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Limited To 24 Months Before Exhaustion

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The recent report released by the Polkadot Treasury for the first half of 2024 has raised concerns over an impending funding crisis. The report indicates that the Treasury’s assets, spread across multiple chains, have become increasingly complex and challenging to manage effectively. 

Decentralized finance (DeFi) researcher DeFi Ignas has analyzed the report, highlighting the Treasury’s limited runway of approximately two years at the current burn rate of $87 million every six months.

Funding Concerns Mount For Polkadot 

Polkadot’s expenditure during the first half of 2024 paints a worrying picture. An extensive outreach program accounted for $37 million, aiming to attract new users, developers, and businesses. 

Additional expenses included $10 million on ads/sponsorships, $4.4 million on influencers, and $4 million on digital ads. Surprisingly, despite such expenditures, Polkadot’s visibility on social media platforms, including “Platform X,” remained notably low. 

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The Treasury spent a total of $86 million in the past six months, managing $245 million (38 million DOT) in assets, with $188 million (29 million DOT) in liquid form. The burn rate indicates that the Treasury may face bankruptcy in less than two years.

Polkadot’s token supply experiences a 10% annual growth, primarily fueling staking rewards. With a $10 billion market cap, stakers receive $1 billion per year, which significantly affects network security costs. 

However, a proposal to reduce inflation was rejected by 57% of the stakeholders, further compounding the Treasury’s financial challenges.

New Governance Model

The report reveals that direct fee revenue remains marginal for Polkadot. In 2023-H2, Polkadot generated 300,000 DOT through fees during a short-lived inscription campaign. Under regular conditions, fee revenue stabilizes at around 20,000 DOT per quarter. 

On the expense side, the report highlights a 2.4x increase in DOT spending compared to 2023-H2. Ambitious proposals and larger ask sizes contributed to this significant spending surge. 

Although the average DOT price rose, resulting in more value per DOT, concerns about the Treasury’s usage are mounting within the ecosystem.

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To address these challenges, Polkadot is moving towards a more structured approach. Executive bodies, such as bounties and collectives, are emerging to assume departmental roles within the ecosystem. 

These bodies are responsible for security, data research, core functionality development, network operation, marketing, and business development activities. The key question now is how to establish effective structures quickly to guide Polkadot toward success.

The solution, according to the blockchain’s treasury, is to delegate more responsibility to these executive bodies. These bodies are made up of competent individuals who evaluate new proposals and deliver value. Collectives, similar to subDAOs, have OpenGov capabilities and sub-treasuries to facilitate their work. 

By leveraging these executive bodies, Polkadot can outsource operational issues and mundane tasks, allowing OpenGov stakeholders to focus on making critical decisions. 

The effectiveness and performance of the executive bodies are evaluated, and budget allocations are negotiated with OpenGov based on the results.

Polkadot
The daily chart shows DOT’s price trending upwards. Source: DOTUSD on TradingView.com

At the time of writing, DOT is trading at $6.35, representing a price recovery of nearly 4% in the 24-hour time frame. However, the 17th largest cryptocurrency by market cap is still down 10% over the past month. 

Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com



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Potential Recovery Hindered by Bearish Pressure

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Ethereum price failed to clear the $3,520 zone and started a fresh decline. ETH dived below the $3,250 support and even tested the $3,150 zone.

  • Ethereum started a fresh decline below the $3,320 and $3,250 levels.
  • The price is trading below $3,250 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.
  • There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near $3,325 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken).
  • The pair could correct losses, but upsides might be limited above the $3,320 zone.

Ethereum Price Takes Hit

Ethereum price failed to continue higher above the $3,450 and $3,420 resistance levels. ETH started another decline below the $3,320 support zone like Bitcoin. There was a move below the $3,250 and $3,220 support levels.

The price declined 5% and even tested the $3,150 support. A low was formed at $3,156 and the price is now consolidating losses. There was a move above the $3,200 resistance level. The price is now testing the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $3,426 swing high to the $3,156 low.

Ethereum is trading below $3,300 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If there is a recovery wave, the price might face resistance near the $3,250 level. The first major resistance is near the $3,300 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $3,426 swing high to the $3,156 low.

Ethereum Price
Source: ETHUSD on TradingView.com

There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near $3,325 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. The next major hurdle is near the $3,365 level. A close above the $3,365 level might send Ether toward the $3,450 resistance. The next key resistance is near $3,500. An upside break above the $3,500 resistance might send the price higher. Any more gains could send Ether toward the $3,550 resistance zone.

Another Decline In ETH?

If Ethereum fails to clear the $3,320 resistance, it could continue to move down. Initial support on the downside is near $3,200. The first major support sits near the $3,150 zone.

