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Market Cap Now Approaching $300 Million

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SAFE has emerged as the best-performing altcoin of the day, with its price surging 5% in the last 24 hours and its market capitalization now close to $300 million. The coin is showing strong technical indicators despite some mixed signals from momentum oscillators that suggest consolidation may be on the horizon.

Technical analysis of the EMA lines remains bullish, with short-term averages positioned favorably above long-term ones, pointing to continued strength in the immediate term. However, recent RSI and BBTrend readings indicate a potential cooling-off period could be approaching as the asset digests its recent gains.

SAFE RSI Is Back To Neutral Levels After Reaching Overbought Levels

The SAFE RSI is currently at 54.71, maintaining a neutral position for the past three days after experiencing significant momentum earlier in the week.

This moderation in the indicator suggests that the previous buying pressure has subsided somewhat, allowing the asset to consolidate following recent price movements.

The current neutral reading indicates a balanced market where neither buyers nor sellers have a decisive advantage.

SAFE RSI.
SAFE RSI. Source: TradingView.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements on a scale from 0 to 100. Generally, an RSI reading above 70 is considered overbought, suggesting a potential reversal or pullback, while readings below 30 indicate oversold conditions that might precede a bounce.

With SAFE’s RSI recently peaking at 87 just four days ago, the asset was in strongly overbought territory, signaling excessive buying enthusiasm. The current value of 54.71 represents a significant cooling off from those extreme levels, suggesting that SAFE’s price could be entering a period of stabilization.

This moderation may provide a healthier foundation for sustainable price action moving forward, as the previous overbought conditions have been worked through without dropping into oversold territory. This potentially indicates underlying strength in the asset despite the retreat from recent highs.

SAFE BBTrend Is Still High, But Down From Yesterday

The SAFE BBTrend is currently at 13.6, maintaining a positive position for the last two days after reaching a peak of 19.39 yesterday.

This recent positive trend suggests that the price movement has been gaining momentum, though there appears to be some moderation from yesterday’s higher reading.

The continued positive BBTrend indicates that the asset is still showing strength, despite the slight pullback from yesterday’s peak value.

SAFE BBTrend.
SAFE BBTrend. Source: TradingView.

BBTrend (Bollinger Bands Trend) is a technical indicator that measures the strength and direction of a trend by analyzing the relationship between price and Bollinger Bands.

The indicator typically ranges from negative to positive values, with readings above 0 indicating a bullish trend and readings below 0 suggesting a bearish trend. With SAFE’s BBTrend at 13.6, this suggests a moderately strong bullish trend that could indicate potential for continued upward price movement in the near term for the altcoin.

However, the decrease from yesterday’s 19.39 peak might signal some slowing in momentum, potentially leading to consolidation before the next significant move higher.

Will SAFE Uptrend Revert Soon?

SAFE EMA lines are still bullish, with short-term lines positioned above long-term ones. This positive alignment of exponential moving averages indicates continued upward momentum in the price action.

If this uptrend momentum maintains its strength, SAFE could potentially climb to test the resistance level at $0.72.

Should this resistance be successfully broken, the next target would be $0.879. The altcoin could exceed $0.90 for the first time since January 19, sustaining its momentum as one of the most trending altcoins.

SAFE Price Analysis.
SAFE Price Analysis. Source: TradingView.

On the other hand, as indicated by the RSI and BBTrend indicators, the uptrend appears to be losing some momentum. This could signal a potential reversal in the near future.

If the trend does reverse, SAFE might test the nearby support level at $0.54, which sits precariously close to the current price.

Should this support level fail to hold, further downside could see SAFE decline to test subsequent support levels at $0.48 and $0.40. In a worst-case scenario, a drop all the way to $0.35 could potentially occur.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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XRP Recovery Stalls—Are Bears Still In Control?

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XRP price started a fresh decline from the $2.20 zone. The price is now consolidating and might face hurdles near the $2.120 level.

  • XRP price started a fresh decline after it failed to clear the $2.20 resistance zone.
  • The price is now trading below $2.150 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.
  • There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2.120 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken).
  • The pair might extend losses if it fails to clear the $2.20 resistance zone.

XRP Price Faces Rejection

XRP price failed to continue higher above the $2.20 resistance zone and reacted to the downside, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price declined below the $2.150 and $2.120 levels.

The bears were able to push the price below the 50% Fib retracement level of the recovery wave from the $2.023 swing low to the $2.199 high. There is also a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2.120 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair.

The price is now trading below $2.150 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. However, the bulls are now active near the $2.10 support level. They are protecting the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the recovery wave from the $2.023 swing low to the $2.199 high.

XRP Price

On the upside, the price might face resistance near the $2.120 level and the trend line zone. The first major resistance is near the $2.150 level. The next resistance is $2.20. A clear move above the $2.20 resistance might send the price toward the $2.240 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $2.2650 resistance or even $2.2880 in the near term. The next major hurdle for the bulls might be $2.320.

Another Decline?

If XRP fails to clear the $2.150 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $2.10 level. The next major support is near the $2.0650 level.

If there is a downside break and a close below the $2.0650 level, the price might continue to decline toward the $2.020 support. The next major support sits near the $2.00 zone.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now gaining pace in the bearish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now below the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $2.10 and $2.050.

Major Resistance Levels – $2.120 and $2.20.



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Experts Raise Red Flags Over Finances

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Circle’s initial public offering (IPO) filing has raised concerns among industry experts, who are sounding alarms over the company’s financial health, distribution costs, and valuation. 

While the move marks a significant step toward mainstream financial integration, experts’ skepticism casts doubt on the company’s long-term prospects.

