Market
What it Means for Crypto
Dan Gallagher is the proposed next Chair of the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in a prospective Donald Trump administration. The former agency commission welcomed his selection.
The shared sentiment is that with a Republican in office, crypto would enjoy a more favorable regulatory environment, with key commission members calling it out for problematic laws.
Crypto Investors Want Dan Gallagher for SEC Chair
Gallagher served as SEC commissioner during the tenure of former US President Barack Obama. Welcoming his selection, Gallagher said he would promote access to the markets while ensuring the US remains at the forefront of financial innovation.
Before this nomination, Hester Pierce, alias Crypto Mom, had been the likely successor in case a Republican administration took office. Her name was floated around multiple times ahead of the spot Bitcoin ETFs approval.
In September, John Reed Stark, formerly an official with the SEC’s internet office, highlighted Pierce’s name. Her lengthy track record of dissent and opposition to most crypto-related SEC actions made her the ideal candidate.
“Should a Republican get elected President, Chair Gensler would likely resign and the senior Republican appointed SEC Commissioner (in this case famed “crypto-mom” Hester Peirce) would possibly become acting Chair,” Reed Stark explained.
Read more: Crypto Regulation: What Are the Benefits and Drawbacks?
Notably, no more than three out of five Commissioners may belong to the same political party. This prevents partisan issues within the SEC. The President designates one of the Commissioners as the agency’s top executive when the current Chair resigns.
Popular belief is that a Republican taking office after the November elections would bode well for crypto. Expectations include the SEC’s crypto enforcement efforts to be reduced significantly, potentially focusing on fraud cases. This is as opposed to charging pure registration violations like crypto trading platforms failing to register as an exchange, broker-dealer, and clearing firm.
Another possible expectation is that the agency would be more open to taking significant crypto-friendly regulatory actions, such as approving more spot ETFs to give investors exposure to more financial instruments.
Under President Joe Biden’s administration, the current US SEC is said to be biased against crypto, as Democrats hold the majority. Besides Pierce, Commissioner Mark Uyeda is the only other Republican within the SEC.
Mark Uyeda Calls Out US SEC for Problematic Rules
Like Pierce, Commissioner Uyeda has also sided with the industry, criticizing the SEC’s approach to crypto disclosure rules as “problematic.” He says Form S-1 filings need updates as they neither facilitate capital formation nor protect investors in their current state.
“The Commission should take steps to ensure that registration statement disclosure is material and informative to prospective purchasers. By the same token, the Commission should avoid requiring disclosures that are irrelevant and distract readers from the important information,” Uyeda wrote.
The critique comes after the financial regulator returned Ethereum ETF S-1 forms to issuers, calling for changes and instructing them to refile by July 8. The action suggests at least one more round of filings before the Ethereum spot ETFs can launch. Head of Government Affairs at Paradigm Alexander Grieve lauded Commissioner Uyeda, underscoring the significance of his statement.
“First time AFAIK Uyeda has been on record calling for a tailored disclosure regime for crypto assets. The SEC under a different admin would be a very different place,” Grieve remarked.
While the market anticipates the ETH ETFs will begin trading on July 4, the timeline hinges on how fast the SEC can review and respond to the issuers’ filings.
Read more: How to Invest in Ethereum ETFs?
Meanwhile, the SEC continues to clamp down on crypto firms. In a post on X, Binance.US highlighted a prolonged legal battle with the regulator. The trading platform expressed its commitment to compliance and criticized the agency’s enforcement tactics.
“On Friday, the Court decided that the SEC’s case against Binance.US will continue. We were prepared for this and look forward to having this case move forward in the judicial process,” read the announcement.
The case concerns securities law violations, offering unregistered investment products, and violating anti-fraud laws. As it prepares for the showdown, Binance.US slammed the SEC’s “regulation by enforcement,” calling out SEC Chair Gary Gensler for being politically motivated.
Disclaimer
In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
Polymarket Faces Ban in France as US Election Betting Ends
According to a report from The Big Whale, the National Gaming Authority (ANJ), France’s gambling regulator, is preparing to block the prediction markets platform Polymarket.
Polymarket, the decentralized platform that allows users to bet on the outcome of political events, sports, and other occurrences using cryptocurrency, has gained popularity in recent months, especially with bets surrounding the US presidential election. More than $3.2 billion was reportedly wagered on the platform during this high-stakes period, with a record-breaking $294 million in volume on November 5 alone.
France Users May No Longer Access Polymarket
According to The Big Whale, a French website that covers the crypto industry, the ANJ’s impending ban comes after a French trader placed a $30 million bet on a Trump victory, reportedly attracting the regulator’s scrutiny.