A clear move below the $3,150 support might push the price toward $3,080. Any more losses might send the price toward the $3,050 level in the near term.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACDThe MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bearish zone.

Hourly RSIThe RSI for ETH/USD is now below the 50 zone.

Major Support Level – $3,150

Major Resistance Level – $3,320



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Fading Bearish Momentum and Solid Support

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Aayush Jindal, a luminary in the world of financial markets, whose expertise spans over 15 illustrious years in the realms of Forex and cryptocurrency trading. Renowned for his unparalleled proficiency in providing technical analysis, Aayush is a trusted advisor and senior market expert to investors worldwide, guiding them through the intricate landscapes of modern finance with his keen insights and astute chart analysis.

From a young age, Aayush exhibited a natural aptitude for deciphering complex systems and unraveling patterns. Fueled by an insatiable curiosity for understanding market dynamics, he embarked on a journey that would lead him to become one of the foremost authorities in the fields of Forex and crypto trading. With a meticulous eye for detail and an unwavering commitment to excellence, Aayush honed his craft over the years, mastering the art of technical analysis and chart interpretation.
As a software engineer, Aayush harnesses the power of technology to optimize trading strategies and develop innovative solutions for navigating the volatile waters of financial markets. His background in software engineering has equipped him with a unique skill set, enabling him to leverage cutting-edge tools and algorithms to gain a competitive edge in an ever-evolving landscape.

In addition to his roles in finance and technology, Aayush serves as the director of a prestigious IT company, where he spearheads initiatives aimed at driving digital innovation and transformation. Under his visionary leadership, the company has flourished, cementing its position as a leader in the tech industry and paving the way for groundbreaking advancements in software development and IT solutions.

Despite his demanding professional commitments, Aayush is a firm believer in the importance of work-life balance. An avid traveler and adventurer, he finds solace in exploring new destinations, immersing himself in different cultures, and forging lasting memories along the way. Whether he’s trekking through the Himalayas, diving in the azure waters of the Maldives, or experiencing the vibrant energy of bustling metropolises, Aayush embraces every opportunity to broaden his horizons and create unforgettable experiences.

Aayush’s journey to success is marked by a relentless pursuit of excellence and a steadfast commitment to continuous learning and growth. His academic achievements are a testament to his dedication and passion for excellence, having completed his software engineering with honors and excelling in every department.

At his core, Aayush is driven by a profound passion for analyzing markets and uncovering profitable opportunities amidst volatility. Whether he’s poring over price charts, identifying key support and resistance levels, or providing insightful analysis to his clients and followers, Aayush’s unwavering dedication to his craft sets him apart as a true industry leader and a beacon of inspiration to aspiring traders around the globe.

In a world where uncertainty reigns supreme, Aayush Jindal stands as a guiding light, illuminating the path to financial success with his unparalleled expertise, unwavering integrity, and boundless enthusiasm for the markets.



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Solana Eases Gains: Can SOL Bulls Safeguard the $132 Support?

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Solana started a fresh decline from the $155 resistance. SOL price is down over 10%, but the bulls are now protecting the $132 support.

  • SOL price started a strong decline from the $155 resistance against the US Dollar.
  • The price is now trading below $145 and the 100-hourly simple moving average.
  • There was a break below a connecting bullish trend line with support at $150 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken).
  • The pair could correct losses unless the bulls struggle to protect the $132 support.

Solana Price Dives 10%

Solana price struggled to continue higher above the $155 resistance. SOL reacted to the downside and declined below the $150 support. There was a break below a connecting bullish trend line with support at $150 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair.

The pair gained bearish momentum below the $145 support and declined more than outperformed Bitcoin and Ethereum in the past two sessions. There was a drop toward the $132 support zone. A low was formed at $132.17 and the price is now attempting a recovery wave.

There was a move above the $135 level. The price is now approaching the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $154.74 swing high to the $132.17 low.

Solana is now trading well below the $145 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. If there is another increase, the price might face resistance near the $138 level. The next major resistance is near the $143.50 level and the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $154.74 swing high to the $132.17 low.

Solana Price

A successful close above the $143.50 resistance could set the pace for another steady increase. The next key resistance is near $150. Any more gains might send the price toward the $155 level.

More Losses in SOL?

If SOL fails to rise above the $143.50 resistance, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $135 level.

The first major support is near the $132 level, below which the price could test $125. If there is a close below the $125 support, the price could decline toward the $112 support in the near term.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACD – The MACD for SOL/USD is gaining pace in the bearish zone.

Hourly Hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for SOL/USD is below the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $135, and $132.

Major Resistance Levels – $143.50 and $150.



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