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Toncoin (TON) Price Stabilizes, Setting the Stage for a Shift

Published

9 hours ago

October 16, 2024

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Toncoin (TON) price has experienced a significant rise in its Relative Strength Index, moving from an oversold position to a neutral level. Despite this increase, the RSI remains in a neutral range, indicating no clear trend dominance.

Additionally, the stable supply of TON on exchanges suggests traders are hesitant to commit to major moves. With the EMA lines showing a weak bearish alignment, TON appears to be in a consolidation phase.

TON RSI Is Currently Neutral

TON’s RSI is currently at 45.56, a notable increase from 30 on October 9. This recent uptick indicates that buying momentum has improved, with a recovery from oversold conditions just a few days ago. The move up from 30 suggests that selling pressure has significantly weakened, leading to a stabilization in price action.

However, despite this upward shift, the RSI is still within a neutral range. The current level reflects a market in transition, where neither buyers nor sellers have taken firm control.

RSI, or Relative Strength Index, is a momentum oscillator used to gauge the speed and magnitude of recent price changes. RSI values above 70 indicate an asset may be overbought, suggesting a possible pullback. On the other hand, values below 30 typically signal oversold conditions, often hinting at a potential reversal upward.

TON’s current RSI of 45 sits comfortably between these extremes. In this neutral zone, RSI does not offer a clear directional cue, implying that TON price might continue its consolidation phase.

The market appears to be searching for clarity, with current momentum insufficient to drive a strong breakout or breakdown. As a result, it’s entirely possible that TON remains range-bound in the near term, waiting for a more definitive catalyst to shift its trend direction.

Toncoin Supply On Exchanges Is Stable

Between September 29 and October 2, TON’s supply on exchanges declined substantially, dropping from 2.29 million to 1.56 million. This significant reduction suggests that many holders were withdrawing their tokens from exchanges, possibly moving them to personal wallets. Since then, however, the supply on exchanges has risen slightly, now sitting at 1.63 million.

This partial recovery may indicate some traders are preparing to re-enter the market, potentially seeking trading opportunities. Despite this rebound, the overall supply remains well below the late September levels, showing a shift in investor sentiment compared to the prior surge in exchange balances.

Typically, when a coin’s supply on exchanges increases, it’s seen as a bearish signal. Coins moved to exchanges are often intended for selling, creating additional selling pressure.

TON Supply on Exchanges. Source: TradingView

This is exactly what happened during the early October period for TON, when the price dropped from $5.88 to $5.34 in response to increased exchange supply. However, the recent stability in the supply of TON on exchanges suggests that the market may not currently have a strong directional bias.

The relative stability of around 1.63 million implies that traders and investors are waiting on the sidelines, neither accumulating in personal wallets nor preparing for a significant sell-off. This period of calm indicates indecision, as market participants are waiting for clearer signals before making further moves.

This suggests that TON may remain in a consolidation phase until a catalyst shifts the balance either way.

TON Price Prediction: Possible Rebound Back to $6.13?

Currently, TON’s EMA lines indicate a bearish trend, with short-term moving averages positioned below the long-term ones. This alignment typically signals that downward pressure is prevailing. However, the distance between the short-term and long-term EMAs is quite small, suggesting that the bearish trend may not be particularly strong.

When these moving averages are close to each other, it implies that price momentum is not decisively negative, and any shift in market sentiment could quickly alter the trend direction. The convergence of these lines is a sign of uncertainty, indicating that traders should be cautious before making assumptions about a sustained downturn.

EMA, or Exponential Moving Average, is a technical indicator used to track the average price of an asset over a specific period. It gives more weight to recent price data to better reflect momentum. Short-term EMA lines respond quickly to price changes, while long-term EMAs are slower to react.

TON EMA Lines and Support and Resistance. Source: TradingView

When the short-term EMA falls below the long-term EMA, it signals that recent price action is weaker compared to the longer trend. This is typically interpreted as bearish.

If this current downtrend in TON becomes more pronounced, the price could test lower support levels, potentially dropping to $4.99 or even $4.78. However, should sentiment improve and the trend reverse, TON price could recover to retest the $5.88 zone and possibly move higher to $6.13, suggesting a renewed bullish momentum.

The small gap between EMA lines makes both scenarios possible, depending on how market forces evolve.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Why the SEC Is Suing Over Meme Coin Fraud

Published

31 mins ago

October 16, 2024

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The US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filed a lawsuit against an individual connected with the issuance and promotion of the Saitama Inu (SAITAMA), according to a complaint released recently.

This legal action follows a series of joint enforcement initiatives launched earlier this month. The SEC, the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI), and the Department of Justice (DOJ) charged multiple cryptocurrency entities suspected of fraud and market manipulation.

SEC Pushes Misleading Investors and Pump-and-Dump Allegations

The complaint, filed in the US District Court, alleges that the defendant, Vy Pham, illegally sold unregistered securities in the form of digital tokens. It also accuses Pham of misleading investors and promoting Saitama Inu through deceptive tactics. Some of the cited deceptive practices include fraudulent statements about the coin’s value and prospects.

According to the SEC, Pham leveraged social media channels to promote the meme coin. He artificially inflated the value of Saitama Inu and ultimately profited at the expense of unsuspecting investors. Advertising a strong community backing and future utility, Pham reportedly promised substantial returns to investors.

However, the SEC contends that Pham’s promotional efforts were part of a “pump-and-dump” scheme, a form of securities fraud. In such schemes, the promoter hypes up the asset to boost its price, only to offload its holdings at inflated rates. This leaves other investors with significant losses as the token value crashes.

