Market
US Institutional Investors Are Selling Bitcoin: Price Impact
Bitcoin (BTC) is hovering around $62,000, caught in a temporary balance between bullish and bearish forces. Data indicates that Bitcoin is still under selling pressure from US institutional investors.
This pressure has been holding back Bitcoin’s momentum in October.
Coinbase Premium Index Remains Negative
The Coinbase Premium Index, a metric that tracks the price difference of Bitcoin between Coinbase and Binance, has stayed in negative territory so far in October. Coinbase, one of the leading crypto exchanges in the US, is a major platform for institutional investors to trade cryptocurrencies.
Read more: Coinbase vs. Coinbase Pro: Which Is Right for You?
A negative index suggests that Bitcoin prices on Coinbase are trending lower than on Binance, indicating stronger selling pressure from US investors, especially institutional investors.
“The Coinbase Premium has fallen to -$41, signaling strong selling pressure from US institutions.” On-chain analyst Maartunn said
Historically, periods of positive Coinbase Premium Index readings have been followed by Bitcoin price gains, while negative readings have coincided with price declines. The continuous negative trend in early October has raised concerns of an impending Bitcoin correction.
Bitcoin ETFs Experience Outflows in October
Another data point supporting the argument that US investors are selling is the net outflow from US-based spot Bitcoin ETFs. The chart below shows that inflows into Bitcoin ETFs have been declining lately, and their assets under management (AUM) are slowing in growth.
In October alone, four out of the first six days recorded net outflows, with over $408 million being withdrawn. In contrast, only around $260 million flowed into ETFs since the start of the month. Recently, a wallet linked to BlackRock also recorded significant withdrawals.
URPD Data Reveals Bitcoin in a Sensitive Price Zone
The UTXO Realized Price Distribution (URPD) tool, which measures the amount of Bitcoin traded on-chain at different price levels, highlights a sensitive price zone for Bitcoin.
Read more: Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030
According to data from Glassnode, $62,600 is a key level where a large volume of BTC has been traded. Below this price, support weakens.
If Bitcoin fails to hold around $62,600 and drops below $60,000, it could decline toward $52,000. However, Bitcoin could also quickly surge past $72,000 if it breaks through the resistance level at $64,000.
“This paints a picture of a market which rests on delicate ground, with a large volume of supply likely to be sensitive to the next major market move.” Glassnode reported
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
OpSec CEO and Team Resign Amid Fraud Allegations by ZachXBT
Chris Williams, CEO of OpSec, a purported AI Cloud Security platform, announced that he and “the entire core team” resigned. Williams cited a recent investigation from ZachXBT, who claimed that OpSec was fraudulent.
One user, Zopp0, simultaneously owned OpSec and several other projects and withheld critical information and even payment from Williams’ team.
ZachXBT’s OpSec Investigation
Chris Williams, CEO of AI Cloud Security Platform OpSec, announced that he and OpSec’s entire core team were resigning en masse. Williams cited a recent investigation by crypto sleuth ZachXBT and claimed that the business was “no longer viable.” Specifically, he claimed that OpSec’s anonymous founder deliberately withheld critical information.
“This decision follows recent findings, highlighted by ZachXBT, along with our own assessment of OpSec’s operations. These revelations, coupled with the un-doxxed founder’s prolonged absence and sole control over the company’s finances, have severely limited our ability to lead and execute our vision effectively,” Williams claimed.
So, what were ZachXBT’s allegations, and how did they impact the firm’s operations? On the surface level, OpSec appeared to be a legitimate business, even partnering with other cloud computing firms to create DePin solutions. However, Zach stated that one user, Zopp0, created at least four shaky crypto startups, hoping to attract naive investors.
ZachXBT’s investigation began in March when he posted evidence that OpSec’s purported hardware capacities were nonexistent. In November, however, he followed this up with leaked Telegram chats in which Zopp0 openly discussed his total lack of a plan for executing OpSec’s business model. These chats made it clear that the business had no real core.
In other words, Zopp0 managed to insulate Williams and the rest of OpSec’s developers from this lack of functionality. Positive social media buzz, partnerships, and other publicity actions drove up OpSec’s price. Behind the scenes, however, Williams said Zopp0 provided a “lack of clarity regarding OpSec’s direction,” and frequently withheld pay.
The actual fraud here is somewhat similar to several which ZachXBT previously investigated. A seemingly legitimate project courts public interest, but upon closer inspection it cannot execute the purported vision. Zach also claimed that Zopp0 was secretly running OpSec and several less prominent “businesses”, a common tactic in token scams.
After obtaining this leaked information, ZachXBT confronted Zopp0, who became increasingly agitated in private chats. Excerpts from these were again leaked to ZachXBT, building evidence of misconduct.
