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Ethereum Volatility Soon? Derivatives Exchanges Receive 82,000 ETH In Deposits

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On-chain data shows derivatives exchanges have just received large Ethereum deposits, something that could lead to volatility in ETH’s price.

Ethereum Exchange Netflow Has Seen A Sharp Positive Spike Recently

As explained by an analyst in a CryptoQuant Quicktake post, the Exchange Netflow for ETH has registered a large spike recently. The “Exchange Netflow” here refers to an on-chain indicator that keeps track of the net amount of ETH moving into or out of the wallets associated with centralized exchanges.

When the value of this metric is positive, it means the investors are depositing a net number of tokens to these platforms. How these transactions affect ETH depends on the exchange to which the holders are moving coins.

In the case of spot exchanges, investors usually make deposits whenever they want to sell, so positive exchange netflows to platforms of this type can lead to a bearish outcome.

For derivatives exchanges, which are relevant platforms in the current discussion, the relationship with the price doesn’t tend to be so simple. Holders transfer their coins to these exchanges to open up fresh positions on the derivatives market.

As new positions generally accompany some leverage, the overall risk in the sector could be assumed to go up when investors deposit to derivatives exchanges. This can lead to more volatility for the ETH price.

A negative Exchange Netflow is usually bullish no matter the platforms involved, as it implies the investors are moving their coins to self-custodial wallets, potentially because they plan to hold into the long term.

Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Ethereum Exchange Netflow for the derivatives platforms over the last few weeks:

Ethereum Exchange Netflow

As displayed in the above graph, the Ethereum Exchange Netflow has seen a large spike into positive territory recently, which suggests the investors have just made large net deposits to the derivatives platforms.

The holders have transferred about 82,000 ETH to these exchanges with this net inflow spree. As mentioned earlier, this trend can lead to higher volatility for ETH.

It’s hard to say which direction any emerging volatility might take the cryptocurrency in, as other positive spikes in the last couple of months have proven to be a mixed bag.

Given that the latest spike has coincided with a plunge in Ethereum’s price, though, a lot of these may be short positions predicting a further decline. If so, a swing to the upside could lead to liquidating these positions, which would add fuel to the rally.

ETH Price

At the time of writing, Ethereum is trading at around $2,400, down almost 7% over the last week.

Ethereum Price Chart



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Ethereum

Ethereum Faces ‘Hyperinflation Hellscape’—Analyst Reveals Key On-Chain Insights

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Ethereum (ETH) continues to underperform in the broader cryptocurrency market, currently trading just below $1,800 after falling 4% in the past 24 hours. Despite a strong start to the year, where the crypto market experienced bullish momentum, ETH has failed to sustain its upward trajectory.

Since slipping below the $3,000 level, the asset has largely ranged downward and has now breached the $2,000 support zone, signaling weakening demand and sentiment.

While Bitcoin and other major digital assets still managed to see some recovery efforts in recent weeks, Ethereum’s price decline has been accompanied by decreasing network activity and weakening on-chain fundamentals.

This divergence has raised concerns over ETH’s short-term outlook and prompted a fresh analysis of the underlying causes driving the asset’s performance.

Fee Decline and Network Inactivity Fuel Inflationary Pressures

CryptoQuant analyst EgyHash recently published a report highlighting key on-chain metrics that suggest Ethereum’s current market weakness is closely tied to its declining fee economy and user activity.

According to the report titled: “Why Ethereum Is Bleeding Value: Fee Crash Meets Hyperinflation Hellscape.” Ethereum’s network is experiencing its lowest levels of activity since 2020.

Ethereum active addresses

Daily active addresses have declined steadily since early 2025, and average transaction fees have dropped to record lows. This reduction in activity has led to a sharp fall in Ethereum’s burn rate, a metric crucial in offsetting inflationary pressures following the network’s transition to proof-of-stake.

The Dencun upgrade, which was expected to enhance network efficiency, has coincided with an extended period of low transaction volumes, further reducing fee income and contributing to higher net ETH issuance.

Ethereum total supply.

EgyHash concludes that the confluence of weak network engagement, reduced burn rate, and high token inflation is central to Ethereum’s declining valuation.

Ethereum Technical Outlook Signals Potential Support

Despite on-chain headwinds, some technical analysts maintain a cautiously optimistic view. Trader Courage, a technical analyst on X, noted that Ethereum is currently testing a major support zone and could rebound toward the upper resistance of its current trading range.

Another market analyst, CryptoElite, shared a long-term ascending trendline that ETH has respected historically. Based on this trend, the analyst believes ETH could still have the potential to rally to $10,000 later in the year, provided broader market conditions improve.

Bitcoin (BTC) price chart on TradingView

Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView





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Ethereum Trading In ‘No Man’s Land’, Breakout A ‘Matter Of Time’?

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Ethereum (ETH) continues failing to reclaim the $2,100 resistance, dropping 6% in the past week. As the second largest crypto trades within its “make or break” levels, some market watchers suggest it will continue to move sideways before another major move.

