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Five Charts Explain the Decline

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As Bitcoin (BTC) struggles to reclaim the $60,000 psychological level, the on-chain data provider CryptoQuant has highlighted five key charts that illustrate the recent price drop.

The crypto markets are in turmoil, leaving traders on edge as Bitcoin’s price sends mixed signals. Analysts are divided on whether the market is heading for a correction or set to continue its uptrend.

Five Charts to Explain the Latest Bitcoin Price Drop

Bitcoin has slipped below the critical $60,000 psychological level, extending its decline after a recent surge above $65,000. A closer look at the underlying fundamentals reveals intriguing dynamics as traders and investors navigate the market conditions.

Short-term Holders Cash in at Break-Even

According to CryptoQuant, Bitcoin short-term holders established a resistance wall at their break-even price, indicating they took profits. The break-even price is where traders neither gain nor lose, with the asset trading near their purchase price.

This strategic profit-taking followed Bitcoin’s earlier price drop, which had caused short-term holders to incur a 17% loss. When the price rebounded to their average cost basis, these holders sold around their break-even prices. The resulting selling pressure contributed to the latest price drop.

Bitcoin price correction as short-term holders sell at break-even, Source: CryptoQuant
Bitcoin Price Correction as Short-Term Holders Sell. Source: CryptoQuant

Increased Open Interest and Positive Funding Rates

CryptoQuant also reports a premium on Bitcoin perpetual contracts, with open interest rising by 31% since August 5, moving from $13.5 billion to $17.9 billion. Open interest represents the total number of open positions, reflecting futures traders’ predictions about the next market move.

In a liquid market, high open interest typically results in better execution prices, tighter bid-ask spreads, and reduced slippage, providing traders with enhanced market efficiency and easier entry and exit opportunities. The 31% increase in open interest suggests growing market participation and heightened interest in Bitcoin.

Read more: Where To Trade Bitcoin Futures: A Comprehensive Guide

Open Interest, Source: CryptoQuant
Bitcoin Open Interest. Source: CryptoQuant

At the same time, funding rates remained positive, indicating that long positions (buyers) were paying short positions (sellers) to maintain their positions. This scenario reflects market conditions where demand exceeds supply.

Funding Rates, Source: CryptoQuant
Bitcoin Funding Rates. Source: CryptoQuant

The combination of rising open interest and positive funding rates can destabilize traders’ positions, primarily due to increased speculative activity. As more participants enter and exit positions in an attempt to capitalize on potential price movements, volatility escalates, causing sudden shifts in market sentiment.

This dynamic can create a feedback loop, where growing market participation fuels further price movements. As a result, herd behavior and momentum trading amplify market trends, making it increasingly difficult to predict and manage risks effectively.

Increased Spot Inflows

Research indicates that increased Bitcoin inflows into spot exchanges during the price drop further contributed to the decline, as traders viewed it as a sign of impending selling pressure. When investors transfer their holdings to exchanges, it is often seen as an intent to sell.

This influx added strain to already fragile futures positions. According to CryptoQuant’s Head of Research, Julio Moreno, these inflows were attributed to large holders, amplifying the pressure on the market.

Read more: Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

Exchange Inflow, Source: CryptoQuant
Bitcoin Exchange Inflows. Source: CryptoQuant

As shown in the chart above, the rise in spot exchange inflows coincided with price drops, reinforcing the thesis.

This increase in Bitcoin supply available for trading on exchanges means more sellers are offering their BTC for sale. When supply outpaces demand from buyers, it exerts downward pressure on the price, contributing to the decline.

Shaking Off Weak Hands

The series of events has led to “weak hands” exiting their positions, resulting in increased liquidations. Ethereum and Bitcoin longs were liquidated for $55 million and $90 million, respectively, marking the highest levels of liquidation since August 5, according to research.

Bitcoin Long Liquidations, Source: CryptoQuant
Bitcoin Long Liquidations. Source: CryptoQuant

CryptoQuant’s research suggests that the market will need time to stabilize before a clear directional bias can emerge. As of this writing, Bitcoin is trading at $59,118, down nearly 5% since the Wednesday session began, according to BeInCrypto data.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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$1.6 Billion in Bitcoin and Ethereum Options Expire After Fed Cut

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The crypto market is bracing for heightened volatility as nearly $1.6 billion worth of Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) options expire today.

