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Why Toncoin Price Must Address the 610 Million Supply Wall

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On several occasions, Toncoin’s (TON) price has shown readiness to retest the $7 mark. But since late July, almost every time it inches close to the region, it pulls back, leaving investors worried about the cause.

Fortunately, BeInCrypto has identified a daunting sell wall that is hindering the Telegram-native cryptocurrency from maintaining a prolonged rally. This on-chain analysis reveals all the details and what TON needs to breach this point successfully 

Pressing Issues for Toncoin’s Future

Currently, Toncoin’s price is $5.20, representing a 10% decline in the last seven days. This value also means that the token is 37% down from its all-time high, with about 75% of its holders out of the money.

These TON holders are currently out of money because most accumulate it at a higher value than the current price. Interestingly, the In/Out of Money Around Price (IOMAP) reveals that Toncoin’s price might not move substantially higher unless some of these holders give way.

Specifically, the IOMAP provides an idea of support and resistance using the volume purchased at certain price ranges. The larger the volume or cluster, the larger the support or resistance. For Toncoin, about 5.33 million hold 610.55 million tokens and buy the token at an average price of $5.23.

Read more: 6 Best Toncoin (TON) Wallets in 2024

Toncoin price faces resistance
Toncoin IOMAP. Source: IntoTheBlock

This volume is higher than that of those who purchased it, between $4.49 and $5.05. It is also a lot bigger than the volume bought by the 8,330 addresses currently at the break-even point. Considering this condition, TON is less likely to get support from these addresses.

Instead, the token might face huge challenges in surpassing $5.23 since that zone is a significant supply wall. Further, the Mean Dollar Invested Age (MDIA) is another factor hindering Toncoin’s price from breaking through to $7.

The MDIA is the average age of all tokens on a blockchain, weighted by the purchase price. When it rises, cryptos become increasingly dormant, making it challenging for prices to increase. 

Toncoin tokens are dormant
Toncoin Mean Dollar Invested Age. Source: Santiment

On the other hand, a falling MDIA indicates that tokens are beginning to wake up, thereby increasing the chances of near-future rally. As seen below, the MDIA for TON climbed, suggesting that the stagnancy of tokens could restrain the token from going higher.

TON Price Prediction: Bears Remain Dominant

As of this writing, Toncoin’s price is trading below two key moving averages: the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and the 50-day EMA. Furthermore, the 50 EMA (yellow) has risen above the 20 EMA (blue), suggesting that sellers are dominant.

As it stands, bears might try to push TON’s price below the $5.12 support. If successful, the token’s value might sink to $4.89, making it challenging for Toncoin to hit $7 again.

Read more: 10 Best Altcoin Exchanges In 2024

Toncoin price analysis
Toncoin Daily Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

On the flip side, if Toncoin climbs above the EMAs, bears might not be able to validate the expected decline. Instead, Toncoin’s price might breach the $5.67 resistance and increase toward $6.18.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Rallies 10% and Targets More Upside

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Este artículo también está disponible en español.

Ethereum price started a fresh increase above the $3,220 zone. ETH is rising and aiming for more gains above the $3,350 resistance.

  • Ethereum started a fresh increase above the $3,220 and $3,300 levels.
  • The price is trading above $3,250 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.
  • There is a short-term contracting triangle forming with resistance at $3,360 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken).
  • The pair could gain bullish momentum if it clears the $3,385 resistance zone.

Ethereum Price Regains Traction

Ethereum price remained supported above $3,000 and started a fresh increase like Bitcoin. ETH gained pace for a move above the $3,150 and $3,220 resistance levels.

The bulls pumped the price above the $3,300 level. It gained over 10% and traded as high as $3,387. It is now consolidating gains above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent move from the $3,036 swing low to the $3,387 high.

Ethereum price is now trading above $3,220 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. On the upside, the price seems to be facing hurdles near the $3,350 level. There is also a short-term contracting triangle forming with resistance at $3,360 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD.

Ethereum Price
Source: ETHUSD on TradingView.com

The first major resistance is near the $3,385 level. The main resistance is now forming near $3,420. A clear move above the $3,420 resistance might send the price toward the $3,550 resistance. An upside break above the $3,550 resistance might call for more gains in the coming sessions. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $3,650 resistance zone or even $3,880.

Another Decline In ETH?

If Ethereum fails to clear the $3,350 resistance, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $3,300 level. The first major support sits near the $3,250 zone.

A clear move below the $3,250 support might push the price toward $3,220 or the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent move from the $3,036 swing low to the $3,387 high. Any more losses might send the price toward the $3,150 support level in the near term. The next key support sits at $3,050.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACDThe MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSIThe RSI for ETH/USD is now above the 50 zone.

