Connect with us

Market

Buterin Envisions Prediction Markets Evolving Into Info Finance

Published

on



Prediction platforms, like Polymarket, recently attracted significant attention during the US elections for their distinct role in forecasting outcomes. However, Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin believes these platforms hold even greater potential, envisioning their evolution to reshape social media, science, news, governance, and other sectors.

In his recent blog post titled “From Prediction Markets to Info Finance,” Buterin outlined a concept called “info finance,” which extends beyond traditional prediction markets by merging information with finance on a blockchain scale.

Buterin Highlights Prediction Markets’ Power Beyond Elections

Buterin sees prediction markets serving dual purposes: enabling bets and acting as alternative news sources. He highlights how platforms like Polymarket have become trusted for information, often outperforming traditional media in accuracy.

“To many people, prediction markets are about betting on elections, and betting on elections is gambling – nice if it helps people enjoy themselves, but fundamentally not more interesting than buying random coins on pump.fun,” Buterin wrote.

He noted that Polymarket accurately indicated a stronger chance for Trump to win certain elections, while mainstream sources suggested otherwise. It also effectively forecasted outcomes for Venezuela’s July election, combining real-time data with market predictions.

According to Buterin, these platforms offer valuable insights to both bettors and non-bettors. Bettors can place wagers, while other users can view market data as a unique news source. This structure, he argues, bridges the gap between information and finance, creating a type of “info finance” that could address issues of trust and accuracy on a blockchain scale.

Buterin noted that info finance allows users to extract valuable insights by identifying a key fact and designing a market to gather this information from participants. He envisions this concept as a “three-sided” market, where bettors make predictions, readers consume these forecasts, and the system generates public predictions.

This structure aligns financial incentives with the distribution of reliable information, creating a unique, value-driven ecosystem.

“One technology that I expect will turbocharge info finance in the next decade is AI (whether LLMs or some future technology). This is because many of the most interesting applications of info finance are on ‘micro’ questions: millions of mini-markets for decisions that individually have relatively low consequence,” Buterin added.

Looking forward, Buterin believes that info finance could expand beyond prediction markets to influence decentralized autonomous organizations (DAOs), personal tokens, and even advertising. In DAOs, for instance, prediction markets could complement or even replace traditional voting by leveraging both human and AI predictions to streamline decision-making.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



Source link

Market

XRP and Bitcoin Briefly Rallies After Rumors of 90-Day Tariff Pause

Published

on


The brief rumor of a 90-day pause from Trump’s tariffs caused the markets to rally significantly. However, the White House squashed these rumors, fueling further crashes.

This highlights a genuine desperation in the markets as traders try to regain some bullish momentum and prevent a recession.

Trump Tariff Fakeout

The threat of Trump’s tariffs is closer than ever, and it’s causing a “Black Monday” event in the crypto markets. Bitcoin dipped below $80,000, and over $1 billion was liquidated from crypto.

However, one of the President’s advisors, Kevin Hassett, suggested this morning that he might be having second thoughts:

“Would Trump consider a 90-day pause in tariffs?’ ‘I think the president is gonna decide what the president is gonna decide … even if you think there will be some negative effect from the trade side, that’s still a small share of GDP,’” Hassett said in an interview.

This news quickly began recirculating, claiming that Trump was seriously considering a 90-day pause in tariffs. This created a huge rally in traditional markets, with the S&P 500 shooting up 6% in seconds. This rally turned on a dime to a certain extent, falling again quickly.

S&P 500 Performance During Tariff Rumors
S&P 500 Performance During Tariff Rumors. Source: Google Finance

Following the rumor, XRP rallied nearly 10% to hit $2, while Bitcoin rebounded back to $80,000. Both assets have declined again due to the lack of credibility of the news. Overall, the volatility has been extremely chaotic in the crypto market today.

XRP Daily price chart
XRP Daily Price Chart on Monday, April 7. Source: TradingView

In his interview, Hassett did not make any firm commitments that Trump is considering pausing tariffs. His response focused mostly on ongoing negotiations and assertions that the tariffs would have a limited impact.