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Ethereum Trades At 2023 Levels

After closing its worst Q1 since 2018, Ethereum continued moving sideways, hovering between the $1,775-$1,925 price range. Amid last Monday’s recovery, Ethereum traded only 6% below its monthly opening, eyeing a potential positive close in the monthly timeframe.

Nonetheless, the cryptocurrency fell over 10% from last week’s high to close the first quarter 45.4% below its January opening and 18.6% from its March opening. Moreover, it registers its worst performance in seven years, recording four consecutive months of bleeding for the first time since 2018.

Daan Crypto Trades noted that ETH is “still trading in no man’s land” despite its recent attempts to break above its current range. In early March, Ethereum dropped below the $2,100 mark, losing its 2024 gains and hitting a 16-month low of $1,750.

Ethereum
ETH price hovers between the $1,750-$2,100 range. Source: Daan Crypto Trades on X

The trader suggested that the crucial levels to watch are a breakdown below $1,750 or a breakout above $2,100. “Anything in between is just going to be a painful chop,” he added.

Another market watcher, Merlijn The Trader, highlighted that ETH is at 2021 levels, pointing that it is trading within the breakout zone that led to Ethereum’s all-time high (ATH) but has stronger fundamentals and more institutional demand four years later.

“ETH is sitting on the same monthly support that ignited the 2021 bull run. Hold it, and $10K is in play. Lose it… and things get ugly,” he detailed.

More Chop Before ETH’s Next Move?

Analyst VirtualBacon considers that Ethereum will continue to trade within its current price range for the time being. He explained that ETH’s price has fallen to retest the last bear market resistance levels, as it has erased all its gains since November 2023.

The analyst considers this zone a “good value range” but doesn’t expect the cryptocurrency to break out “right away.” However, he added that a bullish breakout is “simply a matter of time” in longer timeframes.

“Ethereum always catches up when the Fed pivots and the global liquidity index beings to uptrend. That’s when you see the ETH/BTC ratio start to turn up again, leading the rest of the altcoin market,” he concluded.

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Ali Martinez pointed out that the number of large ETH transactions has significantly declined in over a month, dropping 63.8% since February 25.

During this period, large transactions fell from 14,500 to 5,190, signaling a drop in whale activity on the network. He also noted that whales have sold 760,000 ETH in the last two weeks.

As of this writing, Ethereum trades at $1,903, a 6% drop in the weekly timeframe.

Ethereum, eth, ethusdt
Ethereum’s performance in the one-week chart. Source: ETHUSDT on TradingView

Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com



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Why A Massive Drop To $1,400 Could Rock The Underperformer

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Crypto analyst Klejdi has indicated that Ethereum’s pain is far from over, with the second-largest crypto by market cap set to suffer a further downtrend. Specifically, he warned that ETH could still drop to as low as $1,400 before it finds a bottom. 

Ethereum May Still Drop To As Low As $1,400

In a TradingView post, Kledji stated that Ethereum may drop to $1,400, providing a bearish outlook for the altcoin, which has underperformed other top cryptocurrencies. The analyst noted that ETH lost nearly 12% of its value within just three days after breaking out of its recent pattern last Friday.  

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He further mentioned that Ethereum’s movement and the rest of the crypto market are closely tied to Bitcoin. As such, this ETH crash is likely to happen, seeing as the flagship crypto has dropped to $81,300 and is already showing signs of further decline

Klejdi highlighted in his accompanying chart that ETH will likely consolidate near its current level before continuing to move lower. However, the chart showed that the move to this $1,400 target will likely happen this month. 

Ethereum
Source: Kledji on Tradingview

In the meantime, the analyst believes it would be wise to wait for Ethereum’s price to form another bearish pattern before entering a trade. He again reaffirmed that there is a strong possibility that ETH may extend its drop to $1,400

Ethereum whales are already capitulating ahead of this projected price crash. Onchain analytics platform Lookonchain revealed an ETH OG that has sold off all its holdings. This investor bought 5,0001 ETH while trading at $277 in 2017 and didn’t sell when the altcoin hit its ATH during the last bull run. The whale started selling last month, possibly giving up on Ethereum making a comeback anytime soon. 

ETH Will Still Reach New Highs

Crypto analyst Virtual Bacon is still confident that Ethereum will reach new highs. He noted that ETH is back at its key bear market breakout zone, retesting the $1,700 and $2,100 range. He predicts that the altcoin will continue to chop around this range in the short term. However, he remarked that Ethereum tends to catch up fast once the US Federal Reserve pivots and global liquidity turns. 

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Crypto analyst Crypto Patel affirmed that Ethereum’s biggest run is coming. He stated that Q2 to Q4 of this year will be life-changing for ETH. The analyst added that this could be the cycle top window and advised market participants not to miss it. Crypto Patel advised that they should accumulate between $1,900 and $1,300 with the target of between $7,000 and $10,000 in mind. 

At the time of writing, the Ethereum price is trading at around $1,850, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

Ethereum
ETH trading at $1,821 on the 1D chart | Source: ETHUSDT on Tradingview.com

Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com



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