Ethereum (ETH) price is showing signs of weakening strength as polls open across most of the US.

Despite a 24% surge in trading volume over the past 24 hours and a modest 1% price uptick, technical indicators suggest a potential downturn. Here’s a closer look at the factors behind this analysis.

Ethereum to Remain “Under”

Readings from the altcoin’s Super Trend indicator reflect Ethereum’s weak price action. At press time, its red line rests above Ethereum’s price, confirming the potential downward trend.

This indicator helps traders identify the prevailing market trend and potential entry or exit points. It detects changes in price direction and determines support and resistance levels, often signaling when to buy or sell an asset. When the Super Trend line moves above the price and turns red, it signals a bearish trend, often considered a sell signal.

On the ETH/USD one-day chart, Ethereum’s Super Trend line is above the coin’s price at $2740, forming a resistance level that may be difficult to breach if new demand fails to enter the market. When the Super Trend line moves above the price, it acts as a resistance level. This is because the line indicates a potential “ceiling” where the price might face resistance if it attempts to rise. 

Read more: Ethereum ETF Explained: What It Is and How It Works

Moreover, the setup of ETH’s moving average convergence/divergence (MACD) indicator — which tracks its trend direction, shifts, and potential price reversal points — supports this bearish outlook. As of this writing, ETH’s MACD line (blue) rests below its signal line (orange) and zero line. 

This bearish signal suggests that ETH’s short-term momentum is weakening. Traders often interpret this as a signal to exit long positions and take short ones.

ETH Price Prediction: August 5 Low Is Possible

If buying pressure weakens, Ethereum’s price could fall toward its August 5 low of $2,112, marking a 13% drop from its current value. Conversely, a surge in demand could propel the coin to test resistance at $2,508.

Read more: Ethereum (ETH) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

A successful breakthrough at this level would set the next target at the Super Trend line resistance of $2,740. Clearing this mark with strong momentum could position Ethereum for a climb toward $2,869 — a level not seen since August.

AAVE, the governance token of the prominent lending protocol Aave, is experiencing downward pressure as large holders, or whales, initiated significant sell-offs early Tuesday.

This analysis explores potential price targets as AAVE’s value reacts to the intensified selling pressure from whales.

Aave Whales Sell Holdings

In a Tuesday post on X, on-chain sleuth Lookonchain noted that AAVE whales are actively selling off their holdings, with significant withdrawals noted in recent transactions. 

One whale, identified as address 0x7634, withdrew 25,790 AAVE (around $3.39 million) from the Aave protocol and transferred it to the MEXC exchange. Just three hours earlier, another whale, address 0x790c, had removed 7,822 AAVE (approximately $1.04 million) from Aave and sent it to Binance. Additionally, crypto trading firm Cumberland deposited 10,000 AAVE to OKX.

The action of these AAVE whales has resulted in a sharp rise in its exchange flow balance. Santiment’s data shows that at press time, this balance is 53,000 AAVE, representing its single-day highest flow since September 10. 

Read more: How To Use Aave?

The Exchange Flow Balance measures the net flow of a cryptocurrency into or out of exchanges, calculated by subtracting the total amount withdrawn from the total amount deposited. An uptick in this metric indicates that large quantities of the asset are being sent to exchanges. Such substantial inflows often signal potential price drops, as the added sell pressure can overwhelm the market’s capacity to absorb it.

AAVE’s negative price daily active address (DAA) divergence confirms this rise in selling pressure in the market. At press time, the metric’s value stands at -39.24%.

This metric compares an asset’s price movements with the changes in its number of daily active addresses. Investors use it to track whether the price movements are supported by corresponding network activity. A negative value suggests weakening demand and potential selling pressure. 

AAVE Price Prediction: Where Risks and Opportunities Lie

AAVE is currently trading at $130.29, hovering slightly above its key support level at $128.45. The diminishing buying momentum signals a potential risk of a drop below this threshold. Should AAVE’s price break through this support, it could fall further to $116.10.

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Conversely, if market sentiment turns bullish, AAVE might see a reversal, with its price likely rallying toward the next resistance level of $140.79.