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Why Ethereum (ETH) $4,000 Target Is Now Out of Reach

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Readers will find today’s analysis of Ethereum (ETH) interesting. On June 11, about 542,000 ETH moved out of exchanges— the largest outflow of the year.

However, the trend did not take long to change, prompting speculation that the potential increase to $4,000 may be delayed.

Ethereum Opens the Floor for Bears

According to data from CryptoQuant, the number of ETH withdrawn from exchanges has decreased. For instance, the figure recorded on June 12 fell by almost half from what it was the day before.

As of this writing, BeInCrypto observes that 70,839 ETH has flown out of top exchanges. In simple terms, exchange outflow is the total amount of coins retired from exchanges into cold wallets or self-custody. 

By holding more cryptocurrencies off-ramp, assets may face decreasing selling pressure. However, for Ethereum, that may not be the case. A low exchange outflow may lead to consolidation.

Read more: How to Buy Ethereum (ETH) and Everything You Need to Know

Ethereum exchange inflow decreases
Ethereum Exchange Outflow. Source: CryptoQuant

Also, if exchange inflow increases, prices may decrease significantly. For context, exchange inflow measures the number of coins sent into exchanges. When this figure increases, it puts selling pressure on the price. On the other hand, a decrease in exchange inflow reduces the chances of a major nosedive. 

Ethereum’s price trades at $3,494, down from an earlier peak of $3,881 last week. Like the metric above, the Taker Sell Ratio paints a bearish picture. By definition, the Taker Sell Ratio is calculated as the number of sell orders divided by the total perpetual swaps in the market. If the value is over 0.50, it implies that sellers are dominant. 

However, a reading lower than 0.50 shows that selling sentiment is below the possible peak. For ETH, the Taker Sell Ratio was 0.52, indicating a high presence of bears in the market.

Ethereum (ETH) faces selling pressure
Ethereum Taker Sell Ratio. Source: CryptoQuant

Will ETH Price Mirror Bitcoin’s Reaction?

Further, a look at the ETH/USD Daily chart shows a double-top formation with the ceiling at $3,885. In trading, a double top is a bearish reversal pattern. It happens when a cryptocurrency hits a high value two consecutive times while registering slight declines between the two highs.

According to the chart below, the bearish structure broke the support level at $3,665. If this trend continues and bulls don’t appear, ETH may fall to $3,317, which was the next major support. 

Ethereum (ETH) flashes bearish signal
Ethereum Daily Analysis. Source: TradingView

In addition, the Awesome Oscillator (AO) reading has dropped to 65.10. This comes with red histogram bars. The AO is a technical tool that compares recent market movements to historical trends to determine momentum.

On the daily chart, the indicator’s decreasing reading suggests that ETH is sliding toward a downward momentum. Should this trend continue or the reading becomes negative, the price of Ethereum may drop to $3,317.

Interestingly, this is where the 0.382 Fibonacci Retracement Indicator was positioned. The Fibonacci Retracement Indicator identifies potential reversal price levels. Hence, $3,317 is one spot to watch.

Read more: How to Invest in Ethereum ETFs

Ethereum bearish momentum and prediction
Ethereum Daily Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, this prediction may be invalidated if the recently approved Ethereum spot ETFs start trading live. Despite the green light from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), some of the applicants have not fulfilled all the requirements. 

However, once a high trading volume starts entering the ETFs, ETH may mirror Bitcoin’s (BTC) reaction to a similar development in the first quarter of 2024. If this happens, ETH’s price may bounce, and the first significant target maybe $4,162.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Bitcoin Price Takes a Step Back: Analyzing The Recent Correction

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Bitcoin price failed to continue higher above the $63,650 resistance zone. BTC is now correcting gains and might revisit the $60,850 support.

  • Bitcoin started a downside correction from the $63,650 resistance zone.
  • The price is trading below $62,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average.
  • There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at $61,850 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The pair might struggle to start a fresh increase above the $62,250 resistance zone.

Bitcoin Price Dips Again

Bitcoin price struggled to extend gains above the $63,650 and $63,800 resistance levels. A high was formed at $63,798 and the price started a downside correction.

The price declined below the $63,000 level. The bears were able to push it below the $62,500 level and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There was also a move below the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $59,951 swing low to the $63,798 high.

Bitcoin price is now trading below $62,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is also a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at $61,850 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.

The bulls are now trying to protect the $61,400 zone and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $59,951 swing low to the $63,798 high. If there is another increase, the price could face resistance near the $61,850 level and the trend line.

The first key resistance is near the $62,250 level. The next key resistance could be $62,500. A clear move above the $62,500 resistance might start a steady increase and send the price higher.

Bitcoin Price
Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $63,250 resistance. Any more gains might send BTC toward the $63,650 resistance in the near term.

More Losses In BTC?

If Bitcoin fails to climb above the $62,250 resistance zone, it could continue to move down. Immediate support on the downside is near the $61,400 level.

The first major support is $60,850. The next support is now forming near $60,500. Any more losses might send the price toward the $60,000 support zone in the near term.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bearish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now below the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $61,400, followed by $60,850.

Major Resistance Levels – $62,250, and $62,500.



