Altcoin
Is Another ‘Black Monday’ Type Market Crash In The Making?
Japanese yen carry trade that crashed stock and crypto markets globally is making a comeback. Hedge funds and corporate clients are gradually getting back to using popular Japanese yen-focused carry trade to invest proceeds into high-yield assets. Are these early signs of another Black Monday?
Black Monday Prospects As Yen Carry Trades Making A Comeback
Japanese yen has weakened to 149 per US dollar today, hitting a two-week low as the US dollar strengthened on better-than-expected US economic data.
Japan’s biggest brokerage firm Nomura Holdings disclosed that investors have started borrowing the Japanese yen again to invest these funds elsewhere in higher-yielding assets. Especially, corporate clients and hedge funds are making a comeback into these deals, Bloomberg reported on August 16.
“There has been a notable move back” into carry trades after US retail sales data beat estimates, said Antony Foster, head of Group-of-10 spot trading at Nomura in London. He also added that multiple accounts sold yen to buy the Australian dollar and sterling.
US bond yields rose as the retail sales data eased economic concerns and fueled Fed rate cut expectations. This led to carry trades mounting as investors look for quick profits. Traders bets billions of dollars that the yen would weaken, before the currency jumped last month.
Australian online forex broker ATFX Global Markets witnessed a nearly 30% to 40% rise in yen shorts in the past week, with bets majorly driven by hedge funds and high-net-worth investor clients.
BOJ Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida indicated that the central bank won’t raise interest rates currently as financial markets are unstable. However, it’s still unclear if BOJ plans to raise rates next year. Traders will get clarity as BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda is due to speak before parliament on Aug 23.
If Ueda remains dovish while Fed Chair Jerome Powell appears hawkish, that should keep interest rate differences between the US and Japan elevated, attracting more investors to enter carry trades. However, it also risks another Black Monday market crash.
“Global central banks are now shifting toward easing, barring the BOJ which will still keep rates low relative to peers. That means the carry trade is poised to make a comeback, provided that equity markets and the Chinese currency remain stable,” said Mary Nicola, Markets Live Strategist.
Arthur Hayes on How Crypto Market May React
BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes warns that the market will focus on high-leverage trades if the BOJ and FED won’t allow the dollar-yen interest rate differential to narrow. High-leverage trades can make markets volatile and vulnerable to another stock and crypto market crash similar to Black Monday.
He says that Bitcoin price will increase in case either the currency system collapses or fiat liquidity chases assets with finite supplies. Meanwhile, hedge funds will continue to take carry trade benefits as long as the USD-Yen interest rate difference lasts. The crypto market today also relies heavily on leverage for trading.
BTC price paints a short-term bearish outlook after a 5% drop in a week, with the price currently trading at $58,324. The 24-hour low and high are $56,161 and $59,838, respectively. Furthermore, the trading volume has increased by 10% in the last 24 hours, indicating interest among traders. Bitcoin price risks falling to $54,000.
Varinder Singh
Varinder has 10 years of experience in the Fintech sector, with over 5 years dedicated to blockchain, crypto, and Web3 developments. Being a technology enthusiast and analytical thinker, he has shared his knowledge of disruptive technologies in over 5000+ news, articles, and papers. With CoinGape Media, Varinder believes in the huge potential of these innovative future technologies. He is currently covering all the latest updates and developments in the crypto industry.
Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.
As Binance’s Vote to List initiative kicks off, the exchange has turned its back on Pi Network for the second time. Binance is proceeding with the decentralized listing program but Pi Network is noticeably absent from the raft of cryptocurrencies.
Pi Network Fails To Make Binance List
Pi Network enthusiasts are in limbo following the absence of the token in Binance’s Vote to List initiative. According to a press release, Binance has opened voting for its second Vote to List initiative.
This time, 12 tokens are up for community voting, with Binance proceeding to spot-list successful tokens. Apart from vote count, Binance says it will consider trading demand, a risk assessment, and a compliance check to decide on tokens that will make the listing.
