Market
Will Bitcoin Price Pull Back? Historical Patterns Suggest So
After recently breaching the $65,000 mark, Bitcoin’s (BTC) price may have hit a brick wall. While this recent price increase indicates strong bullish momentum, historical patterns suggest that BTC could pull back before the rally continues.
This on-chain analysis highlights the indicators affirming this forecast and what investors should expect in the near term.
On-Chain Metrics Reveals It’s Time to Take a Break
Bitcoin’s price rise to $65,497 is contrary to the expectations investors had at the beginning of September when most predicted it would be a bearish month. However, according to the price Daily Active Addresses (DAA) divergence, BTC could drop before making any attempt to retest $70,000.
The price DAA checks whether user engagement increases with a coin’s value. When the price increases alongside active addresses, it is a buy signal, and the cryptocurrency’s value can increase.
At press time, Bitcoin’s price DAA had plummeted to -54.89%. This decline indicates that market participants have reduced their interaction with the coin. As such, the recent uptrend might be weak, as this is a sell signal.
Read more: How To Get Paid in Bitcoin (BTC): Everything You Need To Know
Furthermore, the coin’s performance has impacted holders’ profitability. On September 16, 79.92% of Bitcoin holders were in the money. However, based on the Historical In/Out of Money (HIOM), which compares addresses making money at different price ranges, 91.97% are now in the money.
Historically, when the ratio hit such levels, some holders take profits, leading Bitcoin’s price to decrease. For instance, a similar thing happened in July when the holders in profits were about 93%.
A few days later, it declined to 78%. Another scenario took place on August 25 when the percentage was 88.35%, and the decline in Bitcoin price later led to 76.23%. Therefore, if history rhymes with the current condition, BTC could be set for a short-term drawdown.
BTC Price Prediction: $60,000 Coming
While the price is expected to produce a positive return, the daily chart shows that Bitcoin’s attempt to reach $69,000 has encountered an obstruction. This indicates that bears are trying to overthrow bullish dominance.
If the price drops below $65,000, the $65,838 region will be a major resistance zone. However, buyers will likely try to defend BTC from going below support at $63,093. The chart below shows that this potential defense could fail.
Read more: 7 Best Crypto Exchanges in the USA for Bitcoin (BTC) Trading
As such, Bitcoin’s price could decrease to $60,348 within a few days. On the other hand, a close above $65,838 will tilt the trend in bulls’ favor. In that scenario, Bitcoin might jump to $68,236.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
XRP Price Ready to Rally? Signs Point to a Bullish Move
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Market
Solana (SOL) Rallies Strongly, Setting Sights on $200
Solana started a fresh increase above the $172 support zone. SOL price is rising and might soon aim for a move toward the $200 level.
- SOL price started a fresh increase after it settled above the $165 level against the US Dollar.
- The price is now trading above $172 and the 100-hourly simple moving average.
- There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $162 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken).
- The pair could continue to rise if it clears the $192 resistance zone.
Solana Price Starts Fresh Rally
Solana price formed a support base and started a fresh increase above the $162 level like Bitcoin and Ethereum. There was a strong move above the $165 and $172 resistance levels.
There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $162 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair. The price even cleared the $185 level. A high is formed at $192 and the price is now consolidating gains. It is trading above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $155 swing low to the $192 high.
Solana is now trading above $172 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. On the upside, the price is facing resistance near the $192 level. The next major resistance is near the $195 level.
The main resistance could be $200. A successful close above the $200 resistance level could set the pace for another steady increase. The next key resistance is $212. Any more gains might send the price toward the $220 level.
Another Dip in SOL?
If SOL fails to rise above the $192 resistance, it could start a downside correction. Initial support on the downside is near the $188 level. The first major support is near the $180 level.
A break below the $180 level might send the price toward the $172 zone or the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $155 swing low to the $192 high. If there is a close below the $172 support, the price could decline toward the $165 support in the near term.
Technical Indicators
Hourly MACD – The MACD for SOL/USD is gaining pace in the bullish zone.
Hourly Hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for SOL/USD is above the 50 level.
Major Support Levels – $188 and $185.
Major Resistance Levels – $192 and $200.
Market
Will Bulls Push It Higher?
Ethereum price started a fresh surge above the $2,650 resistance. ETH is up over 10% and might aim for a move above the $2,850 resistance.
- Ethereum started a fresh surge above the $2,650 resistance zone.
- The price is trading above $2,700 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.
- There is a new connecting bullish trend line forming with support at $2,730 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken).
- The pair could continue to rise if it settles above $2,850 and $2,880.
Ethereum Price Extends Surge
Ethereum price started a fresh increase above the $2,550 resistance like Bitcoin. ETH was able to climb above the $2,550 and $2,650 resistance levels to move into a positive zone.
It even surged above the $2,720 level in the past few sessions, beating BTC. It is up over 10% and there was a move above $2,800. A high is formed at $2,848 and the price is showing signs of more upsides. It is holding gains above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $2,357 swing low to the $2,848 high.
Ethereum price is now trading above $2,700 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is also a new connecting bullish trend line forming with support at $2,730 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD.
On the upside, the price seems to be facing hurdles near the $2,850 level. The first major resistance is near the $2,880 level. The main resistance is now forming near $2,950. A clear move above the $2,950 resistance might send the price toward the $3,000 resistance.
An upside break above the $3,000 resistance might call for more gains in the coming sessions. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $3,250 resistance zone.
Are Dips Supported In ETH?
If Ethereum fails to clear the $2,850 resistance, it could start a downside correction. Initial support on the downside is near the $2,800 level. The first major support sits near the $2,720 zone and the trend line.
A clear move below the $2,720 support might push the price toward $2,650. Any more losses might send the price toward the $2,550 support level in the near term. The next key support sits at $2,500.
Technical Indicators
Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bullish zone.
Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now above the 50 zone.
Major Support Level – $2,850
Major Resistance Level – $2,720
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