Market
Trends You Need to Watch
Bitcoin’s price surged to $67,500, recovering from a 22% correction.
Last week, we emphasized the significance of the $60,000 price level. Now, with more data, BeInCrypto solidifies the analysis.
Bitcoin Technical Outlook
Bitcoin’s recent price action has validated last week’s insights. The price broke above the 1D Ichimoku Cloud, reaching $67,500. Currently, it has encountered short-term resistance at $67,300.
If Bitcoin breaks above this level, it could easily surge to $70,000, with resistance at $68,300.
Delving Deeper Into Bitcoin On-Chain Data
Realized capitalization (realized cap) is the total value of all Bitcoins in circulation, calculated based on the price at which each Bitcoin was last bought or moved. It’s like adding up all the purchase prices of every Bitcoin currently held.
It shows how much money has been invested into Bitcoin, considering the historical prices at which these coins were acquired.
This chart illustrates the realized capitalization of different Bitcoin address cohorts over time:
New Whales: Addresses holding more than 1,000 BTC with an average coin age of less than 6 months.
Old Whales: Addresses holding more than 1,000 BTC with an average coin age of more than 6 months.
Addresses (Balance > 10K): Addresses holding more than 10, 000 BTC.
Since January, the realized capitalization for new whales has steadily increased, indicating active accumulation of BTC by new large investors. In contrast, the realized cap for old whales remains relatively stable, showing that long-term investors hold onto their Bitcoin.
The gradual growth in the realized cap for addresses holding over 10,000 BTC reflects the slow but steady accumulation by the largest Bitcoin holders. This indicates that even the biggest investors are gradually increasing their Bitcoin positions.
Unrealized profit and loss reflect the potential gains or losses if the holders were to sell their BTCs at the current market price.
These charts illustrate the unrealized profit and loss of different Bitcoin address cohorts: new whales, old whales, and addresses with balances over 10,000 BTC.
Since the beginning of the year, the unrealized profit has been steadily increasing, peaking around mid-March, indicating that these large holders have seen significant potential gains.
The profit levels for new whales have been more volatile than for old whales and large holders. While old whales and the largest holders show stable and substantial unrealized profits, indicating a strong holding mentality, new whales display more volatility but are still in profit.
Read more: Bitcoin Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030
This overall positive unrealized profit scenario bodes well for Bitcoin’s market stability and future price appreciation.
Strategic Recommendations and Price Prediction
Bullish to Neutral: The on-chain data shows new whales actively accumulating Bitcoin. Meanwhile, old whales are holding their positions with significant unrealized profits. This strong holding behavior suggests a bullish sentiment in the market.
Price Target: Given the current trends and accumulation patterns, it is recommended to hold BTC positions until the price reaches $73,000. This target aligns with the ongoing bullish momentum and the historical behavior of major holders.
Exit Strategy (Daily Ichimoku Cloud): Traders should set a clear exit strategy to protect their investments. If the price falls to enter the Ichimoku cloud on the daily chart, this should trigger an immediate exit. This action will help mitigate potential losses and preserve capital during downturns.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
Ethereum Price Gains Traction: Can It Sustain the Climb?
Ethereum price started a fresh increase above $3,220. ETH is now consolidating and might eye more gains above the $3,270 resistance zone.
- Ethereum started a fresh increase above the $3,120 zone.
- The price is trading above $3,200 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.
- There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $3,200 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken).
- The pair could start another increase if it stays above the $3,200 level.
Ethereum Price Recovers
Ethereum price started a decent increase from the $3,020 zone, like Bitcoin. ETH was able to surpass the $3,120 and $3,150 resistance levels to move into a positive zone.
There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $3,200 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. The pair surpassed the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $3,427 wing high to the $3,020 swing low.
However, the bears are now active near the $3,270 and $3,280 resistance levels. Ethereum price is now trading above $3,200 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.
On the upside, the price seems to be facing hurdles near the $3,270 level and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $3,427 wing high to the $3,020 swing low. The first major resistance is near the $3,330 level. The main resistance is now forming near $3,360. A clear move above the $3,360 resistance might send the price toward the $3,450 resistance.
An upside break above the $3,450 resistance might call for more gains in the coming sessions. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $3,550 resistance zone or even $3,650 in the near term.
Another Drop In ETH?
If Ethereum fails to clear the $3,270 resistance, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $3,220 level. The first major support sits near the $3,200.
A clear move below the $3,200 support might push the price toward the $3,120 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $3,050 support level in the near term. The next key support sits at $3,000.