“Pham misled investors by making grand promises of wealth, and as a result, many individuals lost significant amounts of money,” said Gurbir S. Grewal, Director of the SEC’s Enforcement Division, in a statement.

This lawsuit is part of a wider crackdown initiated on October 9 by the SEC, FBI, and DOJ against four cryptocurrency entities. Citing Gotbit Consulting, ZM Quant Investment, and CLS Global, the coordinated enforcement action centers on allegations of fraudulent activities and market manipulation. These are tactics used to deceive investors by fabricating market demand.

Potential Implications for the Future of Meme Coins

Meme coins, unlike Bitcoin or Ethereum, typically lack intrinsic utility or clear use cases, making them highly volatile. They are often subject to rapid price fluctuations, driven by social media trends or endorsements from influencers.

This lawsuit reflects the SEC’s ongoing efforts to ensure compliance with securities laws in the growing cryptocurrency market. The SEC is committed to fighting against fraud, misleading information, and market manipulation. This is as more retail investors flock to digital assets.

“The cryptocurrency market continues to grow, and with it, the risks to investors. The SEC will continue to take action against those who violate securities laws, no matter how new or innovative the assets may be,” Grewal added.

Meme coins can be entertaining and lucrative for some. However, they also come with significant risks, especially when manipulation is in play. The outcome of the SEC’s case against Pham could have far-reaching implications for the future of meme coins.

The court ruling in favor of the SEC could set a legal precedent, bringing stricter regulations on similar digital assets and their promoters.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Litecoin (LTC) Jumps 10%: Can the Bulls Fuel a Bigger Rally?

Published

2 hours ago

October 16, 2024

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Litecoin price is gaining pace above the $70.00 level against the US Dollar. LTC could continue to rise if it clears the $72.80 resistance zone.

Litecoin is showing positive signs from the $65 support zone against the US Dollar.
The price is now trading above $70 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.
There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $68.00 on the hourly chart of the LTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
The price is up over 10% and might continue to rise if it clears the $72.80 resistance zone.

Litecoin Price Gains Bullish Momentum

After forming a base above $65, Litecoin started a fresh increase. LTC price broke the $68 and $70 resistance levels to move into a positive zone, like Bitcoin and Ethereum.

The price gained over 10% and even cleared the $72 level. A high was formed at $72.74 and the price is now consolidating gains. It is stable above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $65.29 swing low to the $72.74 high.

Litecoin is now trading above $70 and the 100 simple moving average (4 hours). There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support at $68.00 on the hourly chart of the LTC/USD pair. The trend line is close to the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $65.29 swing low to the $72.74 high.

On the upside, immediate resistance is near the $72.00 zone. The next major resistance is near the $72.80 level. If there is a clear break above the $72.80 resistance, the price could start another strong increase. In the stated case, the price is likely to continue higher toward the $75.50 and $78.00 levels. Any more gains might send LTC’s price toward the $80.00 resistance zone.

Are Dips Supported in LTC?

If Litecoin price fails to clear the $72 resistance level, there could be a downside correction. Initial support on the downside is near the $71.00 level.

The next major support is forming near the $69.00 level, below which there is a risk of a move toward the $67.50 support. Any further losses may perhaps send the price toward the $65.00 support.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for LTC/USD is above the 60 level.

Major Support Levels – $71.00 followed by $67.50.

Major Resistance Levels – $72.80 and $80.00.

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Canary Capital Aims for Litecoin ETF After XRP ETF Submission

Published

3 hours ago

October 16, 2024

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Nashville-based investment firm Canary Capital filed for a Litecoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). This comes on the heels of Canary and BitWise filing for an XRP ETF earlier this month.

Litecoin’s official site made a statement after the ETF filing went public.

Canary’s New ETF Attempt

Nashville-based investment firm Canary Capital filed for a Litecoin (LTC) ETF with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) today. This comes less than a week after Canary submitted an XRP ETF application, showing a multifaceted approach. Canary’s documents show it filed with CSC Delaware Trust Company for both attempts; BitWise also used it for its XRP ETF.

Litecoin published a positive statement about this ETF filing on its website, greeting this new development. It called special attention to Canary Capital’s founder, Steven McClurg, who was “former co-founder and Chief Investment Officer” at Valkyrie Funds. Valkyrie was among the first applicants for a Bitcoin Futures ETF several years ago.

“Steven established Canary Capital to drive innovation and deliver actively managed private strategies to meet institutional demand for sophisticated cryptocurrency investment solutions. If approved, the ETF will provide both consumer and institutional investors with wide-spread direct exposure to Litecoin,” the statement read.

October has seen a high level of action in the crypto ETF market so far. Bitcoin ETFs are currently surging with demand, and these three new applications took place in fairly quick succession. The prevailing opinion is that Solana is more likely to win the next ETF approval, but these predictions have not deterred proposals for LTC or XRP.

In the past 24 hours, Litecoin’s price has increased by around 7%. There have been signs that LTC may rally this month if whales move the needle, but this has not materialized. So far, on-chain data suggests a slight uptick, but nothing substantial has occurred.

Litecoin Price Performance. Source: BeInCrypto

Although approval for this ETF would be a substantial win for the crypto industry, Bloomberg analyst James Seyffart noted that several exchange-traded products (ETPs) already carry LTC. He mentioned both a Swiss and a German product and added that Grayscale already has a Litecoin ETP in the US.

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