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Why US Economic Events This Week Matter for Bitcoin Prices

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Cryptocurrency traders and investors are closely monitoring key events on this week’s US economic calendar. As Bitcoin (BTC) maintains a price above $64,000, these events could trigger significant market fluctuations.

The crypto market, largely driven by retail investors, remains susceptible to economic pressures and regulatory uncertainties. With these factors at play, traders are eager to see how the week unfolds.

Key US Economic Events This Week

Bitcoin is eyeing further gains, supported by the Federal Reserve’s recent dovish tone. This week’s US economic events could heavily influence retail sentiment, potentially setting the stage for the next price movement in crypto markets. Several key items on the economic calendar hold the potential to impact Bitcoin and broader crypto prices, making them critical for traders to watch.

Consumer Confidence Index

The Conference Board is set to release the US Consumer Confidence Index on August 27, the last Tuesday of the month. This index offers insights into spending trends by reflecting consumer attitudes, buying plans, and vacation intentions.

High consumer confidence typically correlates with increased spending, potentially boosting economic activity. Such optimism might lead to greater investments in assets like Bitcoin. On the flip side, low consumer confidence, signaling reduced spending, could prompt the Federal Reserve to maintain a dovish stance, leading to more liquidity in the financial system.

In this scenario, Bitcoin could benefit as investors turn to it as an alternative store of value and inflation hedge. Given this backdrop, Tuesday’s data will be pivotal for crypto markets, offering a snapshot of consumer sentiment regarding the economy. The current forecast stands at 100.5, a slight increase from 100.3.

Read more: How to Protect Yourself From Inflation Using Cryptocurrency

Initial Jobless Claims

Crypto markets are also closely watching Thursday’s initial jobless claims report, which will offer fresh insights into the US labor market’s health. Recently, the number of Americans filing new unemployment claims has edged higher, signaling a gradual cooling of the labor market — a factor that has encouraged the Fed’s cautious stance on rate cuts.

The last reported figure was 232,000, with a middle projection of 234,000 for the upcoming data. According to the Labor Department, initial jobless claims increased by 4,000 to a seasonally adjusted 232,000 for the week ending August 17, while economists expected 230,000.

A higher-than-anticipated rise in jobless claims could point to economic instability, driving investors toward Bitcoin as a hedge against traditional markets. Conversely, a drop in claims may boost confidence in traditional assets, potentially diverting capital away from cryptocurrencies. With the Fed closely monitoring labor conditions, these numbers will be key for both traditional and crypto investors alike.

GDP

This week’s second revision of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data, scheduled for Thursday, is a critical release for the markets. GDP measures the overall economic output and health of a country by calculating the total value of goods and services produced.

A positive revision would signal robust economic growth, potentially driving investors to riskier assets like Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. On the other hand, a downward adjustment could dampen sentiment, leading to a pullback in crypto prices as investors grow cautious.

In the previous report, GDP grew at an annualized rate of 2.8% in Q2, surpassing the 1.4% pace recorded in Q1. This steady growth has helped ease recession fears, suggesting resilience in the broader economy. If confirmed by Thursday’s data, investor optimism could spill over into the crypto market, reinforcing Bitcoin’s appeal as a high-reward asset.

Personal Income and PCE Index

The US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) is set to release personal income, spending, the PCE index, and core PCE data on Friday. These figures will provide crucial insights into inflation and consumer behavior, directly influencing the Federal Reserve’s next moves.

Weaker personal income and spending data, paired with softer inflation, could pave the way for a 50-basis-point rate cut in September. Such a dovish approach from the Fed could boost demand for riskier assets like Bitcoin. However, if spending power drops sharply, recession fears might resurface, potentially dampening Bitcoin demand.

The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, especially the core PCE excluding food and energy prices, will be a key inflation gauge. A higher-than-expected core PCE reading would indicate persistent inflationary pressures, leading investors to seek alternative assets like Bitcoin, which is often viewed as an inflation hedge. On the flip side, a lower core PCE index could reduce demand for cryptocurrencies as investors turn to more stable investments.

Consumer Sentiment

Markets also brace for the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment survey release for August on Friday. This data shows the gap between the US economy’s continued strength and how households feel about their personal financial situation.

If the data shows consumers are still struggling with inflation and high interest rates while also worrying more about their jobs, crypto could react in different ways. Notably, consumer sentiment is much more sensitive to inflation, while consumer confidence is more sensitive to the labor market.

Read more: How To Buy Bitcoin (BTC) and Everything You Need To Know

Ultimately, the relationship between crypto and US macroeconomics is not always straightforward. The market reacts to data releases in unexpected ways determined by what transpires in the days leading to the data release date. It is worth mentioning that all of the above data will affect the S&P500 Index (SPX) and, therefore, also impact Bitcoin.

