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Since hitting a new all-time high in January, Bitcoin (BTC) has struggled to establish a bullish form resulting in a downtrend that has lasted over the last two months. According to prominent market analyst Egrag Crypto, the premier cryptocurrency could likely remain in correction for the next few months before launching a price rally.

Bitcoin’s 231-Day Cycle Hints At $175,000 Target By September

Following an initial price decline in February, Egrag Crypto had postulated Bitcoin could experience a price correction due to a CME gap before experiencing a price bounce. However, the lack of strong bullish convictions over the past weeks has forced a conclusion that the premier cryptocurrency is stuck in a potentially long corrective phase.

According to Egrag in a recent post, Bitcoin’s ongoing correction aligns with a fractal pattern i.e. a repeating price structure that has appeared across multiple timeframes. This pattern is based on a 33-bar (231-day) cycle during which BTC transits from a corrective phase to an explosive price rally.

In comparing previous cycles to the current developing one, Egrag has predicted Bitcoin could potentially break out of its recalibration by June. In this case, the analyst expects the crypto market leader to hit a market top of $175,000 by September, hinting at a potential 107.83% gain on current market prices.

However, in igniting this price rally, market bulls must ensure a breakout above the stiff price barrier at $100,000. On the other hand, any potential fall below the $69,500-$71,500 support price level could invalidate this current bullish setup and possibly signal the end of the current bull run.

BTC Investors Wait As Exchange Activity Slows Down

In other news, popular crypto expert Ali Martinez has reported a decline in Bitcoin exchange-related activity indicating reduced investors’ interest and network utilization. Notably, this development suggests that investors are hesitating to deposit or withdraw Bitcoin on exchanges perhaps due to market uncertainty on the asset’s immediate future trajectory.

According to Martinez, Bitcoin is now likely to undergo a trend shift as investors wait for the next market catalyst. Notably, Bitcoin has shown commendable resilience despite the new tariffs imposed by the US government on April 2. According to data from Santiment, BTC’s price dipped only 4% in the hours following the announcement—a milder reaction compared to previous tariff-related market moves.

Since then, BTC has made some price gains and currently trades at $83,805 as investors flock to the crypto market which has recorded a $5.16 billion inflow over the past day. Meanwhile, BTC’s trading volume is up by 26.52% and is valued at $43.48 billion.

Featured image from UF News, chart from Tradingview

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Bitcoin is facing critical selling pressure as bulls struggle to reclaim the $90,000 level, while bears continue to test — but fail to break — the $81,000 support zone. The market remains stuck in a tight range, caught between resistance and support, with macroeconomic uncertainty and rising geopolitical tensions adding to the volatility. United States President Donald Trump’s latest tariff moves and unpredictable policy direction have only amplified investor caution, particularly toward risk-on assets like Bitcoin.

Despite the ongoing pressure, some key data suggests the worst may be behind. According to Glassnode, capital inflows into the crypto market have surged by an impressive 350% over the past two weeks. This sharp increase in fresh capital signals renewed investor interest, particularly from institutions, and could be a leading indicator of improving market sentiment.

While Bitcoin still faces resistance and uncertainty, the strength of these inflows hints at growing confidence beneath the surface. If the trend continues, it could help BTC reclaim higher levels and shift the market’s direction. For now, bulls must hold key support and watch for momentum above $90K to confirm the start of a meaningful recovery.

Bitcoin Market Reacts To Trump Tariffs And Surging Capital Inflows

Bitcoin is trading at critical levels as financial markets absorb the shock from Trump’s sweeping tariff announcement during Liberation Day. The unexpected move has triggered massive selling pressure across global markets, fueling a rise in volatility and uncertainty. Crypto has not been spared. Bitcoin, down 22% from its all-time high, continues to struggle as the broader correction phase that began in January shows no signs of reversing yet.

Trade war fears, compounded by ongoing macroeconomic instability, have shaken investor confidence. Traditional markets are seeing increased risk-off behavior, with capital shifting away from equities and high-volatility assets — Bitcoin included. As a result, panic selling and cautious sentiment have driven BTC lower, putting the $81,000 support level in the spotlight.

