HBAR, the native cryptocurrency of the Hedera Hashgraph network, has seen a meteoric rise of over 180% in the past week. It currently trades at $0.13, a price high last observed in April 2024. 

However, this rapid ascent has pushed the token’s price into overbought territory. This overextension suggests that a price correction may be imminent for the HBAR token.

Hedera Traders Overextends Its Price

Readings from HBAR’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) confirm that its market is overheated. As of this writing, the indicator stands at 92.35, its all-time high. 

The RSI measures an asset’s overbought and oversold market conditions. It ranges between 0 and 100, with values above 70 suggesting that the asset is overbought and due for a decline. In contrast, values under 30 indicate that the asset is oversold and may experience a rebound. 

HBAR’s RSI reading of 92.35 indicates that it is in extremely overbought territory. It suggests that HBAR buyers have significantly outpaced sellers, driving the price to an unsustainable level.  While the asset’s price can continue rising in the short term, such a high RSI often precedes a correction or pullback.

Further, HBAR’s price has breached the upper band of its Bollinger Bands indicator, also confirming that it is overbought among market participants. 

The Bollinger Bands indicator measures market volatility and identifies potential buy and sell signals. It consists of three main components: the middle band, the upper band, and the lower band. 

The middle band is a 20-period moving average that serves as a baseline for the price trend. The upper band is calculated as the middle band plus two standard deviations of the price, accounting for price volatility above the moving average. The lower band is the middle band minus two standard deviations of the price, representing volatility below the moving average.

When the price trades above the upper band, it often suggests that the asset is overbought, as it has moved significantly higher than its average price. This could indicate the possibility of a price pullback.

HBAR Price Prediction: A Pullback Is Imminent

Once buyers’ exhaustion sets in, HBAR’s price will experience a pullback. At its current value, it trades above support formed at $0.12. When buying pressure starts to fade, it will test this price level. Should it fail to hold, the token’s price may plummet toward $0.11.

However, if the uptrend continues, the HBAR token will reclaim its cycle peak of $0.15 and attempt to rally past it, invalidating the bearish projection above. A successful break above this level will set HBAR on the path to trading at its year-to-date high of $0.18.

Meme coins continue to dominate today’s trending altcoins, highlighting the ongoing meme coin supercycle in the crypto market.

BeInCrypto reports that the surge in interest and price appreciation has fueled their popularity. As of November 19, the top trending altcoins are ai16z (AI16Z), Sui (SUI), and Ponke (PONKE).

ai16z (AI16Z)

AI16Z is one of the trending altcoins because it is a token built on the buzzing AI agent narrative. Over the last seven days, the AI16Z price has increased by 345%. However, it has dropped by 26% within the last 24 hours. 

On the 1-hour chart, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has fallen below the 50.00 neutral line. This indicates bearish momentum around the altcoin. Should this remain the same, then the AI16Z price could drop toward $0.20.

However, if momentum turns bullish, this could change. In that scenario, the altcoin’s price could jump toward $0.60.

Sui (SUI)

SUI is once again on the list of trending altcoins as its volume continues to climb. However, the altcoin’s price has hovered around the same region since yesterday — notably at $3.73. 

Despite that, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) reading has stayed positive. The MACD is a technical oscillator that measures momentum. When it is positive, momentum is bullish. 

On the other hand, a negative reading of the MACD suggests that the reading is bearish. Since it is the former, this indicates that the SUI’s price might continue to climb — this time, above $4. However, if selling pressure rises, this outlook could change, and the altcoin might drop below $3.

Ponke (PONKE)

Last on the list of trending altcoins is PONKE, a Solana-based meme coin. Ponke is trending basically because Bithumb, the South Korean-based crypto exchange, disclosed that it has listed the token.

As a result, PONKE’s price has increased by 11% and 5% away from hitting a new all-time high. On the 4-hour chart, the Bull Bear Power (BBP), which measures the strength of buyers to sellers, indicates that bulls are in control. 

Should this remain the same, PONKE could climb above $0.85 from $0.79. However, if bears take control, that might not happen. Instead, the altcoin could decline to $0.69.

Shiba Inu’s recent rally brought significant optimism, with the meme coin recording a 65% rise this month. However, its upward trajectory has faced resistance, stalling attempts to continue its climb. 

Despite this, the shift in momentum presents a chance for SHIB to breach a key multi-month resistance level.

Shiba Inu LTHs Take Charge

The MVRV Long/Short Difference highlights a positive shift as long-term holders (LTHs) are back in profit for the first time in four months. Since mid-July, profits were primarily realized by short-term holders (STHs), typically a bearish signal. STHs often sell at profits, leading to increased selling pressure.

Conversely, LTHs are known for their HODLing behavior, often retaining supply for more than 12 months. This reduces sell pressure, providing price stability and support for Shiba Inu. The return of LTH profitability could play a critical role in stabilizing SHIB and supporting future price rallies.

Shiba Inu’s transaction volume has mostly been dominated by loss-bearing trades recently. This bearish activity overshadowed profitable transactions, raising concerns among investors. However, the scenario could shift as SHIB’s price consolidates and stabilizes.

As losses decrease and profits begin to rise, transaction volume trends may turn bullish. Stabilized prices typically attract investor confidence, which could encourage greater activity in profit-making trades. This shift in macro momentum suggests a potentially favorable outlook for SHIB’s recovery`.

SHIB Price Prediction: Supporting a Rise

Shiba Inu is currently trading at $0.00002503, holding above its support level at $0.00002267. The meme coin is now targeting a breach of $0.00002976, a key resistance level.

A consolidation between these ranges could allow SHIB to build momentum for another rally. Favorable market conditions would strengthen this possibility, giving the meme coin a chance to climb higher.

However, losing the critical support at $0.00002267 could result in a downturn. If SHIB slips to $0.00002093, it would invalidate the bullish thesis, potentially leading to a decline in investor sentiment