Major Support Level – $3,250

Major Resistance Level – $3,385



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Rallies 10% and Targets More Upside

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Este artículo también está disponible en español.

Ethereum price started a fresh increase above the $3,220 zone. ETH is rising and aiming for more gains above the $3,350 resistance.

  • Ethereum started a fresh increase above the $3,220 and $3,300 levels.
  • The price is trading above $3,250 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.
  • There is a short-term contracting triangle forming with resistance at $3,360 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken).
  • The pair could gain bullish momentum if it clears the $3,385 resistance zone.

Ethereum Price Regains Traction

Ethereum price remained supported above $3,000 and started a fresh increase like Bitcoin. ETH gained pace for a move above the $3,150 and $3,220 resistance levels.

The bulls pumped the price above the $3,300 level. It gained over 10% and traded as high as $3,387. It is now consolidating gains above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent move from the $3,036 swing low to the $3,387 high.

Ethereum price is now trading above $3,220 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. On the upside, the price seems to be facing hurdles near the $3,350 level. There is also a short-term contracting triangle forming with resistance at $3,360 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD.

Ethereum Price
Source: ETHUSD on TradingView.com

The first major resistance is near the $3,385 level. The main resistance is now forming near $3,420. A clear move above the $3,420 resistance might send the price toward the $3,550 resistance. An upside break above the $3,550 resistance might call for more gains in the coming sessions. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $3,650 resistance zone or even $3,880.

Another Decline In ETH?

If Ethereum fails to clear the $3,350 resistance, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $3,300 level. The first major support sits near the $3,250 zone.

A clear move below the $3,250 support might push the price toward $3,220 or the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent move from the $3,036 swing low to the $3,387 high. Any more losses might send the price toward the $3,150 support level in the near term. The next key support sits at $3,050.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACDThe MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSIThe RSI for ETH/USD is now above the 50 zone.

Major Support Level – $3,250

Major Resistance Level – $3,385



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GOAT Price Sees Slower Growth After Reaching $1B Market Cap

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GOAT price has skyrocketed 214.29% in one month, recently breaking into the $1 billion market cap and securing its place as the 10th largest meme coin. It now stands just ahead of MOG, which closely trails its position in the rankings.

However, recent indicators suggest that GOAT’s uptrend may be weakening, raising questions about whether it can sustain its rally or face a potential correction.

GOAT BBTrend Is Negative For The First Time In 4 Days

GOAT BBTrend has turned negative for the first time since November 17, now sitting at -0.54. This shift suggests that bearish momentum is beginning to take hold, with the asset’s recent upward trajectory starting to weaken potentially.

BBTrend measures the strength and direction of price trends using Bollinger Bands, with positive values indicating an uptrend and negative values signaling a downtrend. A negative BBTrend reflects increased downward pressure, which could indicate the start of a broader market shift.

GOAT BBTrend.
GOAT BBTrend. Source: TradingView

GOAT has had an impressive November, gaining 61% and reaching a new all-time high on November 17.

However, the current negative BBTrend, if it persists and grows, could signal the potential for further bearish momentum.

GOAT Is In A Neutral Zone

GOAT’s RSI has dropped to 52, down from over 70 a few days ago when it reached its all-time high. This decline indicates that buying momentum has cooled off, and the market has moved out of the overbought zone.

The drop suggests a shift toward a more neutral sentiment as traders consolidate gains and the strong bullish pressure seen earlier subsides.

GOAT RSI.
GOAT RSI. Source: TradingView

RSI measures the strength and velocity of price changes, with values above 70 indicating overbought conditions and below 30 signaling oversold levels. At 52, GOAT’s RSI is in a neutral zone, neither signaling strong bullish nor bearish momentum.

This could mean the current uptrend is losing strength, and the price may consolidate or move sideways unless renewed buying pressure reignites upward momentum.

GOAT Price Prediction: A New Surge Until $1.50?

If GOAT current uptrend regains strength, it could retest its all-time high of $1.37, establishing its market cap above $1 billion, a fundamental threshold for being among the biggest meme coins in the market today.

Breaking above this level could pave the way for further gains, potentially reaching the next thresholds at $1.40 or even $1.50, signaling renewed bullish momentum and market confidence.

GOAT Price Analysis.
GOAT Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, as shown by indicators like RSI and BBTrend, the uptrend may be losing steam. If a downtrend emerges, GOAT price could test its nearest support zones at $0.80 and $0.69.

Should these levels fail to hold, the price could fall further, potentially reaching $0.419, putting its position in the top 10 ranking of biggest meme coins at risk.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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