Bitcoin
Goldman Sachs Raises US Recession Odds to 45%

Goldman Sachs has raised its probability of a US recession within the next year to 45%. The prediction signals increased economic uncertainty amid escalating global tensions, tightening financial conditions, and looming tariff impacts.
This marks the highest probability of recession predicted by the investment bank since the post-pandemic inflation and interest rate hikes began.
Goldman Sachs Sees 45% Chances of US Recession
Goldman Sachs’ latest note, “Countdown to Recession,” outlines a sharp deterioration in economic conditions. These include the implications of tariffs expected to take effect on April 9.
Steven Rattner, former head of the Obama Auto Task Force and current Wall Street financier, shared the news on social media, emphasizing the gravity of Goldman’s new outlook.
“Goldman Sachs now predicts a 45% chance of a recession in the next year,” Rattner wrote.

According to Rattner, the recent surge in policy uncertainty and capital spending concerns compound financial market instability.
Meanwhile, Nick Timiraos, the chief economics correspondent for The Wall Street Journal, echoed the news, indicating the bank has adjusted its 2025 Q4 GDP growth forecast to a mere 0.5%.
“We are lowering our 2025 Q4/Q4 GDP growth forecast to 0.5% and raising our 12-month recession probability from 35% to 45% following a sharp tightening in financial conditions, foreign consumer boycotts, and a continued spike in policy uncertainty that is likely to depress capital spending by more than we had previously assumed,” Timiraos reported, citing Goldman Sachs.
While this reflects the anticipated fallout, the bank’s current forecast assumes that many new tariffs scheduled for April 9 will not materialize.
However, Goldman Sachs articulated that if Trump enacted these tariffs, the bank would adjust its prediction and formally forecast a recession. This could fuel already simmering inflation and drive further downward pressure on US economic growth.
Amid escalating trade tensions, Polymarket bettors see almost 70% odds of US recession after Liberation Day tariffs.

Goldman Sachs Ups Bitcoin ETF Holdings
Despite the grim outlook for the economy, Goldman Sachs remains heavily invested in the crypto space, particularly Bitcoin (BTC). As of February 12, the bank held a substantial $1.5 billion in Bitcoin. This exposure comes through exposure to BlackRock and Fidelity’s Bitcoin ETFs (exchange-traded funds).
Moreover, recent filings reveal that Goldman Sachs has significantly increased its Bitcoin ETF holdings. Compared to previous filings, it boosted its position in the iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) by 88% and the Franklin Bitcoin Trust (FBTC) by 105%.
This position reflects Goldman Sachs’ growing interest in digital assets as an alternative store of value amid traditional market instability.
This increase comes as Bitcoin has shown resilience in recent months, outpacing many other asset classes in performance. Recently, the bank’s CEO, David Solomon, highlighted the potential of blockchain technology to streamline traditional finance (TradFi). BeInCrypto reported Solomon saying Bitcoin was not a threat to the US dollar.
Besides Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan also predicted a recession in the US. BeInCrypto reported that it was the first major Wall Street bank to predict a US recession following former President Trump’s tariffs.
Their forecast warned of the broader economic consequences of trade wars, predicting that the Federal Reserve (Fed) might need to cut rates sooner than expected.
The possibility of a rate cut, which many see as a response to a weakening economy, adds to concerns about stagflation—a simultaneous rise in inflation and stagnation in economic growth.
This economic uncertainty also raises the odds of quantitative easing (QE) in the US financial system. Such an outcome could have far-reaching implications for the crypto market.
If the Fed opts for stealth QE, it could inject liquidity into the market and provide a short-term lifeline for risk assets like Bitcoin.
However, such actions could also intensify inflationary pressures, prompting a difficult balancing act for policymakers.
Disclaimer
In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Bitcoin
Bitcoin Adoption Grows As Public Firms Raise Holdings In Q1


