The Sandbox (SAND) continued its bullish trend, hitting a new yearly high of $0.86 during Monday’s early Asian session. However, it has since pulled back by 14%, trading at $0.76 at press time.

Despite the recent surge, on-chain and technical indicators suggest that the much-anticipated $1 price target remains unlikely for now. Here’s why.

The Sandbox’s Long-Term Holders Book Profit

SAND’s price hike over the past week has prompted its long-term holders to move their previously dormant tokens around. This is reflected in the surge in the token’s age-consumed metric, which measures the movement of long-held coins. According to Santiment, this skyrocketed to a two-month high of 33.19 billion on Sunday. 

This metric’s rally is notable because long-term holders are not in the habit of moving their coins around. Therefore, when they do, especially during periods of price uptick, it hints at a shift in market trends. Significant spikes in age-consumed during a rally like this suggest that long-term holders are offloading, possibly leading to increased selling pressure.

Notably, the rise in SAND’s Exchange Flow Balance over the past 24 hours confirms the selling activity. According to Santiment, this metric, which measures the net difference between the amount of an asset sent to exchanges and the amount of an asset withdrawn from exchanges over a specific period, has climbed by 162%. 

This reflects an increase in the amount of SAND tokens being deposited to exchanges. It signals that holders are preparing to sell, possibly leading to downward price pressure.

On the daily chart, SAND’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 87.18, indicating overbought conditions. The RSI measures whether an asset is oversold or overbought, ranging from 0 to 100. Values above 70 signal that the asset is overbought and could face a decline, while values below 30 suggest it is oversold and might rebound.

With an RSI of 87.18, SAND is signaling overbought conditions, putting it at risk of a near-term pullback. If a decline occurs, its price could drop to $0.72. Increased selling pressure at this level may push SAND further down to $0.61, distancing it even more from the sought-after $1 target.

On the other hand, the SAND token price may reclaim its year-to-date high of $0.86 if the selling pressure wanes. This will invalidate the bearish thesis above.

On November 23, Solana’s (SOL) price hit a new all-time high, sparking speculation that the altcoin could rally as high as $300. While that did not happen, recent data shows that Solana traders are betting on a rebound.

Why are traders confident? This on-chain analysis explores whether these positions could deliver gains or if many are at risk of liquidation.

Solana Longs Keep Shorts Out of the Way

Data from Coinglass reveals that Solana’s Long/Short ratio on the 1-hour timeframe has climbed to 1.17. This ratio gauges market expectations, indicating whether most traders hold bearish or bullish positions.

When the ratio falls below 1, it indicates more shorts (sellers) than longs (buyers). Conversely, a ratio above 1 suggests a higher number of traders betting on a price increase compared to those anticipating a decline.

Currently, 54% of Solana traders hold long positions, while 46.17% expect a drop below $255. This indicates a bullish leaning among traders, with more optimism about the token’s price rising than falling.

Additionally, it appears that these traders’ positions could prove profitable, thanks to an uptick in Solana’s Transaction Rate, which is the number of successful transactions processed per second on its blockchain.

An increasing Transaction Rate signals heightened user activity and engagement with the cryptocurrency, while a decline indicates reduced interest. According to Glassnode, Solana’s Transaction Rate has been climbing. If this trend continues, it could propel SOL’s price past its all-time high.

SOL Price Prediction: Upside Potential Remains

On the weekly chart, Solana’s price has surged above the 20 and 50 Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), key indicators that measure trends. When the price sits above the EMAs, it signals a bullish trend, while a drop below them typically signals bearish momentum.

With SOL currently priced at $255, above both EMAs, the altcoin seems poised to continue its upward direction. The formation of a bull flag further supports this bullish outlook.

A bull flag is a continuation pattern, indicating that once the price breaks out, it’s likely to maintain the prior upward momentum. As seen below, SOL has already broken out of the consolidation pattern and is heading higher. 

As long as the price remains above the upper trendline of the consolidation phase, it could rise toward $325. However, if selling pressure takes hold, this bullish scenario could shift. In that case, SOL might fall below $200.

MANA, Decentraland’s native cryptocurrency, has seen an impressive 70% price increase over the past week. This MANA crypto price surge is part of a broader rally in Metaverse-related tokens, which has caught the attention of the market.

While the development might have surprised some, a closer look by BeInCrypto provides insights into the catalysts behind this movement. This on-chain analysis looks at what could be next for the token. 

Decentraland Active Addresses, Volume Reach New Heights

The recent rally in MANA crypto price can be attributed to a significant increase in the token’s active addresses, which indicates heightened user interaction on the blockchain. Interestingly, this also matches the condition of The Sandbox (SAND), which was also one of the frontrunners of the Metaverse revival.

Active addresses measure the number of unique users successfully completing transactions. A rise in this metric signals increased engagement with the network, which is often considered bullish for a cryptocurrency. Conversely, a decline implies reduced traction, which is typically seen as bearish.

On November 20, MANA’s active addresses were around 810. Fast-forward a few days, and this figure has surged nearly fivefold, reflecting a growing interest in the token. This spike in activity likely provided the momentum for MANA’s price to climb from $0.40 to $0.70 — the highest level since March.

Following the development, Santiment data showed that MANA’s volume climbed to $1.57 billion. Volume represents the total value of a specific cryptocurrency traded over a defined period.

This metric reflects a coin’s level of activity and liquidity. A high trading volume indicates notable buying and selling, which often suggests strong market participation. On the other hand, low volume may signify reduced activity, leading to weaker market interest.

Therefore, the hike in the token’s volume validated the signs shown by the active addresses. However, since MANA’s price has dropped from its recent peak, it could be challenging to keep up with the uptrend, with this analysis suggesting that another pullback could be close.

MANA Price Prediction: Pullback Imminent

From an on-chain perspective, the MANA crypto price rally might have hit a local top. This prediction is based on the signs shown by the In/Out of Money Around Price (IOMAP).

The IOMAP is a key metric that analyzes the distribution of cryptocurrency holders based on whether their holdings are in profit, loss, or at breakeven. It also provides insights into potential support and resistance levels in the market.

When there are large clusters “out of the money,” this indicates addresses holding at a higher price than the current market value. Such areas often act as resistance. Conversely, Large clusters “in the money” typically act as support, as holders may buy more or hesitate to sell, expecting further price gains.

For MANA, approximately 36.47 million tokens held by addresses that accumulated near $0.70 are currently “out of the money.” This volume surpasses the tokens held between $0.61 and $0.68, marking that range as a key resistance zone.

As such, the MANA crypto price might experience retracement. If that is the case, then the cryptocurrency’s value could drop to $0.61 in the short term. 

However, if buying pressure increases and volume outpaces the one at $0.70, this might not happen. Instead, MANA could climb to $0.80.