Market
Toncoin in Bullish Breakout as Pavel Durov Speaks Up
The odds appear to be shifting in favor of Telegram-linked Toncoin (TON), whose value has risen by almost 10% in the past 24 hours.
The altcoin has outperformed other cryptocurrencies during that period, thanks to Pavel Durov’s first public statement since his arrest on August 24.
Pavel Durov’s First Statement
Telegram CEO Pavel Durov expressed gratitude for the support he received following his recent arrest in France, where he was questioned by police for four days. He revealed that authorities suggested he could be held personally responsible for illegal activities on Telegram due to a lack of response from the platform.
Durov highlighted that Telegram has a designated representative in the EU to handle such requests and that French authorities had various means to reach him. He criticized the approach of holding CEOs accountable for third-party actions on their platforms, calling it a misguided application of outdated laws.
“Building technology is hard enough as it is,” Durov stated, adding that the potential for personal liability would deter innovation.
Durov emphasized the challenge of balancing privacy and security, noting that Telegram has always sought to engage with regulators while adhering to its mission of protecting users’ rights, particularly in authoritarian regimes. He mentioned past instances where the platform chose to exit markets like Russia and Iran over privacy concerns.
Addressing Telegram’s recent surge in users, which reached 950 million, Durov acknowledged the growing pains and the increased potential for abuse. He assured users that Telegram is actively working to improve its moderation and safety efforts, promising to share more details soon.
“We are driven by the intention to bring good and defend the basic rights of people,” Durov affirmed while expressing optimism that these events would lead to a stronger and safer platform.
TON Sees Demand Uptick
The positive sentiment around this statement has led to a spike in Toncoin’s value. TON is the top gainer in the market, with a 7% price uptick in the past 24 hours. The price surge is backed by significant demand, as evidenced by its positive price daily active address (DAA) divergence.
When an asset’s price DAA divergence is positive during an uptrend, it is a bullish signal indicating that the price surge is supported by a demand enough to sustain the rally.
Moreover, the market sentiment toward TON has shifted from negative to positive over the past two days, as evidenced by the altcoin’s positive weighted sentiment.
This metric, which tracks the market’s mood regarding an asset, is 0.50 as of this writing. It indicates that positive emotions fuel most social media discussions about TON.
Read more: What Are Telegram Bot Coins?
Additionally, the bullish bias is also present in TON’s derivatives market with an uptick in trading volume and open interest.
Data from Coinglass shows that trading volume has spiked by 8% to $630 million during the review period. Likewise, its open interest, which tracks the total number of unsettled futures or options contracts, has risen by 8.17%. When this climbs, it suggests that more traders are entering the market and opening new positions.
Toncoin Price Prediction: Further Upside
Toncoin’s performance on the 12-hour chart hints at the possibility of an extended rally.
First, readings from its Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) show its MACD line (blue) poised to cross above its signal line (orange). When this happens, it indicates a potential shift in the market trend from bearish to bullish. It suggests that the asset’s momentum is trending upward, and traders often interpret this as a buy signal.
Also, the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF), which tracks how money flows into and out of the market, attempts to cross above the zero line. When an asset’s CMF crosses above zero, it indicates that buying pressure is starting to outweigh selling pressure. Therefore, it suggests that buyers are gaining control of the market.
If this buying pressure is sustained, TON’s price could rally toward $5.32. Breaking past this critical area of resistance could increase the chances for another upward move to $5.96.
Read more: 6 Best Toncoin (TON) Wallets in 2024
Still, traders must watch out for the recent low at $4.51. Losing this level of support could trigger a 40% price correction for Toncoin.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
Polymarket Faces Ban in France as US Election Betting Ends
According to a report from The Big Whale, the National Gaming Authority (ANJ), France’s gambling regulator, is preparing to block the prediction markets platform Polymarket.
Polymarket, the decentralized platform that allows users to bet on the outcome of political events, sports, and other occurrences using cryptocurrency, has gained popularity in recent months, especially with bets surrounding the US presidential election. More than $3.2 billion was reportedly wagered on the platform during this high-stakes period, with a record-breaking $294 million in volume on November 5 alone.
France Users May No Longer Access Polymarket
According to The Big Whale, a French website that covers the crypto industry, the ANJ’s impending ban comes after a French trader placed a $30 million bet on a Trump victory, reportedly attracting the regulator’s scrutiny.
The trader’s wager positioned him to make approximately $19 million in profits, a sum that has intensified concerns over Polymarket’s compliance with French gambling laws. A source close to the ANJ stated that despite Polymarket’s use of blockchain and cryptocurrency, its activities are akin to gambling, making it subject to restrictions under French law.
