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FSA to Review Japan’s Crypto Laws Amid Election Shakeup

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The Financial Services Agency (FSA) will conduct a comprehensive review of Japan’s crypto laws, seeking to possibly loosen regulations and even lower capital gains taxes. However, unexpected election developments may impact the process.

The Liberal Democratic Party (LDP)’s new candidate has made few public statements on crypto, but industry figures are disappointed.

A Reclassification for Crypto

Bloomberg reported this upcoming review on September 30, claiming that the FSA is mainly aiming to assess Japan’s existing Payment Services Act.

Essentially, the goal of this review is to determine whether crypto should be regulated as a payment option, as it is currently, or an investment tool. An anonymous official claimed that Japan mostly uses crypto for the latter purpose, and this may change the entire legal paradigm.

Japanese crypto trading has been recovering throughout 2024, and a number of specific measures may help boost it further. Obviously, the most enticing possible change is a lowered tax on crypto gains, from as high as 55% to 20%, similar to stocks. The FSA has also mentioned increased consumer protection, and business leaders have called for looser restrictions.

Read more: Crypto Regulation: What Are the Benefits and Drawbacks?

Japan's Crypto Trading
Japan’s Crypto Trading Recovers. Source: Bloomberg

The demands from business leaders may prove especially salient to the FSA’s conclusions. Major corporations like Japan’s largest bank have already worked on a stablecoin since 2023, but they aren’t alone.

This year, electronics conglomerate Sony made headlines by acquiring an exchange. If Japan’s largest firms support relaxed measures, the FSA may listen.

Japan’s Election Shake-Up

A notable complication in the FSA’s survey is the upcoming election in Japan. Prime Minister Fumio Kishida is unable to seek re-election, and his constituency has made an unexpected choice for his successor: Shigeru Ishiba.

While Ishiba has expressed support for continuing previous economic policies, his selection follows a series of significant disagreements with his party, the LDP.

“If crypto had a vote, we would want Takaichi. She wants to continue ‘Abenomics’ which means more money printing and toleration of a weak yen,” prominent crypto entrepreneur Arthur Hayes claimed.

One of Ishiba’s first public statements as Kishida’s chosen successor has been to declare a snap election. As President of the LDP and presumptive new PM, Ishiba will dissolve the lower house of Parliament and hold an election on October 27. Kishida has been a valuable ally to Web3, but Ishiba has made few public statements on his own crypto policies.

Bloomberg quoted an FSA official who claimed that there are no clear conclusions on the length of the survey. However, he did state that is will likely last through the winter. In other words, it will certainly be ongoing when the election takes place, and Japanese stock markets have already wobbled since Ishiba became the new party leader.

Read more: Top 9 Crypto Friendly Countries For Digital Assets Investors

There are huge possibilities from this FSA study, but a bullish future for crypto is not guaranteed. If Ishiba loses or discontinues his predecessor’s pro-crypto policies, some opportunities for regulatory friendliness may be squandered. Still, as of yet, the FSA’s study has hardly begun, and it’s premature to make too many concrete predictions.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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US Election Day Boosts Bitcoin to $70,000: Further Rally Ahead?

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Bitcoin’s (BTC) price climbed to $70,000 today ahead of the US presidential election, indicating the connection between major political events and cryptocurrency movements. Historically, political uncertainty and significant elections have influenced crypto market sentiment and volatility.

As the election begins, on-chain analysis provides insights into potential future price movements. Analysts are also weighing in on the implications of the election outcome for Bitcoin, with opinions varying on whether the cryptocurrency could continue its upward trend or face downward pressure. Here are all the details.

According to Glassnode, the Bitcoin price increase comes amid a drop in the sell-side risk ratio. This metric shows whether investors are confident about a bullish performance or if conviction is low.

High values in this metric indicate periods when significant amounts of value are being realized, often correlating with increased market volatility. Such periods are commonly seen during the late stages of bull markets.

Conversely, low values suggest periods with minimal value realization and reduced market volatility. This can also signal macro market bottoms, accumulation phases, and environments with lower sell-side pressure and risk, potentially indicating the onset of future bullish trends.

Read More: 7 Best Crypto Exchanges in the USA for Bitcoin (BTC) Trading

Bitcoin selling pressure reduces
Bitcoin Sell-Side Risk Ratio. Source: Glassnode

Therefore, the rise in Bitcoin’s price indicates that selling pressure is low, and the US elections could be bullish for the cryptocurrency.

Regarding this development, Juan Pellicer, Senior Researcher at IntoTheBlock, opined that a Donald Trump win would be good for BTC and the crypto market at large.

“The market appears primed for further upward movement, with the US election serving as a potential catalyst. Sentiment suggests that Trump’s more favorable stance on cryptocurrencies could provide the momentum needed for a decisive breakthrough to a new all-time high.” Pellicer told BeInCrypto

Meanwhile, CryptoQuant’s weekly report says that BTC is at a favorable price level ahead of the elections. It noted that the cryptocurrency is currently not overvalued. Hence, if demand increases, Bitcoin’s price might rally post-election.

For instance, BTC prices rallied by 22% between election day and December 2012. In 2016, it climbed by 37%, while the cryptocurrency saw a 98% increase in 2020. 

Therefore, if past performance influences future trends, the BTC might reach a new all-time high before the end of the year.

Data from the on-chain data provider also showed that demand for Bitcoin has increased. This is similar to the trends of 2016 and 2020. Hence, if sustained, the Bitcoin price might climb well above $70,000 soon.