The selected tokens include VIRTUAL, BIGTIME, UXLINK, MORPHO, GRASS, ATH, WAL, SAFE, ZETA, IP, ONDO, and PLUME. While the first focused on memecoin, the second iteration beams a searchlight on utility tokens cutting across several verticals.
Back in March, Binance excluded Pi Network from its first edition of the Vote to List initiative. Binance has clarified that only BNB-based projects will be allowed to participate in the Vote to List initiative, dousing optimism for Pi Network enthusiasts.
When Will Binance List The Asset?
Despite Pi missing out on the Vote to List program, there is still a ray of hope for community members. Binance can list Pi via a direct listing in the future but a timeline is unavailable.
Experts say a lack of transparency by The PiCoreTeam (PCT) is a reason why Binance has not listed Pi Network. Particularly, the exchange took swipes at the PCT for failing to give proper disclosures on the Pi Network’s locking and burning mechanism.
Pi Network secured a major listing on the BTCC Exchange, bringing the token closer to being listed on mainstream exchanges. While a listing hovers on the horizon for Pi, the PCT’s domain auction is gathering steam with over 200,000 bids.
Pi price has been largely underwhelming over the last day, losing nearly 5%. Pi trades at $0.6646 to drop below the $0.7 mark for the first time in over a month.
Aliyu Pokima
Aliyu Pokima is a seasoned cryptocurrency and emerging technologies journalist with a knack for covering needle-moving stories in the space. Aliyu delivers breaking news stories, regulatory updates, and insightful analysis with depth and precision. When he’s not poring over charts or following leads, Aliyu enjoys playing the bass guitar, lifting weights and running marathons.
Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.
Following a reserve crisis that hit TrueUSD and Justin Sun’s intervention, First Digital Trust denied claims of insolvency. The Trust, at the center of the fiasco, says it is fully solvent while accusing Sun of sensationalism.
First Digital Trust Refutes Allegations Of Insolvency
First Digital Trust has released a statement debunking allegations of financial impropriety and insolvency. According to the statement, First Digital Trust says it is completely solvent while accusing Justin Sun of falsehood.
The Trust has been at the center of a whirlpool of a liquidity crisis involving TrueUSD (TUSD) with Justin Sun stepping in to stabilize the stablecoin with a capital injection. The Tron founder launched a tirade against the Hong Kong-based trust, accusing it of financial mismanagement including unauthorized trade finance loans.
“The recent allegations by Justin Sun against First Digital Trust are completely false,” read the statement.
The Trust disclosed that its FDUSD stablecoin is solvent and backed by US Treasury Bills. Per the statement, the legal dispute surrounding TUSD has nothing to do with FDUSD, accusing Sun of a smear campaign. First Digital Trust says it has not had the opportunity to defend itself in court, accusing Sun of launching social media attacks.
“This is a typical Justin Sun smear campaign to try to attack a competitor to his business,” added First Digital Trust.
Justin Sun Maintains His Stance
Justin Sun remains firm in his resolve that First Digital Trust is insolvent while urging investors to cut ties with FDUSD. He warns that the Trust founder Vincent Chok will face the full wrath of the justice system.
“First Digital Trust (FDT) is in fact insolvent,” said Sun. “If you have any relationship with it, please cut off contact as soon as possible to protect your assets.”
Following his accusations, FDUSD lost its peg and traded at a low of $0.88, a steep drop before crawling to $0.98. The loss of $130 million from its market capital has rattled investors with critics taking swipes over its de-pegging.
The Tron founder has covered every blade of grass in recent days, buying $75M of the Trump memecoin. Last week, Justin Sun weighed in on TRX’s halving proposal, supporting a proposal to mirror Bitcoin’s pattern.
The stablecoin drama comes as the US is inching toward tighter stablecoin regulation with the GENIUS Act and STABLE Act.
