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Bitcoin Price After US Presidential Elections: Here’s How BTC Reacted To Previous Winners

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Market analysts have continued to deliberate on how the Bitcoin price could react to a Donald Trump or Kamala Harris victory in the US presidential elections. History indicates that Bitcoin’s future trajectory is bullish, irrespective of who wins the elections. 

How The Bitcoin Price Has Reacted To Previous Winners

The Bitcoin price has always hit a new all-time high (ATH) regardless of the winners in the past US presidential elections. In 2012, after Barack Obama won the elections, Bitcoin rallied and reached a new ATH of $1,200 in 2013. Its price then consolidated until the next election in 2016. 

Bitcoin price 1
Source: X

The 2016 US presidential elections, which Donald Trump won, also sparked the beginning of another impressive rally for the Bitcoin price, which rose to a new ATH of $19,000 the following year. In 2020, following Joe Biden’s victory in the US presidential election, BTC rose to a new ATH of $69,000. 

The Bitcoin price rally after the US presidential elections is believed to be due to the market certainty that the election aftermath provides. Meanwhile, based on history, the BTC rally could begin as soon as December, with the flagship crypto hitting a new ATH as soon as January 2024. 

In 2016, the Bitcoin price rally began about three weeks before the election and went on to hit a new high in the first week of January 2017. In 2020, BTC had also consolidated for about six months before it began to rally from $11,000 just about three weeks before the US elections and then went on to reach a new high of $42,000 in January 2021.

Bitcoin’s recent price action also looks to be playing out the same way as BTC began rallying in mid-October and even came close to hitting its current ATH of $73,700 late last month. As such, there is the possibility that the flagship crypto could again retest this ATH and surpass it as soon as January 2024 or even before then. 

There Could Be Some Volatility In The Coming Days

In an X post, Crypto analyst Ali Martinez warned that the days following the last three US presidential elections have been volatile for the Bitcoin price. However, he added that the overall trend has stayed upward. 

Bitcoin price 2
Source: X

Economist and crypto analyst Alex Krüger also warned about the potential pullback the Bitcoin price could face after the US elections. He claimed that there is a 45% chance that BTC could drop to as low as $65,000 if Kamala Harris wins the elections. 

Due to his pro-crypto stance, Donald Trump looks to be the most preferred candidate in the crypto community. As such, the market could initially react negatively to a Harris win while taking in Trump’s loss. 

At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $68,000, down in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. 

Bitcoin price chart from Tradingview.com
BTC price pushes above $68,000 again | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com

Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com



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5 Facts About Bitcoin’s Creator

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April 5, 2025, marks what would be the 50th birthday of Satoshi Nakamoto—the pseudonymous creator of Bitcoin. This alleged birthday is based on the date listed in his P2P Foundation profile. 

While Nakamoto’s true identity remains unconfirmed, his legacy continues to shape the digital financial landscape. Here are five facts about the elusive Bitcoin architect:

April 5 Wasn’t Random

Nakamoto listed April 5, 1975, as his birthday—exactly 42 years after the US government banned private gold ownership under Executive Order 6102 on April 5, 1933, to stabilize the dollar. 

Bitcoin, by contrast, was designed to be a decentralized, deflationary alternative to fiat currency. Notably, BTC difficulty adjustment happens every 2016 block—2016 being 6102 in reverse.

Satoshi Nakamoto’s Bitcoin Fortune Remains Untouched

Satoshi’s wallet, believed to hold 1.096 million BTC, has remained untouched since early 2010. Over the past decade, its value has risen more than 333-fold, now exceeding $91 billion. 

Despite the wallet’s inactivity, CoinJoin transactions are regularly sent to its address. Some view this as an act of homage or a method of obfuscation.

Satoshi Nakamoto's Bitcoin Holdings
Satoshi Nakamoto’s Bitcoin Holdings. Source: Arkham

Still No Definitive Identity

In March 2024, a UK court ruled that Australian computer scientist Craig Wright is not Satoshi, calling his claims “deliberately false.” 

An October 2024 HBO documentary controversially pointed to Canadian developer Peter Todd, who strongly denied any connection. 

More recently, internet theories have speculated on Jack Dorsey’s possible ties, though no evidence supports the claim. Nakamoto’s identity remains the internet’s most persistent mystery.

The Genesis Block’s Silent Message

Embedded in Bitcoin’s first block is the headline: “The Times 03/Jan/2009 Chancellor on brink of second bailout for banks.” The line is from a UK newspaper.