This event coincides with the Federal Reserve’s recent decision to cut interest rates by 50 basis points (bps).

Fed’s Decision Fuels the Crypto Market Rally Ahead of Major Options Expiry

According to data from Deribit, 20,037 Bitcoin options contracts worth approximately $1.26 billion will expire on September 20. These contracts have a put-to-call ratio of 0.85 and a maximum pain point of $58,500.

Expiring Bitcoin Options.
Expiring Bitcoin Options. Source: Deribit

Similarly, Ethereum’s options market is set to expire with 125,046 contracts worth $308.16 million. Today’s expiring Ethereum contracts have a put-to-call ratio of 0.65, with a maximum pain point of $2,350.

Read more: An Introduction to Crypto Options Trading

Expiring Ethereum Options.
Expiring Ethereum Options. Source: Deribit

In options trading, the maximum pain point refers to the price level at which option holders would suffer the largest losses. It is essentially the price at which the highest number of options (both calls and puts) would expire worthless, inflicting maximum financial “pain” on traders. On the other hand, the put-to-call ratio gauges market sentiment by comparing the number of put options (bets on price declines) to call options (bets on price increases).

Greeks. live’s recent analysis outlined the impact of the Fed’s decision to cut rates for today’s expiring crypto options contracts. The analysts noted that the Fed’s move was largely expected and aligned with macroeconomic forecasts.

“Implied volatility declined significantly across all major maturities, with ultra-short-term IVs falling by over 25%, as short-term short-selling expectations by large investors fell short,” they wrote.

Looking ahead, Greeks.live also noted that there will be another interest rate meeting on November 8 and December 19 this year, where the market expects a cumulative 100 bps rate cut. The next rate cut could coincide with the US election, increasing the likelihood of heightened market volatility.

BeInCrypto reported that this week’s rate cut has positively impacted the crypto market. Following the decision, Bitcoin surged from the $59,000 level to surpass the $63,500 mark.

Similarly, Ethereum also experienced a significant increase during the period. Data showed that ETH skyrocketed from $2,293 to as high as $2,482.

However, both assets have now stabilized. At the time of writing, Bitcoin and Ethereum are trading at $62,890 and $2,450, respectively.

Read more: 9 Best Crypto Options Trading Platforms

Despite the positive momentum, traders are advised to remain cautious. Historically, options expiration often leads to short-term instability in the market. The next few days will be crucial in determining whether Bitcoin and Ethereum can sustain their upward trends or if a period of correction is imminent.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Crypto Pundit Predicts Historical 9,468% Pump To $27

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Este artículo también está disponible en español.

A new XRP price prediction by popular crypto pundit Egrag Crypto projects that the cryptocurrency could experience a historical price surge of about 9,468%. This predicted price gain would push XRP from its current price of $0.58 to $27, marking new All-Time Highs (ATHs).  

XRP Price Forecasted To Pump To These Targets

Egrag Crypto has taken to X (formerly Twitter) to express his bullish outlook on XRP, predicting the cryptocurrency could surge as high as $27. On Wednesday, September 18, the crypto analyst shared a price chart illustrating a speculative breakdown of potential price movements for XRP using five distinctive color indicators to represent various price increase scenarios. 

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XRP price
Source: X

Each of these scenarios has been carefully analyzed, grounded on historical price trends and past price pumps. Additionally, the color indicators — white, yellow, red, blue, and green, are all arranged respectively to represent the ascending price potential of XRP. 

The white color indicator predicts that XRP is set to witness a 932% pump from the analyst’s predicted cycle low of $0.28. While this scenario is relatively conservative compared to other projections, if XRP can achieve the predicted pump, its price could surge to $3, nearing current all-time highs. 

The yellow color indicator foresees XRP increasing by 1,538%, potentially driving its price to fresh all-time highs of $4.85. While this target is much higher than the white scenario, it is still within the realm of possibility if the cryptocurrency maintains a positive momentum.

The red indicator projects that XRP’s price will jump to $6.22, marking a 2,035% increase. This massive surge would signal a strong bull run for the cryptocurrency, likely reflecting the influence of major external factors such as mass adoption and more legal clarity

In the blue color scenario, XRP is set to reach a higher price of $7.68, representing a whopping 2,536% increase. At this price, XRP would likely be seen as a major player in the market with potential long-term viability. 

