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US Economic Data This Week: Key Events Shaping Bitcoin

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This week in crypto, several US economic data releases will influence Bitcoin (BTC) and crypto market sentiment in general.

Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s price still hovers near the $87,000 threshold, defending against further downside despite being devoid of sufficient catalysts to activate its upside potential.

US Economic Data With Crypto Implication This Week

This week, five US economic data sets, including services and manufacturing PMI, consumer confidence, initial jobless claims, GDP, and PCE Index, interest crypto traders and investors. Here is how they could sway sentiment.

US Economic Data With Bitcoin Implication this Week
US Economic Data With Bitcoin Implication this Week. Source: Trading Economics

Services and Manufacturing PMI

The S&P Global US Services and Manufacturing PMI data, due on Monday, March 24, will gauge the health of these critical sectors. Recent trends show manufacturing holding strong at 52.7, while services follow at 51.0.

Strong manufacturing and services PMI readings could boost risk appetite, potentially lifting Bitcoin as investors seek high-yield assets. Conversely, readings below 50 would signal economic contraction, stoking recession fears and effectively driving safe-haven flows away from crypto.

With Trump’s pro-growth policies gaining traction, any upside surprise could amplify bullish sentiment, though persistent weakness may temper enthusiasm.

“A busy week as we come to the end of Q1 2025. How will the markets close out the first quarter of Trump’s new term?” analyst Mark Cullen of AlphaBTC posed.

Consumer Confidence

Tuesday’s Consumer Confidence Index from The Conference Board, expected around 10 AM ET, will reflect spending attitudes amid economic uncertainty. Despite solid job growth, February’s drop to 98.3—its steepest since 2021—hints at unease.

A rebound to the median forecast of 95.0 could signal waning retail optimism, a key driver for Bitcoin’s retail-heavy market, pushing prices higher.

However, if confidence sinks further, dovish Federal Reserve (Fed) expectations might grow, offering mixed outcomes. Liquidity hopes could buoy BTC price, but risk-off moves might dominate.

Initial Jobless Claims

Thursday’s Initial Jobless Claims report will track labor market strength, showing the number of US citizens filing for unemployment insurance.

The 223,000 reading for the week ending March 15, slightly below the expected 224,000, suggested a cooling economy, a focal point for Fed policy. It extended positive sentiment after the week ending March 8, where initial jobless claims in the US were 220,000, compared to an expected 225,000.

This time, however, the median forecast is a slight bump in initial jobless claims to 226,000 for the week ending March 22.

Higher claims could spark recession jitters, nudging investors toward Bitcoin as a hedge against instability. On the other hand, lower claims might bolster traditional markets, siphoning capital from crypto. With the Trump administration eyeing labor boosts, this data could pivot sentiment sharply.

GDP

The GDP second revision for Q4 2024, out Thursday, is forecasted at 2.3%. Stronger growth could dampen Bitcoin’s appeal as a risk asset if investors favor equities, especially with revised 2024 figures showing a 3% annual rise.

A weaker print might fuel rate-cut speculation, enhancing BTC’s allure as a store of value. Crypto traders are watching how this aligns with recent Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) updates signaling strong consumer spending.

Meanwhile, Bitcoin OG and economist George Selgin challenge claims that a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve would boost GDP. The finance expert argues that Bitcoin’s price growth does not directly or significantly influence a country’s economic output.

“…But that [Bitcoin] price has no definite and substantial bearing on GDP, so by stocking up on Bitcoin the gov’t does not grow the GDP,” he explained.

This standpoint stems from Trump’s March 2025 Executive Order creating a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve using forfeited assets. Selgin and others criticize this as a misuse of public funds.

PCE Index

Meanwhile, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, the PCE Index (Personal Consumption Expenditures), is due on Friday. The index for February will follow January’s 2.5% year-on-year (YoY) rise.

A hotter-than-expected core PCE (excluding food and energy) could delay rate cuts, pressuring Bitcoin downward as tighter policy looms. A softer reading might ignite a rally, reinforcing hopes of monetary easing. With inflation stickiness lingering, this release could dictate BTC’s near-term trajectory.

Crypto markets remain on edge, with these events poised to shape Bitcoin’s path amid changing US economic narratives.

BTC Price Performance
BTC Price Performance. Source: BeInCrypto

BeInCrypto data shows BTC was trading for $86,712, up by over 3% in the last 24 hours.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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8,000 Dormant Bitcoin Suddenly Move: What’s Next For The Market?

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Popular CryptoQuant analyst Maartunn reports that 8,000 Bitcoin (BTC) which have been dormant for five to seven years have been moved suddenly, adding to current bearish concerns in the crypto. This development comes after a rather adventurous week as BTC prices struggled to break above $89,000, following an initial steady bullish climb, before succumbing to heavy selling pressures driven by US President Donald Trump’s hawkish tariff policy.

$674 Million In Old BTC Transfers In Single Block – Cause For Alarm?

The Spent Output Age Bands is a crucial metric to measure how long Bitcoin tokens remain inactive before moving. According to Maartuun in an X post, this metric has recently revealed that 8,000 BTC worth $674 million that was last transferred between 2018 and 2020 have been moved recently in a single block drawing significant market attention.

This transfer follows a string of recent activations of dormant Bitcoin stashes. On March 24, a 14-year inactive Bitcoin wallet suddenly moved 100 Bitcoin valued at $8.5 million. Meanwhile, in early March, six ancient Bitcoin wallets also transferred nearly 250 BTC worth $22 million.

Bitcoin

Notably, the most recent transaction reported by Maartuun is of far larger size with potentially strong implications for an uncertain Bitcoin market. Generally, a movement of such a large amount of BTC from long-term dormancy is usually interpreted as a signal for incoming selling pressure leading to major price corrections.

