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Can Ethereum ETFs Push ETH Price Past $5,000 by Q3?

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As July approaches, spot Ethereum ETFs, which received the US SEC partial green light on May 23, near their official launch. Many investors wonder if the price of Ethereum (ETH) will follow Bitcoin’s (BTC) reaction to its related financial instruments in January.

That answer, however, lies in the future, which may begin in a few days. While waiting, the on-chain analysis provides actionable insights that can predict if the altcoin is following a likely pattern. 

The Altcoin Investors Are in High Spirits

Amendment of registration documents is one factor that has delayed the live trading of the spot Ethereum ETFs. However, in a recent interview, SEC Chair Gary Gensler confirmed that things were going smoothly.

Furthermore, a report from anonymous sources at the regulatory agency reveals that the products will launch on July 4.

Following the development, BeInCrypto monitors holder behavior towards ETH. According to our findings, ETH holders display resolute confidence in the cryptocurrency. We discovered this after examining the LTH-NUPL provided by the analytic platform Glassnode. 

The metric stands for Long Term Holder-Net Unrealized Profit/Loss. It measures the behavior of holders who have owned a cryptocurrency for over 155 days. As seen in the chart below, different colors exist for different sentiments.

Read more: Ethereum ETF Explained: What It Is and How It Works

Ethereum holders bullish sentiment
Ethereum LTH-NUPL. Source: Glassnode

While red indicates capitulation, orange means fear. Yellow indicates optimism, while blue suggests greed. Currently, Ethereum’s LTH-NUPL is in the belief (green) zone. When this happens, long-term investors are confident about a forthcoming price increase.

However, ETH has experienced a 12.75% decline in the last 30 days while it trades at $3,365. In situations like this, the broader sentiment is expected to be bearish. Thus, as perception tilts toward confidence, the much-anticipated development seems to be the reason. If sustained till launch day, it can propel higher demand for ETH.

Ethereum Is Taking Bitcoin Out of the Way

Meanwhile, perception alone cannot push the price. Therefore, we evaluate another indicator that can affect the altcoin’s price, which is the ETH/BTC ratio. This ratio tells whether Bitcoin is outperforming Ethereum or the other way around. Specifically, if the ETH/BTC ratio is high, it means that ETH is performing better than Bitcoin.

However, a low ratio implies that BTC is outperforming ETH. As of this writing, the ratio is 0.055—up 2.33% within the last seven days. This means that today, one ETH can purchase 0.055 BTC.

Ethereum-Bitcoin dominance
ETH/BTC Ratio. Source: TradingView

Should the ratio continue increasing, Bitcoin’s market dominance will decrease. As such, Ethereum can step up while its price may climb much higher. Considering Bitcoin’s performance, the price rose by 56.95% in less than two months after approval.

If ETH mirrors a similar move, the value of the cryptocurrency will be worth $5,308 before the end of the third quarter (Q3). Now, let’s examine the altcoin’s short-term potential.

ETH Price Prediction: It Is Not Priced In

According to the daily chart, the 20 (blue) and 50 (yellow) EMAs sit above Ethereum’s price. EMA stands for Exponential Moving Average. It is an indicator measuring trend direction over a given period.

When the EMA is below the price, it indicates that bulls are defending it. However, the indicator being above the price gives credence to the downside. If conditions remain the same, ETH may drop to $3,278. This position also shows that ETH is not yet priced in.

In simple terms, this means that the economic impact of the upcoming development has yet to be reflected in the current market price. Hence, it can be assumed that the value still has the potential to jump.

However, both EMAs are on the brink of reaching the same point. If this happens, ETH’s price will move sideways, potentially consolidating between $3,355 and $3,610. However, if the 20 EMA flips the 50 EMA (bullish crossover), the altcoin may key into the $3,866 resistance.

Read more: Ethereum (ETH) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

ETH price analysis and prediction
Ethereum Daily Analysis. Source: TradingView

In a highly bullish scenario, ETH may replicate its performance between February and March, reaching $4,059 before the end of July. 

In addition, the value of inflows is one major concern that investors have. From comments online, a number of analysts are not sure if the Ethereum ETFs can pull the kind of volume Bitcoin did.

However, a previous prediction placed the inflows at $569 million monthly. Should Ethereum match this volume, a rally past the altcoin’s all-time high may happen within a short period.

But if the reception to the development is “all talk no action”, ETH’s price may nosedive, possibly reaching another 10% decline.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Binance Managed 94% of All Crypto Airdrops and Staking Rewards

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A new report shows that Binance almost has a monopoly in the CEX market in terms of crypto airdrop distribution and staking rewards. In 2024, the exchange received $2.6 billion of a total of $2.7 billion in rewards, amounting to 94% of the entire market segment.

In an exclusive press release shared with BeInCrypto, Binance also revealed that it’s making substantial changes to its airdrop services to improve user experience and make participation easier.

Binance Leads the Market in Crypto Airdrops

Binance, the world’s largest crypto exchange, has become the go-to platform for airdrops and staking rewards. It launched the HODLer airdrop program less than a year ago, providing many new projects with a comprehensive platform to reward early adopters.

In the past year, the exchange has become synonymous with the latest airdrops, as most users are accessing their rewards through the platform.