Shortly afterward, the White House officially denied any knowledge of a 90-day pause. They are still set to begin in two days.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



Source link

Continue Reading

Market

Binance Founder CZ Joins Pakistan Crypto Council as Advisor

Published

on



Changpeng ‘CZ’ Zhao, the founder of Binance, has reportedly taken on a new role as Strategic Advisor to the Pakistan Crypto Council. 

Pakistan’s local media suggests that the appointment was confirmed during a meeting held in Islamabad with top government officials.

CZ Joins Pakistan Crypto Council

The Finance Minister, Senator Muhammad Aurangzeb, reportedly led the session. Other attendees included the heads of Pakistan’s key financial and regulatory bodies—the Securities and Exchange Commission and the State Bank—and senior officials from the law and IT ministries.

According to the reports, Zhao also met separately with Pakistan’s Prime Minister and Deputy Prime Minister to discuss digital asset policy and blockchain adoption.

His involvement with Pakistan follows a recent agreement with the Kyrgyz Republic. There, he is advising on Web3 infrastructure and blockchain education.

Kyrgyzstan has also launched the A7A5 stablecoin, pegged to the Russian ruble. Both Kyrgyzstan and Pakistan are looking to develop their financial ecosystem around crypto to attract industry interest in the regions.

Meanwhile, CZ continues to engage with multiple governments on crypto regulation. He has been focused on building secure frameworks and enabling digital finance ecosystems.

BeInCrypto has contacted Binance about the reports and whether the company is involved in the initiative.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



Source link

Continue Reading

Market

Ethereum (ETH) Tanks to March 2023 Levels as ETH/BTC Ratio Plummets to 5-Year Low

Published

on


The value of the leading altcoin, Ethereum, has plunged to its lowest point since March 2023, signaling a steep decline in market confidence. This has happened amid the broader market’s downturn, which was exacerbated by Donald Trump’s Liberation Day. 

Compounding the bearish sentiment, the ETH/BTC ratio has now dropped to a five-year low, indicating that Bitcoin is gaining relative strength against Ethereum. 

ETH/BTC Ratio Hits 5-Year Low as Traders Flee

ETH’s price decline has pushed the ETH/BTC ratio to a five-year low of 0.019. This ratio measures ETH’s relative value compared to BTC.  When it rises, it indicates that ETH is outperforming BTC, either because the altcoin’s price is growing faster or the king coin’s price is falling. 

ETH/BTC Ratio.
ETH/BTC Ratio. Source: TradingView

Conversely, a decline like this suggests that the leading coin, BTC, is gaining strength relative to the top altcoin, ETH.  It suggests that traders are moving capital into BTC, seeing it as a safer or more profitable investment at the moment despite its own price troubles. 

Further, on the daily chart, ETH’s negative Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) confirms the coin’s plummeting demand. At press time, it is at -0.07. 

ETH Chaikin Money Flow
ETH Chaikin Money Flow. Source: TradingView

The CMF indicator measures the volume-weighted accumulation and distribution of an asset over a set period, helping gauge buying and selling pressure. When its value falls below zero like this, it indicates that selling pressure is dominating.

ETH’s CMF readings suggest that more traders are distributing (selling) the coin than accumulating it. This reflects weakening demand and is a bearish signal for the asset’s price momentum.

ETH Flashes Oversold Signal: Is a Bounce Back on the Horizon?

ETH’s Relative Strength Index (RSI), observed on a one-day chart, shows that the altcoin is currently oversold. At press time, the momentum indicator is in a downtrend at 25.62. 

The RSI indicator measures an asset’s overbought and oversold market conditions. It ranges between 0 and 100. Values above 70 suggest that the asset is overbought and due for a price decline, while values under 30 indicate that the asset is oversold and may witness a rebound.

At 25.62, ETH’s RSI signals that the coin is deeply oversold. This presents a buying opportunity, as such lows are usually followed by a price rebound. 

If this happens, ETH’s price could regain and climb back above $1,589. If this support level strengthens, it could propel ETH’s value to $1,904.

ETH Price Analysis
ETH Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, this rebound is not guaranteed. If ETH bears maintain dominance and selloffs continue, the coin could extend its decline and fall toward $1,197.

The post Ethereum (ETH) Tanks to March 2023 Levels as ETH/BTC Ratio Plummets to 5-Year Low appeared first on BeInCrypto.



Source link

Continue Reading

Trending

Copyright © 2024 coin2049.io