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DOT Experiences 25% Price Drop in June Amid Bearish Pressure

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Polkadot faces bearish pressure as it struggles to maintain critical support levels, signaling potential further declines in its price action.

The goal of the analysis is to assess Polkadot’s bearish selling pressure, using Key Support and Resistance Levels, Market Sentiment, and Future Price Movements.

Polkadot Faces Bearish Pressure: Key Levels and Market Sentiment Analysis

Polkadot (DOT) has been experiencing a bearish trend, evident from the recent price action where it fell below critical support levels. The rejection from the Ichimoku Cloud and testing of lower support levels further emphasize this downtrend.

Following Bitcoin’s price drop to $64,700 yesterday, the price of DOT reached the important support level of $5.46. Subsequently, the price of DOT bounced upward, stabilizing around $5.80, as observed in the 4-hour chart.

DOT’s price has dropped 25% from its local high recorded on June 7

Read More: 5 Best Polkadot (DOT) Wallets To Consider In 2024

Polkadot Price Analysis (4H & 1D). Source: TradingView
Polkadot Price Analysis (4H & 1D). Source: TradingView

Currently, Polkadot faces several key support and resistance levels. Following our insights shared on BeInCrypto analysis, the DOT price managed to break below the $6.23 price level yesterday. This prompted the price to drop 12% in 2 days, underscoring and highlighting the importance of monitoring this price level. This price level should now act as a resistance level for DOT.

The Ichimoku Cloud analysis shows that the price action is clearly rejected from the cloud, indicating bearish sentiment. On the daily chart, the price is currently below the Ichimoku Cloud, suggesting strong bearish momentum. The baseline and conversion lines are trending downwards, which confirms the bearish outlook.

Similarly, on the 4-hour chart, the price is below the cloud, reinforcing the short-term bearish sentiment.

A breakdown below the current support at $5.46 could lead to further declines towards the next major support at $4.88. On the upside, the first major resistance to watch is $6.81. Reclaiming this level could indicate a potential reversal of the current downtrend.

To confirm a bullish reversal, higher resistance levels at $7.12 and $7.41 will also need to be broken through.

The moving averages also support the bearish outlook. The price is trading well below the 200 EMA, indicating a long-term bearish trend, and the 100 EMA is also above the current price, acting as a resistance level.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is trending towards the oversold territory, currently hovering around 30. This indicates increasing selling pressure. If the RSI drops below 30, it could signal potential further declines. Conversely, if it bounces off this level, it could indicate a short-term relief rally.

OI-Weighted Funding Rate Reflects Cautious Market Sentiment

Open Interest (OI) is the total number of outstanding derivative contracts, such as futures or options, yet to be settled. Higher OI indicates increased market participation and speculative activity, while lower OI suggests reduced trader engagement.

The funding rate is the periodic payment between traders holding long and short positions in perpetual futures contracts. Positive rates mean long positions pay shorts, indicating bullish sentiment, while negative rates mean shorts pay longs, indicating bearish sentiment.

The OI-weighted funding rate combines the funding rate with open interest, offering a detailed view of market sentiment. It shows whether sentiment is driven by many participants or just a few, helping to gauge the strength of market trends.

During June, the funding rate remained relatively stable and positive, indicating a bullish sentiment among traders. This period coincided with DOT’s price stability around the $7 mark. However, the market sentiment shifted around June 8 when the funding rate briefly turned negative, suggesting increased short positions or a reduction in long positions.

From June 9 to June 15, the funding rate returned to positive territory, though with some fluctuations, reflecting a mixed but generally bullish sentiment. Notably, during this time, DOT’s price faced resistance around $7, experiencing multiple rejections. This suggests that while traders were willing to maintain long positions, the price struggled to break through this key resistance level, indicating potential exhaustion among buyers.

Read More: Polkadot (DOT) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

The most significant change occurred between June 16 and June 17, when both the funding rate and DOT’s price experienced sharp declines. The funding rate turning negative again reflects a bearish pressure, aligning with Polkadot dropping from around $6.50 to approximately $5.4. This period of heightened volatility and increased trading volume suggests panic selling or intensified shorting, reinforcing the bearish outlook.

