Market
Will Avalanche’s $30 Support Trigger Major Market Movements?
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In today’s analysis, we will delve into the recent price action of Avalanche (AVAX) and its on-chain activity to understand the underlying trends and potential future movements.
Bitcoin’s 22% correction from all-time highs has led AVAX to trade near the critical $30 support level, instilling fear among holders. Curious about the reasons behind this behavior? Let’s examine the details.
AVAX Is Trading Just Above a Critical Support Level
The chart below shows Avalanche’s price action in the 4-hour timeframe. The red lines highlight key support and resistance levels. Currently, the price is around $32. A decline below the $30 range could trigger a cascade of liquidations, leading to further price depreciation.
The $30.74 level, near the $30 mark, aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci line and is a crucial support. Monitoring these levels will help investors and traders anticipate potential price movements.
Key resistance levels to watch are $33.26 (200 EMA), $34.06 (100 EMA), and $39.78. The EMA 100 and 200 in the 4-hour timeframe are significant as they can act as trendline resistance in the bearish trend.
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Additionally, the Ichimoku Cloud is currently in a critical resistance zone. If AVAX breaks above the cloud, it could signal a price recovery.
Avalanche Analysis: Exploring Essential On-Chain Metrics
The average holding time of Avalanche has dropped to levels seen during the Q4 2022 bear market. This suggests that investors hold their coins for shorter periods, indicating increased trading activity and reduced confidence in holding AVAX long-term.
As the holding time decreases, it shows that more investors are trading AVAX rather than holding it. This increased activity can lead to higher volatility and price fluctuations.
The decrease in holding time reflects a bearish market sentiment. Investors are less confident in AVAX’s long-term potential, opting to trade in and out of positions more frequently.
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At the moment of writing, more than 2 million small AVAX holders are at break-even or in losses. This situation could increase selling pressure as these investors might decide to sell to cut their losses, further driving the price down.
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The majority of addresses hold between 0 – 1 AVAX and 1 – 10 AVAX, indicating a large number of small holders. The stability of larger holdings suggests that significant investors are maintaining their positions.
Many small holders at break-even or losses reflect a cautious market sentiment. These holders are more likely to sell under pressure, which could lead to increased volatility and further price declines.
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The number of addresses holding AVAX for less than one month has decreased significantly. This means holders who bought AVAX recently are exiting the market and cutting their losses.
While fewer short-term traders can reduce immediate price volatility, it also means there is less buying support from this group. This can make the price more susceptible to downward pressure from other market segments.
Strategic Recommendations Amid Bitcoin’s Influence
- Bearish to Neutral Outlook: AVAX’s price struggles below the $30 support level, showing weakness after Bitcoin’s correction from all-time highs. This has led to fear among holders, with short-term investors exiting to cut losses.
- Bitcoin’s Influence: If Bitcoin continues its upward momentum and approaches its all-time highs, it could positively impact AVAX’s price.
- Conditional Support: Should Bitcoin fall further, AVAX might experience a notable mid-term price decline, potentially dropping below the critical $30 support level.
- Price Projections and Recommendations: In a bearish scenario, AVAX could fall to $25 if Bitcoin’s price declines. To reduce risk exposure, traders should wait for the price to drop below $30 before buying. The ideal buy range would be around $25-$27 for an optimal entry position. Setting a stop loss at $24 is advisable to manage potential downside risks and aim for a sell price of $40-50 to capitalize on the next upward wave.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
Ethereum Rollback Debate Intensifies After Bybit Hack
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The crypto community is divided over calls for an Ethereum blockchain rollback following a massive security breach at Bybit.
On February 21, the exchange lost nearly $1.5 billion in ETH to hackers, sparking discussions about whether Ethereum should intervene to recover the stolen funds.
What is a Blockchain Rollback?
A blockchain rollback, also known as a reorganization, involves reversing confirmed transactions to restore the network to an earlier state.
This process usually happens after a major security breach or exploit. Validators must reach a consensus to discard the affected blocks, effectively erasing the malicious transactions.
Despite its potential benefits, a rollback remains a controversial and rarely used measure due to its impact on a blockchain’s trust and decentralization.
Blockchains operate on the principle of immutability, meaning transactions are expected to be final once confirmed. So, rolling back transactions challenges this principle, raising concerns about the security and reliability of the network.
Crypto Leaders Clash Over Ethereum Rollback Proposal
BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes has been vocal in advocating for a rollback to solve the ByBit hack. He pointed to the 2016 DAO hack, where Ethereum underwent a hard fork to recover stolen funds, as precedent.