However, there are other potential non-bearish motives behind such transactions such as internal wallet shuffling by institutional investors or large holders as well as a cold storage reorganization. Currently, the owners of the new wallets receiving the 8000 is unknown thus reducing the potential of a bearish reaction from BTC holders.

Bitcoin Price Overview

In the last day, Bitcoin prices declined by 4.00% after the US Government announced intentions to impose a 25% tariff on auto imports and goods from China, Mexico, and Canada starting from April 3. This marks the latest negative reaction of the crypto market to President Trump’s international trade policies following similar incidents in early February and mid-March.

These measures by the Donald Trump administration are flaming fears of a potential economic slowdown which could further push high-risk assets such as BTC out of investors’ portfolios leading to a further downside.

At press time, Bitcoin currently trades at $83,693 reflecting a decline of 0.72% and 2.53% in the last seven and 30 days respectively. Meanwhile, the asset’s daily trading volume is up by 19.38% and is valued at $31.58 billion. The BTC market cap now stands at $1.66 trillion and still represents a dominant 61.1% of the total crypto market.

Bitcoin

BTC trading at $83,727 on the daily chart | Source: BTCUSDT chart on Tradingview.com



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Bitcoin Price Could Surge To $95,000 — But Analyst Sounds ‘Bull Trap’ Alarm

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Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

The Bitcoin price seemed to be breaking out of its consolidation range early on in the week, rising to as high as $88,500 on Monday, March 24. However, the flagship cryptocurrency appears to be back to ground zero, retracing to around $84,000 on Friday, March 28.

This recent price correction came following the release of inflation data in the United States. With the latest inflation data suggesting delayed rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve, risk assets — including cryptocurrencies — experienced significant downward pressure to close the week.

Here’s How BTC Price Could Fall To $62,000

The story gets a little grim for the world’s largest cryptocurrency after popular crypto analyst Crypto Capo put forward a bearish projection for the Bitcoin price in their latest post on the X platform. According to the crypto trader, the price of BTC could be on its way to a new low in this cycle.

Crypto Capo highlighted in their analysis of the BTC 12-hour chart that the $84,000 – $85,000 is pivotal for the premier cryptocurrency’s future trajectory. The online pundit noted that the Bitcoin price action could go one of two ways over the next few weeks.

In the first scenario, Crypto Capo expects the price of Bitcoin to enjoy a short-lived bullish burst to within the $95,000 – $100,000 range. This initial price run-up would be a bull trap for investors, according to the analyst. For context, a bull trap is a pattern that lures long traders (bulls) into the market by an initial upward surge followed by a quick reversal.

Fittingly, Crypto Capo predicts that Bitcoin will experience a capitulation event that will see its value plummet to the next main support. As seen in the chart below, this next major support lies within the $62,000 – $69,000 bracket, containing the April and November all-time high prices.

Bitcoin price

Source: @CryptoCapo_ on X

In the alternate scenario, Crypto Capo highlighted how the first bull trap idea could be invalidated. According to the trader, if the Bitcoin price successfully closes beneath the $84,000 – $85,000 range, it could fall to the $62,000 – $69,000 bracket.

Bitcoin Price At A Glance

As of this writing, the price of Bitcoin is moving around the $83,300 level, reflecting a 3% decline in the past 24 hours. This single correction event has wiped out the premier coin’s early-week profit, with CoinGecko data showing no significant gain or loss in the last seven days.

Bitcoin price

The price of BTC slides beneath $84,000 on the daily timeframe | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

Featured image created by DALL-E, chart from TradingView

Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.



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El Salvador’s Nayib Bukele Open to White House Visit

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El Salvador’s President Nayib Bukele has hinted at an upcoming visit to US President Donald Trump at the White House. The move has fueled speculation about closer cooperation between the two pro-Bitcoin leaders.

Although no official agenda has been released, if confirmed, the meeting would mark Bukele as the first Western Hemisphere leader to visit Trump at the White House during his current term.

Can Bitcoin Improve Diplomatic Relationship Between US and El Salvador?

On March 28, Bukele reacted to a report claiming that Trump plans to invite him to Washington.

Responding on social media, Bukele confirmed his willingness to visit and jokingly noted that he would bring “several cans of Diet Coke” — a nod to Trump’s well-known beverage of choice.

The two leaders have enjoyed a friendly relationship since Trump’s return to office. They reportedly spoke after the inauguration, and Trump later thanked Bukele publicly, commending his “understanding of this horrible situation” regarding US border issues.

Meanwhile, the possible visit follows El Salvador’s acceptance of deported Venezuelan gang members from the US.

These individuals were held at the country’s high-security Terrorism Confinement Center. The facility was recently visited by US Homeland Secretary Kristi Noem.

President Bukele’s administration has earned international praise — and criticism — for its tough stance on crime. His crackdown on gangs has transformed El Salvador from one of the most violent nations in the world to one of the safest in Latin America.

Meanwhile, speculation is growing within the crypto community that Bitcoin may emerge as a significant topic during the leaders’ discussions. Both Bukele and Trump have openly supported Bitcoin, though their approaches differ slightly.

Bukele’s stance on Bitcoin is notably proactive. In 2021, he spearheaded the creation of the world’s first national Bitcoin reserve, which has since grown to 6,130.18 BTC—worth over $512 million.

El Salvador's Bitcoin Holdings.
El Salvador’s Bitcoin Holdings. Source: The Bitcoin Office

Moreover, his pro-Bitcoin initiatives have attracted substantial foreign investments, including partnerships with prominent crypto companies like Tether.

President Trump also recently became more supportive of the top crypto asset, reversing previous skepticism.

Earlier this month, Trump authorized the establishment of a US National Bitcoin Reserve, with the federal government holding initial holdings of around 200,000 BTC.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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