However, not all signals point to weakness. Top crypto analyst Ali Martinez shared insights showing that capital inflows into the crypto market have surged by 350% in just two weeks. According to on-chain data, crypto capital moved from $1.82 billion to $8.20 billion — a sign of renewed interest from investors and institutions despite bearish price action.

These inflows may signal that the market is preparing for a rebound once current macro pressures ease. While Bitcoin remains in a fragile state, capital inflow strength could provide a base for recovery in the weeks ahead.

BTC Price Action: Bulls Struggle To Reclaim Key Levels

Bitcoin is trading at $83,400 following several days of intense selling pressure and heightened volatility. The recent market shakeup has pushed BTC well below critical resistance zones, with bulls now fighting to reclaim lost ground. One of the most important levels in the short term is $85,500 — a zone that previously acted as strong support and now aligns closely with the 4-hour 200 moving average (MA) and exponential moving average (EMA).

Reclaiming this level is essential for any potential recovery. It would signal a shift in momentum and provide bulls with the technical foundation needed to make another attempt at the $88K to $90K range. However, BTC has so far failed to retest or break back above this zone, and continued rejection could lead to further downside.

If Bitcoin cannot reclaim the $85,500 level in the coming sessions, the probability of a deeper retrace grows significantly. A drop below the $81,000 mark — the current support floor — would likely open the door to even lower targets and confirm that the correction phase remains in full effect. With macro uncertainty still looming, BTC’s next move will be critical in shaping short-term market sentiment.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView 

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Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX and CIO at Maelstrom, believes the global financial system is undergoing a major shift that could propel Bitcoin toward the $1 million mark.

According to Hayes, rising trade tensions between the US and China are accelerating the breakdown of long-standing economic norms, opening the door for neutral assets like Bitcoin to take center stage.

How US-China Standoff Could Drive Bitcoin Demand in Shifting Financial Order

In an April 5 X post, Hayes speculated that the exchange rate between the US dollar and Chinese Yuan (USDCNY) could climb to 10.00.

He attributed this to Chinese President Xi Jinping’s likely refusal to alter the country’s economic direction to appease US demands, especially under President Donald Trump’s aggressive trade stance.

“USDCNY is going to 10.00 bc there is no way that Xi Jinping will agree to change China in the ways necessary to placate Trump. This is the super bazooka BTC needs to ascend rapidly towards $1 million,” Hayes wrote on Twitter.

Over the past week, the global financial markets have been on edge following the Trump administration’s decision to impose a 10% blanket tariff on all imports. China, facing even higher levies of up to 34%, responded with its own round of retaliatory tariffs set to begin on April 10.

However, Trump doubled down on the confrontation, dismissing China’s reaction as a mistake.

“CHINA PLAYED IT WRONG, THEY PANICKED – THE ONE THING THEY CANNOT AFFORD TO DO!” Trump wrote on Truth Social.

While that political posturing continues, Hayes sees deeper risks brewing beneath the surface. According to him, the ongoing tariff war could undermine the global role of US Treasuries and equities.

For decades, the US has exported dollars by running trade deficits, while foreign nations recycled those dollars into American financial assets. That system, according to Hayes, may no longer be sustainable.

If countries stop accumulating dollars, their demand for US bonds and stocks will shrink. Some may even start selling off reserves to protect their economies.

Hayes noted that even a Trump policy reversal wouldn’t restore confidence, as global leaders may no longer trust the stability of US trade policy.

“Even if Trump backtracks on the severity of the tariffs, no finance minister or world leader can risk Trump changing his mind again, and therefore things cannot return to the way they were. You must do what is best for your country,” Hayes wrote.

In this environment, Hayes sees a renewed role for assets that are not tied to any single government. According to him, gold, long regarded as a safe haven, would make a comeback.

“The dollar will still be the reserve currency, but nations will hold reserves in gold to settle global trade. Trump hinted at this because gold is tariff exempt! Gold must flow freely and cheaply in the new world monetary order,” Hayes stated.

However, Hayes says Bitcoin could be even more appealing in a world defined by decentralization, capital mobility, and reduced trust in traditional power structures.

“For those who want to adapt to a return to pre-1971 trade relationships, buy gold, gold miners and BTC,” he concluded.