Connect with us

Regulation

Kamala Harris Beats Donald Trump On Prediction Market Ahead Crypto Meetings

Published

3 months ago

on


In a remarkable turn of events, Vice President Kamala Harris has overtaken former President Donald Trump in prediction markets, reflecting a surge in her campaign’s momentum. This comes after talks of a crypto reset and some meetings scheduled. However, as Harris’ win odds surge, the crypto industry might lose out on the ambitious plans Trump suggested.

Kamala Harris Vs Donald Trump

While Kamala Harris and Donald Trump look tied on Polymarket, the former has taken a small lead. According to the latest data, Harris’s election odds are now at 49.2%, while Trump lags slightly behind at 49%. This shift follows a period where Trump had a commanding lead, having previously reached a high of 71% win odds on Polymarket.

The Harris campaign’s recent efforts to engage the crypto community appear to be a significant factor in this turnaround. On Tuesday, August 6, the Democrats launched the Crypto4Harris Group. It is an initiative aimed at organizing, fundraising, and developing a nuanced crypto-policy approach for Harris’s presidential bid.

Moreover, the group will hold its first town hall meeting next week. This meeting will see notable figures like billionaire Mark Cuban and former White House Communications Director Anthony Scaramucci. The move to court crypto enthusiasts is seen as a strategic effort to counter Trump’s influence in the sector and build Harris’s image within the crypto industry ahead of the November elections.

Also Read: Kamala Harris’ Election Win Odds Hits 47%, Is Trump’s Bitcoin Strategy At Risk?

Crypto Reset Strategy

Such initiatives is part of a broader strategy by pro-crypto Democrats to reset Kamala Harris’s relationship with the industry and establish a fresh start. In addition, California Congressman Ro Khanna is also scheduled to host a pivotal roundtable in Washington. This roundtable is set to feature crypto industry leaders and renowned political figures.

It aims to discuss the future of crypto policy. Moreover, Harris campaign representatives and other Democrats are expected to join. Furthermore, Mark Cuban’s endorsement of Kamala Harris and Minnesota Governor Tim Walz has generated significant attention. Cuban, who has been an outspoken advocate for cryptocurrency, will be speaking at the upcoming Crypto4Harris town hall meeting.

His participation underscores the growing influence of the crypto community in the political arena. However, Harris’s attempt to pivot her stance on crypto has not been without controversy. Tennessee Senator Bill Hagerty recently criticized her new strategy.

He suggested it was a ‘desperate’ attempt to mimic Trump’s success at the Bitcoin conference in Nashville. Hagerty’s comments reflect a broader skepticism among some Republicans about Harris’s commitment to a pro-crypto approach.

Despite these criticisms, the Harris campaign’s crypto outreach has potential benefits. If Harris follows through on her promise of a pro-crypto policy, it could signal a limited crackdown on the industry. However, the some of Donald Trump’s ambitious plans on crypto may never see the light of the day.

Trump has announced his intention to establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve. This proposal could gain traction with the support of Senator Cynthia Lummis’ bill. Furthermore, it is deemed one of the most bullish moves for the industry. On the flip side, Harris hasn’t announced similar plans as of yet.

Also Read: Kamala Harris Likely To Appoint Anti-Crypto Treasury Secretary: Report

✓ Share:

Kritika Mehta

Kritika boasts over 2 years of experience in the financial news sector. Currently working as a crypto journalist at Coingape, she has consistently shown a knack for blockchain technology and cryptocurrencies. Kritika combines insightful analysis with a deep understanding of market trends. With a keen interest in technical analysis, she brings a nuanced perspective to her reporting, exploring the intersection of finance, technology, and emerging trends in the crypto space.

Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.





