Market
Has Bitcoin Price Hit Bottom? 4 Crucial On-Chain Signals
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In the crypto ecosystem, pinpointing the exact moment Bitcoin (BTC) prices bottom out is akin to finding a needle in a haystack. Recent data, however, provides some insights into whether the Bitcoin price has bottomed.
As the digital currency touched a one-month low of $58,500, analysts from CryptoQuant and Glassnode revealed four crucial on-chain indicators to watch. These indicators could be useful for analyzing market behaviors near the low points and understanding the conditions necessary for prices to rebound and rise again.
1. Tracking Bitcoin Demand Growth
The first quarter of 2024 saw a remarkable surge in Bitcoin demand coinciding with the launch of US spot ETFs, establishing record highs. However, post-May, this demand has seen a significant slowdown.
It is vital to observe the demand from permanent holders to determine whether Bitcoin has bottomed out. Permanent holders are now buying at a rate of 72,000 Bitcoin per month.
However, demand is significantly lower than in early 2024. A resurgence to these levels is essential for a sustainable price rally.
Read more: Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030
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Apart from the demand side, Glassnode’s analysis reveals significant insights into the behavior of long-term holders (LTHs), who play a crucial role in the supply side as well. LTHs typically distribute coins and take profits during bull markets, helping to establish market cycle tops.
Currently, the market is witnessing a regime where LTH divestment is moderated. This indicates a move toward equilibrium rather than euphoria, which is a phase when the unrealized profits of LTHs are more than 250%. The high profits motivate LTHs to sell BTC aggressively, marking a market top.
The current equilibrium phase suggests that while LTHs are not yet ready to offload their holdings massively, they are also not accumulating at a pace, thus providing a balanced supply dynamic in the market.
2. Assessing the Profitability of Traders
Another indicator is the profitability of traders. Currently, on-chain unrealized margins for traders are in the negative, suggesting reduced selling pressure but not necessarily a readiness for a price rebound.
For a bullish signal, these margins need to turn positive and rise above their 30-day simple moving average.
“Since mid-June, the spot price has plunged below the cost basis of both the 1-week to 1-month-old holders ($68,500) and 1-month to 3-month-old holders ($66,400). If this structure persists, it has historically resulted in a deterioration of investor confidence and risks this correction being deeper and taking longer to recover from,” Glassnode said.
Read more: 8 Best On-Chain Analysis Tools in 2024
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3. Evaluating Stablecoin Liquidity
The growth in Tether’s USDT market capitalization is a proxy for liquidity in the cryptocurrency market. After peaking at $12.6 billion in late April, the growth over the past 60 days has slowed dramatically to just $2.5 billion, marking the slowest pace since November 2023.
An acceleration in stablecoin liquidity is essential for Bitcoin prices to rally. This will provide the market with the needed capital inflow to support higher price levels.
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4. Monitoring the Ultimate Bitcoin Price Support Level
The final indicator to watch is Bitcoin’s support level, currently pegged at $56,000 based on Metcalfe’s price valuation bands.
“This valuation is based on the Metcalfe law that states the value of a network is proportional to the number of users in the network,” CryptoQuant explains.
This level has historically acted as both resistance and support in previous cycles. It also provided support to Bitcoin when its price dropped to around $56,500 in May 2024. A drop below this critical support could signal a significant market correction while maintaining above this level could suggest the market has bottomed.
Read more: How To Evaluate Cryptocurrencies with On-chain & Fundamental Analysis
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Amid these technical indicators, social sentiment also shows signs that the market may believe the bottom has been reached. Analysis from Santiment highlighted a spike in social volume and dominance for the term “bottom,” suggesting a growing belief among investors and traders that Bitcoin’s price may not fall further.
However, the market often tends to go against the retail sentiments. Hence, traders and investors should consider the nuances carefully and do their own research before building new market positions.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
3 Meme Coins to Watch For The Last Week of February 2025
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DOGEai, TST, and BROCCOLI are three meme coins drawing attention for the last week of February. DOGEai, launched on Solana, is up 110% in the past seven days, positioning itself as a leading AI meme coin.
TST remains one of the most popular meme coins on the BNB chain despite a recent correction. At the same time, BROCCOLI, inspired by Binance co-founder CZ’s dog, has also seen significant volatility.