It is seen as a critique of centralized monetary policy and remains one of Nakamoto’s only public statements beyond technical documentation.

bitcoin genesis block
Bitcoin Genesis Block. Source: Wikipedia

Bitcoin’s Design Still Holds

Fifteen years after its launch, Bitcoin remains secure and deflationary by design. Nakamoto’s codebase, while modified and improved by the open-source community, still forms the foundation of the network, securing over $1.6 trillion in value.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Bitcoin Eyes Breakout as Global M2 Hits Record $108 Trillion

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The global M2 money supply has surged to an all-time high of $108.4 trillion, raising fresh questions about Bitcoin’s next move. 

The milestone comes amid escalating economic uncertainty following former President Donald Trump’s new “Liberation Day” tariffs and China’s swift retaliatory measures, which together have roiled global markets.

What is M2 and Why Does It Matter for Bitcoin?

Despite the extreme volatility over the past two weeks, Bitcoin’s average value has remained almost unchanged. 

Analysts claim that Bitcoin’s latest volatility reflects macroeconomic fears and fluctuating long/short ratios – but the largest cryptocurrency is nowhere near a bear market

This is largely due to the historical correlation between rising M2 levels and significant Bitcoin rallies.

M2 is a broad measure of a country or region’s money supply. It includes physical cash, checking and savings deposits, and other liquid assets that can be quickly converted to cash. 

Bitcoin and M2 Money Supply Chart
Bitcoin and M2 Money Supply Chart In the Past Year. Source: BGeometrics

When M2 increases, it typically signals greater liquidity in the financial system. It simply means more money that often seeks returns in riskier assets such as equities, real estate, or cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin.

Past surges in the M2 money supply have preceded major Bitcoin rallies. Following the COVID-era stimulus programs in 2020-2021, the US M2 supply jumped by over 25%. 

This correlated with Bitcoin’s rise from under $10,000 in mid-2020 to an all-time high of over $69,000 by November 2021. Analysts point to a similar pattern today, albeit with a lag.

“Market proponents say that Trump’s tariffs are primarily a negotiation strategy, and their effect on businesses and consumers will remain manageable. Adding to the uncertainty are the inflationary pressures that could challenge the US Federal Reserve’s rate-cutting outlook. Also, resolving the debt ceiling remains a pressing issue, as the Treasury currently relies upon ‘extraordinary measures’ to meet US financial obligations. The exact timeline for when these measures will be exhausted is unclear, but analysts anticipate they may run out after the first quarter,” said Maksym Sakharov, Co-Founder of WeFi Deobank.

Also, Bitcoin’s price often trails global M2 growth by roughly two months. 

With M2 accelerating since late February and the current spike taking it to its highest level ever, market watchers suggest that Bitcoin could see a delayed but strong upside if liquidity continues to expand.

However, macroeconomic headwinds could temper near-term gains. Trump’s tariff shock and China’s tit-for-tat response have already triggered the steepest Wall Street losses in five years. 

Investors may delay allocating capital to high-volatility assets until trade tensions stabilize.

Still, with M2 surging and Bitcoin supply capped, the setup for a renewed bullish move remains in place. That is if historical patterns hold and markets regain confidence.

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Vitalik’s L2 Roadmap, XRP Unlock and More

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This week in crypto, a lot happened across different ecosystems, despite the broader market’s prevailing bearish sentiment. Besides Bitcoin’s (BTC) drop to a 7-day low of $81,400, here are this week’s biggest updates.

For starters, crypto markets could have a new Ethereum Layer-2 roadmap. Meanwhile, Hyperliquid users could soon start enjoying better security.

Vitalik Buterin Pushes for Ethereum L2 Roadmap

Co-founder Vitalik Buterin outlined a roadmap for Ethereum’s Layer-2 (L2) ecosystem, emphasizing decentralization, security, and cost-efficiency.

He advocates for a model that reduces centralization risks while ensuring user-friendly experiences for developers and investors.

Buterin also reiterated his commitment to open-source funding within the Ethereum community. This stance comes as the phrase “public goods” has become politically and socially loaded. The phrase is often used in ways that prioritize perception over impact.

Against this backdrop, Buterin proposed shifting the focus from “public goods funding” to “open-source funding.” He said this would encourage greater financial support for projects that enhance network security and scalability.