Source link

Related Topics:
Continue Reading
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Regulation

Polymarket Faces French Ban After Massive Bets On US Election Results

Published

9 hours ago

on

November 7, 2024

By


Polymarket, a crypto-based prediction market, is likely to be prohibited by France’s gambling regulator, the ANJ, after a huge amount of bets were placed on the 2024 U.S. presidential election. Since the global audience engaged in prediction platforms, Polymarket experienced a record jump, with $450 million expected to be distributed to users following the victory of Donald Trump.

This increase of betting volume and large stakes has become a matter of concern for the French regulator because the platform offers unlicensed gambling services.

$450 Million in Payouts Expected After U.S. Election Bets

Prediction markets, which are expected to increase their payout to election bettors to around $450m following Donald Trump’s projected win, are attracting increasing attention. 

Although conventional polls pointed to a closer contest, prediction markets such as Polymarket and Kalshi recorded a steep rise in Trump’s chances in the last few days, indicating a strong divergence with poll-based expectations.

Among the active users of Polymarket, a French trader called “Theo” made a $26 million bet on Trump’s win and won $49 million. This big bet made Polymarket popular, as the French authorities paid attention to the platform and its popularity among French residents, which led to concerns about the compliance of the platform with French gambling legislation.

France’s ANJ Considers Blocking Access to Polymarket

The ANJ has claimed that Polymarket is involved in gambling which is only allowed in France by licensed operators. According to local media, the regulator has the power to ban access to unlicensed gambling sites and is expected to restrict access to Polymarket soon. 

An ANJ insider said: “Polymarket is just betting on something that is completely uncertain, which is exactly what gambling is.”

If put in place, the ban would prevent the usage of the application in France, despite the fact that users can still try to avoid the restriction by connecting to VPN. The ANJ could also try to influence media outlets and directories to stop advertising or linking to Polymarket and, thus, limit its audiences even more.

Regulatory Concerns Over Market Manipulation

The high level of activity on Polymarket has led to speculations that the platform may be used for market manipulation. Two blockchain analysis firms, Chaos Labs and Inca Digital, recently revealed that there was potential wash trading within Polymarket’s U.S. presidential betting market where the same assets are bought and sold to simply create a fake market. This type of trading is rather manipulative and can lead to the distortion of signals on the market and mislead other participants.

The US Commodity Futures Trading Commission also has concerns about prediction markets and put forward a rule in May aiming at stricter regulation of such markets due to the potential for manipulation.

Although no final decision has been reached, regulatory actions could impact Polymarket’s ability to operate freely in other markets, including the U.S.

✓ Share:

Kelvin Munene Murithi

Kelvin is a distinguished writer with expertise in crypto and finance, holding a Bachelor’s degree in Actuarial Science. Known for his incisive analysis and insightful content, he possesses a strong command of English and excels in conducting thorough research and delivering timely cryptocurrency market updates.

Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.





Source link

Continue Reading

Regulation

FTX Co Founder Gary Wang Appeals For No Jail Time, Here’s Why

Published

11 hours ago

on

November 7, 2024

By


FTX co-founder Gary Wang has requested a federal judge not to send him to prison. He noted that he is testifying against the former business partner, Sam Bankman-Fried, someone he has known for a long time in a fraud case.

The lawyer for Wang submitted a sentencing memo in Manhattan federal court wherein he claimed that his client should not be incarcerated as he provided assistance to the prosecutors as well as his role in the scheme was comparatively less.

Wang, who pleaded guilty to fraud and conspiracy when FTX went bankrupt in 2022, is to receive his sentencing on the 20th of November.

FTX Co-Founder Gary Wang Appeals for No Jail Time

The defense counsel for FTX co-founder Gary Wang highlighted his client’s early cooperation with the federal prosecutors as one of the key reasons why the court should consider him for mercy. According to Graff, Wang was one of the first FTX executives to meet with the authorities and share information on the FTX and Alameda Research. Wang gave a testimony in the trial that led to the recent conviction of Bankman-Fried who was sentenced to 25 years in prison.