Aliyu Pokima
Aliyu Pokima is a seasoned cryptocurrency and emerging technologies journalist with a knack for covering needle-moving stories in the space. Aliyu delivers breaking news stories, regulatory updates, and insightful analysis with depth and precision. When he’s not poring over charts or following leads, Aliyu enjoys playing the bass guitar, lifting weights and running marathons.
Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.
Cardano price has been facing significant price fluctuations recently, with its value hovering around $0.68 as of April 2025. Traders and investors are watching closely to see whether ADA can bounce back to $0.70 or face further declines towards $0.60.
Crypto Market Volatility Drives ADA’s Recent Price Action
Over the past few days, Cardano’s price has seen moderate fluctuations. After dipping to a low of $0.663, ADA price briefly rebounded to reach highs of $0.69. Despite these ups and downs, the cryptocurrency closed on the green side, which points to at least some of the buying pressure.
The price action states that a general bullish trend was seen where most of the cryptocurrencies moved up, then down.
Overall market has remained very unstable and traders have been seen transferring their positions by buying during any falling. Consequently, ADA’s price was able to remain somewhat stable and maintain its position above some important support levels. The 24-hour chart indicates that Cardano’s price is currently sitting just above the $0.68 mark, up by 0.90%. Nevertheless, it is down by about 7.87% in the past week, which hints at poor performance in reversing the downtrend.
ADA Price Support and Resistance Levels to Watch
Traders are paying close attention to ADA’s key support and resistance levels. The nearest support level is $0.63, which, if broken, will imply further decline in the value, or a possible reversal of the trend if the price retests this level.
If Cardano goes below this level, the subsequent level of support may be between $0.60 and $0.61. Any move below $0.63 looks reasonably bearish, and opens the possibility of ADA testing these particular lows.
On the other hand, Cardano must clear its resistance levels to regain bullish momentum. The daily moving averages at $0.73 (200-day moving average) and $0.75 (50-day moving average) are important barriers to watch. As of now, the RSI stands at 46.27, just below the neutral level of 50. An RSI below 50 means that ADA is not yet in a bullish trend, although it could be in the reclaiming process if only the buying pressure rises. At the moment, the MACD Is show a bearish outlook as the MACD line is below the signal line.
However, there are signs of weakening bearish momentum, as the histogram shows increasing green bars. This suggests that while the market is still in a bearish phase, ADA may soon experience a bullish reversal if the MACD crosses into positive territory. Moreover, ADA’s price action also forms a Falling Wedge pattern, which is typically considered a bullish reversal pattern despite the death cross formed ealier today threatening a 25% ADA price dip.
Analyst Outlook for Cardano’s Price Movement
Crypto analysts are mixed in their outlook for Cardano in the short term. Some experts predict that ADA could continue to trade within its established range between $0.63 and $0.75.
However, a breakout above the $0.75 resistance could set the stage for a stronger upward move, with some even setting a target of $1 for the next few weeks. Moreover, according to a TradingView analysis shared, Cardano price has been following an established ascending channel pattern over the years. This pattern has historically led to significant price surges when ADA moved between its upper and lower trendlines. In the past, a similar channel saw ADA rise from $0.20 to over $2.70 in 2021.
The TradingView chart suggests that if ADA continues to follow this pattern, it could see significant upside potential in the long term. Analysts believe ADA might push towards $50.48 by the end of 2025, as it follows this channel’s upward trajectory. Such a move would require continued market optimism and strong demand for ADA.
On the flip side, analysts like Ali Martinez warn that Cardano is at a critical juncture. If ADA fails to reclaim the $0.70 to $0.80 support zone, it could see a deeper correction. Some experts suggest that ADA might test the lower $0.30s, though this scenario would require a more severe breakdown from current levels.
Kelvin Munene Murithi
Kelvin is a distinguished writer with expertise in crypto and finance, holding a Bachelor’s degree in Actuarial Science. Known for his incisive analysis and insightful content, he possesses a strong command of English and excels in conducting thorough research and delivering timely cryptocurrency market updates.
Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.
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