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Navigating Bitcoin In September: Analyst Outlines Two Likely Scenarios

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The Bitcoin price trajectory in September appears to be at a critical juncture, and it carries the potential to unfold in two very different directions. After closing August on a bearish note, the leading cryptocurrency has continued to exhibit signs of weakness after September began. The early days of the month have already seen Bitcoin edging further into bearish territory, a development that could potentially signal a prolonged period of capitulation throughout the rest of the month. However, keeping in mind this is BTC we’re talking about, and we’re only three days into September, we could see the crypto bounce back up sometime in the middle of the month.

Adding to this speculation, a well-known crypto analyst who goes by the pseudonym Titan of Crypto (@Washigorira) on social media, recently shared his thoughts on the possible outcomes for Bitcoin this month. 

Bitcoin Trajectory In September

According to his analysis, there are two primary scenarios that could play out for Bitcoin in September. The first scenario envisions a rally that defies the prevailing bearish expectations and will surprise the market with an unexpected surge. The second scenario, however, involves a final phase of capitulation, where Bitcoin could reach new lows before staging a significant recovery in the final quarter of 2024.

This analysis focuses on the Bitcoin/US Dollar (BTC/USD) chart observed on a weekly timeframe. According to the chart’s current setup by @Washigorira, BTC has been tracing a price pattern that closely resembles a bullish expanding triangle since reaching its all-time high of $73,737 in March 2024. This particular pattern is widely recognized for its bullish signals. Despite the current short-term volatility, the longer-term outlook for Bitcoin remains positive. As such, both scenarios noted by the analyst eventually end up with a bullish surge for Bitcoin.

Bitcoin September
Source: X

In the first scenario, Bitcoin is expected to initiate a significant price surge in September. This surge would be strong enough to push the cryptocurrency above the upper trendline of the bullish expanding triangle that has served as a strong resistance level for months. If BTC successfully breaks through this resistance, the price could potentially achieve a complete breakout and set the stage for a new all-time high.

Related Reading: Crypto Analyst Predicts Shiba Inu Will Surge 1,000% To $0.00014

In terms of price target for this scenario, a complete breakout will see BTC reaching as high as $150,000 in Q1 2025. Interestingly, this mirrors the bullish rally experienced in Q4 2023, which ultimately ended with the latest all-time high in Q1 2024.

The second scenario presents a more cautious outlook, where Bitcoin continues to experience the current capitulation phase. This scenario envisions Bitcoin dipping further in September, potentially breaking below the $50,000 mark. Such a decline could see BTC retesting its August low of $49,800, which is a critical support level.

However, this scenario does not end on a bearish note. Following this potential dip, Bitcoin is expected to reverse its downward trend in the fourth quarter of 2024. This would then lead to a bullish rally with a slightly more conservative price target of $100,000.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $56,716.

Bitcoin price chart from Tradingview.com
BTC price at $56,000 | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com

Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com



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Bitcoin Drops as China Escalates Trade War With 34% Tariff on US

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On April 4, 2025, China responded to the latest US tariff imposition by imposing an additional 34% tariff on all goods imported from the US. This escalates the already tense trade war between the two largest economies in the world.

Bitcoin dropped 3% within hours of the announcement, briefly falling below $82,000. This latest development has caused concern among investors, analysts, and participants in the cryptocurrency sector about its potential impact.

Bitcoin Investors Worry About The Escalating Trade War

According to Xinhua News Agency, China will impose a 34% tariff on all products imported from the US starting April 10. Xinhua reported that the US’s “Reciprocal Tariff” violated WTO rules, severely damaging the legal and legitimate rights of WTO members and undermining the multilateral trade system and the international trade order based on rules.

“This is a typical act of unilateral hegemony that harms the stability of the global economic and trade order. China firmly opposes this,” The spokesperson for the Ministry of Commerce said in an interview about China’s lawsuit against the US’s “Reciprocal Tariff” at the WTO.

Previously, President Trump had imposed a 34% tariff on China in addition to the 20% tariffs already imposed in two phases. This means a total of 54% tariffs were applied to China.

News from China has caused concern among crypto investors. On April 4, Bitcoin’s price dropped from $84,600 to $82,000, a 3% decrease.

Bitcoin Price Performance. Source: BeInCrypto.
Bitcoin Price Performance. Source: BeInCrypto.

At the same time, following the news, the Long/Short ratio of Bitcoin dropped below 1, indicating a growing sentiment for short-selling, which has become dominant in the market.

BTC Long/Short Ratio Chart. Source: Coinglass.
BTC Long/Short Ratio Chart. Source: Coinglass.

Both Bitcoin and other markets have been affected. The S&P 500 fell from 5,260 points to 5,250 points, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped from 41,100 points to 40,500 points. China’s actions have raised concerns about the potential escalation of the global trade war.

“The ‘Third World War’ of the trade war has begun,” The Kobeissi Letter commented.

What Will Happen to Bitcoin When The US-China Trade War Escalates?

This cryptocurrency, often praised as a hedge against economic instability, tends to behave like a risky asset during sudden uncertain periods. Historical patterns support this reaction—during the US-China trade war in 2018-2019, Bitcoin experienced significant sell-offs as tariffs escalated, only recovering when the narrative of value preservation took precedence.

A significant portion of the global cryptocurrency hardware supply chain comes from China, where companies like Bitmain dominate the production of ASIC mining machines—important devices for Bitcoin mining.

With the US now facing a 34% tariff on technology imports from China, the cost of importing these mining machines is expected to rise dramatically. Bitcoin miners in the US, already facing high energy costs and competitive pressure on hashrate, may see their profits shrink further.

