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Can Bullish Momentum Overcome Slump?

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In this comprehensive analysis, we delve into Polkadot’s recent price surge, driven by both technical and on-chain indicators

Penetrating the daily Ichimoku cloud could indicate continued price appreciation towards $8.

Polkadot Technical Outlook: Understanding the Surge

Polkadot (DOT) has broken above the 4-hour Ichimoku cloud. Returning to the cloud in the 4-hour timeframe could signal a trend reversal. On the daily timeframe, the price of Polkadot is approaching the lower boundary of the Ichimoku cloud.

DOT/USDT Price Action. Source: TradingView

Polkadot On-Chain Data: A Deep Dive

The chart illustrates that the number of new addresses on the Polkadot Relay Chain has experienced two consecutive monthly declines. This trend is a bearish indicator. Polkadot is currently struggling to attract new entrants to the network.

Number of New Addresses on the Polkadot Relay Chain (Monthly). Source: IntoTheBlock

A sustained reduction in the number of new addresses can impact the overall health and expansion of the Polkadot ecosystem.

Read More: What Is Polkadot (DOT)?

Number of New Addresses on the Polkadot Relay Chain (7DMA). Source: IntoTheBlock

Active addresses are a key indicator of user engagement and network health. In the context of Polkadot, this decline could mean several things:

  • First, it might indicate that existing users are less active, possibly due to a lack of compelling projects, updates, or incentives to maintain engagement.
  • Second, it could reflect broader market trends affecting the entire cryptocurrency space, where users are becoming more cautious or shifting their focus to other platforms.
  • Third, a decrease in active addresses on a blockchain focused on interoperability could imply challenges in maintaining its unique value proposition compared to other Layer 0 or Layer 1 solutions.

The chart below illustrates the 7-day moving average (7DMA) of daily transfers on the Polkadot Relay Chain. This highlights a significant downward trend. Following a peak in January 2024, where daily transfers nearly reached 40,000, the number of transfers has steadily declined.

Number of New Addresses on the Polkadot Relay Chain (7DMA). Source: IntoTheBlock

This decline in transfer volume can have several implications for Polkadot’s price. Reduced transfer activity often correlates with lower overall network usage and decreased demand for the native DOT token (in the mid-term).

Strategic Recommendations and Future Price Implications

Neutral Outlook

  • Polkadot (DOT) has demonstrated an upward trend, breaking the 4-hour Ichimoku cloud to the upside. This technical pattern suggests potential bullish momentum. However, traders should be cautious as a pullback to the cloud in the 4-hour timeframe could signal a trend reversal.
  • The recent upward trend in Polkadot’s price is heavily influenced by the broader market movements, notably the increase in Bitcoin’s price. Additionally, speculative activities around Polkadot’s derivatives contracts on centralized exchanges have contributed to the price surge.
  • While the technical indicators point towards bullish momentum, the on-chain data highlights potential risks. The decrease in new and active addresses and reduced transfer volumes signal a decline in user engagement and network activity.

Read More: Polkadot (DOT) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

Entry Points and Risk Management

  • Traders should consider entering long positions on Polkadot if it successfully penetrates the 4H Ichimoku cloud to the downside, targeting a move toward $8. However, monitoring Bitcoin’s price movements is crucial, as a test of the $61K level by Bitcoin could lead to a sharp correction in DOT’s price. Although the probability of such a correction has decreased, it remains a risk, particularly in the event of macroeconomic or geopolitical factors.
  • In the mid to long term, traders should employ risk management strategies, including setting stop-loss orders below key support levels (6 – $6.4) to mitigate potential losses.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Stablecoin Regulation Bill Passes US House as Market Heats Up

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The US House Financial Services Committee voted 32-17 to pass the Stablecoin Transparency and Accountability for a Better Ledger Economy (STABLE) Act of 2025, aimed at stablecoin regulation. 

This legislative milestone comes amid growing activity in the stablecoin market. Competition is heating up as major traditional financial institutions prepare to enter the space.

STABLE Act Passes Committee Vote 

Chairman French Hill and Representative  Bryan Steil spearheaded the legislation (H.R. 2392). It seeks to establish a robust framework for stablecoin issuance, mandating 1:1 reserve backing, monthly audits, and AML requirements. 

“This legislation is a foundational step toward securing the future of financial payments in the United States and solidifying the dollar’s continued dominance as a world reserve currency,” Representative Steil remarked.

The bill’s passage saw bipartisan support, with six Democrats voting in favor. Notably, this comes shortly after the US Senate Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs greenlit the GENIUS Act. The bill passed in a bipartisan 18-6 vote. 

“The bills await debate time on the floor and a vote in their respective chambers,” Journalist and Host of Crypto In America, Eleanor Terrett, noted.

According to Terrett, efforts are underway to align the two bills closely over the next few weeks. The aim is to address differences between the bills. Aligning them will make it easier to proceed without creating additional complications.

“If they can get them to be in relatively the same place on their own, it will avoid having to set up a so-called conference committee which is formed so members from both chambers can negotiate to create a final version of the bill everyone agrees on,” she added.

Stablecoin Competition Heats Up, but Are There Signs of a Purge?

The drive for legislation occurs alongside rising activity in the stablecoin market. Global players are joining the fray.

For instance, in Japan, Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation (SMBC) and major entities have signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU). The MoU initiates joint discussions on the potential use of stablecoins for future commercialization. 