“We are aware of this site and we are currently examining its operation as well as its compliance with French gambling legislation,” The Big Whale reported, citing an ANJ spokesperson.
Read more: What is Polymarket? A Guide to The Popular Prediction Market
Legal expert William O’Rorke from ORWL Avocats explained that although Polymarket does not specifically target French users, its activities fall squarely under gambling regulations.
“Polymarket involves betting money on uncertain outcomes, which aligns with the legal definition of gambling,” O’Rorke noted.
Against this backdrop, the ANJ is well within its mandate to block the platform’s access in France. Accordingly, the French regulator may enforce the ban by blocking Polymarket’s domain name in France. It amy also pressure third-party players, like media outlets and online directories, to limit access to Polymarket links.
However, French users may still circumvent this by using virtual private networks (VPNs). This is because Polymarket’s crypto-based infrastructure allows for relatively anonymous participation.
France’s looming ban is not the first regulatory roadblock Polymarket has encountered. In 2022, the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) fined Polymarket $1.4 million for failing to register as a designated contract market. The CFTC also challenged Kalshi’s operations due to questions about betting on political events.
Polymarket’s Fate After US Elections
Meanwhile, the US election was a significant catalyst for Polymarket. It drove the platform to new heights in user engagement and bet volume. Polymarket’s election-related markets have been featured on major financial platforms, including Bloomberg, highlighting the platform’s appeal to mainstream finance.
As BeInCrypto reported, Polymarket’s election betting topped $3 billion, reflecting unprecedented participation. The platform, however, faces a crossroads in its path forward. Following the climax of the US election on Wednesday, data from Dune Analytics shows a steep decline in Polymarket’s activity.
Daily active addresses and transaction volumes, which soared in the election lead-up, have notably dwindled as election-related betting winds down. For instance, Polymarket’s open interest, a key indicator of active betting engagement, dropped from $350 million to $268 million after the polls closed. Similarly, monthly new accounts have also dropped by over 41% between October and November.
Against this backdrop, Polymarket may need to diversify its market offerings or potentially embrace a new model to maintain user interest. This is considering election-related activity comprised the majority of the prediction market’s volume.
Rumors are circulating about a potential move toward a decentralized governance token, which could distribute control over Polymarket’s operations to its community. This shift would reduce the liability of the central authority by decentralizing decision-making, though it remains theoretical, with no clear timeline.
Read More: How To Use Polymarket In The United States: Step-by-Step Guide
Polymarket’s fast ascent and regulatory challenges highlight broader industry tensions between innovation and compliance. With election predictions no longer a draw and an impending ban in France, Polymarket’s future remains uncertain.
Its long-term viability may depend on how well it adapts to evolving regulatory landscapes and whether it can maintain popularity beyond election season peaks.
Disclaimer
In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
XRP Price Ready to Rally? Signs Point to a Bullish Move
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Market
Solana (SOL) Rallies Strongly, Setting Sights on $200
Solana started a fresh increase above the $172 support zone. SOL price is rising and might soon aim for a move toward the $200 level.
- SOL price started a fresh increase after it settled above the $165 level against the US Dollar.
- The price is now trading above $172 and the 100-hourly simple moving average.
- There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $162 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken).
- The pair could continue to rise if it clears the $192 resistance zone.
Solana Price Starts Fresh Rally
Solana price formed a support base and started a fresh increase above the $162 level like Bitcoin and Ethereum. There was a strong move above the $165 and $172 resistance levels.
There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $162 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair. The price even cleared the $185 level. A high is formed at $192 and the price is now consolidating gains. It is trading above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $155 swing low to the $192 high.
Solana is now trading above $172 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. On the upside, the price is facing resistance near the $192 level. The next major resistance is near the $195 level.
The main resistance could be $200. A successful close above the $200 resistance level could set the pace for another steady increase. The next key resistance is $212. Any more gains might send the price toward the $220 level.
Another Dip in SOL?
If SOL fails to rise above the $192 resistance, it could start a downside correction. Initial support on the downside is near the $188 level. The first major support is near the $180 level.
A break below the $180 level might send the price toward the $172 zone or the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $155 swing low to the $192 high. If there is a close below the $172 support, the price could decline toward the $165 support in the near term.
Technical Indicators
Hourly MACD – The MACD for SOL/USD is gaining pace in the bullish zone.
Hourly Hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for SOL/USD is above the 50 level.
Major Support Levels – $188 and $185.
Major Resistance Levels – $192 and $200.
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