Market
Will Ethereum (ETH) Price Hit $6,000 This Cycle?
On August 5, Ethereum’s (ETH) price dropped to $2,226, causing the broader market to panic. But since then, the altcoin has been able to erase some of the losses, trading at $2,660 at press time.
However, investors are wondering whether ETH has survived its most difficult phase. This on-chain analysis reveals the answer.
Ethereum’s Bull Run Is Back on Track
One way to assess this is by analyzing the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) pricing bands. These bands allow investors to estimate the price levels at which a cryptocurrency will reach a high level of unrealized profits or losses.
When a cryptocurrency reaches its highest level of unrealized profits, it means that the price has reached its cycle top. However, when there is a high level of losses, the crypto appears to be close to the bottom.
According to Glassnode, the extremely high MVRV pricing level (red) is at $6,759. This value points to the potential price that establishes the top of the Ethereum market cycle.
As mentioned earlier, this metric also spots potential bottoms. As seen above, the extremely low MVRV pricing level (blue) was $1,687. The last time ETH reached this level was in December 2023, suggesting that the cryptocurrency’s price might no longer drop below this point before the end of this cycle.
Furthermore, the percentage of ETH held on exchanges continues to decline, indicating a shift in investor behavior. Typically, when more cryptocurrencies are stored on exchanges, it signals an intent to sell, which can put downward pressure on prices.
As of March 19, the percentage of ETH on exchanges stood at 11.71%. Currently, that figure has dropped to 9.95%. This reduction suggests that Ethereum holders are increasingly opting to retain their assets rather than sell them, indicating a growing confidence in the coin’s long-term value.
Read more: How to Buy Ethereum (ETH) and Everything You Need to Know
Historically, a decision like this points to the conviction that the price may increase and is a crucial sign that the bull market is not down and out. Thus, if this ratio continues to drop, ETH’s chance of surpassing $6,000 this cycle also jumps.
ETH Price Prediction: $2,900 First, $4,700 Later
On the daily chart, Ethereum paints a bullish picture, aiming to exit the supply zone between $2,625 and $2,693. From the chart below, ETH was around a similar region in January. Between that period and March, the price of the cryptocurrency jumped by 88.20% and hit $4,082.
Therefore, if the altcoin aims to replicate such a pattern, the value of the ETH’s price could rise as high as $4,770 in a few months. On a short-term horizon, ETH price looks set to reach $2,932 as long as buying pressure increases.
Read more: Ethereum (ETH) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030
However, the crypto faces resistance around $2,779. If bulls fail to break above it, the altcoin price could be rejected. Should this be the case, ETH’s price may retrace to $2,487.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
US Election Day Boosts Bitcoin to $70,000: Further Rally Ahead?
Bitcoin’s (BTC) price climbed to $70,000 today ahead of the US presidential election, indicating the connection between major political events and cryptocurrency movements. Historically, political uncertainty and significant elections have influenced crypto market sentiment and volatility.
As the election begins, on-chain analysis provides insights into potential future price movements. Analysts are also weighing in on the implications of the election outcome for Bitcoin, with opinions varying on whether the cryptocurrency could continue its upward trend or face downward pressure. Here are all the details.
Demand Spike for Bitcoin Echoes 2016 and 2020 Trends
According to Glassnode, the Bitcoin price increase comes amid a drop in the sell-side risk ratio. This metric shows whether investors are confident about a bullish performance or if conviction is low.
High values in this metric indicate periods when significant amounts of value are being realized, often correlating with increased market volatility. Such periods are commonly seen during the late stages of bull markets.
Conversely, low values suggest periods with minimal value realization and reduced market volatility. This can also signal macro market bottoms, accumulation phases, and environments with lower sell-side pressure and risk, potentially indicating the onset of future bullish trends.
Read More: 7 Best Crypto Exchanges in the USA for Bitcoin (BTC) Trading
Therefore, the rise in Bitcoin’s price indicates that selling pressure is low, and the US elections could be bullish for the cryptocurrency.
Regarding this development, Juan Pellicer, Senior Researcher at IntoTheBlock, opined that a Donald Trump win would be good for BTC and the crypto market at large.
“The market appears primed for further upward movement, with the US election serving as a potential catalyst. Sentiment suggests that Trump’s more favorable stance on cryptocurrencies could provide the momentum needed for a decisive breakthrough to a new all-time high.” Pellicer told BeInCrypto
Meanwhile, CryptoQuant’s weekly report says that BTC is at a favorable price level ahead of the elections. It noted that the cryptocurrency is currently not overvalued. Hence, if demand increases, Bitcoin’s price might rally post-election.
For instance, BTC prices rallied by 22% between election day and December 2012. In 2016, it climbed by 37%, while the cryptocurrency saw a 98% increase in 2020.
Therefore, if past performance influences future trends, the BTC might reach a new all-time high before the end of the year.
Data from the on-chain data provider also showed that demand for Bitcoin has increased. This is similar to the trends of 2016 and 2020. Hence, if sustained, the Bitcoin price might climb well above $70,000 soon.
