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Optimism (OP) Falls Below $2.05, Signaling Bearish Trend

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Optimism (OP) saw a bearish trend of -35% in June, sparking growing fear in the market and hesitation among investors.

This analysis will guide you in understanding and monitoring key indicators from both the technical and fundamental analysis of Optimism.

Technical Analysis of Optimism

Optimism is currently showing a bearish trend on the 4-hour chart. The 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), represented by the blue line, acts as a dynamic resistance level, and the price is currently below this line, indicating ongoing bearish momentum.

The 200-period EMA, represented by the green line, also has a significant resistance level, and the price is well below it, further reinforcing the bearish sentiment. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is below 40, which suggests that selling pressure remains dominant.

Read More: Optimism vs. Arbitrum: Ethereum Layer-2 Rollups Compared

Optimism Price Analysis (4H). Source: TradingView
Optimism Price Analysis (4H). Source: TradingView

The Ichimoku Cloud provides further insight into the bearish outlook. The cloud is shaded in green and red, and the price is currently below it, signaling continued downward momentum.

The cloud’s red color further confirms this bearish trend. Key support levels to monitor are $1.622 and $1.306, with major resistance levels at $2.054, $2.307, $2.445, and $2.723. The RSI being below 40 indicates that the market sentiment is still bearish.

The overall trend for Optimism (OP/USDT) on the 4-hour chart remains bearish, as indicated by the price’s position below both the 100 EMA and 200 EMA and the Ichimoku Cloud, signaling downward momentum. Traders should be cautious and watch for potential rebounds at the support levels of $1.801 and $1.622 or further declines if these levels are breached.

Conversely, a break above the $2.05 resistance level and the Ichimoku Cloud could mean a potential bullish reversal.

Analysis of Optimism Profitability Metrics

Understanding the economic sentiment and behavior of participants within the Optimism blockchain network is essential for making informed decisions.

To do this, we look at the profitability of active addresses on the network. These active addresses are divided into three categories based on whether they are making a profit or loss: out of the money (addresses that are currently incurring losses), at the money (addresses that are breaking even), and in the money (addresses that are currently making a profit).

In June, the percentage of addresses losing money fluctuated a lot. It reached a high of 58.52% on June 8 and a low of 16.23% on June 5. From June 1 to June 7, this percentage rose from 15.12% to 56.22%, with a big jump on June 7.

By June 17, this percentage had decreased to around 48%, showing that fewer addresses were losing money compared to the peak on June 8.

Read More: What Is Optimism (OP)

Optimism: Active Addresses Profitability. Source: IntoTheBlock
Optimism: Active Addresses Profitability. Source: IntoTheBlock

The percentage of addresses breaking even showed various trends, ranging from 35.60% on June 8 to 77.12% on June 16. From June 1 to June 7, the percentage dropped from 78.50% to 37.61%, with a sharp decline on June 7. After reaching a low of 37%, the percentage climbed back up to 57% on June 16 and settled at 47% on June 17.

The percentage of addresses making a profit changed moderately throughout June. On June 5, the peak was 10.24%, meaning only 10% of active addresses were in profit at the trading price range of $2 – $2.90. From June 1, the percentage increased from 6.37% to 10.24% on June 5, then decreased to 5.35% on June 17.

When a high percentage of addresses are losing money, it indicates that many participants are facing losses. This can lead to increased sell pressure, where more people might sell their holdings to cut losses, leading to bearish market sentiment. Fluctuations in the percentage of addresses breaking even suggest periods of uncertainty or stability.

Strategic Recommendations

As highlighted in the analysis, both the fundamental and technical outlooks are bearish. For a potential reversal to a bullish trend, OP must rise above the critical resistance level of $2.05. This level is essential to monitor, as breaking it could signal a shift in market sentiment. Additionally, traders should watch the 4-hour Ichimoku Cloud. If OP breaks through the cloud to the upside, it could mark the end of the current bearish trend and the start of a bullish phase.