The trader’s wager positioned him to make approximately $19 million in profits, a sum that has intensified concerns over Polymarket’s compliance with French gambling laws. A source close to the ANJ stated that despite Polymarket’s use of blockchain and cryptocurrency, its activities are akin to gambling, making it subject to restrictions under French law.
“We are aware of this site and we are currently examining its operation as well as its compliance with French gambling legislation,” The Big Whale reported, citing an ANJ spokesperson.
Read more: What is Polymarket? A Guide to The Popular Prediction Market
Legal expert William O’Rorke from ORWL Avocats explained that although Polymarket does not specifically target French users, its activities fall squarely under gambling regulations.
“Polymarket involves betting money on uncertain outcomes, which aligns with the legal definition of gambling,” O’Rorke noted.
Against this backdrop, the ANJ is well within its mandate to block the platform’s access in France. Accordingly, the French regulator may enforce the ban by blocking Polymarket’s domain name in France. It amy also pressure third-party players, like media outlets and online directories, to limit access to Polymarket links.
However, French users may still circumvent this by using virtual private networks (VPNs). This is because Polymarket’s crypto-based infrastructure allows for relatively anonymous participation.
France’s looming ban is not the first regulatory roadblock Polymarket has encountered. In 2022, the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) fined Polymarket $1.4 million for failing to register as a designated contract market. The CFTC also challenged Kalshi’s operations due to questions about betting on political events.
Polymarket’s Fate After US Elections
Meanwhile, the US election was a significant catalyst for Polymarket. It drove the platform to new heights in user engagement and bet volume. Polymarket’s election-related markets have been featured on major financial platforms, including Bloomberg, highlighting the platform’s appeal to mainstream finance.
As BeInCrypto reported, Polymarket’s election betting topped $3 billion, reflecting unprecedented participation. The platform, however, faces a crossroads in its path forward. Following the climax of the US election on Wednesday, data from Dune Analytics shows a steep decline in Polymarket’s activity.
Daily active addresses and transaction volumes, which soared in the election lead-up, have notably dwindled as election-related betting winds down. For instance, Polymarket’s open interest, a key indicator of active betting engagement, dropped from $350 million to $268 million after the polls closed. Similarly, monthly new accounts have also dropped by over 41% between October and November.
Against this backdrop, Polymarket may need to diversify its market offerings or potentially embrace a new model to maintain user interest. This is considering election-related activity comprised the majority of the prediction market’s volume.
Rumors are circulating about a potential move toward a decentralized governance token, which could distribute control over Polymarket’s operations to its community. This shift would reduce the liability of the central authority by decentralizing decision-making, though it remains theoretical, with no clear timeline.
Read More: How To Use Polymarket In The United States: Step-by-Step Guide
Polymarket’s fast ascent and regulatory challenges highlight broader industry tensions between innovation and compliance. With election predictions no longer a draw and an impending ban in France, Polymarket’s future remains uncertain.
Its long-term viability may depend on how well it adapts to evolving regulatory landscapes and whether it can maintain popularity beyond election season peaks.
Disclaimer
In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
XRP Price Ready to Rally? Signs Point to a Bullish Move
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Market
Solana (SOL) Rallies Strongly, Setting Sights on $200
Solana started a fresh increase above the $172 support zone. SOL price is rising and might soon aim for a move toward the $200 level.
- SOL price started a fresh increase after it settled above the $165 level against the US Dollar.
- The price is now trading above $172 and the 100-hourly simple moving average.
- There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $162 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken).
- The pair could continue to rise if it clears the $192 resistance zone.
Solana Price Starts Fresh Rally
Solana price formed a support base and started a fresh increase above the $162 level like Bitcoin and Ethereum. There was a strong move above the $165 and $172 resistance levels.
There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $162 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair. The price even cleared the $185 level. A high is formed at $192 and the price is now consolidating gains. It is trading above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $155 swing low to the $192 high.
Solana is now trading above $172 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. On the upside, the price is facing resistance near the $192 level. The next major resistance is near the $195 level.
The main resistance could be $200. A successful close above the $200 resistance level could set the pace for another steady increase. The next key resistance is $212. Any more gains might send the price toward the $220 level.
Another Dip in SOL?
If SOL fails to rise above the $192 resistance, it could start a downside correction. Initial support on the downside is near the $188 level. The first major support is near the $180 level.
A break below the $180 level might send the price toward the $172 zone or the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $155 swing low to the $192 high. If there is a close below the $172 support, the price could decline toward the $165 support in the near term.
Technical Indicators
Hourly MACD – The MACD for SOL/USD is gaining pace in the bullish zone.
Hourly Hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for SOL/USD is above the 50 level.
Major Support Levels – $188 and $185.
Major Resistance Levels – $192 and $200.
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