Zach then released most of this leaked information at once. Williams claimed that this corroborated his team’s own suspicions, leading to the mass resignation.
As of yet, none of Zopp0’s other alleged sham businesses have gone through public employee discontent. Nonetheless, ZachXBT also compiled a list of influencers who helped pump OpSec’s social media presence. He warned of a heightened risk of scammers due to crypto’s bull run and encouraged users to conduct due diligence.
Disclaimer
In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
Bitcoin Price Holds The Line: Is Another Surge Possible?
Bitcoin price saw a short-term correction from the $93,450 zone. BTC is now consolidating gains near $87,000 and might attempt another increase in the near term.
- Bitcoin started a downside correction from the $93,450 zone.
- The price is trading above $87,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average.
- There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at $90,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
- The pair could start a fresh increase if it stays above the $87,000 zone.
Bitcoin Price Starts Downside Correction
Bitcoin price attempted more gains above the $93,000 level. BTC traded to a new all-time high at $93,435 and recently started a short-term downside correction.
There was a minor decline below the $90,000 level. The price even dipped below the $88,000 level. A low was formed at $86,621 and the price is now consolidating. It is slowly moving higher and trading near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $93,435 swing high to the $86,621 low.
Bitcoin price is now trading above $87,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. On the upside, the price could face resistance near the $90,000 level. There is also a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at $90,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.
The trend line is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $93,435 swing high to the $86,621 low. The first key resistance is near the $90,850 level. A clear move above the $90,850 resistance might send the price higher.
The next key resistance could be $91,500. A close above the $91,500 resistance might initiate more gains. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $93,450 resistance level. Any more gains might send the price toward the $95,000 resistance level.
More Downsides In BTC?
If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $90,000 resistance zone, it could start a downside correction. Immediate support on the downside is near the $87,150 level.
The first major support is near the $86,500 level. The next support is now near the $85,280 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $82,500 support in the near term.
Technical indicators:
Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bearish zone.
Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now below the 80 level.
Major Support Levels – $87,150, followed by $86,500.
Major Resistance Levels – $90,000, and $91,500.
Market
Will Profit-Taking Slow the Surge?
Cardano (ADA) has been on a winning streak in recent weeks. Over the past seven days, the altcoin’s value has risen by 55%. It currently trades at $0.57, a price level last observed in April.
On-chain data shows that the spike in the coin’s value has delivered substantial gains to Cardano holders, much of which remains unrealized. However, as profit-taking intensifies, ADA may witness a pullback in the short term.
Cardano’s Rally Puts Many of Its Holders in Profit
Cardano’s market value to realized value (MVRV) ratio, which measures the overall profitability of all its holders, has returned only positive values over the past seven days. Per Santiment’s data, as of this writing, the altcoin’s 30-day and 90-day MVRV ratios are 25.70% and 43.87%, respectively.
When an asset’s MVRV ratio is positive, it is deemed overvalued. This means that its current market price is higher than the average purchase price of its coins in circulation.
Due to this, investors holding profits may be tempted to cash out. This trend often results in a spike in selling activity as investors scamper to lock in their gains, driving down the asset’s price in the short term.
Therefore, while Cardano’s positive MVRV ratio points to strong holder gains, it also highlights the potential for increased volatility. Some investors may decide to realize profits, putting downward pressure on the coin price in the near term.
Moreover, the fact that daily transactions involving the altcoin have returned more gains than profit over the past few days may be another reason why Cardano holders may be tempted to sell. BeInCrypto’s assessment reveals a sharp increase in the coin’s daily transaction volume in profit over the past seven days.
As of November 13, this totaled 5 billion. That day, the ratio of daily on-chain transaction volume in profit to loss was 1.04, indicating that for every ADA transaction ending in a loss, 1.04 transactions returned a profit.
ADA Price Prediction: Will Traders Resist the Urge To Sell?
Notably, according to IntoTheBlock, due to the price surge, 52% of all addresses holding Cardano are currently “in the money.” This means that 2.3 million addresses would be profitable if they were to sell their coins at the current market price. Conversely, 41.3% of all Cardano holders, comprising 1.86 million addresses, are “out of the money,” that is, they sit on unrealized losses.
If the coin’s high profitability prompts many holders to sell their coins, it will put downward pressure on its price, preventing a continued rally toward the $1 price mark. Should selling pressure gain momentum, the Cardano coin price may fall toward support at $0.54. If this level fails to hold, its price may plummet further to $0.47.
However, if holders resist the urge to sell and double down on coin accumulation, it could drive the Cardano coin price above $0.60, setting the stage for a potential move toward its year-to-date high of $0.81.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
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