Exchanges with Most Launchpool Rewards and Airdrops in 2024
Exchanges with Most Launchpool Rewards and Airdrops in 2024. Source: CoinMarketCap

Based on this impressive performance in the airdrop sector, Binance has substantially upgraded a few of its services. The platform has revamped its Launchpool and BNB Earn pages, making it easier for users to both track and participate in airdrops.

“With these upgrades, we’re making it easier than ever for users to unlock the full potential of BNB and participate in high-quality token launches. The redesigned Binance Launchpool and BNB pages reflect our commitment to user education, simplicity, and maximizing rewards,” said Jeff Li, VP of Product at Binance.

The updated BNB page will give Binance users key benefits, such as real-time information on airdrops across its platforms, including Launchpool, Megadrop, and HODLer Airdrops.

Users will also see features like trading fee discounts, VIP perks, and a historical rewards section. These improvements are designed to help the firm maintain its significant dominance while continuing to focus on integrity.

Hopefully, these improvements will allow the firm to maintain its significant dominance while maintaining its usual integrity. Last month, Binance Research identified some systemic problems with airdrops in general, and the exchange seems particularly concerned with its reputation.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Pi Network Price Falls To Record New Low Amid Weak Inflows

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Pi Network (PI) has experienced a significant downtrend recently, with price declines that have left many holders facing losses. 

The altcoin has failed to break free from this negative momentum, and the market conditions continue to worsen. As a result, investors are losing confidence, and the price may continue to drop further.

Pi Network Continues To Suffer

The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) continues to show bearish signs, remaining well below the zero line. This indicates that the network is suffering from outflows, meaning that investors are moving their funds out of Pi Network. Despite a bullish start, Pi failed to sustain interest, leading many holders to sell off their positions.

The outflow trend is concerning for investors, as the lack of positive momentum suggests a prolonged downtrend. The market sentiment remains bearish, with sellers outweighing buyers. As the CMF stays in the negative zone, it signals that Pi Network’s price could struggle to find stability in the short term.

PI Network CMF
PI Network CMF. Source: TradingView

The Ichimoku Cloud, a widely used technical indicator, is hovering well above the candlesticks, signaling that the bearish trend is gaining strength. This indicates that there is little upward momentum in the market, and Pi Network is likely to face more downward pressure. 

Additionally, broader market conditions are still negative, which suggests that Pi Network may fail to recover in the immediate future. With bearish technical indicators and a lack of support from investors, the outlook for Pi Network remains grim for now.

PI Network Ichimoku Cloud
PI Network Ichimoku Cloud. Source: TradingView

PI Price Hits A New Low

Pi Network is currently priced at $0.61, having formed a new all-time low of $0.60 after dropping by nearly 14% over the last 24 hours. The altcoin continues to struggle under the weight of negative sentiment and is not showing signs of reversal in the near term.

Based on the ongoing outflows and bearish technical indicators, Pi Network will likely continue its decline. It could fall further to $0.50, potentially forming new all-time lows. The current market conditions suggest that recovery is unlikely without a significant shift in sentiment.

PI Network Price Analysis.
PI Network Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, if Pi Network can bounce off the $0.60 level, it might regain some support and climb back to $0.87. This would help recover some of the recent losses and potentially give the altcoin another chance at a bullish move. But, without a strong catalyst, it may struggle to break through the resistance levels.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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TRUMP Token Hits Record Low Due To Liberation Day Tariffs

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TRUMP token has faced a significant downturn, failing to recover after a recent decline. The altcoin’s price has been further pressured by the announcement of US President Donald Trump’s Liberation Day Tariffs. 

As a result, bearish sentiment has grown, leading traders to capitalize on the negative market conditions.

Trump’s Announcement Took A Toll

The funding rate for TRUMP turned negative over the last 24 hours, signaling increased bearish activity. Traders are shifting to short contracts, betting that the price will decline further. This shift in sentiment follows the announcement of the tariffs, which, despite being a policy move, had a negative impact on TRUMP’s price.

This negative market reaction highlights traders’ skepticism about the future prospects of TRUMP. While the tariff announcement was meant to stimulate market reactions, it instead spurred fear, driving a wave of sell-offs. 

TRUMP Funding Rate.
TRUMP Funding Rate. Source: Coinglass

Looking at the broader momentum, technical indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) reveal that TRUMP is far from recovering its recent losses. The RSI remains firmly in the bearish zone, well below the neutral 50.0 mark. With no signs of reversal or bullish momentum, the token is likely to continue facing declines in the short term.

The oversold conditions are not yet reached either, indicating there is still room for further declines. With the RSI not showing any substantial recovery signals, the current downtrend could persist until market sentiment shifts or a new catalyst sparks renewed interest in the token.

TRUMP RSI
TRUMP RSI. Source: TradingView

TRUMP Price Suffers 

TRUMP’s price hit a new all-time low of $8.97 before recovering slightly to $9.29. Over the last 24 hours, the token has seen a 10% decline. This drop has added to its month-long 45% slide, as the token lost crucial support levels, including $12.57 and $10.29.

The ongoing bearish trend suggests that TRUMP could continue to slide, with the next key support around $8.00. If the broader market conditions remain weak and the bearish sentiment continues to dominate, the price could dip further, reaching new lows before any potential recovery.

TRUMP Price Analysis.
TRUMP Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, if TRUMP manages to reclaim $10.29 as support, it could mark the beginning of a recovery attempt. Successfully breaching $12.57 could invalidate the current bearish outlook and signal a potential rally, but this would require a significant shift in investor sentiment and market conditions.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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