DOT OI-Weighted Funding Rate. Source: CoinGlass
DOT OI-Weighted Funding Rate. Source: CoinGlass

Overall, the analysis of the OI-weighted funding rate indicates that traders are becoming more cautious, anticipating further declines. The reduced speculative activity, as evidenced by the decreasing funding rate, points to a market sentiment that is hesitant to take long positions at current levels.

Monitoring this indicator alongside key support and resistance levels can provide crucial insights for future price movements and market sentiment.

Strategic Recommendations

If Polkadot’s price continues to fall below the $5.45 level, it could trigger a significant cascade of liquidations and bearish selling pressure, potentially driving the price down to $4.88. The fact that Bitcoin remains above the $65,000 level suggests it is experiencing only a minor correction.

However, if Bitcoin’s price continues to decline and reaches $60,000, this could be very bearish for Polkadot and incentivize further price drops below $4.88.

A reversion back to $67,000 for Bitcoin could positively impact Polkadot, potentially driving its price back up to $6.23. If this level is broken, it could signal a possible reversal, allowing for further upward movement.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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US Job Market Sees Growth in June as Crypto Market Slumps

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The US Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday that employers added 206,000 jobs in June. The unemployment rate rose slightly to 4.1%, above the estimated 4.0%, while average hourly earnings remained at 0.3% monthly.

Although this suggests that the US job market continues to experience healthy growth, there has been a muted response in crypto markets.

New Jobs Created Beats Analysts Estimate

According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the US economy added 206,000 jobs in June. While this represented a 6% decline from the 218,000 jobs added in May, it exceeded analysts’ forecasts of around 190,000 new positions.

US Nonfarm Payrolls | Source: TradingEconomics

During that month, unemployment rose slightly to 4.1%, a 2% hike from the projected 4.0%. Steadying at 4%,  June’s unemployment rate suggested that the number of unemployed people as a percentage of the labor force remained stable. 

Further, average hourly earnings increased by 0.3% in June, matching forecasts. This reflects steady, albeit slow, wage growth for US workers.

Crypto Markets Fail to React

While the report suggests the US job market continues to experience positive momentum, the cryptocurrency market has failed to react. Still declining as of this writing, the global cryptocurrency market capitalization has dropped by 6% in the past 24 hours.

Global Cryptocurrency Market Capitalization.
Global Cryptocurrency Market Capitalization. Source: CoinGecko

The value of the leading crypto asset, Bitcoin (BTC), has plummeted by 3% during that period. At press time, BTC trades at $55,249.

Its price movements, assessed on an hourly chart, confirm the decline in trading activity despite the positive outlook offered by the Nonfarm Payrolls report. 

As of this writing, the coin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 40.76, resting below the 50-neutral zone. This indicator measures the asset’s overbought and oversold market conditions. At 42.49, BTC’s RSI shows that selling pressure currently dwarfs buying activity.

If this trend continues, the coin’s price may plummet further to exchange hands at $54,553.

Read more: Bitcoin Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

Bitcoin Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, if sentiment shifts from bearish to bullish, the coin’s price may rally to $55,427. 

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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BNB Drops Below $500, Extended Bearish Trend On The Horizon?

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BNB has recently fallen below the critical $500 support mark, signaling the continuation of a bearish trend. This decline reflects increased selling pressure and growing bearish sentiment within the cryptocurrency market. 

As BNB slips under this significant threshold, analysts and traders are closely watching for further downward movement, potentially targeting lower support levels. The breach of the $500 mark is a key indicator of ongoing market weakness, suggesting that BNB may face continued challenges in the near term.

With the help of technical indicators to provide comprehensive insights into potential future movements, key support levels to watch, and strategies for investors and traders to navigate the ongoing downturn, this article explores the bearish sentiment surrounding BNB’s price

At the time of writing, BNB’s price was down by over 10%, trading at about $471, with a market valuation of more than $69 billion and a trading volume of more than $2 billion. In the last 24 hours, the market capitalization of BNB has dropped by 10.88%, while trading volume has increased by 37.43%.

Technical Indicators Highlight Sustained Bearish Market Conditions

The price of BNB on the 4-hour chart is actively bearish trading below the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). As of the time of writing, the price has made a huge drop below the $500 support mark which has triggered more bearishness for the crypto asset.

BNB
Source: BNBUSDT on Tradingview.com

With the formation of the 4-hour Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), the price of BNB is set to face further decline as the MACD histograms are trending below the zero line with strong momentum. Also, the MACD line and signal line have sharply dropped and are trending below the zero line with a good spread.

On the 1-day chart, it can be observed that BNB is trading below the 100-day SMA and is attempting to drop the third bearish candlestick in a row with strong momentum. This development suggests that the price is still actively bearish and may continue to decline.

BNB
Source: BNBUSDT on Tradingview.com

Lastly, the 1-day MACD signals a potential further decline in the price of BNB since the MACD histograms are trending below the zero line with strong momentum. Both the MACD line and the MACD signal line are also observed to be trending below zero after a cross below it.

What To Watch Next For BNB

Current analysis reveals that the price of BNB could be heading toward the $357 support level. If BNB’s price reaches the $357 support level and breaks below, it may continue to drop to test the $202 support level and potentially move on to challenge other lower levels if it breaches the $202 level.

However, should the crypto asset encounter a rejection at the $357 support level, it will begin to move upward toward the $500 level once again. If it moves above this level, it may continue to climb to test the $635 resistance level and potentially move on to test other higher levels if it breaches the $635 resistance level.

BNB
BNB trading at $468 on the 1D chart | Source: BNBUSDT on Tradingview.com

Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com



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Crypto Whales Boost Holdings of These 3 Altcoins

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The first week of July has been a difficult one for the market. But amid the growing sell-offs, crypto whales loaded their wallets with some altcoins that some may term undervalued.

Whales are large investors, and their influence on price cannot be underestimated. Therefore, market participants may need to keep an eye on Dogecoin (DOGE), Optimism (OP), and Pepe (PEPE), as they are among the altcoins crypto whales bought this week.

Dogecoin (DOGE) Large Holders Overlook The Decline

Like other cryptocurrencies, the price of DOGE tumbled. Specifically, the value has dropped by 23.76% in the last seven days. 

However, this did not stop crypto whales from buying more of the coin. BeInCrypto observes this after evaluating the Large Holders Inflow shown by IntoTheBlock.

This inflow shows strong buying activity by market participants who hold between 0.1% to 1% of the cryptocurrency.  On Tuesday, July 2, the inflow was 61.88 million DOGE. 

But one day later, the inflow reached 516.08 million, suggesting that whales were buying the dip. Currently, the figure has decreased to 215.90 million. 

Dogecoin whales purchase more coins
Dogecoin Large Holders Inflow. Source: IntoTheBlock

At an average price of $0.11, crypto whales bought $23.74 million worth of Dogecoin in the first week of July. This is a 175.44% increase from the holdings in the last week of June.

Optimism (OP) Whales Ignore the Unlocks, Bullish About the ETF

Second on this list is OP, the token of the layer-two blockchain built on Ethereum.  This week, OP’s price has fallen by 27.82%. Apart from the broader market decline, OP’s decline can be linked to the series of token unlocks between July 1 and 5.

While the unlocks put selling pressure on the price, crypto whales decided to scoop the token at discount prices. 

According to Santiment, whales hodling between 1 million to 10 million OP added to their balance in the first week of this month. As a result, this cohort now holds 11.27% of the total OP  supply.

Read More: What Is Optimism?

OP whales increase holdings
Optimism Balance of Addresses. Source: Santiment

The decision seems to be largely due to the upcoming Ethereum ETF approval. For most market participants, the official trading of the products may raise ETH prices.

Since ETH shares a strong correlation with OP, whales deem it fit to buy the token lower before the potential rally begins. 

Whales Put Pepe (PEPE) At the Top of the Chain

A look at PEPE’s Large Holder Netflow shows a staggering 2237.18% increase in the last seven days. This means the crypto whales buying PEPE outpaced those selling it by the abovementioned ratio.

Despite intensifying their purchase, the accumulation has had little to no effect on PEPE’s price. At press time, PEPE trades at $0.0000078— the lowest price it has hit since May 4.

If these large investors continue to buy the token as the price dips, stability may eventually appear. 

Read More: Pepe (PEPE) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

PEPE crypto whales are buying
Pepe Large Holders Netflow. Source: IntoTheBlock

However, considering the current market condition, whale accumulation alone may not be enough to prevent prices from further declining. This is because Bitcoin (BTC) seems to be the crypto dragging the market back

Should BTC fail to stop its correction, DOGE, OP, and PEPE may continue to face downward pressure. However, a rebound for the number one cryptocurrency may prevent another nosedive.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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