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Why US Economic Events This Week Matter for Bitcoin Prices

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Cryptocurrency traders and investors are closely monitoring key events on this week’s US economic calendar. As Bitcoin (BTC) maintains a price above $64,000, these events could trigger significant market fluctuations.

The crypto market, largely driven by retail investors, remains susceptible to economic pressures and regulatory uncertainties. With these factors at play, traders are eager to see how the week unfolds.

Key US Economic Events This Week

Bitcoin is eyeing further gains, supported by the Federal Reserve’s recent dovish tone. This week’s US economic events could heavily influence retail sentiment, potentially setting the stage for the next price movement in crypto markets. Several key items on the economic calendar hold the potential to impact Bitcoin and broader crypto prices, making them critical for traders to watch.

Consumer Confidence Index

The Conference Board is set to release the US Consumer Confidence Index on August 27, the last Tuesday of the month. This index offers insights into spending trends by reflecting consumer attitudes, buying plans, and vacation intentions.

High consumer confidence typically correlates with increased spending, potentially boosting economic activity. Such optimism might lead to greater investments in assets like Bitcoin. On the flip side, low consumer confidence, signaling reduced spending, could prompt the Federal Reserve to maintain a dovish stance, leading to more liquidity in the financial system.

In this scenario, Bitcoin could benefit as investors turn to it as an alternative store of value and inflation hedge. Given this backdrop, Tuesday’s data will be pivotal for crypto markets, offering a snapshot of consumer sentiment regarding the economy. The current forecast stands at 100.5, a slight increase from 100.3.

Read more: How to Protect Yourself From Inflation Using Cryptocurrency

Initial Jobless Claims

Crypto markets are also closely watching Thursday’s initial jobless claims report, which will offer fresh insights into the US labor market’s health. Recently, the number of Americans filing new unemployment claims has edged higher, signaling a gradual cooling of the labor market — a factor that has encouraged the Fed’s cautious stance on rate cuts.

The last reported figure was 232,000, with a middle projection of 234,000 for the upcoming data. According to the Labor Department, initial jobless claims increased by 4,000 to a seasonally adjusted 232,000 for the week ending August 17, while economists expected 230,000.

A higher-than-anticipated rise in jobless claims could point to economic instability, driving investors toward Bitcoin as a hedge against traditional markets. Conversely, a drop in claims may boost confidence in traditional assets, potentially diverting capital away from cryptocurrencies. With the Fed closely monitoring labor conditions, these numbers will be key for both traditional and crypto investors alike.

GDP

This week’s second revision of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data, scheduled for Thursday, is a critical release for the markets. GDP measures the overall economic output and health of a country by calculating the total value of goods and services produced.

A positive revision would signal robust economic growth, potentially driving investors to riskier assets like Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. On the other hand, a downward adjustment could dampen sentiment, leading to a pullback in crypto prices as investors grow cautious.

In the previous report, GDP grew at an annualized rate of 2.8% in Q2, surpassing the 1.4% pace recorded in Q1. This steady growth has helped ease recession fears, suggesting resilience in the broader economy. If confirmed by Thursday’s data, investor optimism could spill over into the crypto market, reinforcing Bitcoin’s appeal as a high-reward asset.

Personal Income and PCE Index

The US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) is set to release personal income, spending, the PCE index, and core PCE data on Friday. These figures will provide crucial insights into inflation and consumer behavior, directly influencing the Federal Reserve’s next moves.

Weaker personal income and spending data, paired with softer inflation, could pave the way for a 50-basis-point rate cut in September. Such a dovish approach from the Fed could boost demand for riskier assets like Bitcoin. However, if spending power drops sharply, recession fears might resurface, potentially dampening Bitcoin demand.

The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, especially the core PCE excluding food and energy prices, will be a key inflation gauge. A higher-than-expected core PCE reading would indicate persistent inflationary pressures, leading investors to seek alternative assets like Bitcoin, which is often viewed as an inflation hedge. On the flip side, a lower core PCE index could reduce demand for cryptocurrencies as investors turn to more stable investments.

Consumer Sentiment

Markets also brace for the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment survey release for August on Friday. This data shows the gap between the US economy’s continued strength and how households feel about their personal financial situation.

If the data shows consumers are still struggling with inflation and high interest rates while also worrying more about their jobs, crypto could react in different ways. Notably, consumer sentiment is much more sensitive to inflation, while consumer confidence is more sensitive to the labor market.

