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How Polygon (MATIC) Bulls Hesitated to Give the Price a Hand

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Unlike many altcoins, Polygon (MATIC) struggles to keep up with its recently-found uptrend. MATIC tested $0.55 in the early periods of July 16.

Later, the cryptocurrency’s value fell. Trading at $0.52 at press time, the price has affected the position of Polygon holders.

Polygon Uptrend Stumbles, Holders Back in Losses After Brief Relief

Last week, MATIC dropped to $0.48 following a long period that saw the price plunge from its highs in March.

The consequence of this underwhelming price action is indicated by the Global In/Out of Money (GIOM). The GIOM classifies addresses based on those profiting from the current price action, those losing money, and those at the breakeven point.

Addresses in profits mean they purchased the token at a lower value than the current price. However, the addresses losing money accumulated at a higher price. Taking it back to July 9, there was no holder on the Polygon network in profits.

Read More: How To Buy Polygon (MATIC) and Everything You Need To Know

Polygon holders profitability
Polygon GIOM. Source: IntoTheBlock

However, the brief price increase ensures only those who bought the token between $0.0032 and $0.52, representing 5% of the total MATIC holders, are now making money at the current price.

Another metric that indicates this position is the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio. This ratio is an on-chain indicator that offers insights into investor behavior. Generally,  high values indicate a large degree of unrealized profits.

It also increases the chances of investors’ willingness to distribute their holdings. However, a low ratio suggests poor demand dynamics. The more the ratio decreases, the lesser the motive to sell.

Polygon’s price increase on July 15 improved profitability, as the 30-day MVRV ratio rose to 1.87%. However, the retracement has forced the ratio back to 2.05% at press time. 

Polygon (MATIC) profits decline
Polygon MVRV Ratio. Source: Santiment

This short-lived hike is evidence that MATIC holders are willing to sell at any chance to break even. If this continues, the cryptocurrency’s value may drop to $0.50.

MATIC Price Prediction: Risk of Falling Below $0.50

According to the daily chart, MATIC tested the key support of $0.47 on July 5, and this was instrumental to the extended formation to $0.54 seven days later.

However, the token finds it challenging to reach $0.57 due to a lack of substantial liquidity, as indicated by the Money Flow Index (MFI). The MFI reveals the flow of money in and out of a cryptocurrency. 

If it increases, it means there is enough capital deployed to push prices higher. However, a decrease in the MFI indicates otherwise. 

From the chart below, the indicator has been unable to cross over the neutral line, indicating that bulls have lowered their commitment to driving the Polygon native token higher.

Read More: Polygon (MATIC) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

Polygon bearish price analysis
Polygon Daily Analysis. Source: TradingView

If this remains the case, MATIC’s price may slip below $0.50, possibly declining to $0.47 again in the process.

Given the token’s market structure, the next move could be range-bound between $0.47 and $0.50. However, a close above $0.53 may invalidate this prediction.

Should liquidity into the token increase, MATIC could rebound, possibly leading to a breakout toward $0.64.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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PENDLE Token Outperforms BTC and ETH with a 10% Rally

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PENDLE has surged by 10% in the past 24 hours, making it the market’s top gainer during this period. The altcoin has even outperformed major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH).

With buying activity still underway, the PENDLE token is poised to extend its uptrend in the short term. 

PENDLE Soars 43% After March Lows

PENDLE cratered to a seven-month low of $1.81 on March 11. As sellers got exhausted, the token’s buyers regained dominance and drove a rally. Trading at $3.24 at press time, PENDLE’s value has since climbed 43%. 

The double-digit surge in the altcoin’s price has pushed it above the Leading Spans A and B of its Ichimoku Cloud indicator. They now form dynamic support levels below PENDLE’s price at $2.73 and $2.80, respectively. 

PENDLE Ichimoku Cloud.
PENDLE Ichimoku Cloud. Source: TradingView

The Ichimoku Cloud tracks the momentum of an asset’s market trends and identifies potential support/resistance levels. When an asset trades above the leading spans A and B of this indicator, its price is in a strong bullish trend. The area above the Cloud is considered a “bullish zone,” indicating that market sentiment is positive, with PENDLE buyers in control. 

This pattern suggests that the token’s price could continue to rise, with the Cloud acting as a support level if prices pull back.

In addition, PENDLE currently trades above its Super Trend indicator, confirming the likelihood of extended gains. 

PENDLE Super Trend Line.
PENDLE Super Trend Line. Source: TradingView

The Super Trend indicator tracks the direction and strength of an asset’s price trend. It is displayed as a line on the price chart, changing color to signify the trend: green for an uptrend and red for a downtrend.

If an asset’s price is above this line, it signals bullish momentum in the market. In this scenario, this line represents a support level that will prevent the price from any significant dips. For PENDLE, this is formed at $2.34. 

