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Why Bitcoin (BTC) Price May Be Set to Breakout in July

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Bitcoin (BTC) has made a strong start to the new month after the price fell short of expectations for a large part of 2024’s second quarter (Q2). Trading at $63,255, the price increased by 3.11% in the last 24 hours.

Investors will be interested in whether the coin will continue its run or fare better. This analysis affirms the possibility of a higher price by the end of July unless something unexpected happens.

Bitcoin Miners Reduce High Selling Activity

Miners were one of the factors that grounded Bitcoin’s price to a halt in the last few months. In April, Bitcoin miners, who are responsible for verifying transactions on the network, saw their rewards halve.

Afterward, revenue dropped as they found it challenging to keep up with operating costs. Consequently, they sold some of their BTC. According to CryptoQuant, Miner-to-Exchange Transactions jumped up until June 8.

The Miner-to-Exchange Transactions metric measures the number of Bitcoin coins sent into exchanges from miners’ reserves. When it increases, BTC drops.  However, a notable decline provides stability for Bitcoin’s price — either it increases or the value trades sideways.

Read More: 5 Platforms to Buy Bitcoin Mining Stocks After 2024 Halving

Bitcoin miners have stopped selling
Bitcoin Miner-to-Exchange Transactions. Source: CryptoQuant

Speculation spread that the metric would jump again, but that did not happen, as it seems miners are done with distribution. As seen above, only 129 BTC affiliated with miners were sent to exchanges.

This is an extremely low figure compared to June 8, when the number was 1,279 BTC. Should the value continue to drop, Bitcoin might keep its head above $60,000 through July. In a highly bullish scenario, the price can retest $65,000 to $67,000.

Historical Trends Raise Eyebrows 

Another metric supporting a price increase is Bitcoin’s Delta Gradient. The Delta Gradient model assesses the rate of price change compared to the capital inflows into Bitcoin. 

It also considers the gradient of the spot BTC value and the realized price. The difference between these values is what gives the Delta Gradient. 

If the metric is positive, it means that investors should expect an uptrend within a specified period. On the other hand, a negative gradient implies that returns may be negative.

At press time, using Glassnode’s data, the 28-day Bitcoin Delta Gradient is -1.62. Typically, this is supposed to drive a downtrend for BTC. However, that may not be the case, as it is an improvement from a few days ago when the reading was -2.90.

Bitcoin potential uptrend
Bitcoin 28-Day Realized Gradient. Source: Glassnode

Should the reading of the metric above continue to rise, so will BTC. Furthermore, a jump into the positive region could confirm Bitcoin’s price hike.

Meanwhile, analysts on social media shared their views about this month’s performance. For example, Ali Martinez wrote on X that BTC may bounce strongly in July. 

Bitcoin returns in July
Bitcoin Historical Monthly Returns. Source: Ali Charts on X.

Referring to the coin’s previous returns in the seventh month, he explained that:

“Historically, when Bitcoin has had a negative June, it tends to bounce back strongly in July. In fact, BTC has shown an average return of 7.98% and a median return of 9.60% during this month.”

BTC Price Prediction: $67,000 or Nothing?

According to the daily BTC/USD chart, the coin had formed a Cup and Handle pattern. This pattern appears when the price forms a rounded bottom (cup) and later tests new lows to form the handle.

The cup and handle pattern acts as a bullish signal, indicating that an upward breakout could have the strength to keep moving north. Looking at the Fibonacci retracement to spot support and resistance levels, BTC could hit $64,966 if the upswing continues.

Bitcoin bullish price analysis
Bitcoin Daily Analysis. Source: TradingView

From a more bullish perspective, the coin’s price may reach $67,241 before the month ends. In addition, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is starting to move up. The rise in the RSI means that Bitcoin is leaving the bearish reigns.

However, to validate the price prediction, the RSI reading needs to cross over the 50.00 neutral zone. If this happens, BTC will continue its upswing and potentially surpass $64,000 in a few days.

Read More: Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

Bitcoin rising momentum
Bitcoin RSI. Source: TradingView

Failure to solidify the bullish momentum will invalidate the forecast. Traders also need to watch out for the actions of institutions that hold Bitcoin. 

Recently, Spot On Chain disclosed that the U.S. and German governments are selling BTC again. If this lingers, Bitcoin’s price may lose hold of $60,000 and drop to $59,795. In a highly bearish case, the price may plunge to $56,599.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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FET Bearish Descent Targets Key $0.966 Level, More Dips Ahead?

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Artificial Superintelligence Alliance (FET) is experiencing a prolonged bearish trend, pushing its price closer to the critical $0.966 support level. This sustained downward pressure has raised concerns among investors, as the cryptocurrency continues to extend its bearish momentum. 

The $0.966 resistance mark now serves as a significant point of interest, determining whether FET can reverse its current trajectory or continue its descent. Market participants are closely monitoring these developments, analyzing technical indicators and market sentiment to gauge the potential for a rebound or further decline.

This article aims to analyze the extended bearish trend affecting the digital asset and its impact on the cryptocurrency’s price as it approaches the $0.966 resistance level.

FET’s price was trading at around $1.30 and was down by 3.10% with a market capitalization of over $3 billion and a trading volume of over $99 million as of the time of writing. There has been a 24-hour decrease of 3.28% and 29.79% in FET’s market capitalization and trading volume respectively.

FET Price Under Bearish Pressure

Currently, FET on the 4-hour chart is actively bearish trading below the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the bearish trend line, dropping toward the crucial $0.966 resistance mark.

