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US Election Bets Push Polymarket Towards $1 Billion Milestone

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Polymarket continues to record growing popularity amid US election buzz. Bettor’s interest in the decentralized prediction market is frothing, seen with the volume of bets as participants predict possible outcomes.  

While popularity grows, regulatory scrutiny is also increasing, with the mounting pressure affecting platform activity.

Polymarket Elections Bets Near $1 Billion

Polymarket election bets volume recorded $926 million as of this writing, indicating growing interest in the decentralized prediction market. With the US elections just 48 days away, the volume is expected to hit $1 billion soon.

Data from Dune shows that nearly 70% of Polymarket’s weekly users are focused on election-related bets, while non-election users make up the remaining 30%. This highlights the central role of political events in driving engagement on the platform.

Election vs. Non-Election Users on Polymarket, Source: Dune
Election vs. Non-Election Users on Polymarket, Source: Dune

Read more: Top 9 Web3 Projects That Are Revolutionizing the Industry

Other key Polymarket metrics have shown significant growth. The platform’s total value locked (TVL) has increased by 277% since June, reaching nearly $120 million. Additionally, the number of monthly active users surged by 50%, climbing to 66,400 during the same period. 

Polymarket Total Value Locked and Monthly Active Users. Source: Token Terminal
Polymarket TVL. Source: Token Terminal

The growing adoption of Polymarket by mainstream companies underscores its seamless fit within various industries, demonstrating the rising influence of blockchain technology due to its efficiency. This explains Bloomberg’s recent integration of Polymarket into its Terminal, as decentralized prediction platforms play a more visible role in the upcoming November elections.

Coinbase executive Yuga Cohler highlighted the importance of prediction markets, calling them “the purest technological manifestation of liberal democracy.” 

“Polymarket’s astronomical success is the most important story in crypto right now, but it’s so obvious that we are ignoring it when we should be screaming it from the rooftops. It is monumental for crypto that Polymarket is being consistently cited by mainstream media for election probabilities. The seamlessness with which this happened speaks to its product market fit. No one talks about the fact that Polymarket is built on crypto because the product is so good. Of course, underneath the hood, it makes total sense why a prediction market should be built upon a decentralized financial network,” said Cohler.

Despite the platform’s success and utility, Polymarket continues to endure regulatory challenges in the US, affecting its activity. Other hurdles that plague it include skepticism about its impartiality and centralization woes.

“Polymarket is not completely decentralized or permissionless. At the very least, all of its markets are centrally operated by the team, which is indeed similar to a casino business (casino owners know what makes money and will operate more of those types of games. Of course, we don’t know who the house is, but those interested can dig into the on-chain data),” Opinion Labs wrote.

These discussions around Polymarket’s role and reliability highlight the broader impact of cryptocurrency technologies beyond finance. They showcase how decentralized platforms like Polymarket can reshape public discourse, influencing areas such as elections and market forecasting. 

Read more: How Can Blockchain Be Used for Voting in 2024?

As the election approaches, these platforms will likely take on a more prominent role, offering valuable insights into public sentiment and forecasting potential outcomes. 

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Hedera (HBAR) Bears Dominate, HBAR Eyes Key $0.15 Level

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Hedera (HBAR) is under pressure, down roughly 13.5% over the past seven days, with its market cap holding at around $7 billion. Recent technical signals point to growing bearish momentum, with both trend and momentum indicators leaning heavily negative.

The price has been hovering near a critical support zone, raising the risk of a breakdown below $0.15 for the first time in months. Unless bulls regain control soon, HBAR could face further losses before any meaningful recovery attempt.

HBAR BBTrend Has Been Turning Heavily Down Since Yesterday

Hedera’s BBTrend indicator has dropped sharply to -10.1, falling from 2.59 just a day ago. This rapid decline signals a strong shift in momentum and suggests that HBAR is experiencing an aggressive downside move.

Such a steep drop often reflects a sudden increase in selling pressure, which can quickly change the asset’s short-term outlook.

The BBTrend, or Bollinger Band Trend, measures the strength and direction of a trend using the position of price relative to the Bollinger Bands. Positive values generally indicate bullish momentum, while negative values point to bearish momentum.

HBAR BBTrend.
HBAR BBTrend. Source: TradingView.

The further the value is from zero, the stronger the trend. HBAR’s BBTrend is now at -10.1, signaling strong bearish momentum.

This suggests that the price is trending lower and doing so with increasing strength, which could lead to further downside unless buyers step in to slow the momentum.

Hedera Ichimoku Cloud Paints a Bearish Picture

Hedera’s Ichimoku Cloud chart reflects a strong bearish structure, with the price action positioned well below both the blue conversion line (Tenkan-sen) and the red baseline (Kijun-sen).

This setup indicates that short-term momentum is clearly aligned with the longer-term downtrend.

The price has consistently failed to break above these dynamic resistance levels, signaling continued seller dominance.

HBAR Ichimoku Cloud.
HBAR Ichimoku Cloud. Source: TradingView.

The future cloud is also red and trending downward, suggesting that bearish pressure is expected to persist in the near term.

The span between the Senkou Span A and B lines remains wide, reinforcing the strength of the downtrend. For any potential reversal to gain credibility, HBAR would first need to challenge and break above the Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen, and eventually push into or above the cloud.

