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How Stellar’s (XLM) Close Ties with XRP Boosted Its Price

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Stellar (XLM) price has increased by 9.15%, making it one of the top five altcoin gainers in the last 24 hours

Market participants are likely unsure why the token, which has been out of the spotlight for a while, is now rising. This analysis unravels the details and how it is linked to a major development.

Stellar’s Decade-Old Development Brings It a Much-Needed Result

For those unfamiliar, XLM is the native token of Stellar, a blockchain that facilitates trades for the unbanked. However, this project was founded by Jed McCaleb, who is also one of the co-founders of Ripple (XRP).

Since McCaleb’s decision to create Stellar about 10 years ago, XLM and XRP have almost always shared a strong correlation. Besides this, both Ripple and Stellar focus on cross-border transactions with only a slight difference in technology employed.

Therefore, the sudden spike in XLM’s price is linked to the recent settlement of the long-standing Ripple-SEC lawsuit, which saw XRP’s price climb by more than 20%. As of this writing, the correlation coefficient between the tokens is 0.86.

The correlation coefficient ranges from -1 to +1. Values close to -1 indicate a divergence, suggesting that prices rarely move in the same direction. However, a reading close to +1 suggests strong directional movement.

Read more: What is Stellar & How Does it Work: Deep Dive Into XLM

Stellar (XLM) and Ripple (XRP) Correlation
Stellar (XLM) and Ripple (XRP) Correlation. Source: Macroaxis

To buttress this point, an investment in XLM on a 30-day horizon would have brought in a slightly lower return than one in XRP.

Furthermore, the development has triggered a surge in XLM’s Open Interest (OI). Open Interest is the total value of outstanding derivative contracts that are yet to be settled. An increase in this value typically indicates increased liquidity allocated to contracts.

If it surges, it can help a cryptocurrency’s price sustain its trend. However, a decrease in OI translates to a drop in net positioning, which could weaken a price trend. 

Stellar Open Interest
Stellar Open Interest. Source: Santiment

As seen above, Stellar’s Open Interest had increased to 31 million, suggesting an influx of money into XLM-related contracts. If the value continues to increase, then XLM’s uptrend may become stronger.

XLM Price Prediction: Next Target Lies at $0.11

According to the 4-hour chart, XLM has formed a series of lower highs (LH). In the same vein, the ascending channel seen below shows it hitting higher highs (HH) as well. 

The formation of the LH and HH suggests that the bulls have overcome selling pressure, and the uptrend is likely to continue.

Another confirmation of this bias is the descending trendline, which XLM’s price has surpassed. If this market structure remains the same, the token’s value could soon be higher than $0.10. 

Additionally, the Awesome Oscillator (AO) is positive. The AO compares short and long-term price movements to determine momentum. When the reading is negative, the momentum is bearish, and the price could decline.

Read more: Stellar (XLM) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

Stellar 4-Hour Price Analysis
Stellar 4-Hour Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

At the same time, the token risks being overbought. Should this happen, the upswing may become weak, and the price may drop to $0.96.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Polymarket Faces Ban in France as US Election Betting Ends

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According to a report from The Big Whale, the National Gaming Authority (ANJ), France’s gambling regulator, is preparing to block the prediction markets platform Polymarket.

Polymarket, the decentralized platform that allows users to bet on the outcome of political events, sports, and other occurrences using cryptocurrency, has gained popularity in recent months, especially with bets surrounding the US presidential election. More than $3.2 billion was reportedly wagered on the platform during this high-stakes period, with a record-breaking $294 million in volume on November 5 alone.

France Users May No Longer Access Polymarket

According to The Big Whale, a French website that covers the crypto industry, the ANJ’s impending ban comes after a French trader placed a $30 million bet on a Trump victory, reportedly attracting the regulator’s scrutiny.

The trader’s wager positioned him to make approximately $19 million in profits, a sum that has intensified concerns over Polymarket’s compliance with French gambling laws. A source close to the ANJ stated that despite Polymarket’s use of blockchain and cryptocurrency, its activities are akin to gambling, making it subject to restrictions under French law.

“We are aware of this site and we are currently examining its operation as well as its compliance with French gambling legislation,” The Big Whale reported, citing an ANJ spokesperson.

Read more: What is Polymarket? A Guide to The Popular Prediction Market

 Legal expert William O’Rorke from ORWL Avocats explained that although Polymarket does not specifically target French users, its activities fall squarely under gambling regulations.

“Polymarket involves betting money on uncertain outcomes, which aligns with the legal definition of gambling,” O’Rorke noted.

Against this backdrop, the ANJ is well within its mandate to block the platform’s access in France. Accordingly, the French regulator may enforce the ban by blocking Polymarket’s domain name in France. It amy also pressure third-party players, like media outlets and online directories, to limit access to Polymarket links.

However, French users may still circumvent this by using virtual private networks (VPNs). This is because Polymarket’s crypto-based infrastructure allows for relatively anonymous participation.

France’s looming ban is not the first regulatory roadblock Polymarket has encountered. In 2022, the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) fined Polymarket $1.4 million for failing to register as a designated contract market. The CFTC also challenged Kalshi’s operations due to questions about betting on political events.

Polymarket’s Fate After US Elections

Meanwhile, the US election was a significant catalyst for Polymarket. It drove the platform to new heights in user engagement and bet volume. Polymarket’s election-related markets have been featured on major financial platforms, including Bloomberg, highlighting the platform’s appeal to mainstream finance.