Analysts Highlight Red Flags With Circle IPO

On April 1, BeInCrypto reported that Circle had filed for an IPO. The company plans to list its Class A common stock on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) under “CRCL.”

Circle’s IPO filing reveals revenue of $1.67 billion in 2024, a notable increase from previous years. However, a closer examination of the company’s financials has uncovered some challenges.

Matthew Sigel, Head of Digital Assets Research at VanEck, noted that revenue increased 16% year over year. Yet, at the same time, the company reported a 29% decrease in EBITDA year over year, indicating a decline in operational profitability. Additionally, net income fell by 42%, reflecting a significant drop in overall profitability.

Circle Financial Data
Circle Financial Data. Source: X/MatthewSigel

Sigel pointed out four factors contributing to the decline in these financial metrics. He explained that the company’s rapid expansion and new service integrations negatively impacted net income. 

Furthermore, the discontinuation of services like Circle Yield reduced other revenue streams. This, in turn, exacerbated the decline in profitability. 

“Costs related to restructuring, legal settlements, and acquisition-related expenses also played a role in the decline in EBITDA and net income, despite overall revenue growth,” Sigel added.

Importantly, he focused on Circle’s increased distribution and transaction costs. Sigel revealed that the cost rose due to higher fees paid to partners like Coinbase and Binance.

A related post by Farside Investors on X (formerly Twitter) shed further light on these expenses.

“In 2024, the company spent over $1 billion on “distribution and transaction costs,” probably much higher than Tether as a % of revenue,” the post read.

This prompts speculation that Circle may be overspending to maintain its market share in the competitive stablecoin sector. The company’s historical performance further fuels skepticism.

Farside Investors added that in 2022, Circle recorded a staggering $720 million loss. Notably, the year was marked by significant turmoil in the crypto industry, including the high-profile collapses of FTX and Three Arrows Capital (3AC). 

This suggests that Circle may be vulnerable to market shocks. Thus, it calls into question the company’s risk management capabilities—especially in the inherently volatile crypto market.

“The gross creation and redemption numbers are a lot higher than we would have thought for USDC. Gross creations in a year are many multiples higher than the outstanding balance,” Farside Investors remarked.

In addition, analyst Omar expressed doubts about Circle’s $5 billion valuation. 

“Nothing to love in the Circle IPO filing and no idea how it prices at $5 billion,” he questioned.

He drew attention to several concerns, including the company’s gross margins being severely impacted by high distribution costs. The analyst also pointed out that the deregulation of the US market is poised to disrupt Circle’s position. 

Additionally, Omar stressed that Circle spends over $250 million annually on compensation and another $140 million on general and administrative costs, raising questions about its financial efficiency. He also noted that interest rates—core income drivers for Circle—will likely decline, presenting additional challenges.

“32x ’24 earnings for a business that just lost its mini-monopoly and facing several headwinds is expensive when growth structurally challenged,” Omar said.

Analysis of Circle's Finances Ahead of IPO
Analysis of Circle’s Valuation Ahead of IPO. Source: X/Omar

Ultimately, the analyst concluded that the IPO filing was a desperate attempt to secure liquidity before facing serious market difficulties.

Meanwhile, Wyatt Lonergan, General Partner at VanEck, shared his predictions for Circle’s IPO, outlining four potential scenarios. In the base case, he forecasted that Circle would capitalize on the stablecoin narrative and secure key partnerships to drive growth. 

In a bear case, Lonergan speculated that poor market conditions might lead to a Coinbase buyout.

“Circle IPOs, the market continues to tank, Circle stock goes with it. Poor business fundamentals cited. Coinbase swoops in to buy at a discount to the IPO price. USDC is all theirs at long last. Coinbase acquires Circle for something close to the IPO price, and they never go public,” Lonergan claimed.

Lastly, he outlined a probable scenario where Ripple bids up Circle’s valuation to a staggering $15 to $20 billion and acquires the company.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Ethereum Price Approaches Resistance—Will It Smash Through?

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Ethereum price started a recovery wave above the $1,850 level. ETH is now consolidating and facing key hurdles near the $1,920 level.

  • Ethereum started a recovery wave above $1,820 and $1,850 levels.
  • The price is trading above $1,860 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.
  • There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at $1,860 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken).
  • The pair must clear the $1,900 and $1,920 resistance levels to start a decent increase.

Ethereum Price Starts Recovery

Ethereum price managed to stay above the $1,750 support zone and started a recovery wave, like Bitcoin. ETH was able to climb above the $1,820 and $1,850 resistance levels.

The bulls even pushed the price above the $1,880 resistance zone. There was a move above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward wave from the $2,032 swing high to the $1,767 low. However, the bears are active near the $1,920 zone.

Ethereum price is now trading above $1,850 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is also a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at $1,860 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD.

On the upside, the price seems to be facing hurdles near the $1,900 level. The next key resistance is near the $1,920 level and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward wave from the $2,032 swing high to the $1,767 low.

Ethereum Price
Source: ETHUSD on TradingView.com

The first major resistance is near the $1,970 level. A clear move above the $1,970 resistance might send the price toward the $2,020 resistance. An upside break above the $2,020 resistance might call for more gains in the coming sessions. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $2,050 resistance zone or even $2,120 in the near term.

Another Decline In ETH?

If Ethereum fails to clear the $1,920 resistance, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $1,860 level and the trend line. The first major support sits near the $1,845 zone.

A clear move below the $1,845 support might push the price toward the $1,800 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $1,765 support level in the near term. The next key support sits at $1,710.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACDThe MACD for ETH/USD is losing momentum in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSIThe RSI for ETH/USD is now above the 50 zone.

Major Support Level – $1,860

Major Resistance Level – $1,920



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