Connect with us

Market

Harris Closes in on Trump as Betting Odds Reflect Shift in Election

Published

on


Former President Donald Trump remains the frontrunner in the upcoming presidential election according to betting markets, though recent trends suggest Vice President Kamala Harris is closing the gap as election day nears.

Earlier data positioned Trump strongly, with odds favoring him at over 60%. However, recent shifts show the race tightening, creating the possibility of a much closer outcome than initially predicted.

Trump’s Chances Slip on Polymarket as Harris Rises

On Polymarket, a decentralized prediction platform, Harris’s odds rose from 33% on October 30 to roughly 44%. This increase has corresponded with a drop in Trump’s odds, which now stand at a two-week low of 56%, reflecting a tempered outlook for his victory despite his continued lead.

A similar movement has appeared on Kalshi, a US-based betting platform, where Harris’s odds have climbed to 49%, trailing Trump by a slim two-point margin.

Read More: How To Use Polymarket In The United States: Step-by-Step Guide

US Presidential Election Odds.
US Presidential Election Odds. Source: Kalshi

Analysts speculate this uptick may indicate traders hedging their Trump positions by investing in Harris shares. Some see this shift as a response to recent concerns about voting irregularities that could impact Trump’s standing. Meanwhile, others suggest that market dynamics could be influencing Harris’s odds, with some activity possibly pushing her numbers up.

“Across multiple betting avenues they’re manipulating the odds and creating downward pressure for Trump & GOP, and upward pressure for Kamala & Dems. Literally buying and selling within the same minute. Their accounts history are in the negative for it,” an X user stated.

Further, traditional polling data aligns with these recent shifts, showing Harris with a slight edge in key swing states. For instance, Polymarket attributes her recent gains to new polling data from Iowa, where she leads Trump 47% to 44%, primarily due to increased support from women voters. A Harris victory in Iowa would mark a significant shift, as Trump won the state in both 2016 and 2020.

Read more: How Can Blockchain Be Used for Voting in 2024?

US Elections Odds in Iowa
US Elections Odds in Iowa. Source: DesMoinesRegister

While recent developments suggest an unpredictable race, historical betting data implies that frontrunners typically win. However, the platforms have also been wrong, with betting markets notably underestimating Trump’s 2016 victory. Nevertheless, observers say these markets tend to be useful forecasting tools providing real-time information.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



Source link

Continue Reading
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Market

Stablecoin Regulation Bill Passes US House as Market Heats Up

Published

on



The US House Financial Services Committee voted 32-17 to pass the Stablecoin Transparency and Accountability for a Better Ledger Economy (STABLE) Act of 2025, aimed at stablecoin regulation. 

This legislative milestone comes amid growing activity in the stablecoin market. Competition is heating up as major traditional financial institutions prepare to enter the space.

STABLE Act Passes Committee Vote 

Chairman French Hill and Representative  Bryan Steil spearheaded the legislation (H.R. 2392). It seeks to establish a robust framework for stablecoin issuance, mandating 1:1 reserve backing, monthly audits, and AML requirements. 

“This legislation is a foundational step toward securing the future of financial payments in the United States and solidifying the dollar’s continued dominance as a world reserve currency,” Representative Steil remarked.

The bill’s passage saw bipartisan support, with six Democrats voting in favor. Notably, this comes shortly after the US Senate Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs greenlit the GENIUS Act. The bill passed in a bipartisan 18-6 vote. 

“The bills await debate time on the floor and a vote in their respective chambers,” Journalist and Host of Crypto In America, Eleanor Terrett, noted.

According to Terrett, efforts are underway to align the two bills closely over the next few weeks. The aim is to address differences between the bills. Aligning them will make it easier to proceed without creating additional complications.

“If they can get them to be in relatively the same place on their own, it will avoid having to set up a so-called conference committee which is formed so members from both chambers can negotiate to create a final version of the bill everyone agrees on,” she added.

Stablecoin Competition Heats Up, but Are There Signs of a Purge?

The drive for legislation occurs alongside rising activity in the stablecoin market. Global players are joining the fray.

For instance, in Japan, Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation (SMBC) and major entities have signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU). The MoU initiates joint discussions on the potential use of stablecoins for future commercialization. 

“This Agreement will see SMBC, Fireblocks, Ava Labs, and TIS collaborate to develop a framework for stablecoin issuance and circulation, including exploring key technical, regulatory, and market infrastructure requirements both in Japan and further afield. This Joint Discussion will not only focus on pilot projects but will aim to concretely define use cases for ongoing business applications,” the notice read.

In addition, Bank of America’s CEO previously revealed plans to launch a stablecoin once proper regulation is in place. Notably, BeInCrypto reported last month that the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) had granted national banks and federal savings associations permission to provide crypto custody and certain stablecoin services.

That’s not all. The state of Wyoming is set to launch its own stablecoin, WYST, in July. Fidelity has also announced similar plans. Moreover, President Trump-backed World Liberty Financial officially launched its USD1 stablecoin in late March. This highlights continued interest in stablecoin adoption across both private and public sectors.