Hayes argued that since Ethereum previously compromised on immutability, another intervention should not be off the table.
“My own view as a mega ETH bag holder is ETH stopped being money in 2016 after the DAO hack hardfork. If the community wanted to do it again, I would support it because we already voted no on immutability in 2016,” Hayes said.
JAN3 CEO Samson Mow also supported the rollback, stating it could prevent North Korea from using the stolen funds to fund its nuclear weapons program.
However, not everyone agrees. Pseudonymous crypto trader Borovik strongly opposed the idea, arguing that a rollback would jeopardize Ethereum’s credibility and neutrality.
Bitcoin advocate Jimmy Song also dismissed the possibility, stating that the Bybit hack cannot be compared to the 2016 DAO exploit. Song emphasized that the DAO hack allowed for a 30-day intervention, whereas the Bybit attack is already finalized, making a rollback impractical.
“I know people are expecting the Ethereum Foundation to roll back the chain, but I suspect it’s already too much of a mess to do it cleanly,” Song added.
Meanwhile, Ethereum supporter Adriano Feria introduced an alternative perspective. He argued that Bybit could have avoided this situation by using a Layer 2 (L2) solution with conditional reversible transactions.
According to Feria, blockchain technology needs some form of reversibility to ensure real-world adoption.
“Whether through social recovery or another pre-determined, immutable, and transparent decision-making process, real-world mass adoption will not work without reversible transactions. Without this capability, transactional activity will inevitably gravitate toward TradFi systems that already provide it,” Feria stated.
This debate raises a fundamental question for Ethereum: should it prioritize immutability or intervene in extreme cases?
While some see a rollback as a necessary response to an unprecedented loss, others fear it could undermine the core principles of decentralization. Ethereum’s next steps will likely shape its long-term credibility and trust within the crypto space.
Disclaimer
In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
Berachain (BERA) Falls 15% After Recent Rally Surge
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Berachain (BERA) is down almost 15% in the last 24 hours, with its market cap now at $778 million, although its price remains up nearly 20% over the past seven days. This sharp pullback comes after a strong rally between February 18 and February 20, when BERA reached levels above $8.5.
BERA’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped from overbought levels, signaling a loss of bullish momentum, while its Directional Movement Index (DMI) shows growing bearish pressure. As BERA navigates this correction phase, it faces key support at $6.1, with potential resistance levels at $8.5, $9.1, and $10 if bullish momentum returns.
BERA RSI Is Dropping Steadily After Touching Overbought Levels
Berachain Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 50.6, down sharply from 86.7 just two days ago when its price surged above $8.5. RSI is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements, ranging from 0 to 100.
It is commonly used to identify overbought or oversold conditions, with values above 70 indicating overbought levels and below 30 suggesting oversold territory.
The steep decline in BERA’s RSI reflects a significant loss of bullish momentum after reaching overbought levels above 86, where a correction was likely.
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With RSI now at 50.6, BERA is in a neutral zone, suggesting that buying and selling pressures are relatively balanced.
This could indicate a period of consolidation as the market digests recent gains. If RSI continues to decline below 50, it could signal increasing bearish momentum. This could lead to a further price drop for BERA.
Conversely, if RSI stabilizes and begins to rise, it could suggest renewed buying interest and a potential recovery in Berachain price.
BERA DMI Chart Shows Buyers Are Losing Control
Berachain Directional Movement Index (DMI) chart shows its Average Directional Index (ADX) currently at 50.5, after peaking at 60.2 yesterday, up from just 13.3 five days ago. ADX is an indicator used to measure the strength of a trend, regardless of its direction, ranging from 0 to 100.
Values above 25 typically indicate a strong trend, while values below 20 suggest a weak or sideways market. The sharp rise in ADX reflects a significant increase in trend strength, confirming that BERA has been experiencing strong directional movement recently.
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Meanwhile, BERA’s +DI is at 24.4, down from 48.4 two days ago, indicating weakening bullish momentum. Meanwhile, -DI has risen to 15.1 from 4.9, suggesting growing bearish pressure.
This shift signals that the bullish trend that drove prices higher is losing steam, and selling interest is beginning to increase.
If -DI continues to rise above +DI, it could indicate a bearish crossover, signaling a potential reversal or deeper correction in BERA’s price. However, if +DI stabilizes and moves upward again, it could suggest a continuation of the uptrend, albeit with reduced momentum.
Will Berachain Fall Below $6 Soon?
