Market
DOT Experiences 25% Price Drop in June Amid Bearish Pressure
Polkadot faces bearish pressure as it struggles to maintain critical support levels, signaling potential further declines in its price action.
The goal of the analysis is to assess Polkadot’s bearish selling pressure, using Key Support and Resistance Levels, Market Sentiment, and Future Price Movements.
Polkadot Faces Bearish Pressure: Key Levels and Market Sentiment Analysis
Polkadot (DOT) has been experiencing a bearish trend, evident from the recent price action where it fell below critical support levels. The rejection from the Ichimoku Cloud and testing of lower support levels further emphasize this downtrend.
Following Bitcoin’s price drop to $64,700 yesterday, the price of DOT reached the important support level of $5.46. Subsequently, the price of DOT bounced upward, stabilizing around $5.80, as observed in the 4-hour chart.
DOT’s price has dropped 25% from its local high recorded on June 7
Read More: 5 Best Polkadot (DOT) Wallets To Consider In 2024
Currently, Polkadot faces several key support and resistance levels. Following our insights shared on BeInCrypto analysis, the DOT price managed to break below the $6.23 price level yesterday. This prompted the price to drop 12% in 2 days, underscoring and highlighting the importance of monitoring this price level. This price level should now act as a resistance level for DOT.
The Ichimoku Cloud analysis shows that the price action is clearly rejected from the cloud, indicating bearish sentiment. On the daily chart, the price is currently below the Ichimoku Cloud, suggesting strong bearish momentum. The baseline and conversion lines are trending downwards, which confirms the bearish outlook.
Similarly, on the 4-hour chart, the price is below the cloud, reinforcing the short-term bearish sentiment.
A breakdown below the current support at $5.46 could lead to further declines towards the next major support at $4.88. On the upside, the first major resistance to watch is $6.81. Reclaiming this level could indicate a potential reversal of the current downtrend.
To confirm a bullish reversal, higher resistance levels at $7.12 and $7.41 will also need to be broken through.
The moving averages also support the bearish outlook. The price is trading well below the 200 EMA, indicating a long-term bearish trend, and the 100 EMA is also above the current price, acting as a resistance level.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is trending towards the oversold territory, currently hovering around 30. This indicates increasing selling pressure. If the RSI drops below 30, it could signal potential further declines. Conversely, if it bounces off this level, it could indicate a short-term relief rally.
OI-Weighted Funding Rate Reflects Cautious Market Sentiment
Open Interest (OI) is the total number of outstanding derivative contracts, such as futures or options, yet to be settled. Higher OI indicates increased market participation and speculative activity, while lower OI suggests reduced trader engagement.
The funding rate is the periodic payment between traders holding long and short positions in perpetual futures contracts. Positive rates mean long positions pay shorts, indicating bullish sentiment, while negative rates mean shorts pay longs, indicating bearish sentiment.
The OI-weighted funding rate combines the funding rate with open interest, offering a detailed view of market sentiment. It shows whether sentiment is driven by many participants or just a few, helping to gauge the strength of market trends.
During June, the funding rate remained relatively stable and positive, indicating a bullish sentiment among traders. This period coincided with DOT’s price stability around the $7 mark. However, the market sentiment shifted around June 8 when the funding rate briefly turned negative, suggesting increased short positions or a reduction in long positions.
From June 9 to June 15, the funding rate returned to positive territory, though with some fluctuations, reflecting a mixed but generally bullish sentiment. Notably, during this time, DOT’s price faced resistance around $7, experiencing multiple rejections. This suggests that while traders were willing to maintain long positions, the price struggled to break through this key resistance level, indicating potential exhaustion among buyers.
Read More: Polkadot (DOT) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030
The most significant change occurred between June 16 and June 17, when both the funding rate and DOT’s price experienced sharp declines. The funding rate turning negative again reflects a bearish pressure, aligning with Polkadot dropping from around $6.50 to approximately $5.4. This period of heightened volatility and increased trading volume suggests panic selling or intensified shorting, reinforcing the bearish outlook.
Overall, the analysis of the OI-weighted funding rate indicates that traders are becoming more cautious, anticipating further declines. The reduced speculative activity, as evidenced by the decreasing funding rate, points to a market sentiment that is hesitant to take long positions at current levels.
Monitoring this indicator alongside key support and resistance levels can provide crucial insights for future price movements and market sentiment.
Strategic Recommendations
If Polkadot’s price continues to fall below the $5.45 level, it could trigger a significant cascade of liquidations and bearish selling pressure, potentially driving the price down to $4.88. The fact that Bitcoin remains above the $65,000 level suggests it is experiencing only a minor correction.
However, if Bitcoin’s price continues to decline and reaches $60,000, this could be very bearish for Polkadot and incentivize further price drops below $4.88.
A reversion back to $67,000 for Bitcoin could positively impact Polkadot, potentially driving its price back up to $6.23. If this level is broken, it could signal a possible reversal, allowing for further upward movement.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
Dogecoin Holding Time and Whale Activity Spikes
Dogecoin (DOGE), a leading meme coin, is signaling a potential breakout from its narrow trading range.
If this momentum continues, it could reclaim its multi-year high of $0.48, fueled by extended holding periods and increased accumulation by large holders.
Dogecoin Investors Reduce Distribution
The on-chain assessment of DOGE’s performance has revealed a significant spike in the holding time of all its coins transacted in the past seven days. According to IntoTheBlock, this has climbed by 302% during the review period.