Until then, the current Ichimoku configuration supports a continuation of the bearish outlook.

Can Hedera Fall Below $0.15 Soon?

Hedera price has been hovering around the $0.16 level and is approaching a key support at $0.156.

If this support fails to hold, it could open the door for further downside, potentially pushing HBAR below the $0.15 mark for the first time since November 2024.

HBAR Price Analysis.
HBAR Price Analysis. Source: TradingView.

However, if HBAR manages to reverse its current trajectory and regain bullish momentum, the first target to watch is the resistance at $0.179.

A breakout above that level could lead to a stronger rally toward $0.20 and, if momentum continues, even reach $0.215. In a more extended bullish scenario, HBAR could climb to $0.25, signaling a full recovery and trend reversal.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Coinbase Tries to Resume Lawsuit Against the FDIC

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Coinbase asked a DC District Court if it could resume its old lawsuit against the FDIC. Coinbase sued this regulator over Operation Choke Point 2.0 and claimed that it’s still refusing to release relevant information.

Based on the information available so far, it’s difficult to draw definitive conclusions. The FDIC maintains that it responded to its opponents’ questions truthfully, though it has shown delays in the past.

Coinbase vs the FDIC

Coinbase, one of the world’s largest crypto exchanges, has been in a few fights with the FDIC. The firm has been pursuing the FDIC over Operation Choke Point 2.0 for months now, and has achieved impressive results. Despite this, however, Coinbase is asking the DC District Court to resume its litigation against the regulator:

“We’re asking the Court to resume our lawsuit because the FDIC has unfortunately stopped sharing information. While we would have loved to resolve this outside of the legal system – and we do appreciate the increased cooperation we’ve seen from the new FDIC leadership – we still have a ways to go,” claimed Paul Grewal, Coinbase’s Chief Legal Officer.

The FDIC has an important role in US financial regulation, primarily dealing with banks. This gave it a starring role in Operation Choke Point 2.0, hampering banks’ ability to deal with crypto businesses. However, it recently started a pro-crypto turn, releasing tranches of incriminating documents and revoking several of its anti-crypto statutes.

Grewal said that he “appreciated the increased cooperation” from the FDIC but that the cooperation stopped weeks ago. According to Coinbase’s filing, the FDIC hasn’t sent any new information since late February and claimed in early March that the exchange’s subsequent requests were “unreasonable and beyond the scope of discovery.”

On one hand, the FDIC has previously been slow to make relevant disclosures in the Coinbase lawsuit. On the other hand, Operation Choke Point 2.0 sparked significant tension within the industry, and a determined group is now aiming to significantly weaken the regulatory bodies involved.

Until the legal battle continues, it’ll be difficult to make any definitive statements. The FDIC will likely have two weeks to respond to Coinbase’s request.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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BlackRock’s Larry Fink Thinks Crypto Could Harm The Dollar

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Larry Fink, CEO of BlackRock, claimed in a recent letter that Bitcoin and crypto could damage the dollar’s international standing. If investors treat Bitcoin as an inflation hedge to the dollar, it could precipitate serious trouble.

However, he was also adamant that the industry offers a lot of advantages, particularly through tokenization.

Larry Fink Sees Opportunity in Crypto

BlackRock is the leading Bitcoin ETF issuer in the US, and its CEO Larry Fink has long been bullish on Bitcoin. However, as Fink described in his most recent Annual Chairman’s Letter to investors, crypto’s best interest doesn’t always align with TradFi or the dollar.

“The US has benefited from the dollar serving as the world’s reserve currency for decades. But that’s not guaranteed to last forever. By 2030, mandatory government spending and debt service will consume all federal revenue, creating a permanent deficit. If the US doesn’t get its debt under control… America risks losing that position to digital assets like Bitcoin,” he said.

To be clear, Fink insisted that he supports crypto and listed some practical problems that he believes it can solve. He expressed a particular interest in asset tokenization, claiming that a digital-native infrastructure would improve and democratize the TradFi ecosystem.

Despite these advantages, Fink recognizes the danger that crypto can present to the US economy if not properly managed. He addressed the longstanding practice of using crypto to hedge against inflation, a wise practice for many assets.

However, if a wide swath of investors think Bitcoin is more stable than the dollar, it would threaten USD’s status as the world reserve currency. A scenario like that would be very dangerous to all of TradFi, and Fink has a particular interest in protecting BlackRock. Such an event would doubtlessly impact crypto as well.

“Decentralized finance is an extraordinary innovation. It makes markets faster, cheaper, and more transparent. Yet that same innovation could undermine America’s economic advantage if investors begin seeing Bitcoin as a safer bet than the dollar,” Fink added.

He didn’t offer too many specific solutions to this growing problem, but Fink isn’t the only person concerned with the issue. President Trump recently suggested that stablecoins could promote dollar dominance worldwide. Even if the dollar is seen as unstable, its adoption within a rapidly growing global industry like stablecoins could help reinforce its strength and relevance.

Of course, there are also drawbacks to Trump’s plan. Larry Fink acknowledged a possible threat from crypto, but continues to espouse its utility. Its benefits are too good to ignore.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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