Meanwhile, Ripple announced the integration of its Ripple USD (RLUSD) into Ripple Payments. Changpeng Zhao (CZ), former CEO of Binance, reacted to the development on X.

“Stablecoin war, I mean healthy competition, just getting started,” CZ said.

As competition intensifies, the stablecoin market is also facing growing pains. Despite new entrants gaining traction, some players face heightened scrutiny. 

Justin Sun, founder of Tron (TRX), recently accused First Digital Trust of insolvency. Following Sun’s allegations, First Digital USD (FDUSD) temporarily depegged.

The market’s future may hinge on the survival of only the most compliant and resilient stablecoins. This leads to a potential “purge” where weaker players fail to meet the increasing regulatory and market demands.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



Source link

Continue Reading

Market

Ethereum Price Recovery Stalls—Bears Keep Price Below $2K

Published

on


Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality

Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed

The highest standards in reporting and publishing

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality

Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio.


Este artículo también está disponible en español.

Ethereum price attempted a recovery wave above the $1,880 level but failed. ETH is now trimming all gains and remains below the $1,880 resistance zone.

  • Ethereum failed to stay above the $1,850 and $1,880 levels.
  • The price is trading below $1,850 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.
  • There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at $1,865 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken).
  • The pair must clear the $1,865 and $1,890 resistance levels to start a decent increase.

Ethereum Price Fails Again

Ethereum price managed to stay above the $1,800 support zone and started a recovery wave, like Bitcoin. ETH was able to climb above the $1,850 and $1,880 resistance levels.

The bulls even pushed the price above the $1,920 resistance zone. However, the bears are active near the $1,950 zone. A high was formed at $1,955 and the price trimmed most gains. There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at $1,865 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD.

A low was formed at $1,781 and the price is now consolidating near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $1,955 swing high to the $1,781 low.

Ethereum price is now trading below $1,850 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. On the upside, the price seems to be facing hurdles near the $1,850 level. The next key resistance is near the $1,865 level and the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $1,955 swing high to the $1,781 low.

Ethereum Price
Source: ETHUSD on TradingView.com

The first major resistance is near the $1,920 level. A clear move above the $1,920 resistance might send the price toward the $1,950 resistance. An upside break above the $1,950 resistance might call for more gains in the coming sessions. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $2,000 resistance zone or even $2,050 in the near term.

Another Decline In ETH?

If Ethereum fails to clear the $1,865 resistance, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $1,800 level. The first major support sits near the $1,780 zone.

A clear move below the $1,780 support might push the price toward the $1,720 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $1,680 support level in the near term. The next key support sits at $1,620.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACDThe MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bearish zone.

Hourly RSIThe RSI for ETH/USD is now below the 50 zone.

Major Support Level – $1,780

Major Resistance Level – $1,865



Source link

Continue Reading

Market

Cardano (ADA) Downtrend Deepens—Is a Rebound Possible?

Published

on


Cardano price started a recovery wave above the $0.680 zone but failed. ADA is consolidating near $0.650 and remains at risk of more losses.

  • ADA price failed to recover above the $0.70 resistance zone.
  • The price is trading below $0.680 and the 100-hourly simple moving average.
  • There was a break below a connecting bullish trend line with support at $0.6720 on the hourly chart of the ADA/USD pair (data source from Kraken).
  • The pair could start another increase if it clears the $0.70 resistance zone.

Cardano Price Dips Again

In the past few days, Cardano saw a recovery wave from the $0.6350 zone, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. ADA was able to climb above the $0.680 and $0.6880 resistance levels.

However, the bears were active above the $0.70 zone. A high was formed at $0.7090 and the price corrected most gains. There was a move below the $0.650 level. Besides, there was a break below a connecting bullish trend line with support at $0.6720 on the hourly chart of the ADA/USD pair.

A low was formed at $0.6356 and the price is now consolidating losses near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $0.7090 swing high to the $0.6356 low. Cardano price is now trading below $0.680 and the 100-hourly simple moving average.

On the upside, the price might face resistance near the $0.6720 zone or the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $0.7090 swing high to the $0.6356 low. The first resistance is near $0.6950. The next key resistance might be $0.700.

Cardano Price

If there is a close above the $0.70 resistance, the price could start a strong rally. In the stated case, the price could rise toward the $0.7420 region. Any more gains might call for a move toward $0.7650 in the near term.

Another Drop in ADA?

If Cardano’s price fails to climb above the $0.6720 resistance level, it could start another decline. Immediate support on the downside is near the $0.6420 level.

The next major support is near the $0.6350 level. A downside break below the $0.6350 level could open the doors for a test of $0.620. The next major support is near the $0.60 level where the bulls might emerge.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACD – The MACD for ADA/USD is losing momentum in the bearish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for ADA/USD is now below the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $0.6420 and $0.6350.

Major Resistance Levels – $0.6720 and $0.7000.



Source link

Continue Reading

Trending

Copyright © 2024 coin2049.io