Bitcoin demand rises
Bitcoin Apparent Demand. Source: CryptoQuant

BTC Price Prediction: $73,000 Possible

On the 1-hour chart, Bitcoin has attempted to break out on four different occasions. However, each time that happened since October 31, the coin faced rejection. However, today, the trend has changed as bulls pushed the cryptocurrency above $68,336.

This breakout has ensured that Bitcoin’s price has risen to $70,288. Furthermore, the Bull Bear Power (BBP) shows that bulls are in control. If sustained, Bitcoin’s price might rally much higher in the coming days.

Read More: Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

Bitcoin US election day price analysis
Bitcoin 1-Hour Analysis. Source: TradingView

If bullish momentum persists, Bitcoin could potentially climb to $73,623 ahead of the announcement of the US election results. However, should BTC face rejection at resistance levels, this forecast might be invalidated, with the cryptocurrency possibly declining to $67,405.

The post US Election Day Boosts Bitcoin to $70,000: Further Rally Ahead? appeared first on BeInCrypto.



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Why Ethereum’s Weak Momentum May Block $2,600 Breakout

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Ethereum (ETH) price is showing signs of weakening strength as polls open across most of the US.

Despite a 24% surge in trading volume over the past 24 hours and a modest 1% price uptick, technical indicators suggest a potential downturn. Here’s a closer look at the factors behind this analysis.

Ethereum to Remain “Under”

Readings from the altcoin’s Super Trend indicator reflect Ethereum’s weak price action. At press time, its red line rests above Ethereum’s price, confirming the potential downward trend.

This indicator helps traders identify the prevailing market trend and potential entry or exit points. It detects changes in price direction and determines support and resistance levels, often signaling when to buy or sell an asset. When the Super Trend line moves above the price and turns red, it signals a bearish trend, often considered a sell signal.

On the ETH/USD one-day chart, Ethereum’s Super Trend line is above the coin’s price at $2740, forming a resistance level that may be difficult to breach if new demand fails to enter the market. When the Super Trend line moves above the price, it acts as a resistance level. This is because the line indicates a potential “ceiling” where the price might face resistance if it attempts to rise. 

Read more: Ethereum ETF Explained: What It Is and How It Works

Ethereum Super Trend.
Ethereum Super Trend. Source: TradingView

Moreover, the setup of ETH’s moving average convergence/divergence (MACD) indicator — which tracks its trend direction, shifts, and potential price reversal points — supports this bearish outlook. As of this writing, ETH’s MACD line (blue) rests below its signal line (orange) and zero line. 

This bearish signal suggests that ETH’s short-term momentum is weakening. Traders often interpret this as a signal to exit long positions and take short ones.

Ethereum MACD.
Ethereum MACD. Source: TradingView

ETH Price Prediction: August 5 Low Is Possible

If buying pressure weakens, Ethereum’s price could fall toward its August 5 low of $2,112, marking a 13% drop from its current value. Conversely, a surge in demand could propel the coin to test resistance at $2,508.

Read more: Ethereum (ETH) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

Ethereum Price Analysis
Ethereum Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

A successful breakthrough at this level would set the next target at the Super Trend line resistance of $2,740. Clearing this mark with strong momentum could position Ethereum for a climb toward $2,869 — a level not seen since August.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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AAVE Whales Flood Exchanges,

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AAVE, the governance token of the prominent lending protocol Aave, is experiencing downward pressure as large holders, or whales, initiated significant sell-offs early Tuesday.

This analysis explores potential price targets as AAVE’s value reacts to the intensified selling pressure from whales.

Aave Whales Sell Holdings

In a Tuesday post on X, on-chain sleuth Lookonchain noted that AAVE whales are actively selling off their holdings, with significant withdrawals noted in recent transactions. 

One whale, identified as address 0x7634, withdrew 25,790 AAVE (around $3.39 million) from the Aave protocol and transferred it to the MEXC exchange. Just three hours earlier, another whale, address 0x790c, had removed 7,822 AAVE (approximately $1.04 million) from Aave and sent it to Binance. Additionally, crypto trading firm Cumberland deposited 10,000 AAVE to OKX.

The action of these AAVE whales has resulted in a sharp rise in its exchange flow balance. Santiment’s data shows that at press time, this balance is 53,000 AAVE, representing its single-day highest flow since September 10. 

Read more: How To Use Aave?

AAVE Exchange Flow Balance
AAVE Exchange Flow Balance. Source: Santiment

The Exchange Flow Balance measures the net flow of a cryptocurrency into or out of exchanges, calculated by subtracting the total amount withdrawn from the total amount deposited. An uptick in this metric indicates that large quantities of the asset are being sent to exchanges. Such substantial inflows often signal potential price drops, as the added sell pressure can overwhelm the market’s capacity to absorb it.

AAVE’s negative price daily active address (DAA) divergence confirms this rise in selling pressure in the market. At press time, the metric’s value stands at -39.24%.

This metric compares an asset’s price movements with the changes in its number of daily active addresses. Investors use it to track whether the price movements are supported by corresponding network activity. A negative value suggests weakening demand and potential selling pressure. 

AAVE Price Daily Active Address Divergence.
AAVE Price Daily Active Address Divergence. Source: Santiment

AAVE Price Prediction: Where Risks and Opportunities Lie

AAVE is currently trading at $130.29, hovering slightly above its key support level at $128.45. The diminishing buying momentum signals a potential risk of a drop below this threshold. Should AAVE’s price break through this support, it could fall further to $116.10.

Read more: Top 11 DeFi Protocols To Keep an Eye on in 2024

AAVE Price Analysis.
AAVE Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

Conversely, if market sentiment turns bullish, AAVE might see a reversal, with its price likely rallying toward the next resistance level of $140.79.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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