DOGEai (DOGEAI)
DOGEai is an artificial intelligence coin launched on Solana. Its market cap is now $32 million, up 82% in the last seven days. This rise has positioned DOGEai as one of the most talked-about AI meme coins in recent days.
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DOGEai leverages multiple narratives, including Dogecoin’s popularity, the growing interest in DOGE (Department of Government Efficiency), and the broader AI cryptos trend. It defines itself as “an autonomous AI agent here to uncover waste and inefficiencies in government spending and policy decisions,” offering bill summaries and insights into government expenditures.
If the current uptrend continues, DOGEai could test the resistance at $0.048, with potential targets at $0.059 and $0.069. However, if a downtrend emerges, DOGEai has support at $0.030, and if that level is lost, it could drop to $0.018 or even $0.0092.
Test (TST)
TST has emerged as one of the most popular meme coins on the BNB chain, benefiting from the chain’s growing volume, which recently even surpassed Solana.
In the days following its launch, TST reached a market cap close to $500 million, then entered a strong correction phase. Its market cap has since dropped to $78 million.
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If the BNB narrative gains strength again, TST could benefit as one of its most popular meme coins and may test the resistance at $0.10. A breakout above this level could push TST to $0.20 or even $0.25 if buying pressure intensifies.
However, if TST fails to regain strong upward momentum, it could test the support at $0.0719 and potentially drop to its lowest levels since February 9.
CZ’S Dog (BROCCOLI)
BROCCOLI was launched a few weeks ago after Binance co-founder CZ revealed his dog’s name, sparking a flood of BROCCOLI tokens on the market.
The largest of these tokens quickly surged to a $249 million market cap in its early days but has since dropped to $52 million.
Like TST, BROCCOLI benefited from the recent rise of the BNB ecosystem but has since entered a strong correction phase. It is down 40% in the last seven days.
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If the downtrend continues, BROCCOLI could test support near $0.04, and a break below this level could push it to its lowest price since launch.
However, if the BNB ecosystem and meme coins regain traction, BROCCOLI could benefit, especially given the popularity of dog-related meme coins like Dogecoin and Shiba Inu. In this bullish scenario, BROCCOLI could rise to test the resistance at $0.113.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
Ethereum Rollback Debate Intensifies After Bybit Hack
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The crypto community is divided over calls for an Ethereum blockchain rollback following a massive security breach at Bybit.
On February 21, the exchange lost nearly $1.5 billion in ETH to hackers, sparking discussions about whether Ethereum should intervene to recover the stolen funds.
What is a Blockchain Rollback?
A blockchain rollback, also known as a reorganization, involves reversing confirmed transactions to restore the network to an earlier state.
This process usually happens after a major security breach or exploit. Validators must reach a consensus to discard the affected blocks, effectively erasing the malicious transactions.
Despite its potential benefits, a rollback remains a controversial and rarely used measure due to its impact on a blockchain’s trust and decentralization.
Blockchains operate on the principle of immutability, meaning transactions are expected to be final once confirmed. So, rolling back transactions challenges this principle, raising concerns about the security and reliability of the network.
Crypto Leaders Clash Over Ethereum Rollback Proposal
BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes has been vocal in advocating for a rollback to solve the ByBit hack. He pointed to the 2016 DAO hack, where Ethereum underwent a hard fork to recover stolen funds, as precedent.
Hayes argued that since Ethereum previously compromised on immutability, another intervention should not be off the table.
“My own view as a mega ETH bag holder is ETH stopped being money in 2016 after the DAO hack hardfork. If the community wanted to do it again, I would support it because we already voted no on immutability in 2016,” Hayes said.
JAN3 CEO Samson Mow also supported the rollback, stating it could prevent North Korea from using the stolen funds to fund its nuclear weapons program.
However, not everyone agrees. Pseudonymous crypto trader Borovik strongly opposed the idea, arguing that a rollback would jeopardize Ethereum’s credibility and neutrality.
Bitcoin advocate Jimmy Song also dismissed the possibility, stating that the Bybit hack cannot be compared to the 2016 DAO exploit. Song emphasized that the DAO hack allowed for a 30-day intervention, whereas the Bybit attack is already finalized, making a rollback impractical.
“I know people are expecting the Ethereum Foundation to roll back the chain, but I suspect it’s already too much of a mess to do it cleanly,” Song added.