PENDLE Holds Above Key Trendline

Since its rally began on March 11, PENDLE has traded above an ascending trendline. This pattern forms when a series of higher lows connect, indicating that the price of an asset is consistently rising over time. 

It represents a bullish trend, showing that PENDLE demand exceeds supply, with buyers pushing prices higher. 

This trendline acts as a support level. With the token’s price bouncing off the trendline, it signals that the asset is in an uptrend and likely to continue. In this scenario, PENDLE could rally to $3.60.

PENDLE Price Analysis.
PENDLE Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, if selloffs commence, the PENDLE token could lose some of its recent gains and fall to $3.06.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Will the SEC Approve Grayscale’s Solana ETF?

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Grayscale has submitted a registration statement with the SEC to convert its Grayscale Solana Trust (GSOL) into an ETF listed on NYSE Arca. 

Despite the filing, prediction markets remain unconvinced about the chances of approval.

Is a Solana ETF Approval Still Unlikely for Q2?

On Polymarket, odds for a Solana ETF approval in the second quarter of 2025 stand at just 23%. Broader expectations for any 2025 approval are at 83%, down from 92% earlier this year.

The decline reflects regulatory delays. In March, the SEC extended review timelines for several ETF applications tied to Solana, XRP, and other altcoins. 

solana etf odds polymarket
Polymarket Odds on a Solana ETF Approval by July 31. Source: Polymarket

This pattern suggests the agency may be holding off on decisions until a permanent chair takes over. Mark Uyeda, currently serving as interim chair, has not signaled a shift in stance.

Paul Atkins, Trump’s nominee to lead the agency, appeared before the Senate last week. Lawmakers questioned his involvement in crypto-related businesses, adding further uncertainty around future approvals.

Grayscale’s latest filing excludes staking, which could speed up the review process. The SEC has previously objected to staking features in ETF proposals. 

When spot Ethereum ETFs moved forward last year, Grayscale, Fidelity, and Ark Invest/21Shares all removed staking components to align with the SEC’s expectations at the time.

Under Gary Gensler’s leadership, the SEC expressed concern that proof-of-stake protocols could fall under securities law. Asset managers adjusted their applications accordingly to move forward.

Following approvals for spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, several firms aim to expand their offerings to include other cryptocurrencies. They plan to offer access through traditional brokerage accounts without requiring direct asset custody.

Solana remains a strong contender due to its growing futures market in the US and a more favorable regulatory environment. Analysts view it as one of the next likely approvals if the SEC opens the door to more altcoin ETFs.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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XRP Price Vulnerable To Falling Below $2 After 18% Decline

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XRP has faced a significant correction in recent weeks, resulting in an 18% decline in the altcoin’s price. As a result, XRP is currently struggling to maintain upward momentum, with investors losing confidence. 

This recent slump has raised concerns about the asset’s future, especially as certain XRP holders begin to sell their positions, increasing bearish pressure.

XRP Investors Are Pulling Back

The recent downturn in XRP’s price has triggered a sharp spike in the “Age Consumed” metric. This indicator tracks the movement of coins from long-term holders (LTHs) and has reached its highest level in over four months. The increase suggests that LTHs, who have been holding XRP for extended periods, are now losing patience. 

This selling behavior may be driven by the lack of price recovery and the overall weak market conditions that have not improved. These holders appear to be attempting to limit their losses by liquidating their positions, which in turn increases the downward pressure on XRP’s price. This mass selling from LTHs further compounds the challenges for XRP, as their decision to sell is often seen as a sign of waning confidence in the cryptocurrency. 

XRP Age Consumed
XRP Age Consumed. Source: Santiment

XRP’s market momentum appears to be weakening, as evidenced by the recent decline in the number of new addresses. The metric tracking new addresses has fallen to a five-month low, suggesting that XRP is struggling to attract new investors. This lack of fresh interest signals growing skepticism within the broader market, with potential investors hesitant to buy into an asset that has failed to deliver strong price action.

The drop in new addresses reflects a broader trend of reduced market traction and the lack of conviction from buyers. When combined with the selling pressure from LTHs, it creates a challenging environment for XRP to regain bullish momentum

XRP New Addresses
XRP New Addresses. Source Glassnode

XRP Price Needs A Boost

XRP’s price is currently holding at $2.06, just above the key support level of $2.02. If it manages to stabilize and break through the immediate resistance at $2.14, there could be a potential rebound, taking XRP higher.

However, with the continued weakness in market sentiment and the aforementioned bearish cues, XRP remains vulnerable to further declines. If the support of $2.02 fails, the price could drop further to $1.94, extending the 18% decline noted in the last two weeks.

XRP Price Analysis
XRP Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

If XRP manages to reclaim the $2.14 level and holds above it, the price could make its way toward $2.27. Breaching this level would invalidate the bearish outlook, signaling a potential recovery and restoring investor confidence in the cryptocurrency.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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