Finally, the green color indicator predicts that XRP could witness a 9,468% price surge, potentially driving the cryptocurrency to a staggering $27. Although this ambitious prediction would be a historic achievement, it remains a far-fetched possibility with XRP’s current market dynamics

XRP Community Express Skepticism

While Egrag Crypto’s bullish projections for XRP raise the hopes of investors who have been HODLing the coin for years now despite its low value and persistent consolidation phase, many have also expressed doubts. A few crypto members criticized the analyst, calling him out for his overly bullish forecasts for XRP. 

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Other members found the ambitious price predictions humorous, declaring that XRP is a “shit coin” and would remain so for a long period. Additionally, one crypto member underscored XRP’s long-term stagnant growth, highlighting that he had bought $1,000 worth of the cryptocurrency early last year but only accrued a profit of $100. 

XRP price chart from Tradingview.com
XRP shows a lot of volatility | Source: XRPUSDT on Tradingview.com

Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com



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Crypto Brands Return to Sports Sponsorships With 26 Deals

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Crypto sports sponsorship is cautiously rebounding in 2024, signaling a modest revival from the downturn following the boom in 2021. Despite these signs of recovery, the sector still falls short of reaching the highs witnessed during the peak year.

The increase in sports sponsorship also indicates a recovery of the crypto market. Brands are sponsoring sports teams because they have additional funds available for such marketing activities.

The crypto industry started heavily investing in sports sponsorship in 2021. During that year, the industry saw an unprecedented expansion with 42 new deals, representing 45.6% of the total 92 sports sponsorships from 2021 to 2024.

This growth was propelled by a bullish digital currency market, which led to significant agreements. Notably, Crypto.com secured a $700 million deal for the naming rights of Staples Center, renaming it to Crypto.com Arena.

Additionally, FTX entered into a $210 million sponsorship with esports group Team SoloMid. The aggressive sponsorship came as firms sought mainstream visibility and adoption.

Read more: 14 Best Crypto Marketing Agencies for 2024

However, the narrative shifted drastically in 2022 with the market’s downturn. The sector saw a severe reduction in new deals, dropping to 25. The collapse of FTX, previously a key player, led to canceled deals, including its partnerships with the Miami Heat and other sports platforms.

Despite the downturn, some firms like Bybit and Vechain managed to secure substantial agreements; Bybit secured a $150 million deal with Red Bull Racing, and Vechain signed a $100 million contract with UFC.

The downward trend persisted into 2023, with only 8 new sponsorships signed, though 14 existing deals were renewed. Amidst prolonged bearish market conditions and the FTX fallout, the industry remained cautious, limiting substantial financial commitments. However, OKX demonstrated resilience by securing a $70 million deal with Manchester City, illustrating that strategic investments could still thrive.

By 2024, the industry witnessed a gentle recovery, with 26 new sponsorships and 16 continuing from prior years. Noteworthy among these was Crypto.com’s sponsorship with the UEFA Champions League and BlockDAG’s $10 million deal with Borussia Dortmund (BVB). Additionally, Bitget announced a new partnership with LaLiga to enhance crypto adoption in Southeast Asia, Eastern Europe, and Latin America.

“The volume of new sponsorships has not surpassed the 2021 levels, but the uptick in activity suggests crypto firms are slowly re-entering the sports space,” CoinGecko said.

Read more: Top 5 Crypto Companies That Might Go Public (IPO) in 2024

Crypto Sponsorships in Sports
Crypto Sponsorships in Sports. Source: CoinGecko

Specifically, crypto sponsorships have primarily focused on football, with early adopters including prominent clubs like Manchester United, Chelsea, and Manchester City. The strategy extended to global events such as the UEFA Champions League and the FIFA World Cup, leveraging football’s massive international following.

Despite the market’s volatility, some partnerships, like Crypto.com’s diverse sponsorships and Bybit’s strong presence in Formula 1, have become long-term success stories.

Disclaimer

All the information contained on our website is published in good faith and for general information purposes only. Any action the reader takes upon the information found on our website is strictly at their own risk.



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