FET

The 4-hour Composite Trend Oscillator also confirms more bearishness for FET as both the signal line and the SMA of the indicator continue to trend inside the oversold zone.

On the 1-day chart, it can be observed that FET is very bearish trading below the 100-day SMA and the trend line. Following a rejection at $1.862, the price of FET has been on an extended bearish move heading toward the $0.966 support level.

FET

Lastly, the 1-day composite trend oscillator signals that FET may extend its bearish trend toward the $0.966 support level as the signal line and the SMA are still trending in the oversold zone.

Will FET’s Price Breakthrough Or Face A Rejection

Conclusively, it can be noted that as the price of FET continues to move toward the $0.966 resistance mark, it may break through its bearishness or face rejection and begin to rise.

Therefore, exploring the possible outcomes of the coin, it was discovered that if FET’s price reaches the $0.966 support level and breaks below, it may continue to decline to test the $0.459 level and potentially move on to challenge other lower levels if it breaches the $0.459 level.

However, if the crypto asset faces rejection at the $0.966 support level, it will begin to ascend toward the $1.862 resistance level. When this level is breached, it may continue to climb to test the $2.564 resistance level and may move on to test other higher levels if it breaches the $2.564 level.

FET



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Bitcoin Price Takes a Step Back: Analyzing The Recent Correction

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Bitcoin price failed to continue higher above the $63,650 resistance zone. BTC is now correcting gains and might revisit the $60,850 support.

  • Bitcoin started a downside correction from the $63,650 resistance zone.
  • The price is trading below $62,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average.
  • There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at $61,850 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The pair might struggle to start a fresh increase above the $62,250 resistance zone.

Bitcoin Price Dips Again

Bitcoin price struggled to extend gains above the $63,650 and $63,800 resistance levels. A high was formed at $63,798 and the price started a downside correction.

The price declined below the $63,000 level. The bears were able to push it below the $62,500 level and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There was also a move below the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $59,951 swing low to the $63,798 high.

Bitcoin price is now trading below $62,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is also a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at $61,850 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.

The bulls are now trying to protect the $61,400 zone and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $59,951 swing low to the $63,798 high. If there is another increase, the price could face resistance near the $61,850 level and the trend line.

The first key resistance is near the $62,250 level. The next key resistance could be $62,500. A clear move above the $62,500 resistance might start a steady increase and send the price higher.

Bitcoin Price
Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $63,250 resistance. Any more gains might send BTC toward the $63,650 resistance in the near term.

More Losses In BTC?

If Bitcoin fails to climb above the $62,250 resistance zone, it could continue to move down. Immediate support on the downside is near the $61,400 level.

The first major support is $60,850. The next support is now forming near $60,500. Any more losses might send the price toward the $60,000 support zone in the near term.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bearish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now below the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $61,400, followed by $60,850.

Major Resistance Levels – $62,250, and $62,500.



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Exploring Upward Momentum and Bullish Prospects

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Aayush Jindal, a luminary in the world of financial markets, whose expertise spans over 15 illustrious years in the realms of Forex and cryptocurrency trading. Renowned for his unparalleled proficiency in providing technical analysis, Aayush is a trusted advisor and senior market expert to investors worldwide, guiding them through the intricate landscapes of modern finance with his keen insights and astute chart analysis.

From a young age, Aayush exhibited a natural aptitude for deciphering complex systems and unraveling patterns. Fueled by an insatiable curiosity for understanding market dynamics, he embarked on a journey that would lead him to become one of the foremost authorities in the fields of Forex and crypto trading. With a meticulous eye for detail and an unwavering commitment to excellence, Aayush honed his craft over the years, mastering the art of technical analysis and chart interpretation.
As a software engineer, Aayush harnesses the power of technology to optimize trading strategies and develop innovative solutions for navigating the volatile waters of financial markets. His background in software engineering has equipped him with a unique skill set, enabling him to leverage cutting-edge tools and algorithms to gain a competitive edge in an ever-evolving landscape.

In addition to his roles in finance and technology, Aayush serves as the director of a prestigious IT company, where he spearheads initiatives aimed at driving digital innovation and transformation. Under his visionary leadership, the company has flourished, cementing its position as a leader in the tech industry and paving the way for groundbreaking advancements in software development and IT solutions.

Despite his demanding professional commitments, Aayush is a firm believer in the importance of work-life balance. An avid traveler and adventurer, he finds solace in exploring new destinations, immersing himself in different cultures, and forging lasting memories along the way. Whether he’s trekking through the Himalayas, diving in the azure waters of the Maldives, or experiencing the vibrant energy of bustling metropolises, Aayush embraces every opportunity to broaden his horizons and create unforgettable experiences.

Aayush’s journey to success is marked by a relentless pursuit of excellence and a steadfast commitment to continuous learning and growth. His academic achievements are a testament to his dedication and passion for excellence, having completed his software engineering with honors and excelling in every department.

At his core, Aayush is driven by a profound passion for analyzing markets and uncovering profitable opportunities amidst volatility. Whether he’s poring over price charts, identifying key support and resistance levels, or providing insightful analysis to his clients and followers, Aayush’s unwavering dedication to his craft sets him apart as a true industry leader and a beacon of inspiration to aspiring traders around the globe.

In a world where uncertainty reigns supreme, Aayush Jindal stands as a guiding light, illuminating the path to financial success with his unparalleled expertise, unwavering integrity, and boundless enthusiasm for the markets.



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