Ethereum
Can This Drive A New ATH Above $5,000?
The worst looks to be over for Ethereum (ETH), as certain metrics suggest that the bottom is already in for the second-largest crypto by market cap. Based on this, ETH looks to be headed for a new all-time high (ATH), surging past its current ATH of $4,800.
Ethereum MVRV Shows Bottom Is In
Data from the onchain analytics platform Glassnode shows that Ethereum’s market value to realized value (MVRV) lowest pricing level is at $1,687, which suggests that the bottom is already in for the crypto token. These MVRV pricing levels highlight how low or high a token will likely reach in a market cycle based on unrealized loss or unrealized profits.
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As such, Ethereum is unlikely to see a drop below the $1,687 price level and instead looks headed for its market top. It is worth mentioning that Ethereum dropped to as low as $2,200 following the market crash on August 5. That price level is close to the $2,109 MVRV pricing band, which Glassnode highlighted, further proving that the crypto has bottomed.
Meanwhile, the shift to accumulation among Ethereum investors indicates that they are no longer looking to sell their assets but are holding in anticipation of higher prices. Data from Glassnode shows that the percentage of ETH’s supply held on exchanges has drastically declined to under 10%. This is significant as it potentially reduces the selling pressure on Ethereum and primes it for a massive rally as long as investors continue to hold.
Data from Glassnode shows that Ethereum could rise above $5,000 and reach as high as $6,759, which is the highest MVRV pricing level for the crypto at the moment. That price level could mark a market top for Ethereum in this bull run, although crypto analysts like Tyler Durden have predicted that the crypto could still reach $10,000.
Other Metrics That Support An Imminent Price Rally For ETH
A recent blog post on the onchain analytics platform Cryptoquant highlighted two metrics that show that Ethereum is gearing up for its next leg up. One is the Taker Buy-Sell Ration, which calculates the ratio of Ethereum buyers to sellers. This metric is said to be positive again as Ethereum bulls are regaining strength and suppressing any selling pressure from the bears.
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Ethereum’s open interest (OI) is again rising after dropping to $7 billion following the August 5 market crash. Data from Coinglass shows that the OI is currently at 10.81 billion, indicating that leveraged players are returning to the scene. This is significant as trading volume in the derivatives market also greatly impacts ETH’s price.
At the time of writing, Ethereum is trading at around $2,590, down over 3% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.
Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
Ethereum (ETH) continues to underperform in the broader cryptocurrency market, currently trading just below $1,800 after falling 4% in the past 24 hours. Despite a strong start to the year, where the crypto market experienced bullish momentum, ETH has failed to sustain its upward trajectory.
Since slipping below the $3,000 level, the asset has largely ranged downward and has now breached the $2,000 support zone, signaling weakening demand and sentiment.
While Bitcoin and other major digital assets still managed to see some recovery efforts in recent weeks, Ethereum’s price decline has been accompanied by decreasing network activity and weakening on-chain fundamentals.
This divergence has raised concerns over ETH’s short-term outlook and prompted a fresh analysis of the underlying causes driving the asset’s performance.
Fee Decline and Network Inactivity Fuel Inflationary Pressures
CryptoQuant analyst EgyHash recently published a report highlighting key on-chain metrics that suggest Ethereum’s current market weakness is closely tied to its declining fee economy and user activity.
According to the report titled: “Why Ethereum Is Bleeding Value: Fee Crash Meets Hyperinflation Hellscape.” Ethereum’s network is experiencing its lowest levels of activity since 2020.
Daily active addresses have declined steadily since early 2025, and average transaction fees have dropped to record lows. This reduction in activity has led to a sharp fall in Ethereum’s burn rate, a metric crucial in offsetting inflationary pressures following the network’s transition to proof-of-stake.
The Dencun upgrade, which was expected to enhance network efficiency, has coincided with an extended period of low transaction volumes, further reducing fee income and contributing to higher net ETH issuance.
EgyHash concludes that the confluence of weak network engagement, reduced burn rate, and high token inflation is central to Ethereum’s declining valuation.
Why Ethereum Is Bleeding Value
“Ethereum’s recent underperformance can be largely attributed to diminished network activity, as evidenced by declining active addresses and reduced transaction fees.” – By @EgyHashX pic.twitter.com/fgQJYCrOIn
— CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) April 3, 2025
Ethereum Technical Outlook Signals Potential Support
Despite on-chain headwinds, some technical analysts maintain a cautiously optimistic view. Trader Courage, a technical analyst on X, noted that Ethereum is currently testing a major support zone and could rebound toward the upper resistance of its current trading range.
Back at the green support line. Looks like we could be heading towards the top of the range.
Key levels are on the chart.#Ethereum pic.twitter.com/rRX8b3b6nW
— Trader Courage
(@CryptoCourage1) April 3, 2025
Another market analyst, CryptoElite, shared a long-term ascending trendline that ETH has respected historically. Based on this trend, the analyst believes ETH could still have the potential to rally to $10,000 later in the year, provided broader market conditions improve.
Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
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Ethereum (ETH) continues failing to reclaim the $2,100 resistance, dropping 6% in the past week. As the second largest crypto trades within its “make or break” levels, some market watchers suggest it will continue to move sideways before another major move.
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Ethereum Trades At 2023 Levels
After closing its worst Q1 since 2018, Ethereum continued moving sideways, hovering between the $1,775-$1,925 price range. Amid last Monday’s recovery, Ethereum traded only 6% below its monthly opening, eyeing a potential positive close in the monthly timeframe.
Nonetheless, the cryptocurrency fell over 10% from last week’s high to close the first quarter 45.4% below its January opening and 18.6% from its March opening. Moreover, it registers its worst performance in seven years, recording four consecutive months of bleeding for the first time since 2018.
Daan Crypto Trades noted that ETH is “still trading in no man’s land” despite its recent attempts to break above its current range. In early March, Ethereum dropped below the $2,100 mark, losing its 2024 gains and hitting a 16-month low of $1,750.
The trader suggested that the crucial levels to watch are a breakdown below $1,750 or a breakout above $2,100. “Anything in between is just going to be a painful chop,” he added.
Another market watcher, Merlijn The Trader, highlighted that ETH is at 2021 levels, pointing that it is trading within the breakout zone that led to Ethereum’s all-time high (ATH) but has stronger fundamentals and more institutional demand four years later.
“ETH is sitting on the same monthly support that ignited the 2021 bull run. Hold it, and $10K is in play. Lose it… and things get ugly,” he detailed.
More Chop Before ETH’s Next Move?
Analyst VirtualBacon considers that Ethereum will continue to trade within its current price range for the time being. He explained that ETH’s price has fallen to retest the last bear market resistance levels, as it has erased all its gains since November 2023.
The analyst considers this zone a “good value range” but doesn’t expect the cryptocurrency to break out “right away.” However, he added that a bullish breakout is “simply a matter of time” in longer timeframes.
“Ethereum always catches up when the Fed pivots and the global liquidity index beings to uptrend. That’s when you see the ETH/BTC ratio start to turn up again, leading the rest of the altcoin market,” he concluded.
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Ali Martinez pointed out that the number of large ETH transactions has significantly declined in over a month, dropping 63.8% since February 25.
During this period, large transactions fell from 14,500 to 5,190, signaling a drop in whale activity on the network. He also noted that whales have sold 760,000 ETH in the last two weeks.
As of this writing, Ethereum trades at $1,903, a 6% drop in the weekly timeframe.
Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
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Crypto analyst Klejdi has indicated that Ethereum’s pain is far from over, with the second-largest crypto by market cap set to suffer a further downtrend. Specifically, he warned that ETH could still drop to as low as $1,400 before it finds a bottom.
Ethereum May Still Drop To As Low As $1,400
In a TradingView post, Kledji stated that Ethereum may drop to $1,400, providing a bearish outlook for the altcoin, which has underperformed other top cryptocurrencies. The analyst noted that ETH lost nearly 12% of its value within just three days after breaking out of its recent pattern last Friday.
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He further mentioned that Ethereum’s movement and the rest of the crypto market are closely tied to Bitcoin. As such, this ETH crash is likely to happen, seeing as the flagship crypto has dropped to $81,300 and is already showing signs of further decline.
Klejdi highlighted in his accompanying chart that ETH will likely consolidate near its current level before continuing to move lower. However, the chart showed that the move to this $1,400 target will likely happen this month.
In the meantime, the analyst believes it would be wise to wait for Ethereum’s price to form another bearish pattern before entering a trade. He again reaffirmed that there is a strong possibility that ETH may extend its drop to $1,400.
Ethereum whales are already capitulating ahead of this projected price crash. Onchain analytics platform Lookonchain revealed an ETH OG that has sold off all its holdings. This investor bought 5,0001 ETH while trading at $277 in 2017 and didn’t sell when the altcoin hit its ATH during the last bull run. The whale started selling last month, possibly giving up on Ethereum making a comeback anytime soon.
ETH Will Still Reach New Highs
Crypto analyst Virtual Bacon is still confident that Ethereum will reach new highs. He noted that ETH is back at its key bear market breakout zone, retesting the $1,700 and $2,100 range. He predicts that the altcoin will continue to chop around this range in the short term. However, he remarked that Ethereum tends to catch up fast once the US Federal Reserve pivots and global liquidity turns.
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Crypto analyst Crypto Patel affirmed that Ethereum’s biggest run is coming. He stated that Q2 to Q4 of this year will be life-changing for ETH. The analyst added that this could be the cycle top window and advised market participants not to miss it. Crypto Patel advised that they should accumulate between $1,900 and $1,300 with the target of between $7,000 and $10,000 in mind.
At the time of writing, the Ethereum price is trading at around $1,850, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.
Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com
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