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Ethereum has staged an impressive comeback, surging 21% from its $1,380 low to current levels following a week of intense selling pressure. The rally began last Wednesday, triggered by a major geopolitical development: US President Donald Trump announced a 90-day pause on reciprocal tariffs for all countries except China, which now faces a steep 145% tariff. The announcement injected a wave of optimism across global markets, with Ethereum among the top beneficiaries.

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Despite this bullish recovery, ETH remains below critical resistance levels, and the broader price structure continues to form a consolidation pattern. The market now awaits confirmation of whether this rebound will evolve into a full reversal or simply a relief rally amid continued macroeconomic uncertainty.

Crypto analyst Ali Martinez shared a technical chart on X, highlighting that Ethereum is currently consolidating within a symmetrical triangle on the hourly chart. According to Martinez, this pattern typically signals an imminent breakout, and if ETH breaks upward, it could trigger a 17% move to the upside.

As traders and investors watch closely, Ethereum’s next directional move will likely depend on both technical confirmations and broader sentiment around US-China trade tensions and their impact on risk assets.

Ethereum Faces Critical Resistance Amid Macroeconomic Uncertainty

Ethereum is trading at a pivotal resistance level that could determine the next major move in the market. After rebounding 21% from its $1,380 low, ETH now sits just below key levels that, if reclaimed, could spark a broader recovery rally. Despite this strong bounce, macroeconomic tensions remain in focus, with ongoing uncertainty around US tariffs and foreign policy—especially the 145% tariff on China—keeping investors cautious.

The crypto market, like equities, continues to be shaped by global developments. While some analysts believe Ethereum has already priced in the worst of the downturn, others argue that the recent rally is only a temporary relief within the early stages of a broader bear market. The debate reflects the current state of sentiment: mixed and driven more by short-term reactions than long-term conviction.

However, from a technical standpoint, Ethereum may be setting up for a decisive move. According to Martinez, ETH is currently consolidating within a symmetrical triangle on the hourly chart. This pattern often precedes a breakout, and Martinez suggests that a 17% move could follow. If Ethereum breaks to the upside, it could push the price back toward the $2,000 level—a psychological and technical milestone for the asset.

For now, all eyes are on whether bulls can maintain momentum and breach the upper trendline of the triangle. A strong breakout could signal a shift in the broader market narrative, transforming current consolidation into the foundation for a sustained rally. Still, given the unstable macro environment, traders remain cautious, watching for confirmation before fully committing to a bullish thesis.

ETH Bulls Face Key Resistance Ahead

Ethereum is trading at $1,670 after briefly setting a fresh 4-hour high around $1,691—slightly above the previous peak. This minor breakout signals that bullish momentum is building, but it remains fragile. To confirm a full reversal and begin a true recovery rally, ETH must reclaim the $1,875 level, which aligns with both the 4-hour 200-day moving average (MA) and the exponential moving average (EMA).

These indicators have acted as strong dynamic resistance throughout Ethereum’s recent downtrend, and only a decisive break above them would validate bullish control and potentially trigger a surge back toward the $2,000 level. A move past $1,875 would also indicate a shift in short-term market structure, giving bulls the confidence needed to drive higher highs.

However, if Ethereum fails to push through this critical resistance zone, the asset risks returning to lower demand levels. A rejection at these moving averages could send ETH back to $1,500 or even lower, especially if broader market sentiment deteriorates. With macroeconomic uncertainty and tariff-related volatility still looming, bulls need to act fast—or risk losing the progress made during this recovery attempt. For now, all eyes are on the $1,875 threshold.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView 

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Compared to other major crypto assets in the market, Ethereum’s price performance is still lagging, and it has been unable to make any significant upward move in months. Given the prolonged waning price performance, on-chain data shows that a substantial portion of ETH investors are currently in the red.

ETH Realized Price Nears Breaking Point

FundingVest, an on-chain data analyst and verified author, revealed that Ethereum’s market dynamics have reached a decisive moment. In the post on the X (formerly Twitter) platform, FundingVest highlighted that ETH’s accumulation addresses are now at a pivotal juncture as the altcoin’s realized price teeters on a critical make-or-break level.

After navigating the ETH Realized Price For Accumulation Addresses metric, it appears that the asset has broken below the cost basis of accumulation wallet addresses. This make-or-break moment is likely to determine whether Ethereum experiences more selling pressure that would shake the network’s faith or regain its upward momentum.

Presently, ETH is trending under the realized price of long-term holders, a crucial level that usually serves as solid support for the altcoin in bullish cycles. One thing is certain: When the price falls below the long-term holders’ realized price, caution is advised, as this development might lead to significant losses in the future. Meanwhile, a quick reclaim above this level hints at a potential bullish reversal in price.

