Bitcoin price is slowly moving higher above the $83,500 zone. BTC must clear the $85,200 resistance zone to continue higher in the near term.

• Bitcoin found support at $83,200 and started a recovery wave.
• The price is trading above $84,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average.
• There was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at $84,650 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
• The pair could start another increase if it clears the $85,200 zone.

Bitcoin Price Eyes Fresh Upside

Bitcoin price started a fresh decline below the $86,200 and $85,500 levels. BTC even declined below the $84,00 level before the bulls appeared.

The price tested the $83,200 support. A low was formed at $83,171 and the price recently started a recovery wave. The price climbed above the $84,500 resistance zone. There was a break above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $86,400 swing high to the $83,171 low.

Besides, there was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at $84,650 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. Bitcoin price is now trading above $84,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average.

On the upside, immediate resistance is near the $85,200 level. It is near the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $86,400 swing high to the $83,171 low. The first key resistance is near the $85,500 level. The next key resistance could be $86,500.

A close above the $86,500 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $87,200 resistance level. Any more gains might send the price toward the $88,800 level.

Another Decline In BTC?

If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $85,200 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support on the downside is near the $84,500 level. The first major support is near the $84,000 level.

The next support is now near the $83,200 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $82,500 support in the near term. The main support sits at $81,800.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $84,500, followed by $83,200.

Major Resistance Levels – $85,200 and $85,500.

Circle, the issuer behind the USDC stablecoin, has officially introduced the Refund Protocol—an advanced smart contract framework developed by Circle Research. 

This innovation marks a turning point for decentralized stablecoin payments by directly embedding on-chain dispute resolution mechanisms into the blockchain, ensuring digital commerce transparency, security, and trust.

Role of Refund Protocol in the Circle Ecosystem

Traditional stablecoin payment models often lack on-chain refund or dispute resolution mechanisms. Typically, the sender’s stablecoins are held in escrow for a period before being released to the recipient. 

An external party, known as an arbiter, oversees this escrow account. However, resolution usually happens off-chain when disputes arise, leading to two major concerns: centralized control by the arbiter and lack of transparency in the dispute process.

To solve this, Circle has designed the Refund Protocol to enhance the overall stablecoin payment experience, especially for USDC. The protocol acts as a smart contract, enabling non-custodial escrow and on-chain dispute resolution.

“Today, Circle’s R&D team released a new Refund Protocol for stablecoin payments. This builds on our earlier open source releases for confidential payments as well as reversible payments. Progress in mainstreaming stablecoin payments,” said Circle CEO Jeremy Allaire.

Rather than controlling the escrow account, the Refund Protocol can only do two things: release funds to the recipient or refund them to the customer. This removes reliance on third-party intermediaries, increases transparency, and boosts efficiency and user trust.

Refund Protocol to Help USDC Gain Market Share?

According to data from DefiLlama, USDT from Tether currently dominates the stablecoin market with over 61% market share. Although USDC holds the second position, its market capitalization is still less than half that of USDT.

The launch of Refund Protocol provides Circle with a strategic edge. By offering developers and businesses an easy way to integrate USDC payments into e-commerce platforms, NFT marketplaces, and DeFi applications, the protocol strengthens USDC’s position as a flexible and reliable medium of exchange.

Additionally, Refund Protocol gives Circle an advantage by providing a decentralized, low-cost, and transparent solution. This will help USDC stand out in real-world applications.

Refund Protocol may face regulatory hurdles despite its innovation, especially in jurisdictions with strict blockchain laws. The legal recognition of on-chain dispute resolution remains uncertain in many regions, potentially posing one of the biggest obstacles to widespread adoption.

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