In the event that the Optimism price fails to break the $2.05, the bearish continuation could be confirmed. Monitoring the profitability of active addresses is a good way to understand if there is significant pain in the market. Buying during extreme pain can be a strategic move for long-term holders, especially since we are in a crypto bull market that is not over yet.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Notcoin (NOT) Price Leaves Oversold Levels, Offers Rare Chance

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Notcoin (NOT), the Telegram-based tap-to-earn coin, is muddled in a tricky situation. Some weeks back, the cryptocurrency outperformed crypto heavyweights, including Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Solana (SOL).

Yet, over the last 30 days, it has struggled to maintain the momentum. NOT trades at $0.013, representing a 27.17% decrease within the last month.

Notcoin Bulls Make Moves to Stop Bears

The 4-hour NOT/USD chart shows the cryptocurrency hitting an oversold point on July 1. BeInCrypto found this after analyzing the Money Flow Index (MFI), a technical tool that measures time and price to determine trading pressure.

When it increases, it means that there is buying pressure. However, a decrease implies selling pressure. Also,  a reading below 20.000 means an asset is oversold, while one above 80 means it is overbought. 

On the date mentioned above, the MFI was 17.42. However, as of this writing, the indicator’s reading is 63.31, even though NOT’s price dropped by 4.88% in the last 24 hours. A situation like this is called a bullish divergence.

It happens when price changes indicate a new low, but there is a boost in capital flow. When this occurs, it means selling pressure is subsiding while buyers are capitalizing on the lower values to buy at discount prices.

Read more: 5 Top Notcoin Wallets in 2024

Notcoin sellers exhausted
Notcoin 4-Hour Analysis. Source: TradingView

If buyers eventually take over the market, Notcoin’s price may increase as it did between June 11 and 16. Before that period, as shown above, there was a bullish divergence, after which the price went from $0.014 to $0.020 in less than seven days.

While this does not imply that NOT will replicate the same performance, it indicates a notable price increase may be in the works. This could happen within the next five days if validated, and NOT may reach $0.016.

NOT Price Prediction: Will the Roadblock Prevail?

In the past, Open Interest (OI) was one factor that helped NOT sustain its uptrend. As commonly referred to, OI measures speculative activity in the market. An increase in this indicator implies a rise in liquidity allocated to contracts in the derivatives market

On the other hand, a decrease suggests an increase in closed positions. As of this writing, Notcoin’s Open Interest is $143.08 million. Six days ago, the value was $163.60 million, meaning contracts valued at $20 million had been closed.

Notcoin open interest decreases
Notcoin Open Interest. Source: Santiment

For the price, this decrease implies that the downtrend is getting weak, aligning with the MFI indications. But to reverse to the upside, more money has to come into the derivatives market. If this happens, then NOT to $0.016 will begin its move.

Despite the bullish potential, the Ichimoku Cloud shows that NOT may face resistance as it attempts to erase some of its recent losses. The Ichimoku Cloud is a technical tool that measures momentum while gauging trend direction.

If the cloud is above the price, it means the trend is down. But when prices are above the cloud, it indicates an uptrend. As of this writing, the cloud is above NOT’s price, indicating that the cryptocurrency may face some form of resistance in trying to trade higher.

Read more: Tap-to-Earn: What to Know About the Crypto GameFi Trend

Notcoin price faces resistance
Notcoin 4-Hour Analysis. Source: TradingView

If successful, the NOT price may reach $0.016 or as high as $0.018 in the short term. However, bearish rejection and a further decline in Open Interest could lead the price to $0.011.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Ethereum Price Undergoes Technical Correction: Can ETH Resume Higher?

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Ethereum price started a downside correction from the $3,520 zone. ETH is stable above $3,420 and might attempt another increase in the near term.

  • Ethereum started a downside correction after it failed to surpass the $3,520 zone.
  • The price is trading above $3,420 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.
  • There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance near $3,470 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken).
  • The pair must clear the $3,470 and $3,520 resistance levels to continue higher.