According to the expert, this indicates mounting strain on wallets that amassed significant wealth between the 2020 and 2021 market cycles. Dips below the long-term holders’ realized price are uncommon and frequently brief in the past. 

However, persistent weakness in the zone can point to a more significant change in the market. With ETH’s current market price dropping below the average cost basis of these accumulators, this raises questions about its sustainability and prospects. 

ETH Supply In Profit Drops Below Levels Of Past Bear Market

ETH continues to face bearish pressure, limiting its potential for a major price rally. This persistent downward movement led to a historic low in the percentage of Ethereum supply in profit, indicating a weak market sentiment.

Crypto analyst and trader Venturefounder reported that the ETH percentage supply in profit has fallen to 40%. According to the expert, this level is lower than the last bear market cycle bottom, around 42% when the altcoin was trading at the $800 mark.

Considering the sharp drop, Venturefounder claims it is already a clear signal to deploy. Although the drop in supply profit calls for alarm, there is still a positive side to the development, especially if it falls to about 30%. Should it ever reach 30%, which is the green zone on the chart, the expert noted that it will create generational buy opportunities for investors.

Venturefounder also revealed in another post that the ETH Realized Price Multiple has declined to its last cycle bottom level. The expert considers this drop another on-chain buy signal for the altcoin.

Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.

Ethereum is trading below critical resistance levels after enduring weeks of heavy selling pressure and lackluster performance. Since breaking below the psychological $2,000 mark, the price has dropped more than 21%, signaling growing uncertainty among short-term investors. This decline has raised questions among market participants, especially as Ethereum’s on-chain fundamentals remain robust.

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Top analyst Ted Pillows shared insights suggesting that ETH is now trading near bear market lows—yet the network has never looked stronger. Over 95% of all stablecoin transactions are processed on Ethereum, and it still leads in Total Value Locked (TVL) across DeFi and Real World Asset (RWA) protocols. It is also the only altcoin with an approved spot ETF in the US, and numerous upgrades are lined up to improve its speed and reduce transaction costs.

Despite these strengths, Ethereum’s price remains suppressed, leading to growing speculation: is this just market sentiment at play, or could it reflect coordinated manipulation to shake out weak hands before a reversal? As Ethereum continues to dominate the utility narrative in crypto, many long-term holders see this downturn as a strategic accumulation zone, while others brace for more downside.

Ethereum Fundamentals Shine Despite Bearish Market Conditions

Ethereum is facing a critical test as it trades near major demand levels while macroeconomic uncertainty deepens. Global tensions persist as US President Donald Trump escalates his trade war with China. The recent 90-day tariff pause for all countries except China has done little to ease market fears. As economic pressure builds between the world’s two largest economies, investors are increasingly turning away from high-risk assets like crypto, driving volatility across digital markets.

Ethereum, like the broader crypto market, has suffered under this weight. The asset is now hovering just above bear market lows after a prolonged decline, prompting concerns over its short-term price action. Yet, despite the technical weakness, Pillows points to Ethereum’s strong fundamentals as a reason to remain optimistic.

According to Pillows, Ethereum remains the backbone of the decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystem. It processes over 95% of all stablecoin transactions, commands the highest Total Value Locked (TVL), and leads the charge in Real World Asset (RWA) tokenization. It’s also the only altcoin the US has approved for a spot ETF, adding institutional legitimacy.

With several protocol upgrades ahead aimed at improving scalability and reducing costs, Pillows believes Ethereum’s current valuation could represent a long-term buying opportunity. As he puts it: if you believe in fundamentals, ETH remains the top bet among altcoins.

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ETH Price Stuck In Range: Bulls Eye $1,800 Breakout

Ethereum is trading at $1,590 after several days of choppy price action between $1,500 and $1,700. The market remains stuck in this narrow range as bulls struggle to regain momentum amid broader macroeconomic uncertainty. The inability to reclaim key resistance zones has kept ETH under pressure, and a decisive breakout is needed to shift sentiment.

Bulls are currently eyeing the 4-hour 200-day Moving Average (MA) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA), both sitting near the $1,800 level. Reclaiming this zone would mark a major short-term victory for buyers and could signal the beginning of a recovery phase. A clean break above $1,800 would also invalidate the current lower-high structure and potentially drive ETH toward higher supply areas near $2,000.

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However, the downside risks remain. If Ethereum fails to hold above current support levels and dips below $1,550, the next leg could send the asset beneath the $1,500 mark. For now, the $1,500–$1,800 corridor defines Ethereum’s battleground, and traders are closely watching for a breakout that sets the next major direction.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView