Market
Will Sideways Action Lead to a Breakout?
Ethereum (ETH) price is facing a critical moment as it hovers near strong resistance and support levels. Recent market metrics, including the Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) and whale activity, suggest a cautious sentiment among investors.
Traders are closely watching key price levels, as a breakout above $2,500 could lead to a rally, while failure to hold $2,000 support may result in a deeper correction.
ETH NUPL Shows The Market Is Cautious Right Now
The current Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) for Ethereum stands at 0.29, indicating that a fair number of ETH holders are still in profit, but the market sentiment is leaning cautiously.
NUPL is a metric used to gauge the overall profit or loss of the market by measuring the difference between the current price of ETH and the price at which it was last moved. It essentially captures the unrealized gains or losses held by market participants and is a key indicator of market psychology.
A higher NUPL suggests that most holders are in profit, signaling optimism, while a lower NUPL points to growing unrealized losses, potentially leading to increased selling pressure. Throughout September, the ETH market experienced multiple swings, with NUPL briefly rising to 0.36 before sharply declining toward the end of the month.
Read more: How to Invest in Ethereum ETFs?
This back-and-forth movement reflects attempts at recovery that ultimately failed as market confidence weakened and more participants began holding ETH at a loss. The recent drop in NUPL from 0.36 to 0.29 suggests a shift toward more bearish sentiment.
Despite some holders still seeing profits, a growing number are facing losses, which could result in further downward pressure unless there is a strong market catalyst for reversal.
Ethereum Whales Are Hesitant
The number of Ethereum addresses holding at least 1,000 ETH peaked at 5,628 on September 25, marking a significant point of whale accumulation, which often signals bullish sentiment or market confidence. However, this number has since seen a modest decline, with the current count at 5,606, down from 5,621 just four days ago.
Tracking the movements of these large holders is crucial because whales have the capital to influence price action. When whales accumulate ETH, it can create upward pressure on prices, as their buying activity suggests confidence in future price appreciation. Conversely, when they reduce their holdings, it can indicate caution or a shift toward a more bearish outlook.
However, the current reduction in whale addresses does not point to a mass exodus or widespread sell-off. Instead, the data suggests that whales are adopting a wait-and-see approach, reducing their positions slightly without triggering major market volatility.
This kind of behavior indicates that the market is in a phase of uncertainty, where participants are reluctant to take decisive actions in either direction. Even though whale accumulation has tapered off, the fact that the decline is not dramatic implies that there is no overwhelming bearish sentiment either.
ETH Price Prediction: Strong Support and Resistance Around the Current Price
The ETH Global In/Out of the Money metric shows that Ethereum has strong resistance and support levels very close to its current price, reinforcing the idea that ETH may move sideways in the coming days before committing to a clear direction.
The Global In/Out of the Money metric identifies the distribution of addresses that are either in profit (in the money) or at a loss (out of the money) based on the current price. It shows where clusters of buying and selling pressure are likely to be found. This helps traders gauge key price levels where ETH might encounter significant resistance or support.
Read more: Ethereum (ETH) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030
If Ethereum can break through the $2,500 zone, it has the potential to push further and test the $3,000 price range, with strong resistance until around $3,200. However, on the downside, if ETH fails to hold the critical $2,000 support level, it could see a more significant correction, potentially falling back to the $1,700 range.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Bitcoin price started a fresh increase above the $104,000 zone. BTC is consolidating above $105,000 and might aim for a new all-time high.
- Bitcoin started a decent increase above the $102,500 resistance zone.
- The price is trading above $104,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average.
- There was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at $104,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
- The pair could start another increase if it stays above the $103,500 support zone.
Bitcoin Price Regains Traction
Bitcoin price started a decent upward move above the $102,500 zone. BTC was able to climb above the $103,500 and $104,000 levels.
The bulls even pushed the price above the $105,000 level. Besides, there was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at $104,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. The pair surpassed the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $109,112 swing high to the $100,114 low.
Bitcoin price is now trading above $104,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. On the upside, immediate resistance is near the $107,000 level. It is close to the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $109,112 swing high to the $100,114 low.
The first key resistance is near the $107,500 level. A clear move above the $107,500 resistance might send the price higher. The next key resistance could be $109,000.
A close above the $109,000 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $110,000 resistance level and a new all-time high. Any more gains might send the price toward the $112,500 level.
Downside Correction In BTC?
If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $107,000 resistance zone, it could start a downside correction. Immediate support on the downside is near the $104,500 level. The first major support is near the $103,500 level.
The next support is now near the $102,800 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $100,500 support in the near term.
Technical indicators:
Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone.
Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level.
Major Support Levels – $104,500, followed by $103,500.
Major Resistance Levels – $107,000 and $108,500.
AI tokens surged on Wednesday after President Donald Trump unveiled a new joint venture to invest up to $500 billion in artificial intelligence infrastructure.
The partnership involves major players such as OpenAI, Oracle, and SoftBank and will form a new entity called Stargate.
Market Focuses on AI Coins as Trump’s Stargate Initiative Gains Traction
The Stargate Project will invest $500 billion over the next four years, building new AI infrastructure in the US. The venture will focus on developing crucial data centers and the electricity generation required to power the AI sector.
The announcement has already had a noticeable impact on the broader market, particularly in AI-related cryptocurrencies. Following the news, the market capitalization of AI tokens surged by 9%, reaching $45.83 billion at press time, according to CoinGecko.
In fact, the market cap of AI agent tokens alone rose by 13% to hit $14.9 billion.
AI agent tokens, such as Virtuals Protocol, AIXBT, and AI16Z, saw impressive gains. Virtuals Protocol rose by over 13% in the past 24 hours, while AI16Z experienced a remarkable 36% increase. AIXBT token rose by 27% over the same period.
The surge in AI tokens reflects a broader shift in market interest as investors move capital towards more “sentient” tokens.
“Capital is rotating back from static memes to sentient coins,” AI researcher S4mmy commented on Twitter.
The analyst added that Fartcoin and AIXBT are sustaining their “mindshare dominance,” but face declining market caps after a heated run. Commenting on Virtuals Protocol, he said it continues to solidify its position as a backbone of the Agentic infrastructure.
Moreover, analyst CyrilXBT said he believes “AI will create generational wealth in 2025.”
“People said Bitcoin was a joke. People said AI agents are a gimmick. Guess what else they’ll say? ‘Why didn’t I listen when generational wealth was staring me in the face?,” CyrilXBT commented.
The shift towards AI is particularly interesting, given the trend of investments a few days back. Capital was flowing into Donald Trump-related tokens, such as TRUMP and MELANIA, which have seen significant volatility.
However, BeInCrypto reported that smart money traders are now focusing on AI tokens after the hype around TRUMP faded. According to data from Nansen, a substantial amount of VIRTUAL, FARTCOIN, and AIXBT tokens are held by smart money.
Disclaimer
In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Ethereum price is struggling below the $3,500 resistance while Bitcoin gains. ETH is consolidating above $3,150 and might aim for an upside break.
- Ethereum failed to gain pace for a close above $3,400 and $3,450.
- The price is trading above $3,300 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.
- There is a key contracting triangle forming with resistance at $3,355 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken).
- The pair could start another increase if it clears the $3,400 resistance level.
Ethereum Price Aims Key Upside Break
Ethereum price started a decent upward move from the $3,200 level but upsides were limited compared to Bitcoin. ETH cleared the $3,250 resistance to move into a short-term bullish zone.
The bulls were able to push the price above the $3,300 resistance zone. Besides, there was a clear move above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $3,445 swing high to the $3,203 low. However, the bears are still active below $3,400.
Ethereum price is now trading above $3,300 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. On the upside, the price seems to be facing hurdles near the $3,350 level or the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $3,445 swing high to the $3,203 low.
There is also a key contracting triangle forming with resistance at $3,355 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. The first major resistance is near the $3,400 level. The main resistance is now forming near $3,445.
A clear move above the $3,445 resistance might send the price toward the $3,550 resistance. An upside break above the $3,550 resistance might call for more gains in the coming sessions. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $3,650 resistance zone or even $3,720 in the near term.
Another Decline In ETH?
If Ethereum fails to clear the $3,400 resistance, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $3,300 level. The first major support sits near the $3,250.
A clear move below the $3,250 support might push the price toward the $3,200 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $3,120 support level in the near term. The next key support sits at $3,050.
Technical Indicators
Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is losing momentum in the bullish zone.
Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now above the 50 zone.
Major Support Level – $3,200
Major Resistance Level – $3,400
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