BTC Price Prediction: $73,000 Possible
On the 1-hour chart, Bitcoin has attempted to break out on four different occasions. However, each time that happened since October 31, the coin faced rejection. However, today, the trend has changed as bulls pushed the cryptocurrency above $68,336.
This breakout has ensured that Bitcoin’s price has risen to $70,288. Furthermore, the Bull Bear Power (BBP) shows that bulls are in control. If sustained, Bitcoin’s price might rally much higher in the coming days.
Read More: Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030
If bullish momentum persists, Bitcoin could potentially climb to $73,623 ahead of the announcement of the US election results. However, should BTC face rejection at resistance levels, this forecast might be invalidated, with the cryptocurrency possibly declining to $67,405.
The post US Election Day Boosts Bitcoin to $70,000: Further Rally Ahead? appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Market
Why Ethereum’s Weak Momentum May Block $2,600 Breakout
Ethereum (ETH) price is showing signs of weakening strength as polls open across most of the US.
Despite a 24% surge in trading volume over the past 24 hours and a modest 1% price uptick, technical indicators suggest a potential downturn. Here’s a closer look at the factors behind this analysis.
Ethereum to Remain “Under”
Readings from the altcoin’s Super Trend indicator reflect Ethereum’s weak price action. At press time, its red line rests above Ethereum’s price, confirming the potential downward trend.
This indicator helps traders identify the prevailing market trend and potential entry or exit points. It detects changes in price direction and determines support and resistance levels, often signaling when to buy or sell an asset. When the Super Trend line moves above the price and turns red, it signals a bearish trend, often considered a sell signal.
On the ETH/USD one-day chart, Ethereum’s Super Trend line is above the coin’s price at $2740, forming a resistance level that may be difficult to breach if new demand fails to enter the market. When the Super Trend line moves above the price, it acts as a resistance level. This is because the line indicates a potential “ceiling” where the price might face resistance if it attempts to rise.
Read more: Ethereum ETF Explained: What It Is and How It Works
Moreover, the setup of ETH’s moving average convergence/divergence (MACD) indicator — which tracks its trend direction, shifts, and potential price reversal points — supports this bearish outlook. As of this writing, ETH’s MACD line (blue) rests below its signal line (orange) and zero line.
This bearish signal suggests that ETH’s short-term momentum is weakening. Traders often interpret this as a signal to exit long positions and take short ones.
ETH Price Prediction: August 5 Low Is Possible
If buying pressure weakens, Ethereum’s price could fall toward its August 5 low of $2,112, marking a 13% drop from its current value. Conversely, a surge in demand could propel the coin to test resistance at $2,508.
Read more: Ethereum (ETH) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030
A successful breakthrough at this level would set the next target at the Super Trend line resistance of $2,740. Clearing this mark with strong momentum could position Ethereum for a climb toward $2,869 — a level not seen since August.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
AAVE Whales Flood Exchanges,
AAVE, the governance token of the prominent lending protocol Aave, is experiencing downward pressure as large holders, or whales, initiated significant sell-offs early Tuesday.
This analysis explores potential price targets as AAVE’s value reacts to the intensified selling pressure from whales.
Aave Whales Sell Holdings
In a Tuesday post on X, on-chain sleuth Lookonchain noted that AAVE whales are actively selling off their holdings, with significant withdrawals noted in recent transactions.
One whale, identified as address 0x7634, withdrew 25,790 AAVE (around $3.39 million) from the Aave protocol and transferred it to the MEXC exchange. Just three hours earlier, another whale, address 0x790c, had removed 7,822 AAVE (approximately $1.04 million) from Aave and sent it to Binance. Additionally, crypto trading firm Cumberland deposited 10,000 AAVE to OKX.
The action of these AAVE whales has resulted in a sharp rise in its exchange flow balance. Santiment’s data shows that at press time, this balance is 53,000 AAVE, representing its single-day highest flow since September 10.
Read more: How To Use Aave?
The Exchange Flow Balance measures the net flow of a cryptocurrency into or out of exchanges, calculated by subtracting the total amount withdrawn from the total amount deposited. An uptick in this metric indicates that large quantities of the asset are being sent to exchanges. Such substantial inflows often signal potential price drops, as the added sell pressure can overwhelm the market’s capacity to absorb it.
AAVE’s negative price daily active address (DAA) divergence confirms this rise in selling pressure in the market. At press time, the metric’s value stands at -39.24%.
This metric compares an asset’s price movements with the changes in its number of daily active addresses. Investors use it to track whether the price movements are supported by corresponding network activity. A negative value suggests weakening demand and potential selling pressure.
AAVE Price Prediction: Where Risks and Opportunities Lie
AAVE is currently trading at $130.29, hovering slightly above its key support level at $128.45. The diminishing buying momentum signals a potential risk of a drop below this threshold. Should AAVE’s price break through this support, it could fall further to $116.10.
Read more: Top 11 DeFi Protocols To Keep an Eye on in 2024
Conversely, if market sentiment turns bullish, AAVE might see a reversal, with its price likely rallying toward the next resistance level of $140.79.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
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