Public companies have added nearly 100,000 Bitcoin to their balance sheets during the first quarter of 2025, pushing total corporate Bitcoin holdings to a staggering 688,000 BTC worth $56.7 billion. According to data from crypto fund issuer Bitwise, this represents a 16% increase in total crypto holdings by publicly traded companies.
12 New Corporate Buyers Enter The Market
The Bitcoin buying spree wasn’t limited to existing crypto investors. Twelve public companies purchased Bitcoin for the first time during Q1, bringing the total number of Bitcoin-holding public firms to 79.
Hong Kong construction firm Ming Shing led new buyers, with its subsidiary Lead Benefit acquiring 833 BTC through two separate purchases – an initial 500 BTC buy in January followed by 333 BTC in February.
Video platform Rumble ranked as the second-largest new buyer, adding 188 BTC to its treasury in mid-March. In a move that stunned market watchers, Hong Kong investment firm HK Asia Holdings Limited purchased just one Bitcoin in February – a modest investment that still caused its share price to almost double in a single day of trading.
Companies are buying bitcoin, Q1 2025 edition. pic.twitter.com/qZc62N8vu5
— Bitwise (@BitwiseInvest) April 14, 2025
Japanese Firm Acquires At A Discount
While new entrants made headlines, existing Bitcoin holders also strengthened their positions. Japanese investment firm Metaplanet announced on April 14 that it had purchased an additional 319 BTC at an average price of 11.8 million yen (about $82,770) per coin.
This latest purchase brings Metaplanet’s total Bitcoin holdings to 4,525 BTC, currently valued at approximately $383.2 million. The company has spent nearly $406 million (58.145 billion yen) building its crypto stack.
Based on current holdings, Metaplanet now ranks as the 10th largest public company crypto holder worldwide, sitting behind Jack Dorsey’s Block, Inc., which holds 8,480 BTC.
BTC reclaiming the green zone in the last week. Source: Coingecko
Bitcoin Price Recovers After Brief Slump
Bitcoin trades at around $85,787 as of April 15, showing a decent performance over the past 24 hours according to CoinGecko data. The cryptocurrency has gained roughly 2.5% since the end of Q1 on March 31.
The price has bounced back from a brief drop below $75,000 on April 7. That temporary decline came after a broader market selloff triggered by a new round of global tariffs announced by US President Donald Trump.
The growing corporate interest in the top crypto comes as more companies look to diversify their treasury holdings. The combined value of public companies’ Bitcoin rose about 2.3% during the first quarter, reaching nearly $57 billion with BTC priced at $82,400 by quarter’s end.
Featured image from Crews Bank, chart from TradingView

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Bitcoin
Bolivia Reverses Crypto-for-Fuel Plan Amid Energy Crisis

Bolivia’s Ministry of Trade and Imports has rejected a state-backed plan to use cryptocurrency for fuel imports.
This move, which marks a stunning policy reversal, signals a retreat from the government’s recent push to adopt digital assets as a workaround for dollar shortages.
Bolivia Rejects Crypto-for-Fuel Scheme Amid Energy Sector Turmoil
The initial plan, announced in March by Bolivia’s state-owned energy giant YPFB, aimed to use crypto to secure fuel imports. This was in response to acute shortages of both US dollars and refined fuel.
As reported by Reuters on March 13, the proposal had received government backing at the time.
But in a statement released Tuesday, Director of Trade and Imports Marcos Duran clarified that YPFB will not be permitted to use crypto for international transactions.
“YPFB must use Bolivia’s own resources and dollar-based financial transfers,” Duran said.
Head of digital assets at VanEck, Mathew Sigel, labels this a clear U-turn on crypto policy.
“U-Turn: Bolivia appears to back away from its crypto-for-fuel scheme,” Sigel quipped.
Disclaimer
In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Bitcoin
Bitcoin Poised for Summer Rally as Gold Leads and Liquidity Peaks

The crypto market and broader economy are moving fast as global liquidity reached an all-time high in April 2025. Gold has already broken past $3,200, setting a new record. Meanwhile, Bitcoin is still 30% below its previous peak.
Amid this backdrop, analysts are taking a closer look at the link between Bitcoin and gold. Fresh data also shows strong corporate demand for Bitcoin, with record levels of buying in Q1 2025.
What Bitcoin’s Ties to Gold and Liquidity Signal for Its Price
According to Joe Consorti, Head of Growth at Theya, Bitcoin tends to follow gold’s lead with a lag of about 100 to 150 days. A chart shared by Consorti on X, based on Bloomberg data, illustrates this trend from 2019 to April 14, 2025.

The chart shows gold (XAU/USD) in white and Bitcoin (XBT/USD) in orange. The data reveals that gold usually moves first during upswings, but Bitcoin often rallies harder afterward—especially when global liquidity is rising.
“When the printer roars to life, gold sniffs it out first, then Bitcoin follows harder,” Consorti said.
That 100-to-150-day lag is notable. It suggests Bitcoin could be set for a sharp move higher within the next 3 to 4 months. The recent surge in global liquidity also supports this view.
According to analyst Root, M2 money supply from major central banks—including the US Federal Reserve, European Central Bank (ECB), People’s Bank of China (PBoC), Bank of Japan (BoJ), Bank of England (BoE), Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), Bank of Canada (BoC), and others—has hit a record high as of April 2025.
The sharp rise points to more cash flowing through the global economy.

Historically, Bitcoin bull markets have often lined up with major increases in global liquidity, as more money in the system tends to push investors toward riskier assets like Bitcoin.
Why Bitcoin Might Outperform Gold and Stocks
Matt Hougan, Chief Investment Officer at Bitwise Invest, states that Bitcoin is not just outperforming gold but is also surpassing the S&P 500 in the long run. This indicates that Bitcoin is becoming a stronger investment option despite its price volatility.

Data also supports this. A recent Bitwise report shows corporations bought over 95,400 BTC in Q1—about 0.5% of all Bitcoin in circulation. That makes it the largest quarter for corporate accumulation on record.

“People want to own Bitcoin. Corporations do too. 95,000 BTC purchased in Q1,” Bitwise CEO Hunter Horsley said.
With rising corporate demand and Bitcoin’s strong performance against traditional assets, the stage may be set for a major rally in summer 2025—driven by peak global liquidity and Bitcoin’s historic tendency to follow gold’s lead.
Disclaimer
In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
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