Speaking at the trial, Wang described how he was ordered to change the code of FTX in order to enable Alameda Research to use the assets of the company’s clients, which is one of the key points of Bankman-Fried’s fraud.

FTX co-founder’s lawyer noted that his involvement in the fraud was less than some of the other former executives, including Caroline Ellison, former CEO of Alameda Research, and Nishad Singh, FTX’s former head of engineering. Wang, his lawyer said, did not start or operate the scheme and was not personally involved in the provision of false information to the investors.

“Gary was not involved in the scheme at its inception, was never provided with details of the scheme, and, in contrast to Bankman-Fried, Ellison and Singh, never engaged in any affirmative action of deception,” Graff wrote.

Sentencing Comparisons to Other Executives

Wang’s attorney argued that a prison sentence would create an “unwarranted sentencing disparity” with Nishad Singh, who avoided jail time after pleading guilty and cooperating with the government. Singh, who faced potential decades-long sentences, was ultimately sentenced to time served and three years of supervised release. 

Ellison, another major cooperator, received a two-year prison sentence. FTX co-founder Gary Wang contended that Wang’s level of involvement was even lower than Singh’s, supporting a non-custodial sentence for Wang as well.

Graff also noted Wang’s personal circumstances, stating that Wang is expecting the birth of his first child shortly after his sentencing date. Wang’s attorney suggested that allowing him to remain with his family would align with the court’s treatment of other cooperators in the case.

“Gary wants nothing more than to be a good husband and father and to continue his work to facilitate FTX victims’ recovery,” Graff wrote.

Separately, the U.S. government is working to reclaim approximately $13.25 million in political donations made by FTX executives, including Bankman-Fried and Singh.  Judge Lewis Kaplan however granted the government additional time to negotiate the return of these funds, extending discussions with the PACs until January 15, 2025.

✓ Share:

Kelvin Munene Murithi

Kelvin is a distinguished writer with expertise in crypto and finance, holding a Bachelor’s degree in Actuarial Science. Known for his incisive analysis and insightful content, he possesses a strong command of English and excels in conducting thorough research and delivering timely cryptocurrency market updates.

Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.





Source link

Continue Reading

Regulation

US SEC Files Motion for Judgment Against Kraken, Challenges Key Defenses

Published

14 hours ago

on

November 6, 2024

By


The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has filed a motion seeking judgment in its case against cryptocurrency exchange Kraken, focusing on defenses such as “fair notice” and the “major questions doctrine.”

This move, led by SEC Chairman Gary Gensler’s team, aims to limit further discovery into the agency’s regulatory policies, particularly those affecting the crypto sector. The timing of the filing has drawn attention, as some in the industry view it as a strategic attempt to shield the SEC’s methods from closer examination.

US SEC Files Motion for Judgment Against Kraken

The SEC’s motion seeks to dismiss defenses put forward by Kraken that include the fair notice defense and the major questions doctrine. The fair notice defense argues that Kraken did not receive adequate regulatory guidance regarding its crypto-related activities. 

Meanwhile, the major questions doctrine suggests that regulatory agencies, such as the SEC, should not make major policy decisions without clear direction from Congress.

Subsequently, the US SEC’s motion appears intended to prevent further discovery into its policies, which Kraken and other crypto advocates have criticized as inconsistent and unclear. A similar motion was filed in Ripple case, where the US SEC failed to secure a judgment. Michael O’Connor, an attorney representing Kraken expects a similar outcome in the Kraken case, though Kraken has indicated that it has additional defenses should this motion proceed.

This Is A Breaking News, Please Check Back For More

✓ Share:

Kelvin Munene Murithi

Kelvin is a distinguished writer with expertise in crypto and finance, holding a Bachelor’s degree in Actuarial Science. Known for his incisive analysis and insightful content, he possesses a strong command of English and excels in conducting thorough research and delivering timely cryptocurrency market updates.

Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.





Source link

Continue Reading

Trending

Copyright © 2024 coin2049.io