Read more: How To Buy Bitcoin (BTC) and Everything You Need To Know

Ultimately, the relationship between crypto and US macroeconomics is not always straightforward. The market reacts to data releases in unexpected ways determined by what transpires in the days leading to the data release date. It is worth mentioning that all of the above data will affect the S&P500 Index (SPX) and, therefore, also impact Bitcoin.

US Government Bitcoin Supply Overhang

The US government’s Bitcoin holdings remain a significant concern for the market. According to Arkham Intelligence, the government currently holds around 203,239 BTC. Any large transfer from this inventory could trigger fears of an oversupply, potentially driving Bitcoin’s price below the $60,000 mark.

US Government Bitcoin Supply, as crypto braces for US economic events
US Government Bitcoin Supply, Source: Arkham Intelligence

According to BeInCrypto data, Bitcoin is currently trading at $64,067, reflecting a 0.23% dip since the market opened on Monday. Further developments this week could determine its next directional move.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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GOAT Price Sees Slower Growth After Reaching $1B Market Cap

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GOAT price has skyrocketed 214.29% in one month, recently breaking into the $1 billion market cap and securing its place as the 10th largest meme coin. It now stands just ahead of MOG, which closely trails its position in the rankings.

However, recent indicators suggest that GOAT’s uptrend may be weakening, raising questions about whether it can sustain its rally or face a potential correction.

GOAT BBTrend Is Negative For The First Time In 4 Days

GOAT BBTrend has turned negative for the first time since November 17, now sitting at -0.54. This shift suggests that bearish momentum is beginning to take hold, with the asset’s recent upward trajectory starting to weaken potentially.

BBTrend measures the strength and direction of price trends using Bollinger Bands, with positive values indicating an uptrend and negative values signaling a downtrend. A negative BBTrend reflects increased downward pressure, which could indicate the start of a broader market shift.

GOAT BBTrend.
GOAT BBTrend. Source: TradingView

GOAT has had an impressive November, gaining 61% and reaching a new all-time high on November 17.

However, the current negative BBTrend, if it persists and grows, could signal the potential for further bearish momentum.

GOAT Is In A Neutral Zone

GOAT’s RSI has dropped to 52, down from over 70 a few days ago when it reached its all-time high. This decline indicates that buying momentum has cooled off, and the market has moved out of the overbought zone.

The drop suggests a shift toward a more neutral sentiment as traders consolidate gains and the strong bullish pressure seen earlier subsides.

GOAT RSI.
GOAT RSI. Source: TradingView

RSI measures the strength and velocity of price changes, with values above 70 indicating overbought conditions and below 30 signaling oversold levels. At 52, GOAT’s RSI is in a neutral zone, neither signaling strong bullish nor bearish momentum.

This could mean the current uptrend is losing strength, and the price may consolidate or move sideways unless renewed buying pressure reignites upward momentum.

GOAT Price Prediction: A New Surge Until $1.50?

If GOAT current uptrend regains strength, it could retest its all-time high of $1.37, establishing its market cap above $1 billion, a fundamental threshold for being among the biggest meme coins in the market today.

Breaking above this level could pave the way for further gains, potentially reaching the next thresholds at $1.40 or even $1.50, signaling renewed bullish momentum and market confidence.

GOAT Price Analysis.
GOAT Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, as shown by indicators like RSI and BBTrend, the uptrend may be losing steam. If a downtrend emerges, GOAT price could test its nearest support zones at $0.80 and $0.69.

Should these levels fail to hold, the price could fall further, potentially reaching $0.419, putting its position in the top 10 ranking of biggest meme coins at risk.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Ripple (XRP) Price Hits 109% Monthly Gain as Indicators Weaken

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Ripple (XRP) price has experienced a significant rally, rising 51.33% in the last seven days and an impressive 109.09% over the past month. This strong momentum has propelled XRP into a bullish phase, with key indicators like EMA lines supporting its upward trajectory.

However, signs of weakening momentum, such as a declining RSI and negative CMF, suggest that caution may be warranted. Whether XRP continues to push higher or faces a steep correction will depend on how the market reacts to these shifting dynamics.

XRP RSI Is Below The Overbought Zone

XRP’s RSI has dropped to 60 after nearly hitting 90 on November 16 and staying above 70 between November 15 and November 17.