US Government Bitcoin Supply Overhang

The US government’s Bitcoin holdings remain a significant concern for the market. According to Arkham Intelligence, the government currently holds around 203,239 BTC. Any large transfer from this inventory could trigger fears of an oversupply, potentially driving Bitcoin’s price below the $60,000 mark.

US Government Bitcoin Supply, as crypto braces for US economic events
US Government Bitcoin Supply, Source: Arkham Intelligence

According to BeInCrypto data, Bitcoin is currently trading at $64,067, reflecting a 0.23% dip since the market opened on Monday. Further developments this week could determine its next directional move.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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How Fed Rate Cut Could Help LINK

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Chainlink’s (LINK) price has risen above $11 following the recent Fed rate cut. This increase has ignited fresh speculation about the coin’s short-term outlook.

In this analysis, BeInCrypto examines the factors contributing to the hike, the potential implications of the rate cut, and what traders can expect from LINK.

According to Santiment, alongside the recent rate cut, Chainlink’s 90-day Mean Coin Age (MCA) has risen. The MCA reflects the average age of tokens in circulation, with a low MCA suggesting that previously inactive tokens are being moved from cold wallets, potentially leading to a sell-off and putting downward pressure on the price.

Conversely, a rising MCA indicates that investors are holding onto their tokens and engaging less in trading activity, often signaling a long-term hold strategy. In Chainlink’s case, the spike in the MCA suggests that many investors are choosing to keep their LINK tokens dormant or moving them into self-custody, reducing selling pressure.

Read more: How To Buy Chainlink (LINK) and Everything You Need To Know

Chainlink 90-Day Mean Coin Age.
Chainlink 90-Day Mean Coin Age. Source: Santiment

Beyond the rising coin age, the 4-hour LINK/USD chart reveals a surge in the Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD), a key indicator of market sentiment. Each bar on the CVD shows whether the market is dominated by buying or selling activity. Red bars signal selling pressure, which could drive the price down.

In LINK’s case, the chart shows five consecutive green bars, indicating sustained buying pressure. This suggests that the market’s demand for LINK is growing, potentially supporting the continuation of its uptrend.

Chainlink Cumulative Volume Delta.
Chainlink Cumulative Volume Delta. Source: TradingView

The daily chart shows that Chainlink is holding strong at the $10.02 support level, which played a key role in its recent breakout above the $10.83 resistance. Currently, LINK is trading at $11.30, with no significant resistance in sight to halt the uptrend.

Using Fibonacci retracement levels to assess potential price targets, LINK’s next likely move could take it to $11.86, corresponding to the 38.2% Fibonacci level. If it breaks past this point, the next target could be around $12.98, a level that appears within reach given the current momentum.

Read more: Chainlink (LINK) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

Chainlink Daily Analysis.
Chainlink Daily Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, the cryptocurrency could experience a pullback if it fails to surpass $11.86. If that happens, LINK might drop to $9.25. 

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Will Notcoin Price Break This Key Resistance?

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Like other altcoins in the market, Notcoin (NOT) has seen a price increase in the last 24 hours. Within the period mentioned, NOT has jumped by 8% while its volume has surged 85%, indicating growing interest in the Telegram coin.

With market volatility at a high level, Notcoin faces a crucial momentum that could determine its short-term movement. If NOT fails to break through this key resistance, it risks facing a significant correction that may send its price tumbling.

Notcoin Encounters Challenges

Notcoin is currently trading at $0.0078, still 73% below its all-time high. Despite recent gains in price and volume, which suggest a potential rally, the 4-hour analysis indicates the token could face challenges as it targets $0.011.

The 4-hour chart shows that Notcoin is working its way toward $0.0080, but this level has previously acted as resistance, where the coin faced rejection. If Notcoin fails to break above this price level, it could see a 10% correction. In this case, its value might drop to $0.0072.

Read more: 5 Top Notcoin Wallets in 2024

Notcoin 4-Hour Analysis.
Notcoin 4-Hour Analysis. Source: TradingView

An evaluation of Notcoin on the daily timeframe shows its Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains below the neutral 50.00 mark. The RSI is a momentum indicator that tracks the speed and size of price changes.

If the RSI moves above the midpoint, it signals bullish momentum and a potential price increase. Conversely, a decline in the RSI suggests weakening momentum.

For Notcoin, the RSI is rising but still below the signal line, indicating the uptrend is uncertain. The token’s upward movement will likely remain shaky unless bulls apply more pressure to push the price higher.

Notcoin Relative Strength Index.
Notcoin Relative Strength Index. Source: TradingView

NOT Price Prediction: Rally Could Stop

Furthermore, the Fibonacci retracement indicator provides insights into NOT’s next movement. From a short-term perspective, bulls might try to break above $0.0085. However, around the same region, Notcoin began a decline that pulled it down to $0.0072 on September 6.