Meanwhile, Ethereum supporter Adriano Feria introduced an alternative perspective. He argued that Bybit could have avoided this situation by using a Layer 2 (L2) solution with conditional reversible transactions.
According to Feria, blockchain technology needs some form of reversibility to ensure real-world adoption.
“Whether through social recovery or another pre-determined, immutable, and transparent decision-making process, real-world mass adoption will not work without reversible transactions. Without this capability, transactional activity will inevitably gravitate toward TradFi systems that already provide it,” Feria stated.
This debate raises a fundamental question for Ethereum: should it prioritize immutability or intervene in extreme cases?
While some see a rollback as a necessary response to an unprecedented loss, others fear it could undermine the core principles of decentralization. Ethereum’s next steps will likely shape its long-term credibility and trust within the crypto space.
Disclaimer
In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
Berachain (BERA) Falls 15% After Recent Rally Surge
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Berachain (BERA) is down almost 15% in the last 24 hours, with its market cap now at $778 million, although its price remains up nearly 20% over the past seven days. This sharp pullback comes after a strong rally between February 18 and February 20, when BERA reached levels above $8.5.
BERA’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped from overbought levels, signaling a loss of bullish momentum, while its Directional Movement Index (DMI) shows growing bearish pressure. As BERA navigates this correction phase, it faces key support at $6.1, with potential resistance levels at $8.5, $9.1, and $10 if bullish momentum returns.
BERA RSI Is Dropping Steadily After Touching Overbought Levels
Berachain Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 50.6, down sharply from 86.7 just two days ago when its price surged above $8.5. RSI is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements, ranging from 0 to 100.
It is commonly used to identify overbought or oversold conditions, with values above 70 indicating overbought levels and below 30 suggesting oversold territory.
The steep decline in BERA’s RSI reflects a significant loss of bullish momentum after reaching overbought levels above 86, where a correction was likely.
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With RSI now at 50.6, BERA is in a neutral zone, suggesting that buying and selling pressures are relatively balanced.
This could indicate a period of consolidation as the market digests recent gains. If RSI continues to decline below 50, it could signal increasing bearish momentum. This could lead to a further price drop for BERA.
Conversely, if RSI stabilizes and begins to rise, it could suggest renewed buying interest and a potential recovery in Berachain price.
BERA DMI Chart Shows Buyers Are Losing Control
Berachain Directional Movement Index (DMI) chart shows its Average Directional Index (ADX) currently at 50.5, after peaking at 60.2 yesterday, up from just 13.3 five days ago. ADX is an indicator used to measure the strength of a trend, regardless of its direction, ranging from 0 to 100.
Values above 25 typically indicate a strong trend, while values below 20 suggest a weak or sideways market. The sharp rise in ADX reflects a significant increase in trend strength, confirming that BERA has been experiencing strong directional movement recently.
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Meanwhile, BERA’s +DI is at 24.4, down from 48.4 two days ago, indicating weakening bullish momentum. Meanwhile, -DI has risen to 15.1 from 4.9, suggesting growing bearish pressure.
This shift signals that the bullish trend that drove prices higher is losing steam, and selling interest is beginning to increase.
If -DI continues to rise above +DI, it could indicate a bearish crossover, signaling a potential reversal or deeper correction in BERA’s price. However, if +DI stabilizes and moves upward again, it could suggest a continuation of the uptrend, albeit with reduced momentum.
Will Berachain Fall Below $6 Soon?
Berachain surged 53% between February 18 and February 20, pushing its price above $8.5 after the coin struggled following its airdrop. However, after this sharp rally, BERA entered a correction phase and is currently down almost 15% in the last 24 hours.
This pullback suggests profit-taking and a shift in market sentiment as buyers hesitate to push prices higher. If the downtrend continues, BERA could soon test the support at $6.1, and a break below this level could lead to a further decline towards $5.48, reflecting increased selling pressure.
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On the other hand, if Berachain can regain its bullish momentum from a few days ago, it could rise above $8.5 again, potentially testing the next resistance levels at $9.1 or even $10.
To confirm this bullish scenario, Berachain would need to see renewed buying interest and strong upward momentum. If buyers can defend key support levels and push the price above resistance zones, it could indicate the continuation of the uptrend.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
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