However, the long-term outlook for Bitcoin may not be as bleak as the initial market reaction. Some analysts suggest that prolonged trade wars and economic friction could enhance Bitcoin’s appeal as a decentralized asset unaffected by government intervention. If tariffs lead to inflation or weaken fiat currencies like the USD, investors may turn to cryptocurrencies as a safe haven.

“It’s not gold, and it’s not the yen. Instead, Bitcoin is emerging as a risk-dynamic asset – one that doesn’t crumble like high-growth stocks but also doesn’t attract the same flight-to-safety flows as traditional safe havens,” Nexo Dispatch Editor Stella Zlatarev told BeInCrypto.

This sentiment aligns with research indicating that instability often causes initial price drops but can pave the way for growth as acceptance increases.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Fresh $36M Bitcoin Transfer By Bhutan Sparks Speculation—Dump Alert?

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Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

A series of Bitcoin transfers from wallets linked to the Bhutanese government has caught the attention of cryptocurrency watchers. According to blockchain data from Arkham, addresses tied to Druk Holdings, the commercial arm of Bhutan’s government, moved 419.5 Bitcoin worth approximately $34.51 million to an unidentified address on April 2.

Government Wallets Transfer Large Sum To New Address

Based on reports from Arkham, a blockchain analytics platform, two separate wallets believed to belong to the Bhutanese government participated in the transfer. The main Bitcoin holding wallet sent 377.8 BTC ($32.11 million) to a new address identified only as “bc1qn6.” A second wallet, labeled “34oXLr,” contributed an additional 41.7 BTC ($3.5 million) to the same destination.

Source: Arkham

The funds remain in the new wallet at the time of this report. This movement follows a larger transfer last week when the government reportedly shifted 1,664 BTC ($144.57 million) to several different addresses.

Bhutan Maintains Significant Crypto Holdings

The Royal Government of Bhutan owns significant Bitcoin holdings, despite recent sales. Bhutan, based on Bitcoin Treasuries data, owns 13,029 BTC at a value of $1,061,269,247. This puts the nation fourth in total Bitcoin owned among countries, just behind El Salvador.

Source: Bitcoin Treasuries 

The landlocked Buddhist-majority country has emerged as an offbeat contributor to the cryptocurrency world. Bhutan reportedly mines Bitcoin by leveraging its abundant hydroelectric resources. This most recent stockpile of cryptocurrency constitutes a sizable portion of the total economy — 31% of the country’s gross domestic product (GDP), estimated at nearly $3 billion.

BTC is now trading at $82,122. Chart: TradingView

Market Response Following The News

The cryptocurrency market appears unaffected by Bhutan’s Bitcoin movements. According to price data, Bitcoin recovered from a low of $81,014 to reach $82,005 before slightly pulling back. This represents a 2.5% rebound within a day.

The leading cryptocurrency traded at $82,401 at the time of the report, showing a nearly 1% increase over 24 hours. If this upward trend continues, Bitcoin could achieve its third consecutive positive daily close for the first time since early January.

While Bhutan has been selling off its Bitcoin for profit, the United States is seeking to stop all sales of their balance and even expand it. Interestingly, US President Donald Trump signed an executive order last month to establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve for the nation. In the meantime, senator Cynthia Lummis has filed the Bitcoin Act, seeking to acquire 1 million BTC for the nation.

Featured image from AD, chart from TradingView

Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.



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Japanese Company Unveils Plans To Buy Crypto

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Enish, a Japanese game developer, plans to buy Bitcoin worth 100 million yen. The company announced this move as part of its growing work with blockchain technology, according to recent reports. This purchase comes at a time when Bitcoin was trading at $81,800, based on CoinGecko data.

Why Enish Is Buying Bitcoin Now

The gaming company’s interest in Bitcoin stems from its work on blockchain games. Enish believes owning Bitcoin will help them better understand the technology behind it. Their game “De Lithe Last Metsoires” already uses blockchain features.

Bitcoin stands as the most well-known cryptocurrency in the market. By owning it, Enish hopes to gain new insights for their technical teams. The company thinks this knowledge will improve how they make games and run their business.

Notice regarding the procurement of Bitcoin. Source: Enish

How And When The Purchase Will Happen

Enish has set clear dates for buying Bitcoin. They plan to make their purchase between April 1 and April 4, 2025. The company will spend 100 million yen through normal market buys on Japanese cryptocurrency exchanges.

This action also aligns with Enish’s asset management strategy. They are looking to diversify their holdings while setting themselves up for potential profits if Bitcoin’s value increases further. The company chose Bitcoin because it’s simple to purchase and sell, and has a big, stable market.

Other Companies Joining The Bitcoin Trend

Enish isn’t alone in buying Bitcoin. Data from CryptoQuant shows public companies added 91,780 Bitcoin to their holdings during the first quarter of 2025.

BTC is now trading at $82,260. Chart: TradingView

Tether added nearly 9,000 Bitcoin to its accounts, bringing its total to 92,640 Bitcoin. MicroStrategy (now Strategy), known for its heavy Bitcoin investments, bought another 81,780 Bitcoin. This latest purchase cost the company over $8 billion.

Smaller Players Also Making Bitcoin Moves

More recently, several smaller companies have purchased Bitcoin. Looking more closely at some of these purchases: The Blockchain Company bought 600 Bitcoin. Semler Scientific bought 1,100. Metaplanet also acquired 2,280 Bitcoin in a bigger purchase.

But some companies are raising money to purchase even more. Marathon Digital is raising funds by selling stocks to invest in Bitcoin. In November, GameStop submitted a $1.3 billion offering to initiate its own Bitcoin strategy.

The trend demonstrates increasing acceptance of cryptocurrency among businesses, with more companies diversifying into Bitcoin—often for the same reasons as Enish: blockchain adoption, digital currency growth, and future holdings.

Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView

Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.





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