Berachain surged 53% between February 18 and February 20, pushing its price above $8.5 after the coin struggled following its airdrop. However, after this sharp rally, BERA entered a correction phase and is currently down almost 15% in the last 24 hours.
This pullback suggests profit-taking and a shift in market sentiment as buyers hesitate to push prices higher. If the downtrend continues, BERA could soon test the support at $6.1, and a break below this level could lead to a further decline towards $5.48, reflecting increased selling pressure.
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On the other hand, if Berachain can regain its bullish momentum from a few days ago, it could rise above $8.5 again, potentially testing the next resistance levels at $9.1 or even $10.
To confirm this bullish scenario, Berachain would need to see renewed buying interest and strong upward momentum. If buyers can defend key support levels and push the price above resistance zones, it could indicate the continuation of the uptrend.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
Bitcoin Could Rebound to $100,000 Soon Despite Bearish Pressure
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Bitcoin (BTC) has been trading below $100,000 since February 5, facing continued resistance despite attempts at recovery. Recent indicators suggest that sellers have gained control, with BTC’s Directional Movement Index (DMI) showing increased bearish pressure.
However, the Ichimoku Cloud points to a potential reversal if Bitcoin can break above key resistance zones. If bullish momentum returns, BTC could test the $97,756 resistance and possibly retake the $100,000 level, with $102,668 as the next target.
BTC DMI Shows that Sellers Gained Control In the Last 24 Hours
Bitcoin’s Directional Movement Index (DMI) shows its Average Directional Index (ADX) currently at 21.2, after briefly touching 22.9, rising from 15.5 two days ago.
ADX measures the strength of a trend without indicating its direction, ranging from 0 to 100. Typically, values above 25 indicate a strong trend, while values below 20 suggest a weak or ranging market.
With ADX hovering around 21.2, Bitcoin’s trend is relatively weak, signaling a potential transition period.
This suggests that the previous uptrend momentum is losing steam, possibly leading to a reversal or the beginning of a downtrend.
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Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s +DI is at 15.5, down from 23.3 just one day ago, indicating a decline in bullish momentum, while -DI has climbed to 21.9 from 9.2, reflecting growing bearish pressure.
This crossover, where -DI has moved above +DI, indicates that sellers are gaining control over the market, potentially signaling a shift from an uptrend to a downtrend.
If -DI continues to rise and +DI remains weak, Bitcoin could see increased selling pressure and a potential price decline. However, if +DI stabilizes and rebounds, Bitcoin might consolidate before choosing a more definitive directional move.
Bitcoin Ichimoku Cloud Paints A Bearish Picture, But It Could Change Soon
The Ichimoku Cloud chart for Bitcoin shows a mixed outlook with early signs of potential recovery. The blue Tenkan-sen line is currently above the red Kijun-sen line.
This crossover suggests that buying pressure is trying to recover, which could support a potential upward move.
However, Bitcoin’s price is still below the Kumo cloud, signaling that the overall trend remains bearish and that resistance is strong above the current levels.
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The Kumo cloud ahead is thin and slightly shifting upwards, suggesting that the bearish momentum might be weakening. If Bitcoin can break above the cloud, it would signal a potential trend reversal, especially if the Tenkan-sen continues to lead above the Kijun-sen.
Conversely, if Bitcoin fails to break above the cloud and the Tenkan-sen drops below the Kijun-sen again, it would confirm a continuation of the bearish trend.
For now, Bitcoin faces a crucial resistance zone, and the next move will depend on whether it can clear the cloud or get rejected downward.e
Bitcoin Could Return to $100,000 Very Soon
Bitcoin was on the verge of forming a new golden cross yesterday before the Bybit hack triggered a sharp price drop from $98,000 to roughly $95,000 within four hours.
Its Exponential Moving Average (EMA) lines are still bearish, with short-term EMAs positioned below long-term ones, indicating ongoing downward momentum.
This bearish setup suggests that selling pressure remains dominant. If sellers continue to control the market, Bitcoin could retest the support at $94,818, which was maintained during yesterday’s decline.
If this support breaks, Bitcoin could drop further to $93,415, and a continued downtrend could push it as low as $91,300.
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However, if Bitcoin price manages to recover from this drop, there are signs that the downtrend may not be as strong as it seems.
Both the ADX and Ichimoku Cloud indicate weakening bearish momentum, suggesting that a reversal is possible. In this case, Bitcoin could test the resistance at $97,756, and if this level is broken, it could rise to $100,000.
Should the uptrend gain more momentum, Bitcoin could continue climbing to test $102,668, marking its highest levels since early February.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
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