“A big part of the reason why the term ‘public good’ is vulnerable to social gaming is precisely the fact that the definition of ‘public good’ is stretched so easily,” Buterin argued.

His vision aligns with ongoing efforts to strengthen Ethereum’s L2 playing field and make it more resistant to potential censorship or network failures.

Hyperliquid Tightens Security After JELLY Crisis

Decentralized trading platform Hyperliquid also features among the key headlines this week in crypto. The platform announced new security measures following the JELLY incident, which resulted in substantial losses for users.

To prevent future incidents, the platform has increased monitoring, enhanced smart contract audits, and introduced stricter withdrawal limits.

Hyperliquid’s response aims to restore confidence in decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms amid rising security concerns.

“Hyperliquid is not perfect, but it will continue to iterate and grow through the collective efforts of builders, traders, and supporters,” the network explained.

Hyperliquid (HYPE) Price Performance
Hyperliquid (HYPE) Price Performance. Source: BeInCrypto

BeInCrypto data shows that Hyperliquid’s HYPE token price was $11.89 as of this writing, up by a modest 0.97% in the last 24 hours.

Crypto Markets, Equities Sync Amid Recession Fears

Another headline this week in crypto was how the digital assets industry continues to mirror traditional financial (TradFi). Specifically, more than ever, the crypto market appears synchronized with indices like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.

The synchrony comes as investors react to growing recession concerns. Bitcoin and Ethereum have followed similar downturns seen in stock markets, reinforcing the argument that cryptocurrencies are increasingly correlated with broader economic conditions.

With macroeconomic uncertainty looming, analysts warn that crypto could further decline if economic conditions worsen. However, some argue long-term investors may find opportunities in current market lows.

According to former BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes, Bitcoin could reach $250,000 by year-end. However, this forecast is contingent on the Federal Reserve (Fed) shifting to Quantitative Easing (QE) to support markets.

Meanwhile, former Goldman Sachs executive Raoul Pal pointed to macroeconomic indicators that suggest a Bitcoin rally is imminent. He shared a chart correlating the global M2 money supply and Bitcoin’s price.

Based on history, Bitcoin tends to rise around 10 weeks after M2 increases. Pal’s analysis suggests that Bitcoin may soon enter a bullish phase.

“The waiting game is almost over…the 10-week lead is my preferred… but,” Pal stated.

Ripple Unlocked $1 Billion in XRP

Also, this week in crypto, Ripple released another 1 billion XRP from its escrow, increasing selling pressure on the token.

XRP Price Performance
XRP Price Performance. Source: BeInCrypto

Historically, such unlocks have been followed by price declines. This aligns with recent Keyrock research that showed that 90% of unlocks create negative price pressure.

The tokens were moved from the “Ripple (27)” escrow address to two operational wallets, “Ripple (12)” and “Ripple (13).” This suggested the intention to distribute or sell XRP.

Investors remain cautious, watching for signs of potential accumulation. Meanwhile, others anticipate further downside as XRP struggles to regain upward momentum amid broader market uncertainty.

Notwithstanding, there are other positive developments for the XRP market. According to Glassnode data, Retail investors are choosing XRP over Bitcoin, and nearly half of XRP’s realized cap is increasing.

Another bullish fundamental for XRP this week is Coinbase’s filing for a futures contract offering in the Ripple token. The move indicates shifting regulatory tides in the US and also bolsters XRP ETF (exchange-traded funds) approval odds.

Standard Chartered Predicts Crypto Winners

Standard Chartered also made it to the top headlines this week in crypto. The bank identified Bitcoin (BTC) and Avalanche (AVAX) as the primary beneficiaries of a potential post-Liberation Day crypto market surge.

The bank suggests that favorable macroeconomic conditions and increasing institutional adoption could propel these assets higher in the coming months.  

“We expect volatility to edge gradually lower once the ETF market matures, increasing Bitcoin’s share of an optimal gold-BTC portfolio. Access plus lower volatility could see Bitcoin reach the $500,000 level before Trump leaves office,” wrote Geoff Kendrick, Head of Digital Asset Research at Standard Chartered, in an email to BeInCrypto.

This forecast aligns with the growing narrative that institutional interest will play a key role in shaping the next phase of the crypto market cycle. However, skeptics remain cautious, citing regulatory uncertainty and potential economic headwinds as factors that could delay or dampen such a rally.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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