The holding time of an asset’s transacted coins represents the average duration tokens are kept in wallets before being sold or transferred.
Longer holding periods like this reduce selling pressure in the DOGE market. This reflects stronger investor conviction, as investors choose to keep their coins rather than sell them.
In addition to reducing selling activity, DOGE whales have increased their holdings over the past week. This is reflected by the 112% uptick in its large holders’ netflow during that period.
An asset’s large holders’ netflow metric tracks the movement of coins into and out of wallets controlled by whales or institutional investors. When this metric spikes, it suggests that these large holders are accumulating more of the asset, signaling increased confidence in its future price movement.
DOGE Price Prediction: Bullish Run Could Continue
If this bullish momentum is maintained, DOGE will extend its weekly 3% spike. As buying pressure strengthens, the meme coin could revisit its four-year high of $0.48.
However, this bullish outlook will be invalidated if accumulation stalls and selling activity recommences. In that scenario, DOGE’s price could slip to $0.29.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
Base DEX Volume Approaches $3 Billion Amid Growing Adoption
Base, Coinbase’s Layer-2 (L2) blockchain solution, has reached new heights, setting an all-time high daily decentralized exchange (DEX) trading volume near $3 billion.
This milestone reflects Base’s growing prominence in the L2 space and its role in scaling on-chain transactions for Coinbase users.
Base Hits New Milestone in DEX Volume
Blockchain analyst Dan Smith highlighted Base L2’s record-breaking volume of $2.9 billion, including $1.3 billion in ETH-USD trading, which also hit an all-time high. Other trading pairs, such as ETH-cbBTC and BTC-USD, were close to breaking their own records.
The $2.9 billion DEX volume reflects Base’s growing appeal among traders, particularly in ETH-USD pairs, which benefited from recent price volatility. Alexander, another blockchain enthusiast, noted that this milestone marked the first time Base nearly tagged $3 billion in daily volume, alluding to the development as evidence of L2’s growing adoption.
AerodromeFi, a liquidity-focused decentralized protocol on Base, also recorded an all-time high of $1.68 billion in volume, further emphasizing the ecosystem’s momentum.
“This is the first time Base nearly passed $3 billion and AerodromeFi set a new ATH of $1.68 billion in volume,” Alexander commented.
Base’s success is particularly notable because it operates without a native token. Coinbase explicitly ruled out launching a token for Base, prioritizing ecosystem growth and user adoption instead. This approach has likely contributed to its traction by focusing on utility and reducing speculative risks that could deter long-term users.
“There are no plans for a Base network token. We are focused on building, and we want to solve real problems that let you build better,” Base lead developer Jesse Pollak stated recently.
Consistent Growth in Transactions and TVL
The recent achievement follows Base’s earlier milestones, including reaching one billion transactions two months ago and surpassing six million daily transactions in October. More closely, the network recently outpaced Ethereum in user growth amid growing crypto markets.
Additionally, Base’s Total Value Locked (TVL) has seen consistent growth, indicating increased user participation, asset inflows, and liquidity within its ecosystem. A rising TVL signals greater confidence in the platform, fostering a stronger and more sustainable DeFi environment.
Despite its impressive growth, Base has faced some criticism. The network was accused of copying aspects of an NFT project, sparking concerns over originality and intellectual property. While this controversy did not deter adoption, it highlights the challenges of rapid innovation in the competitive blockchain space.
Base’s trajectory positions it as a serious contender in the L2 space, competing with established players like Arbitrum (ARB) and Optimism (OP). Its emphasis on utility, combined with rising user participation and liquidity, paints a promising picture for its future.
Disclaimer
In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
Is a Drop Below $0.92 Inevitable?
Cardano’s recent sideways price action has led to a surge in demand for short positions among futures traders.
As the coin’s momentum slows, traders are increasingly betting on a price decline, signaling a bearish sentiment toward ADA.
Cardano Traders Bet on a Price Decline
According to Coinglass, ADA’s Long/Short Ratio is at a monthly low of 0.82, indicating a high demand for short positions.
An asset’s Long/Short Ratio compares the number of its long (buy) positions to short (sell) positions in a market. As with ADA, when the ratio is below one, more traders are betting on the price falling (shorting) rather than rising. If short sellers continue to dominate, this can increase the downward pressure on the asset’s price.
Additionally, ADA’s Weighted Sentiment remains negative, currently standing at -0.074, reinforcing the bearish outlook for the altcoin.
Weighted Sentiment gauges the overall market bias by analyzing the volume and tone of social media mentions. A negative value signals growing skepticism among investors, often leading to reduced trading activity and downward pressure on the asset’s price.
Notably, ADA whales have reduced their trading activity over the past week, with the coin’s large holders’ netflow dropping by 90.29%, according to IntoTheBlock.
Large holders, defined as addresses holding more than 0.1% of an asset’s circulating supply, play a significant role in market movements. A decline in their netflow indicates reduced buying activity, adding to the downward pressure on ADA’s price.
ADA Price Prediction: Recovery to $1 or Decline to $0.80?
ADA is currently trading at $0.98, hovering just above its support level of $0.90. If bearish pressure intensifies, the price may test this support. A failure to hold at $0.90 could see ADA’s decline extend further, potentially dropping to $0.80.
Conversely, if buying activity resurges, ADA’s price could stabilize above the $1 mark.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
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