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Is Altcoin Season Coming? Analysts Say So

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In recent weeks, many altcoins have started to outperform Bitcoin (BTC). This has sparked speculation that the market could be inching toward the anticipated altcoin season. During this period, altcoins tend to deliver higher percentage gains compared to Bitcoin, drawing more investor interest and capital flow into these assets

While the recent price rallies in key altcoins could signal the early stages of this trend, this analysis examines whether technical patterns are following suit.

Bitcoin Steps Back, Altcoins Break Out of Falling Wedge

To validate the altcoin season, at least 75% of the top 100 cryptos must outperform the number one coin within 90 days. For the last six months, this has not happened because Bitcoin’s dominance ensured that altcoins played second fiddle to it.

However, according to Blockchaincenter, things are starting to change. The altcoin season index has moved from less than 18 some weeks back to 31. This increase could be connected to the performance of cryptos like Sui (SUI), Bittensor (TAO), Fantom (FTM), and a host of others. 

Altcoin Season Index.
Altcoin Season Index. Source: Blockchaincenter

Despite the improvement, it is important to note that it is not yet altcoin season. However, based on the daily chart, Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) has decreased since September 19.

Furthermore, the TOTAL2 chart, which shows the total crypto market cap excluding BTC, has increased nearly 18% since September 7. This disparity in performance aligns with the notion that Bitcoin might soon step back and allow altcoins to take the lead.

Besides that, BeInCrypto noticed that the TOTAL2 had broken out of a falling wedge. For context, a falling wedge is seen as a bullish signal formed by two descending trendlines. One represents the highs, and the other the lows.

Read more: 10 Best Altcoin Exchanges In 2024

Altcoins Market Cap against Bitcoin Dominance.
Altcoins Market Cap vs. Bitcoin Dominance. Source: TradingView

The breakout from the technical pattern suggests that sellers are starting to lose momentum. In turn, buyers have capitalized on the fatigue. If this trend continues, the altcoin market cap might jump toward $1.3 trillion or as high as $1.5 trillion in some months.

Analysts Predict Altcoin Season Is Near

Following this development, several prominent crypto personalities have agreed that altcoin season is very close. For instance, the Negentropic handle on X, operated by Glassnode and Swissblock founders Jan Happel, Rafael Schultze-Kraft, and Yann Allemann, shares a similar sentiment.

“Swissblock’s Altcoin Signal is at 53: We’re transitioning into an AltSeason! When BTC breaks over 64.4k, Altcoins will fly. Our framework is flagging beta plays. WIF is strong. it’s up 16%+ today with a beta of 3 to BTC. imagine the move once Bitcoin rips towards ATHs,” Negentropic said.

Miles Deutscher is another crypto analyst with such an optimistic view. According to DeDeutscher, the TOTAL3, which is the market cap of altcoins without Ethereum (ETH), could break out if it escapes rejection.

“Altcoins (TOTAL3) are on the verge of a monster breakout. There’s a chance we reject here, but if we break through – expect fireworks,” Deutscher wrote.

Interestingly, BeInCrypto’s analysis of TOTAL3 has increased by almost the same value as TOTAL2. It is also on the verge of breaking above the descending channel on the daily chart.

Read more: 11 Cryptos To Add To Your Portfolio Before Altcoin Season

TOTAL3 Altcoins Daily Analysis.
TOTAL3 Altcoins Daily Analysis. Source: TradingView

Should this breakout be successful, then altcoin season might accelerate and truly materialize. However, it remains crucial to monitor Bitcoin’s dominance. If BTC.D rebounds and altcoins market cap gets rejected, the projected rally to $1.5 trillion might not come to pass within a short period

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Why SUI Network Outage Did Not Cause a Price Crash

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Earlier today, the Layer-1 blockchain Sui experienced a two-hour blackout, halting block production and rendering transaction processing impossible. This network outage led to a slight dip in SUI’s price, falling from $3.73 to $3.64.

Despite concerns of a more significant decline, the price stabilized after the project announced that the network was fully restored and operational.

Sui Comes Back Online, Altcoin Still in Good Position

Around 10:52 UTC, web3 security firm ExVull disclosed that a DOS bug caused the Sui network outage. Fully known as a Denial-of-Service (DoS) attack, the bug” refers to a software attack that overwhelms a system with excessive traffic or requests, causing it to become unavailable to legitimate users by crashing or severely slowing its functionality.

“After our analysis, it was found that the Sui Network node occur DOS due to integer overflow,” ExVul stated.

Following this development, several exchanges halted SUI transactions as the price also dipped a little. However, nearly two hours later, the project updated its community, saying that validators had assisted in resolving the issue.

“The Sui network is back up and processing transactions again, thanks to swift work from the incredible community of Sui validators. The 2-hour downtime was caused by a bug in transaction scheduling logic that caused validators to crash, which has now been resolved,” it explained.

Meanwhile, data from Messari showed that, amid the outage, the Sharpe ratio remained positive. The Sharpe ratio is a key measure of risk-adjusted return, indicating how much excess return an investment generates relative to its volatility

It helps investors assess whether the returns of a riskier asset justify the risk taken. A higher ratio signifies better risk-adjusted performance. Typically, when the ratio is negative, it means that the risk might not be worth the reward.