Ethereum Price Corrects Lower

Ethereum price started a decent upward move above the $3,420 level. ETH even cleared the $3,450 level to move into a short-term positive zone like Bitcoin.

The price even cleared the $3,500 resistance zone. A high was formed at $3,516 and the price recently started a downside correction. There was a move below the $3,480 and $3,470 levels. The price declined below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $3,350 swing low to the $3,516 high.

However, the bulls seem to be active near the $3,420 support zone. They are protecting the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $3,350 swing low to the $3,516 high.

Ethereum is trading above $3,420 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. On the upside, the price is facing resistance near the $3,470 level. There is also a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance near $3,470 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD.

Ethereum Price
Source: ETHUSD on TradingView.com

The first major resistance is near the $3,500 level. The next major hurdle is near the $3,520 level. A close above the $3,520 level might send Ether toward the $3,550 resistance. The next key resistance is near $3,650. An upside break above the $3,650 resistance might send the price higher. Any more gains could send Ether toward the $3,720 resistance zone.

Are Dips Supported In ETH?

If Ethereum fails to clear the $3,470 resistance, it could continue to move down. Initial support on the downside is near $3,435. The first major support sits near the $3,420 zone.

A clear move below the $3,420 support might push the price toward $3,350. Any more losses might send the price toward the $3,320 level in the near term.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACDThe MACD for ETH/USD is losing momentum in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSIThe RSI for ETH/USD is now below the 50 zone.

Major Support Level – $3,420

Major Resistance Level – $3,470



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Vitalik Buterin Proposes Model to Speed Up Ethereum Transactions

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Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin has outlined new methods to enhance transaction confirmation times on the Ethereum network.

In his latest blog post, Buterin proposes a novel approach in which each block is finalized before creating the next one, aiming to speed up transaction confirmations and user experience greatly.

Buterin Aims to Make Ethereum Transactions Faster

Historically, Ethereum has never led in transaction speeds among blockchain networks. Although, after the infamous Merge, transaction time has lowered to 5-20 seconds, other chains are twice as fast.

According to a report CoinGecko released in May 2024, Ethereum does not even rank on the top 10 for fastest chains. Solana, SUI, and Binance Smart Chain are currently leading the way.

Read more: Who Is Vitalik Buterin? An In-Depth Look at Ethereum’s Co-Founder

Fastest Blockchains by Transaction Per Seconds (TPS). Source: CoinGecko

Now, Buterin suggests a new method called single-slot finality. Currently, Ethereum’s Gasper consensus takes about 12.8 minutes to finalize transactions. Single-slot finality would streamline this process, greatly reducing the waiting time.

“Over the last couple of years, we’ve become more and more uncomfortable with the current approach. The key reasons are that (i) it’s complicated, and there are many interaction bugs between the slot-by-slot voting mechanism and the epoch-by-epoch finality mechanism, and (ii) 12.8 minutes is way too long, and nobody cares to wait that long,” Buterin emphasized.

The need for improved transaction speed is crucial as the markets near Ethereum spot exchange-traded fund (ETF) approval in the US and investors are closely monitoring the cryptocurrency’s competitive market. Currently, Ethereum sits at $3,389, with a 1.24% increase over the previous 24 hours.

Buterin also focuses on using layer 2 solutions, or rollups preconfirmations, which process transactions faster using smaller groups of validators. As a result, this allows Ethereum’s main layer (L1) to focus on its core functions, like stability, resistance to censorship, and security. The job of layer-2 is to provide a better user experience, speed up transactions, and adapt to different needs.

However, because users still want faster transaction speeds, L2s will create their own systems to confirm transactions quickly. He notes that this process is complicated and is similar to building an entire blockchain layer.

Another proposal is to let users pay extra fees for immediate transaction confirmations. This system, called based confirmations, would use Ethereum proposers to guarantee transaction inclusion in the next block. If they fail, they face penalties, ensuring reliability.

Read more: Ethereum ETF Explained: What It Is and How It Works

Ultimately, Buterin sees these changes as achievable, but the concept remains an idea, with no news on its implementation or timelines.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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