Technical Indicators
Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bullish zone.
Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now above the 50 zone.
Major Support Level – $3,200
Major Resistance Level – $3,270
Market
Sam Bankman-Fried’s Parents Want Trump to Pardon Him
Sam Bankman-Fried’s parents are petitioning President Trump for a pardon. Trump recently pardoned Silk Road founder Ross Ulbricht, but Bankman-Fried may be a more difficult case.
SBF contributed millions to defeat Trump’s Presidential campaign in 2020 and was sentenced to prison less than a year ago. For these and other reasons, a pardon seems much less likely.
Could SBF Get a Pardon?
Sam Bankman-Fried (SBF), one of the most infamous criminals in crypto history, may receive a pardon from President Trump. According to a Bloomberg report, his parents, Joseph Bankman and Barbara Fried, are spearheading the effort.
Both parents are law professors, and they’ve been consulting with figures in Trump’s orbit.
Since Donald Trump re-took office, he’s been fulfilling obligations to the crypto community. He pardoned Ross Ulbricht on his second day in office, making good on a campaign promise.
Ulbricht’s mother was a key figure in petitioning for this pardon, and SBF’s parents want to use the same strategy. Indeed, due to Trump’s early string of pardons, he’s facing many requests.
“I have been hearing from people in prison, from people recently sentenced who haven’t reported to the Bureau of Prisons yet, from people who have been indicted. They are looking for somebody who knows somebody,” claimed Jeffrey Grant, who runs a legal and advisory firm in New York for white-collar defendants. He has received around 100 pardon requests.
Rumors about an SBF pardon have circulated a few times since Trump won the Presidential election, but nothing has materialized yet. Indeed, it might be much more difficult than Ulbricht’s pardon.
For example, the new US Attorney in the SDNY pledged that his office would stop a crypto crackdown, but only after defeating Bankman-Fried’s appeal.
In other words, even when the legal system wants to ease up on crypto criminals, the Bankman-Fried case is still very recent. He was sentenced less than a year ago, whereas Ulbricht spent more than a decade behind bars.
If Trump gives SBF a pardon this soon, it might directly encourage these large-scale financial crimes.
“In my opinion, SBF will be pardoned and released. There are more truths to be revealed. Nothing is what it seems and definitely not what you were told. Watch this space. The real criminals will be exposed,” wrote Martin Folb.
Additionally, before his arrest, Ulbricht was a libertarian with no strong affiliation to either political party. Bankman-Fried, on the other hand, was a major Democratic donor who directly contributed millions to defeat Donald Trump in 2020.
If SBF wishes for Trump to pardon him now, his contributions to the Republicans might not be enough to clear the bad blood. In other words, it doesn’t seem particularly likely that SBF will receive a pardon anytime soon.
Reports suggest that his parents consulted a lawyer who helped several clients receive clemency in Trump’s first term. They were told that “Trump is busy doing other things” and should contact him again in a month.
Disclaimer
In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
Bitcoin Price Comeback Meets Resistance: Breakout or Rejection?
Bitcoin price started a fresh upward move above $103,200. BTC is now correcting gains and might revisit the $102,000 support zone.
- Bitcoin started a decent upward move above the $103,200 zone.
- The price is trading above $103,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average.
- There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $103,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
- The pair could start another increase if it stays above the $102,000 zone.
Bitcoin Price Recovers Above $102,000
Bitcoin price started a decent increase above the $101,500 resistance zone. BTC was able to surpass the $102,200 and $103,200 resistance levels to move into a positive zone.
It even cleared the $104,500 resistance zone. The pair settled in a positive zone and now faces hurdles near the $106,500 zone. A high was formed at $106,414 and the price is now correcting gains. There was a move below the $105,000 level.
It is now testing the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $97,688 swing low to the $106,414 high. Bitcoin price is now trading above $103,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average.
There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support at $103,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. On the upside, immediate resistance is near the $105,500 level. The first key resistance is near the $106,500 level. The next key resistance could be $107,000.
A close above the $107,000 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $108,800 resistance level. Any more gains might send the price toward the $110,000 level.
Another Decline In BTC?
If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $105,000 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Immediate support on the downside is near the $103,500 level. The first major support is near the $102,500 level and the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $97,688 swing low to the $106,414 high.
The next support is now near the $102,000 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $100,500 support in the near term.
Technical indicators:
Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bullish zone.
Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level.
Major Support Levels – $103,500, followed by $102,500.
Major Resistance Levels – $105,500 and $106,500.
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