“This Agreement will see SMBC, Fireblocks, Ava Labs, and TIS collaborate to develop a framework for stablecoin issuance and circulation, including exploring key technical, regulatory, and market infrastructure requirements both in Japan and further afield. This Joint Discussion will not only focus on pilot projects but will aim to concretely define use cases for ongoing business applications,” the notice read.

In addition, Bank of America’s CEO previously revealed plans to launch a stablecoin once proper regulation is in place. Notably, BeInCrypto reported last month that the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) had granted national banks and federal savings associations permission to provide crypto custody and certain stablecoin services.

That’s not all. The state of Wyoming is set to launch its own stablecoin, WYST, in July. Fidelity has also announced similar plans. Moreover, President Trump-backed World Liberty Financial officially launched its USD1 stablecoin in late March. This highlights continued interest in stablecoin adoption across both private and public sectors.

Meanwhile, Ripple announced the integration of its Ripple USD (RLUSD) into Ripple Payments. Changpeng Zhao (CZ), former CEO of Binance, reacted to the development on X.

“Stablecoin war, I mean healthy competition, just getting started,” CZ said.

As competition intensifies, the stablecoin market is also facing growing pains. Despite new entrants gaining traction, some players face heightened scrutiny. 

Justin Sun, founder of Tron (TRX), recently accused First Digital Trust of insolvency. Following Sun’s allegations, First Digital USD (FDUSD) temporarily depegged.

The market’s future may hinge on the survival of only the most compliant and resilient stablecoins. This leads to a potential “purge” where weaker players fail to meet the increasing regulatory and market demands.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Ethereum Price Recovery Stalls—Bears Keep Price Below $2K

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Ethereum price attempted a recovery wave above the $1,880 level but failed. ETH is now trimming all gains and remains below the $1,880 resistance zone.

  • Ethereum failed to stay above the $1,850 and $1,880 levels.
  • The price is trading below $1,850 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.
  • There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at $1,865 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken).
  • The pair must clear the $1,865 and $1,890 resistance levels to start a decent increase.

Ethereum Price Fails Again

Ethereum price managed to stay above the $1,800 support zone and started a recovery wave, like Bitcoin. ETH was able to climb above the $1,850 and $1,880 resistance levels.

The bulls even pushed the price above the $1,920 resistance zone. However, the bears are active near the $1,950 zone. A high was formed at $1,955 and the price trimmed most gains. There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at $1,865 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD.

A low was formed at $1,781 and the price is now consolidating near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $1,955 swing high to the $1,781 low.

Ethereum price is now trading below $1,850 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. On the upside, the price seems to be facing hurdles near the $1,850 level. The next key resistance is near the $1,865 level and the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $1,955 swing high to the $1,781 low.

Ethereum Price
Source: ETHUSD on TradingView.com

The first major resistance is near the $1,920 level. A clear move above the $1,920 resistance might send the price toward the $1,950 resistance. An upside break above the $1,950 resistance might call for more gains in the coming sessions. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $2,000 resistance zone or even $2,050 in the near term.

Another Decline In ETH?

If Ethereum fails to clear the $1,865 resistance, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $1,800 level. The first major support sits near the $1,780 zone.

A clear move below the $1,780 support might push the price toward the $1,720 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $1,680 support level in the near term. The next key support sits at $1,620.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACDThe MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bearish zone.

Hourly RSIThe RSI for ETH/USD is now below the 50 zone.

Major Support Level – $1,780

Major Resistance Level – $1,865



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Cardano (ADA) Downtrend Deepens—Is a Rebound Possible?

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Cardano price started a recovery wave above the $0.680 zone but failed. ADA is consolidating near $0.650 and remains at risk of more losses.

  • ADA price failed to recover above the $0.70 resistance zone.
  • The price is trading below $0.680 and the 100-hourly simple moving average.
  • There was a break below a connecting bullish trend line with support at $0.6720 on the hourly chart of the ADA/USD pair (data source from Kraken).
  • The pair could start another increase if it clears the $0.70 resistance zone.

Cardano Price Dips Again

In the past few days, Cardano saw a recovery wave from the $0.6350 zone, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. ADA was able to climb above the $0.680 and $0.6880 resistance levels.

However, the bears were active above the $0.70 zone. A high was formed at $0.7090 and the price corrected most gains. There was a move below the $0.650 level. Besides, there was a break below a connecting bullish trend line with support at $0.6720 on the hourly chart of the ADA/USD pair.

A low was formed at $0.6356 and the price is now consolidating losses near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $0.7090 swing high to the $0.6356 low. Cardano price is now trading below $0.680 and the 100-hourly simple moving average.

On the upside, the price might face resistance near the $0.6720 zone or the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $0.7090 swing high to the $0.6356 low. The first resistance is near $0.6950. The next key resistance might be $0.700.

Cardano Price

If there is a close above the $0.70 resistance, the price could start a strong rally. In the stated case, the price could rise toward the $0.7420 region. Any more gains might call for a move toward $0.7650 in the near term.

Another Drop in ADA?

If Cardano’s price fails to climb above the $0.6720 resistance level, it could start another decline. Immediate support on the downside is near the $0.6420 level.

The next major support is near the $0.6350 level. A downside break below the $0.6350 level could open the doors for a test of $0.620. The next major support is near the $0.60 level where the bulls might emerge.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACD – The MACD for ADA/USD is losing momentum in the bearish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for ADA/USD is now below the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $0.6420 and $0.6350.

Major Resistance Levels – $0.6720 and $0.7000.



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