As such, that region is a supply zone that requires notable buying pressure to surpass. Currently, it does not appear that Notcoin has the notable capital flow to keep the upswing going.

Read more: Notcoin (NOT) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

Notcoin Daily Price Analysis.
Notcoin Daily Analysis. Source: TradingView

In a highly bearish scenario, Notcoin’s price could drop to $0.0072 and possibly as low as $0.0069. On the other hand, if the token manages to break above the $0.0080 and $0.0085 resistance levels, it could potentially surge to $0.011.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Why 2024 Altcoin Season Could Fuel a Rally in These 6 Tokens

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Crypto investors and analysts support that the 2024 altcoin season may have just started, drawing signals from multiple fundamentals, including Bitcoin’s (BTC) sustained foray above $63,000.

The optimism comes after the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decided a 50 basis points interest rate cut in September, suggesting the US economy is in a good place.

Crypto Banter Founder Highlights Tokens Primed for Altcoins

Crypto Banter, a popular YouTube channel with over 1.08 million subscribers, says the 2024 altcoin season is beginning. Its founder, Ran Neuner, cites the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest cut on Wednesday, increasing global liquidity and the all-time high seen in the money market funds. With this, he lists six tokens that are best positioned to rally if the altcoin season takes off.

SUI

The analyst starts by highlighting Sui (SUI) as a standout token, noting its rising prominence in the market, even posing a threat to Solana (SOL). SUI has been making headlines with major partnerships, including Circle’s USDC integration. Grayscale also recently launched a Sui Trust, which has driven a significant increase in both price and trading volume.

Ran Neuner believes these strong fundamentals position SUI for success in the short term, especially if an altcoin season unfolds.

FTM

The analyst also highlights Fantom (FTM) as a promising altcoin, noting its strong price performance. FTM has gained attention after recent internal developments, including the rebrand to Sonic Labs in August.

The rebrand has sparked renewed investor interest, positioning Fantom for further growth. Sonic Labs is building on this momentum with the launch of Sonic Gateway, a decentralized bridge that enables secure ERC-20 token transfers between Ethereum and Sonic.

This development has provided a boost for FTM, which has risen by 10% since the Thursday session began, trading at $0.33, according to BeInCrypto data.

IMX

ImmutableX (IMX) is also on Crypto Banter’s list of altcoins poised to rally on a possible alt season. The gaming token has broken above a falling wedge pattern, effectively confirming a reversal. Based on this breakout, analysts expect a bullish wave.

Read more: What Is Altcoin Season? A Comprehensive Guide

IMX Price Performance
IMX/USDT 2-day chart, Source: TradingView

AERO

The portfolio rebalancing also considers Aerodrome (AERO), as the central trading and liquidity marketplace continues to thrive on Base L2. The underlying fundamental for AERO is Aerodrome’s MetaDEX model, which combines the best aspects of previous decentralized exchange market leaders.

“When we assess Aerodrome’s implied outcomes through a model, it’s evident that token inflation, in itself, is not inherently bad. Instead, emissions are just one input into an economic model—a cost that can be managed and overcome,” a DeFi researcher echoed.

SOL

If the assumption proves accurate, Solana (SOL) may be gearing up for a strong rally, given its history of delivering impressive gains during altcoin market surges. Solana has often outperformed when broader altcoin momentum picks up, making it a key player to watch.

Currently, SOL is trading at $141.53, marking a 10% increase in the last 24 hours, according to BeInCrypto data.

OM

MANTRA (OM) earns a spot on the analyst’s list due to the upcoming launch of its mainnet in October. This event is expected to be a major milestone for the project, as it will bring real-world assets (RWA) on-chain. The mainnet launch will be a crucial step in integrating traditional finance (TradFi) into the blockchain ecosystem, creating new opportunities for MANTRA’s growth.

Read more: How To Invest in Real-World Crypto Assets (RWA)?

Ran Neuner also highlighted several other tokens that could see strong rallies, including Arweave (ARV), THORChain (RUNE), Render (RNDR), Crown by Third Time Games (CROWN), and SuperVerse (SUPER). These tokens have posted steady, conservative gains despite recent market uncertainty, positioning them for larger increases if an altcoin season takes off.

However, Neuner advises investors to keep an eye on the Bank of Japan’s (BOJ) CPI and interest rate decision on Friday. He warns that if the BOJ raises rates, it could disrupt the current rally, potentially leading to a market reversal. On the other hand, if the BOJ cuts interest rates, it could reinforce the ongoing upward momentum.

“Don’t get overconfident. We need good CPI out of Japan tomorrow and for BOJ not to raise rates on Friday. September still has some potential liquidity drains so don’t lever up to the gills, just 8 more days until it is really up only,” GamesMasterFlex wrote.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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