum, while a breakdown may embolden the bears.

Market Sentiment: Fear, Greed, Or Indecision?

According to Grumlin Mystery, a well-known crypto analyst, XRP is likely to experience a further downside in the near future, potentially dropping to $1.96. In his March 30th post on X, he highlighted that a decrease in liquidity within the crypto market is playing a crucial role in weakening XRP’s price stability, driven by the impact of US tariffs and the implementation of Trump’s policy changes.

Grumlin pointed out that restrictive trade policies and economic uncertainty have led to a slowdown in capital flow into riskier assets like cryptocurrencies. With reduced liquidity, market participants have less buying power, making it easier for bears to push prices lower. He warned that if these economic conditions persist, XRP could struggle to find strong support, and a drop below $1.96 could trigger further declines.

This drying up of liquidity has allowed sellers to gain the upper hand, exerting downward pressure on prices. As a result, XRP’s ability to hold support at $1.96 remains uncertain, and unless market conditions improve, a deeper correction could be on the horizon.

XRP

Grumlin Mystery further elaborated that a sharp change in Trump’s rhetoric regarding tariffs remains highly unpredictable, making it difficult to gauge its full impact on the financial markets, including cryptocurrencies. While many initially believed that Trump’s stance would be a major positive catalyst for the crypto market, the reality appears to be more complex.

The analyst emphasized that market uncertainty is increasing as traders struggle to anticipate the next move in U.S. economic policy. If Trump maintains or intensifies his tariff approach, it could further tighten liquidity conditions, making it even harder for XRP to sustain bullish momentum.

Possible Scenarios For XRP

If buyers successfully defend the $1.96 level, XRP could see renewed upside momentum. A bounce from this support zone might trigger a rally toward $2.64, where the next resistance lies. A breakout above this level raises the potential to $2.92 or even $3.4, confirming a bullish recovery. Increased trading volume and improving market sentiment would be key indicators of this scenario playing out.

Sellers’ failure to maintain control and XRP’s failure to hold above $1.96 may cause a sharper decline. In this case, the next critical support levels to watch would be $1.70 and $1.34. Breaking below these levels could expose the asset to more losses to $0.93 or lower.

XRP

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