SUI Sharpe ratio
Sui Sharpe Ratio. Source: Messari

However, since it is positive for SUI, it indicates that accumulating the altcoin around its current value could still yield positive returns.

SUI Price Prediction: Run Above $4

On the daily chart, SUI continues to trade within an ascending channel. An ascending channel, also called a rising channel or channel up, is a chart pattern defined by two parallel upward-sloping lines. 

It forms when the price shows higher swing highs and higher swing lows, indicating an ongoing uptrend. Furthermore, the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) has increased, suggesting that buying pressure has outpaced distribution.

Sui price analysis
Sui Daily Analysis. Source: TradingView

If this continues, SUI’s price could climb above $4. However, if a Sui network outage occurs again, this might not happen. In that scenario, the value could drop below $3.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Aptos Partners with Circle and Stripe to Revitalize Network

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The Aptos Foundation announced a new partnership with Circle and Stripe, hoping to revolutionize its network functionality. Circle’s CCTP and USDC stablecoin will enhance blockchain interoperability, while Stripe will attract TradFi by simplifying fiat interactions.

Aptos has set ambitious goals with this partnership, but APT’s upward momentum has stagnated.

Aptos Partners with Circle and Stripe

According to a new announcement from the Aptos (APT) Foundation, its network is integrating Circle’s USDC stablecoin and Cross-Chain Transfer Protocol (CCTP). Additionally, Aptos is integrating the payment platform Stripe, generally streamlining fiat-related features. These include on- and off-ramps, payment processing, and TradFi ease of adoption.

“Once the integration is complete, users will be able to seamlessly transfer USDC between Aptos and 8 major blockchains. In addition to USDC and CCTP, Stripe will soon launch its payment services on Aptos, creating a reliable fiat on-ramp to streamline merchant pay-ins and payouts using Aptos-compatible wallets,” the firm claimed via press release.

In other words, Aptos aims to use this partnership to make itself “the ultimate hub for interoperable DeFi.” These companies will approach this goal from both ends: enticing new users and investors while substantially improving the core experience. This partnership marks a new development for Stripe’s integration with crypto.

Indeed, Stripe took a six-year hiatus from cryptocurrency payments, which only ended this April. Since then, however, it’s been engaging seriously with the industry. The firm entered an earlier partnership with Circle this June, hoping to promote USDC adoption. Additionally, Stripe acquired Bridge, a crypto payment platform, last month.

For its part, Aptos is undertaking a recovery process. Despite a major price spike in March, it suffered a lingering decline for most of 2024. The asset began regaining steam in October, and the November bull market has brought increased optimism. Still, its gains have stagnated for about a week.

Aptos Price in 2024
Aptos Price in 2024. Source: BeInCrypto

This partnership between Aptos, Circle, and Stripe may help APT regain its forward momentum. These ambitious new features will greatly add functionality and accessibility to Aptos’ network. Still, the firm has set a very ambitious goal for itself: to solidify “its place as a leader in interoperable DeFi and enterprise-grade blockchain technology.” Only time can tell its success level.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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SEC Moves Toward Solana ETF Approval Amid Pro-Crypto Shift

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The SEC is quietly meeting with several issuers to discuss approving a Solana ETF, claims Fox Business reporter Eleanor Terrett. With Trump’s impending pro-crypto administration, the SEC seems more inclined to approve such a product.

However, anti-crypto figure Gary Gensler is still nominally in charge of the SEC, and public progress might not begin until 2025.

Solana ETF Approval Is Getting Closer

According to a scoop from Fox Business reporter Eleanor Terrett, the SEC and several ETF issuers are in talks to approve a Solana ETF. Currently, Brazil is the only country that has given this product a green light. As recently as September, Polymarket odds gave the SEC a dismal 3% chance of approving it. This reluctance, however, might soon be changing:

“Talks between SEC staff and issuers looking to launch a Solana spot ETF are “progressing” with the SEC now engaging on S-1 applications. Recent engagement from staff, coupled with the incoming pro-crypto administration, is sparking a renewed sense of optimism that a Solana ETF could be approved sometime in 2025,” Terrett claimed.

Terrett was very clear about the impetus for this progress in negotiations: Donald Trump’s re-election. On the campaign trail, Trump vowed to significantly reform US crypto policy, and one cornerstone was firing anti-crypto SEC Chair Gary Gensler. Gensler has apparently conceded to his impending ouster, and his replacement will undoubtedly support the industry.

Previous attempts have floundered at an early step in the process. Once the SEC officially acknowledges an application, it must confirm or deny it within a 240-day window. Previous filings have lingered in limbo at this stage. However, the list of candidates is now growing: Canary Capital filed for a Solana ETF in October, and BitWise did the same earlier today.

Timeline of Solana ETF Applications, with Previous Frozen Attempts
Timeline of Solana ETF Applications, with Previous Frozen Attempts. Source: Eric Balchunas

Nonetheless, these positive negotiations still only consist of anonymous rumors. The Commission has not publicly moved to begin this process, and Gensler is still nominally in charge. Terrett posits that the SEC will only make serious progress on the Solana ETF at the start of 2025. Compared to previous pessimism, however, this is a complete sea change.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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