As BeInCrypto reported, Polymarket’s election betting topped $3 billion, reflecting unprecedented participation. The platform, however, faces a crossroads in its path forward. Following the climax of the US election on Wednesday, data from Dune Analytics shows a steep decline in Polymarket’s activity.

Daily active addresses and transaction volumes, which soared in the election lead-up, have notably dwindled as election-related betting winds down. For instance, Polymarket’s open interest, a key indicator of active betting engagement, dropped from $350 million to $268 million after the polls closed. Similarly, monthly new accounts have also dropped by over 41% between October and November.

Polymarket Monthly New Accounts
Polymarket Monthly New Accounts. Source: Dune

Against this backdrop, Polymarket may need to diversify its market offerings or potentially embrace a new model to maintain user interest. This is considering election-related activity comprised the majority of the prediction market’s volume.

Rumors are circulating about a potential move toward a decentralized governance token, which could distribute control over Polymarket’s operations to its community. This shift would reduce the liability of the central authority by decentralizing decision-making, though it remains theoretical, with no clear timeline.

Read More: How To Use Polymarket In The United States: Step-by-Step Guide

Polymarket’s fast ascent and regulatory challenges highlight broader industry tensions between innovation and compliance. With election predictions no longer a draw and an impending ban in France, Polymarket’s future remains uncertain.

Its long-term viability may depend on how well it adapts to evolving regulatory landscapes and whether it can maintain popularity beyond election season peaks.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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XRP Price Ready to Rally? Signs Point to a Bullish Move

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Aayush Jindal, a luminary in the world of financial markets, whose expertise spans over 15 illustrious years in the realms of Forex and cryptocurrency trading. Renowned for his unparalleled proficiency in providing technical analysis, Aayush is a trusted advisor and senior market expert to investors worldwide, guiding them through the intricate landscapes of modern finance with his keen insights and astute chart analysis.

From a young age, Aayush exhibited a natural aptitude for deciphering complex systems and unraveling patterns. Fueled by an insatiable curiosity for understanding market dynamics, he embarked on a journey that would lead him to become one of the foremost authorities in the fields of Forex and crypto trading. With a meticulous eye for detail and an unwavering commitment to excellence, Aayush honed his craft over the years, mastering the art of technical analysis and chart interpretation.
As a software engineer, Aayush harnesses the power of technology to optimize trading strategies and develop innovative solutions for navigating the volatile waters of financial markets. His background in software engineering has equipped him with a unique skill set, enabling him to leverage cutting-edge tools and algorithms to gain a competitive edge in an ever-evolving landscape.

In addition to his roles in finance and technology, Aayush serves as the director of a prestigious IT company, where he spearheads initiatives aimed at driving digital innovation and transformation. Under his visionary leadership, the company has flourished, cementing its position as a leader in the tech industry and paving the way for groundbreaking advancements in software development and IT solutions.

Despite his demanding professional commitments, Aayush is a firm believer in the importance of work-life balance. An avid traveler and adventurer, he finds solace in exploring new destinations, immersing himself in different cultures, and forging lasting memories along the way. Whether he’s trekking through the Himalayas, diving in the azure waters of the Maldives, or experiencing the vibrant energy of bustling metropolises, Aayush embraces every opportunity to broaden his horizons and create unforgettable experiences.

Aayush’s journey to success is marked by a relentless pursuit of excellence and a steadfast commitment to continuous learning and growth. His academic achievements are a testament to his dedication and passion for excellence, having completed his software engineering with honors and excelling in every department.

At his core, Aayush is driven by a profound passion for analyzing markets and uncovering profitable opportunities amidst volatility. Whether he’s poring over price charts, identifying key support and resistance levels, or providing insightful analysis to his clients and followers, Aayush’s unwavering dedication to his craft sets him apart as a true industry leader and a beacon of inspiration to aspiring traders around the globe.

In a world where uncertainty reigns supreme, Aayush Jindal stands as a guiding light, illuminating the path to financial success with his unparalleled expertise, unwavering integrity, and boundless enthusiasm for the markets.



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Solana (SOL) Rallies Strongly, Setting Sights on $200

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Solana started a fresh increase above the $172 support zone. SOL price is rising and might soon aim for a move toward the $200 level.

  • SOL price started a fresh increase after it settled above the $165 level against the US Dollar.
  • The price is now trading above $172 and the 100-hourly simple moving average.
  • There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $162 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken).
  • The pair could continue to rise if it clears the $192 resistance zone.

Solana Price Starts Fresh Rally

Solana price formed a support base and started a fresh increase above the $162 level like Bitcoin and Ethereum. There was a strong move above the $165 and $172 resistance levels.

There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $162 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair. The price even cleared the $185 level. A high is formed at $192 and the price is now consolidating gains. It is trading above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $155 swing low to the $192 high.

Solana is now trading above $172 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. On the upside, the price is facing resistance near the $192 level. The next major resistance is near the $195 level.

Solana Price

The main resistance could be $200. A successful close above the $200 resistance level could set the pace for another steady increase. The next key resistance is $212. Any more gains might send the price toward the $220 level.

Another Dip in SOL?

If SOL fails to rise above the $192 resistance, it could start a downside correction. Initial support on the downside is near the $188 level. The first major support is near the $180 level.

A break below the $180 level might send the price toward the $172 zone or the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $155 swing low to the $192 high. If there is a close below the $172 support, the price could decline toward the $165 support in the near term.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACD – The MACD for SOL/USD is gaining pace in the bullish zone.

Hourly Hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for SOL/USD is above the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $188 and $185.

Major Resistance Levels – $192 and $200.



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