This decline indicates that Ripple has moved out of the overbought zone, where intense buying pressure previously drove its price higher. The drop suggests that the market is cooling off, with traders potentially taking profits after the strong rally.

XRP RSI.
XRP RSI. Source: TradingView

The RSI measures the speed and magnitude of price changes, with values above 70 indicating overbought conditions and below 30 signaling oversold levels. At 60, XRP’s RSI reflects a still-positive momentum but shows a more balanced sentiment compared to the previous surge.

While the uptrend remains intact, the lower RSI could indicate a slower pace of gains, with the possibility of consolidation as the market stabilizes. If buying pressure returns, XRP price could extend its upward movement, but a further decline in RSI might signal a weakening bullish momentum.

Ripple CMF Is Now Negative After Staying Positive For 14 Days

XRP Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is currently at -0.12, after showing positive levels between November 5 and November 19. That is also its lowest level since October 31. This shift into negative territory reflects increased selling pressure and a potential outflow of capital from the asset.

The transition from positive CMF values earlier this month signals a weakening in bullish momentum as more market participants reduce exposure to Ripple.

XRP CMF.
XRP CMF. Source: TradingView

The CMF measures the volume and flow of money into or out of an asset, with positive values indicating capital inflow (bullish) and negative values showing capital outflow (bearish).

XRP’s CMF at -0.12 suggests that bearish sentiment is beginning to gain traction, potentially putting pressure on its price despite the recent uptrend. If the CMF remains negative or declines further, it could indicate sustained selling pressure, challenging Ripple’s ability to continue its upward movement.

Ripple Price Prediction: Biggest Price Since 2021?

XRP’s EMA lines currently display a bullish setup, with short-term lines positioned above the long-term lines and the price trading above all of them.

However, the narrowing distance between the price and some of these lines suggests a potential slowdown in bullish momentum. This could signal that the uptrend is weakening, leaving XRP price vulnerable to a shift in market sentiment.

XRP Price Analysis.
XRP Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

If a downtrend emerges, as indicated by the weakening RSI and negative CMF, Ripple price could face significant pressure and potentially drop to its support at $0.49, representing a substantial 56% correction.

On the other hand, if the uptrend regains strength, XRP could climb to test the $1.27 level and potentially break through to $1.30, which would mark its highest price since May 2021.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Trump Media Files Trademark for Crypto Platform TruthFi

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Trump Media & Technology Group is exploring the development of a crypto payment platform, as revealed by a recent trademark filing. 

The application, submitted by Donald Trump’s social media company on Monday, outlines plans for a service named TruthFi. The proposed platform aims to offer crypto payments, financial custody, and digital asset trading.

Following the trademark announcement, Trump Media’s stock rose approximately 2%. At the time of writing, the stock was trading at $30.44, up by nearly 75% this year. 

However, details about TruthFi remain scarce, including its timeline or operational specifics. This initiative suggests an effort by Trump Media to expand its business model beyond Truth Social. 

The social media platform was established back in 2022, after Trump was banned from Facebook and X (formerly Twitter). 

Trump Media truthfi trademark filiing
TruthFi trademark filing. Source: Trademark Status and Document Retrieval

Nevertheless, launching a large-scale cryptocurrency platform could require Trump Media to acquire additional resources or partner with an established firm. This is because the firm currently has a small workforce of less than 40 employees. 

“The filing, made with the USPTO on Monday, indicates that Trump Media plans to offer: Digital wallets, Cryptocurrency payment processing services, and A digital asset trading platform,” US Trademark Attorney Josh Gerben wrote on X (formerly Twitter). 

As reported by BeInCrypto earlier, Trump Media is also in discussions to purchase the b2b crypto trading platform Bakkt. Shares in Bakkt surged by nearly 140% since the news earlier this week. 

Meanwhile, the President-elect’s crypto plans seem to be in full swing even before he takes office in January. He is also reportedly considering the first-ever crypto advisor role for the White House, and interviewing several potential candidates.

Earlier today, the current SEC chair Gary Gensler announced his resignation before Trump’s term begins. Gensler’s resignation boosted the crypto market, as it signals a major change in the SEC’s regulatory stance

Notably, XRP surged 7% to its highest value in three years. Bitcoin also neared $99,000, as the overall crypto market cap reached $3.4 trillion. 

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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