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Exploring Upward Momentum and Bullish Prospects

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Aayush Jindal, a luminary in the world of financial markets, whose expertise spans over 15 illustrious years in the realms of Forex and cryptocurrency trading. Renowned for his unparalleled proficiency in providing technical analysis, Aayush is a trusted advisor and senior market expert to investors worldwide, guiding them through the intricate landscapes of modern finance with his keen insights and astute chart analysis.

From a young age, Aayush exhibited a natural aptitude for deciphering complex systems and unraveling patterns. Fueled by an insatiable curiosity for understanding market dynamics, he embarked on a journey that would lead him to become one of the foremost authorities in the fields of Forex and crypto trading. With a meticulous eye for detail and an unwavering commitment to excellence, Aayush honed his craft over the years, mastering the art of technical analysis and chart interpretation.
As a software engineer, Aayush harnesses the power of technology to optimize trading strategies and develop innovative solutions for navigating the volatile waters of financial markets. His background in software engineering has equipped him with a unique skill set, enabling him to leverage cutting-edge tools and algorithms to gain a competitive edge in an ever-evolving landscape.

In addition to his roles in finance and technology, Aayush serves as the director of a prestigious IT company, where he spearheads initiatives aimed at driving digital innovation and transformation. Under his visionary leadership, the company has flourished, cementing its position as a leader in the tech industry and paving the way for groundbreaking advancements in software development and IT solutions.

Despite his demanding professional commitments, Aayush is a firm believer in the importance of work-life balance. An avid traveler and adventurer, he finds solace in exploring new destinations, immersing himself in different cultures, and forging lasting memories along the way. Whether he’s trekking through the Himalayas, diving in the azure waters of the Maldives, or experiencing the vibrant energy of bustling metropolises, Aayush embraces every opportunity to broaden his horizons and create unforgettable experiences.

Aayush’s journey to success is marked by a relentless pursuit of excellence and a steadfast commitment to continuous learning and growth. His academic achievements are a testament to his dedication and passion for excellence, having completed his software engineering with honors and excelling in every department.

At his core, Aayush is driven by a profound passion for analyzing markets and uncovering profitable opportunities amidst volatility. Whether he’s poring over price charts, identifying key support and resistance levels, or providing insightful analysis to his clients and followers, Aayush’s unwavering dedication to his craft sets him apart as a true industry leader and a beacon of inspiration to aspiring traders around the globe.

In a world where uncertainty reigns supreme, Aayush Jindal stands as a guiding light, illuminating the path to financial success with his unparalleled expertise, unwavering integrity, and boundless enthusiasm for the markets.



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Should Investors See This as a Buying Chance?

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Aayush Jindal, a luminary in the world of financial markets, whose expertise spans over 15 illustrious years in the realms of Forex and cryptocurrency trading. Renowned for his unparalleled proficiency in providing technical analysis, Aayush is a trusted advisor and senior market expert to investors worldwide, guiding them through the intricate landscapes of modern finance with his keen insights and astute chart analysis.

From a young age, Aayush exhibited a natural aptitude for deciphering complex systems and unraveling patterns. Fueled by an insatiable curiosity for understanding market dynamics, he embarked on a journey that would lead him to become one of the foremost authorities in the fields of Forex and crypto trading. With a meticulous eye for detail and an unwavering commitment to excellence, Aayush honed his craft over the years, mastering the art of technical analysis and chart interpretation.
As a software engineer, Aayush harnesses the power of technology to optimize trading strategies and develop innovative solutions for navigating the volatile waters of financial markets. His background in software engineering has equipped him with a unique skill set, enabling him to leverage cutting-edge tools and algorithms to gain a competitive edge in an ever-evolving landscape.

In addition to his roles in finance and technology, Aayush serves as the director of a prestigious IT company, where he spearheads initiatives aimed at driving digital innovation and transformation. Under his visionary leadership, the company has flourished, cementing its position as a leader in the tech industry and paving the way for groundbreaking advancements in software development and IT solutions.

Despite his demanding professional commitments, Aayush is a firm believer in the importance of work-life balance. An avid traveler and adventurer, he finds solace in exploring new destinations, immersing himself in different cultures, and forging lasting memories along the way. Whether he’s trekking through the Himalayas, diving in the azure waters of the Maldives, or experiencing the vibrant energy of bustling metropolises, Aayush embraces every opportunity to broaden his horizons and create unforgettable experiences.

Aayush’s journey to success is marked by a relentless pursuit of excellence and a steadfast commitment to continuous learning and growth. His academic achievements are a testament to his dedication and passion for excellence, having completed his software engineering with honors and excelling in every department.

At his core, Aayush is driven by a profound passion for analyzing markets and uncovering profitable opportunities amidst volatility. Whether he’s poring over price charts, identifying key support and resistance levels, or providing insightful analysis to his clients and followers, Aayush’s unwavering dedication to his craft sets him apart as a true industry leader and a beacon of inspiration to aspiring traders around the globe.

In a world where uncertainty reigns supreme, Aayush Jindal stands as a guiding light, illuminating the path to financial success with his unparalleled expertise, unwavering integrity, and boundless enthusiasm for the markets.



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